Ashmont

Ashmont has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Ashmont is estimated to be around 3,776. This figure reflects an increase of 29 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,747. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,715 following examination of the ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,553 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, lower quartile growth of non-metropolitan areas nationally is anticipated. The suburb of Ashmont is expected to increase by 105 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 1.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Ashmont is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Ashmont has recorded approximately 9 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 48 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline, new supply appears to be meeting demand, offering good choice to buyers.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $451,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment. This year has seen $18.5 million in commercial development approvals, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Ashmont has around half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 37th percentile nationally, implying somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established homes. This level reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 64.0% standalone homes and 36.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points.

This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 83.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands. With around 462 people per dwelling approval, Ashmont shows a developed market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Ashmont is expected to grow by 44 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Ashmont has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Six projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Tolland Renewal Project, Inland Rail - Albury to Illabo, Veale Street Residential Subdivision, and Glenfield Road Upgrades in Wagga Wagga.

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Employment conditions in Ashmont face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Ashmont's workforce spans white and blue collar jobs with a 9.5% unemployment rate as of December 2025, based on AreaSearch data aggregation. As of this date, 1,320 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.6% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Ashmont lags at 49.8%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%.

Census responses show that only 3.8% of residents work from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, with retail trade particularly notable at 1.4 times the regional average. However, education & training employs just 5.6% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 9.6%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population.

Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, Ashmont's labour force decreased by 3.5%, while employment declined by 3.4%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced an employment decline of 1.2% and a labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Ashmont's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolations of industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

In financial year 2023, Ashmont's median taxpayer income was $38,962 and average income was $47,526. These figures are below national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 in Regional NSW respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $42,414 and the average $51,737, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Ashmont fall between the 3rd and 9th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The predominant income cohort in Ashmont is $800 - 1,499, with 31.1% of locals (1,174 people) earning within this range, differing from Regional NSW where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 29.9%. Income pressures are severe in Ashmont, with only 81.9% of income remaining post-housing expenses, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Ashmont is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ashmont's housing structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmont was at 22.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (25.9%) or rented (51.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,103, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent was $220, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Ashmont's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Ashmont features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.4% of all households, including 17.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 22.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 37.6%, with lone person households at 34.3% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Ashmont faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.5%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 6.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 6.2% and certificates at 33.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates 27 operational stops in Ashmont, offering a variety of bus services. These stops are served by 30 different routes, collectively facilitating 557 weekly passenger journeys. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically situated 205 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most residents commute outward, with car being the primary mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 3.8% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 79 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ashmont is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmont faces significant health challenges as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 46% of the total population (~1,729 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, impacting 12.8% and 12.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 54.4% reported no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has 16.2% of residents aged 65 and over (611 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are challenging, broadly inline with national rankings.

Ashmont is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmont's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.3% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (92.7%), and speaking English only at home (94.9%). Christianity is the predominant religion in Ashmont, accounting for 58.5%, slightly higher than Regional NSW's 55.9%. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (31.4%), English (29.5%), and Australian Aboriginal (13.8%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 4.6%.

Notably, Macedonian (0.1%) and French (0.4%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Ashmont compared to Regional NSW (Macedonian: 0.4%, French: 0.4%).

Ashmont's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ashmont's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Regional NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Ashmont at 16.8%, compared to the Regional NSW average, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 4.1%. Following the Census conducted on 28 August 2021, younger residents have shifted the median age down by 1.2 years to 35. The 25 to 34 age group has grown from 13.0% to 16.8%, and the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 7.6% to 8.9%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.3% to 9.5%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.4% to 9.7%. Demographic modeling suggests that Ashmont's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 16%, adding 104 residents to reach 739. Conversely, the 5 to 14 and 75 to 84 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.