Springvale (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Springvale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Springvale (NSW) is around 1,883. This figure reflects an increase of 32 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,851. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on ERP data released by the ABS in June 2024 and validated new addresses, stands at 1,873. This results in a density ratio of 115 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Springvale has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.6%, outperforming its SA4 region. Natural growth contributed approximately 57% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Springvale are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2 level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is projected to increase by 76 persons, reflecting a total growth of 3.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Springvale recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Springvale has averaged approximately 12 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 64 homes. In FY-26 so far, 4 approvals have been recorded. On average, each new home has attracted around 0.7 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that new construction is aligning with or exceeding demand. The average construction value of these new properties is $401,000, slightly higher than the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments.

This financial year has also seen $1.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Springvale has shown slightly more development activity, with 37.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This balance between buyer choice and support for current property values is notable. The new development composition is 44.0% detached houses and 56.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the area's existing housing stock, which is currently 100.0% houses. This change suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects evolving lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options.

The location has an approximate population density of 90 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Springvale is projected to grow by 66 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Springvale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Rowan Village, Active Travel Plan - Plumpton Road Section, Southern Growth Area, and Lake Albert Water Sports and Event Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Springvale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Springvale has an educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.3%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation as of December 2025. There are 1,020 residents in work while the unemployment rate is 2.7% lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation stands at 71.5%, exceeding Regional NSW's 61.3%. Census responses reveal that only 10.1% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, Springvale has a high concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Meanwhile, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence, with only 2.8% employment compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.9, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.8%, alongside a 2.9% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional NSW where employment contracted by 1.2%, the labour force fell by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Springvale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, indicate that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Springvale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Springvale's median income among taxpayers is $77,519 with an average of $94,558. This places it among the highest in Australia when compared to Regional NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Springvale would be approximately $84,387 (median) and $102,936 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Springvale rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 98th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 35.5% of residents (668 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, differing from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is predominant at 29.9%. Reflecting this affluence, 53.3% of residents earn over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings in the area. After housing costs, residents retain 90.6% of their income, demonstrating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Springvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Springvale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 100.0% houses with 0.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This is in contrast to Regional NSW which had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale was at 41.5%, similar to Regional NSW's rate. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (57.3%) or rented (1.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Springvale was $2,232, higher than the Regional NSW average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Springvale was $420, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Springvale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,232 compared to the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Springvale were also substantially above the national figure of $375.

Springvale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 93.9% of all households, including 59.1% couples with children, 30.4% couples without children, and 4.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 6.1%, with lone person households at 4.0% and group households at 1.3%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Springvale demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Springvale's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 31.0% have university qualifications, compared to 18.7% in the SA4 region and 20.4% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 37.9% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 27.0%.

Educational participation is high in Springvale, with 36.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.6% in secondary education, 13.5% in primary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 11 active transport stops operating within Springvale, consisting of a mix of buses. These stops are served by 15 individual routes, collectively offering 135 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 472 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 98%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 10.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 19 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (1,209 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions were asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.8% and 7.2% of residents respectively. 72.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. As of 11th March 2022, the area had 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (220 people), which was lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The latest Census data sees Springvale placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 93.8% of its population born in Australia, 95.2% being citizens, and 97.9% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Springvale is Christianity, accounting for 78.0% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (31.1%), English (29.1%), and Irish (13.1%).

Notably, certain ethnic groups have different representations: German at 5.4% in Springvale versus 3.1% regionally, Croatian at 0.6% versus 0.3%, and Scottish at 8.2% compared to 8.0%.

Springvale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Springvale is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional NSW's average of 43 but above the Australian median of 38. The 5-14 age cohort makes up 16.4% of Springvale's population, higher than the Regional NSW average, while the 75-84 year-olds make up only 3.2%, lower than the regional average. Between the 2021 Census and the present day, Springvale has seen its median age decrease by one year to 40 from 41. The 25 to 34 age group has grown significantly, from 4.3% to 10.5% of the population, while the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 3.7% to 6.6%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group declined from 18.8% to 14.5%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 20.2% to 16.4%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate that Springvale's 25 to 34 age cohort will grow by 37 people, increasing from 197 to 235. However, both the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 age groups are projected to decrease in number.