Springvale (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Springvale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of 1 November 2025, Springvale (NSW) statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 1,882 people. This reflects an increase of 31 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,851 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,873 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on June 2024 and an additional 52 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 115 persons per square kilometer. Since the census in 2021, Springvale (NSW) has grown by 1.7%, positioning it within 2.2 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 3.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, the area is anticipated to increase by 82 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 4.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Springvale recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Springvale averaged around 13 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 67 homes. As of FY26, 4 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 0.6 new residents per new home has arrived, indicating that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of new properties is $401,000, slightly above the regional average.

This financial year has seen $1.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Springvale's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Springvale has 43.0% more development per person over the past five years. New development consists of 44.0% detached houses and 56.0% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 100.0% houses. This indicates decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles requiring more diverse housing options. Springvale has approximately 84 people per dwelling approval, suggesting a low-density market.

AreaSearch estimates that Springvale will grow by 83 residents by 2041, with current development patterns indicating that new housing supply should meet demand, benefiting buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Springvale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Major ones include Rowan Village, Active Travel Plan - Plumpton Road Section, Southern Growth Area, and Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Springvale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Springvale has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.3% as of the last reported period, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8% over the past year.

As of September 2025, there were 1,050 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was notably higher at 75.3%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors for residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has a particular specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing showed lower representation at 2.8%, compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The ratio of 0.9 workers per resident, as recorded by the Census, indicates substantial local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending recently, employment increased by 4.8% while the labour force rose by 5.2%, resulting in an unemployment rate increase of 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW, where employment contracted by 0.5%, the labour force fell by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Springvale has an exceptionally high income level nationally according to the latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Springvale is $77,519 while the average income stands at $94,558. These figures compare to those of the Rest of NSW which are $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on the Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $84,387 (median) and $102,936 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Springvale all rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 98th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 35.5% of the population (668 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, which differs from patterns across regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 range dominates with 29.9%. The substantial proportion of high earners (53.3% above $3,000/week) suggests strong economic capacity throughout Springvale. After housing costs, residents retain 90.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Springvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Springvale's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses with no other dwelling types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NSW where 88.4% of dwellings were houses and 11.7% were other types. Home ownership in Springvale was higher at 41.5%, compared to mortgaged dwellings at 57.3% and rented ones at 1.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,232, above Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Springvale was $420, higher than Non-Metro NSW's $280 but lower than the national average of $375.

Springvale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 93.9% of all households, including 59.1% couples with children, 30.4% couples without children, and 4.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 6.1%, with lone person households at 4.0% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Springvale demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Springvale's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 31.0% have university qualifications, compared to 18.7% in the SA4 region and 20.4% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.9% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 10.9% while certificates make up 27.0%.

Educational participation is high in Springvale, with 36.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.6% in secondary education, 13.5% in primary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 11 active transport stops operating within Springvale. These stops are serviced by 15 individual routes, collectively providing 135 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 472 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 19 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health metrics throughout Springvale. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover rate is high at approximately 64% of the total population (1,208 people), compared to 51.5% across Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.8% and 7.2% of residents respectively. 72.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.5% across Rest of NSW. Springvale has 11.5% of residents aged 65 and over (216 people), lower than the 19.6% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Springvale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 93.8% of its population born in Australia, 95.2% being citizens, and 97.9% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Springvale is Christianity, which constitutes 78.0% of the population, compared to 64.3% across Rest of NSW. Regarding ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (31.1%), English (29.1%), and Irish (13.1%).

Notably, German ethnicity is overrepresented in Springvale at 5.4%, compared to 3.9% regionally; Croatian ethnicity is also overrepresented at 0.6%, compared to 0.1%; however, Scottish ethnicity is similarly represented at 8.2%.

Springvale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Springvale is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. In comparison to Rest of NSW, the 5-14 age group is notably higher at 17.0% locally, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 3.1%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 4.3% to 10.4%, and the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 3.7% to 6.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 18.8% to 15.2%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 20.2% to 17.0%. Population forecasts for Springvale in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 39 people (20%) from 195 to 235. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.