Springvale (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Springvale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Springvale (NSW) is around 1,924. This figure reflects a growth of 73 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,851. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 1,907, following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024, and an additional 52 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 117 persons per square kilometer. Springvale's growth rate of 3.9% since the 2021 census exceeded its SA3 area's growth rate of 3.5%. Natural growth contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth in national non-metropolitan areas, with Springvale expected to increase by 78 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 1.9% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Springvale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Springvale averaged approximately 16 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 81 homes. As of FY26, three approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.5 new residents per year arrived with each new home between FY21 and FY25.

This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current expectations. The average expected construction cost value of new properties in Springvale is $401,000, aligning with regional trends. Comparatively, Springvale has 74.0% more construction activity per person than the Rest of NSW, offering buyers greater choice. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods. The new development composition is approximately 55.0% detached houses and 45.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options to cater to diverse price brackets.

This shift contrasts with the area's existing housing stock, which is currently 100.0% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for more affordable, compact alternatives. The population density in Springvale is approximately 251 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Springvale to gain 37 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Springvale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact this region. Notable projects include Rowan Village, Active Travel Plan - Plumpton Road Section, Southern Growth Area, Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Springvale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Springvale has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of June 2025, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%.

Employment grew by 8.2% over the past year. Workforce participation is high at 75.3%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training has a significant share of employment, at 1.5 times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation than average. The worker-to-resident ratio is substantial, indicating ample local employment opportunities. Over the past year, employment increased by 8.2% while unemployment rose by 0.8 percentage points, contrasting with Rest of NSW's employment contraction and higher unemployment rise. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years for Springvale, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Springvale's median income among taxpayers was $77,519 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $94,558 during the same period. These figures compare to those of Rest of NSW, which had a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest that Springvale's median income could be approximately $87,294 and the average income around $106,482. According to census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Springvale rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 98th percentiles. In terms of income distribution, 35.5% of Springvale's population (683 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, unlike regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 range dominates with 29.9%. The substantial proportion of high earners in Springvale (53.3% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the area. After housing costs, residents retain 90.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Springvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Springvale, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses with no other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This is unlike Non-Metro NSW which had 88.4% houses and 11.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale stood at 41.5%, compared to mortgaged dwellings at 57.3% and rented ones at 1.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,232, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Springvale was $420, significantly lower than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $375 and the national average of $345.

Springvale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 93.9% of all households, including 59.1% composed of couples with children, 30.4% consisting of couples without children, and 4.4% being single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 6.1%, with lone person households at 4.0% and group households making up 1.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Springvale demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Springvale's educational attainment is notably high, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 18.7% in the broader SA4 region and 20.4% in the nearby SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 10.9% and certificates for 27.0%. Educational participation is high, with 36.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.6% in secondary education, 13.5% in primary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities may be located outside Springvale's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Springvale has ten active public transport stops in operation, serving a variety of bus routes. These stops are served by fifteen different routes, collectively offering seventy-five weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 472 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, service frequency stands at ten trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly seven weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale. Both young and old age cohorts saw low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (1,235 people), compared to 51.4% across Rest of NSW.

This is higher than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.8 and 7.2% of residents respectively. A total of 72.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.5% across Rest of NSW. Springvale has 11.5% of residents aged 65 and over (221 people), which is lower than the 19.6% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Springvale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale was found to have a below average cultural diversity, with 93.8% of its population born in Australia, 95.2% being citizens, and 97.9% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Springvale is Christianity, accounting for 78.0% of the population, compared to 64.3% across Rest of NSW. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (31.1%), English (29.1%), and Irish (13.1%).

Notably, German ancestry is overrepresented at 5.4%, compared to 3.9% regionally, Croatian at 0.6% (regional: 0.1%) and Scottish at 8.2% (regional: 8.0%).

Springvale hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Springvale is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. Locally, those aged 5-14 make up 17.0% of the population, higher than the Rest of NSW average, while those aged 75-84 constitute only 3.1%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 4.3% to 10.4%, and the 0 to 4 cohort has risen from 3.7% to 6.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 18.8% to 15.2%, and the 5 to 14 group has fallen from 20.2% to 17.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Springvale. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to grow by 33 people (17%) from 200 to 234. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.