Ashmont

Ashmont has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Ashmont is around 3586 people. This figure represents a decrease from the previous census in 2021, which recorded a population of 3747 people. The latest estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of resident population data from June 2025 ABS ERP release. This results in a population density of approximately 1475 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed significantly to population growth in Ashmont, accounting for around 82% of overall gains during recent periods.

Population projections for Ashmont are primarily based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. These projections anticipate lower quartile growth for non-metropolitan areas nationally, with Ashmont expected to increase by 117 persons to reach approximately 3703 people by the year 2041, reflecting an overall gain of about 3.1% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Ashmont is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Ashmont shows approximately 9 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 48 homes were approved, with an additional 16 approved so far in FY-26. Despite a falling population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a well-balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $451,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This year, $18.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Ashmont exhibits approximately half the construction activity per person and ranks among the 35th percentile nationally, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. This is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 64.0% detached houses and 36.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an increasing blend of attached housing types to cater to various price ranges, from spacious family homes to more affordable compact options.

This shift indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. The location has approximately 466 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its established nature. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Ashmont is projected to add 111 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Ashmont has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Six projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Tolland Renewal Project, Inland Rail from Albury to Illabo, Veale Street Residential Subdivision, and Glenfield Road Upgrades in Wagga Wagga.

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Employment conditions in Ashmont face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Ashmont's workforce comprises a mix of white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 10.0%, according to AreaSearch data aggregation from statistical areas. As of December 2025, 1,272 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 6.0% above Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Ashmont is lower at 50.1%, compared to Regional NSW's 60.5%. Census responses show that only 3.8% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries employing Ashmont residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, with retail trade notably concentrated at 1.4 times the regional average. However, education & training is under-represented, accounting for only 5.6% of Ashmont's workforce compared to Regional NSW's 9.6%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population numbers. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, labour force decreased by 4.3%, alongside a 4.5% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced an employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Ashmont's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Ashmont's median taxpayer income was $38,962 and average was $47,526 in financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages. Regional NSW had a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215 during the same period. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $42,983 (median) and $52,431 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Ashmont's household, family, and personal incomes from the 2021 Census fell between the 3rd and 9th percentiles nationally. The income bracket of $800 - $1,499 dominated with 31.1% of residents (1,115 people), contrasting with metropolitan regions where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket led at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 81.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 4th percentile.

Ashmont is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ashmont's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings. This is similar to Regional NSW's dwelling structure, which was 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmont stood at 22.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.9% and rented ones at 51.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ashmont was $1,103, lower than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Ashmont was $220, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Ashmont's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Ashmont features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.4% of all households, including 17.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 22.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 37.6%, with lone person households at 34.3% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Ashmont faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.5%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 6.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (6.2%) and certificates (33.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (12.2%), secondary education (8.4%), and tertiary education (2.6%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Ashmont area has 27 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 30 different routes that together facilitate 557 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transportation is deemed good, with residents generally living 205 meters away from the nearest stop. Most residents in this predominantly residential area commute outwards, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 94%. On average, there's one vehicle per dwelling, below the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, only 3.8% of residents work from home, which might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 79 trips per day, translating to roughly 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ashmont is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmont faces significant health challenges as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across various health conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~1,642 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 12.8% and 12.1% of residents respectively. However, 54.4% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. As of the assessment date, 16.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (606 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Ashmont is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmont's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.3% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (92.7%), and speaking English only at home (94.9%). Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 58.5%, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (31.4%), English (29.5%), and Australian Aboriginal (13.8%), significantly higher than the regional average of 4.6%.

Notably, Macedonian (0.1%) and French (0.4%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Ashmont compared to Regional NSW averages of 0.4% each, while Irish ethnicity is slightly underrepresented at 8.0% versus 8.8%.

Ashmont's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ashmont's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Regional NSW average of 43 years and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Ashmont at 16.0%, compared to the Regional NSW average, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 4.4%. Following the Census conducted on 24 August 2021, younger residents have shifted the median age down by one year to 35 years. Specifically, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 13.0% to 16.0%, and the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 7.6% to 9.0%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 11.4% to 9.6%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 11.3% to 10.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Ashmont's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 18%, adding 104 residents to reach a total of 678. Conversely, the 75 to 84 and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.