Springvale (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Springvale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Springvale's population is estimated at around 1,883 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 32 people (1.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,851 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,873 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 52 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 115 persons per square kilometer. Springvale's 1.7% growth since census positions it within 2.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, lower quartile growth of national non-metropolitan areas is anticipated. The suburb is expected to increase by 83 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Springvale recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Springvale averaged around 13 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years to FY26. This totals an estimated 67 homes. As of FY26, 4 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year arriving per new home over these five years is 0.6.

New construction matches or outpaces demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations. New properties are constructed at an average value of $401,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. This financial year has seen $1.7 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Springvale has slightly more development, with 43.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balances buyer choice with support for current property values.

New development consists of 44.0% detached houses and 56.0% townhouses or apartments, a notable shift from the area's existing housing, which is currently 100.0% houses. The location has approximately 84 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking ahead, Springvale is expected to grow by 84 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Springvale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Rowan Village, Active Travel Plan - Plumpton Road Section, Southern Growth Area, Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Springvale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Springvale has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 1.3%, and there was estimated employment growth of 4.8% over the past year based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,055 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation in Springvale is high at 73.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%. According to Census responses, a low 10.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has a strong specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 2.8%, compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The ratio of workers to residents is high at 0.9, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 4.8% and labour force increased by 5.2%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.5%, labour force fell by 0.1%, and unemployment rose slightly. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Springvale has an exceptionally high national income level according to recent ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Springvale is $77,519, with an average income of $94,558. These figures compare to those of Rest of NSW at $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $84,387 (median) and $102,936 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Springvale all rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 98th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 35.5% of the population (668 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates at 29.9%. The substantial proportion of high earners (53.3% above $3,000/week) suggests strong economic capacity throughout Springvale. After housing costs, residents retain 90.6% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Springvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Springvale, as per the latest Census data, consisted entirely of houses with no other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This is unlike Non-Metro NSW where 82.6% of dwellings were houses and 17.4% were other types. Home ownership in Springvale was at 41.5%, mirroring the rate in Non-Metro NSW. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (57.3%) or rented (1.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Springvale was $2,232, higher than the Non-Metro NSW average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Springvale was recorded at $420, compared to $330 in Non-Metro NSW. Nationally, Springvale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Springvale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 93.9% of all households, including 59.1% couples with children, 30.4% couples without children, and 4.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 6.1%, with lone person households at 4.0% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Springvale demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Springvale's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 31.0% have university qualifications, compared to 18.7% in the SA4 region and 20.4% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.9% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 27.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.6% in secondary education, 13.5% in primary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Springvale has 11 operational public transport stops offering mixed bus services. These stops are served by 15 routes that facilitate 135 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is assessed as moderate, with residents located an average of 472 meters from the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential area, outward commuting is prevalent and cars remain the primary transport mode at 98%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling stands at 2.7, exceeding regional averages. According to the 2021 Census, only 10.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 19 trips daily, translating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (1,209 people), compared to 51.9% across Rest of NSW and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.8% and 7.2% of residents respectively. 72.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Rest of NSW. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. Springvale has 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (220 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Springvale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale had a cultural diversity score below average, with 93.8% of its population born in Australia and 95.2% being citizens. English was the language spoken at home by 97.9%. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 78.0% of Springvale's population, compared to 55.9% across Rest of NSW.

The top three ancestral groups were Australian (31.1%), English (29.1%), and Irish (13.1%). Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 5.4%, compared to the regional average of 3.1%. Similarly, Croatian ancestry was higher at 0.6% compared to the region's 0.3%. Scottish ancestry was also slightly higher at 8.2%, matching the regional average of 8.0%.

Springvale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Springvale was 40 years as of the 2021 Census, which is slightly lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 but higher than the Australian median of 38. In comparison to the Rest of NSW average, the 5-14 age group was notably over-represented in Springvale at 16.7%, while the 75-84 age group was under-represented at 3.2%. Between the Census periods of 2016 and 2021, Springvale's median age decreased by one year to 40 from 41. Specifically, the population aged 25 to 34 grew from 4.3% to 10.6%, and the 0 to 4 age group increased from 3.7% to 6.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort declined from 18.8% to 15.0%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 20.2% to 16.7%. Population forecasts for Springvale in 2041 indicate significant demographic shifts, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to grow by 38 people (19%) from 199 to 238. Meanwhile, both the 65 to 74 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.