Springvale (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Springvale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of Springvale's population is estimated at around 1,975 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 124 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,851 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 1,973 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2025 and an additional 52 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 120 persons per square kilometer. Springvale's growth rate of 6.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (2.2%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth of national non-metropolitan areas, with the suburb expected to increase by 83 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.1% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Springvale recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Springvale's dwelling approvals averaged approximately 12 per year over the past five financial years (FY-20 to FY-24), totalling an estimated 64 homes. As of FY-25, there have been 5 approvals recorded. The average new residents per new home over this period was around 0.7. This suggests that new construction has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current expectations.

The average value of new properties constructed is approximately $401,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments. In FY-25, there have been $1.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Springvale has had approximately 35.0% more development per person over the past five years. This balance between buyer choice and support for current property values is evident. The new development consists of about 44.0% detached houses and 56.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 100.0% houses).

This trend indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 89 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Springvale is expected to grow by around 81 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Springvale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting this region. Notable projects include Rowan Village, Active Travel Plan - Plumpton Road Section, Southern Growth Area, and Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct. The following details projects likely most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Springvale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Springvale has an educated workforce with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate in December 2025 was 1.1%, lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was high at 74.8% compared to the regional average of 60.5%.

A low 10.1% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, employment in education & training is at 1.5 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 2.8% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The worker-to-resident ratio was 0.9 as of the Census, indicating substantial local employment opportunities.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force decreased by 1.4%, alongside a 1.4% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional NSW where employment contracted by 1.2%, the labour force fell by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Springvale's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Springvale's median income among taxpayers is $77,519. The average income in the suburb is $94,558. These figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Regional NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 would be approximately $85,519 (median) and $104,316 (average). Census data reveals Springvale's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 98th percentiles. The suburb's earnings profile shows that 35.5% of residents earn over $4,000 per week (701 people), differing from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 29.9%. Springvale demonstrates affluence with 53.3% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 90.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Springvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Springvale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses with no other dwellings such as apartments or semi-detached homes. This contrasts with Regional NSW where 82.6% were houses and 17.4% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale was similar to Regional NSW at 41.5%, with the rest being mortgaged (57.3%) or rented (1.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Springvale was $2,232, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Springvale was recorded at $420, compared to $330 in Regional NSW. Nationally, Springvale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Springvale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 93.9% of all households, including 59.1% couples with children, 30.4% couples without children, and 4.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 6.1%, consisting of 4.0% lone person households and 1.3% group households. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Springvale demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Springvale's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15 and above, 31.0% have university qualifications, compared to 18.7% in the SA4 region and 20.4% in the SA3 area. The most common university qualification is a bachelor degree, held by 21.8% of residents. Postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas are also present at 5.9% and 3.3%, respectively.

Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 10.9%, while certificates make up 27.0%. Educational participation is high in Springvale, with 36.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.6% in secondary education, 13.5% in primary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Springvale has 11 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 15 different routes that together offer 135 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 472 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Springvale's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant transport mode at 98%. On average, there are 2.7 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 10.1% of residents work from home, which might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 19 trips per day across all routes, resulting in about 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (1,268 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.8 and 7.2% of residents respectively. 72.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. Springvale has 11.6% of residents aged 65 and over (229 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The latest Census data sees Springvale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 93.8% of its population born in Australia, 95.2% being citizens, and 97.9% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, comprising 78.0% of Springvale's population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (31.1%), English (29.1%), and Irish (13.1%).

Notably, German ancestry is overrepresented at 5.4%, compared to the regional average of 3.1%. Croatian ancestry is also higher than average at 0.6% versus 0.3%, and Scottish ancestry is slightly higher at 8.2% compared to 8.0%.

Springvale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Springvale is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional NSW's average of 43 but above the Australian median of 38. The 5-14 age cohort makes up 16.6% of the population in Springvale, compared to the Regional NSW average, indicating an overrepresentation of this age group. Conversely, the 75-84 year-olds are underrepresented at 3.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, Springvale's median age has decreased by 1 year to 40 from 41. The 25 to 34 age group has grown significantly, increasing from 4.3% to 10.4%, while the 0 to 4 cohort has also risen from 3.7% to 6.6%. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 18.8% to 14.8%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped slightly from 20.2% to 16.6%. Population forecasts for Springvale in 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to grow by 38 people (19%) from 205 to 244. Conversely, both the 65 to 74 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to see a reduction in numbers.