Shorewell Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Shorewell Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of November 2025, the estimated population of Shorewell Park is around 2,445. This reflects an increase of 295 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,150. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,429, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 164 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 657 persons per square kilometer. Shorewell Park's growth of 13.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (4.1%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. According to these projections, over this period, the suburb's population is expected to reduce by 57 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to expand by 40 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Shorewell Park recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Shorewell Park has received around 19 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 95 homes. As of FY26, six approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.8 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were added between FY21 and FY25, indicating supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of new homes is $469,000, higher than regional levels.

In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $39.8 million, demonstrating high local commercial activity. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Shorewell Park has 122% more building activity per person. Recent construction comprises 95% standalone homes and 5% attached dwellings, maintaining low density character. There are approximately 144 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market.

Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Shorewell Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting this region: Homes Tasmania - Park Grove Subdivision, University of Tasmania - Cradle Coast Campus Redevelopment (West Park), Burnie Cultural Precinct Redevelopment, and Marinus Link are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Shorewell Park face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Shorewell Park has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented in the area.

The unemployment rate was 12.8% as of June 2024. Over the past year, employment remained relatively stable. As of June 2025724 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 8.8%, which is higher than Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was significantly lower in Shorewell Park, at 42.7% compared to Rest of Tas.'s 55.7%.

Employment was concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food sectors. Retail trade had a particularly high employment share, at 1.5 times the regional level. Meanwhile, agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence with only 3.1% of employment compared to the regional average of 8.4%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels increased by 0.5%, but employment declined by 0.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Tas. experienced an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.6%, with unemployment falling marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggested that national employment could expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates varied significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Shorewell Park's employment mix indicated potential local employment increases of 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Shorewell Park had a median taxpayer income of $35,399 and an average income of $43,036. These figures are below the national averages of $47,358 (median) and $57,384 (average). Using Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $40,295 (median) and $48,988 (average). Census 2021 data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Shorewell Park are among the lowest nationally, with most residents earning below $800 per week. The majority of locals, 35.5% or 867 people, fall into the $400 - $799 income bracket, unlike the broader area where earnings predominantly lie between $1,500 and $2,999. This concentration in lower-income brackets highlights economic challenges faced by many residents. Housing affordability is particularly severe, with only 78.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the second percentile nationally.

Shorewell Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Shorewell Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Tas.'s 90.3% houses and 9.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shorewell Park was at 18.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 22.3% and rented ones at 58.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,074, below Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,200. Weekly rent in Shorewell Park was $220, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $240. Nationally, Shorewell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,074 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Shorewell Park features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 60.9% of all households, including 18.4% couples with children, 20.0% couples without children, and 21.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 39.1%, with lone person households at 35.3% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Tas.

Shorewell Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 8.5%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 6.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas (6.0%) and certificates (30.6%). Educational participation is high at 27.7%, including primary (11.5%), secondary (8.1%), and tertiary education (2.7%).

Hellyer College, with an enrollment of 647 students, serves the area within Shorewell Park, which has varied educational conditions (ICSEA: 942). Secondary education dominates locally with one school, while primary students often attend schools in nearby areas. The area functions as an education hub, offering 26.5 school places per 100 residents – above the regional average of 16.2 – and attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows 18 active transport stops in Shorewell Park, all offering bus services. These stops are served by 43 routes, together facilitating 6,164 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 188 meters from the nearest stop.

Services run approximately 880 trips daily across all routes, translating to around 342 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Shorewell Park is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Shorewell Park faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Private health cover is low, at approximately 44% (around 1,081 people), compared to Rest of Tas.'s 48.9% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are most common, impacting 14.8% and 12.1% respectively, while 49.3% report no medical ailments, lower than Rest of Tas.'s 60.3%.

The area has 22.2% (542 people) aged 65 and over, slightly lower than Rest of Tas.'s 24.7%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The latest Census data sees Shorewell Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Shorewell Park had a cultural diversity score below average, with 90.0% of its population being citizens, 92.8% born in Australia, and 96.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Shorewell Park, accounting for 38.1% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' category comprised 0.6% of the population, compared to 0.4% across Rest of Tas..

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (37.8%), English (31.9%), and Australian Aboriginal (8.7%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences in representation: Sri Lankan at 0.2% (vs regional 0.1%), Hungarian at 0.2% (vs regional 0.1%), and Spanish at 0.3% (vs regional 0.1%).

Shorewell Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

Shorewell Park's median age is 40 years, which is significantly below the Rest of Tas. average of 45 but somewhat older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 15-24 are particularly prominent at 13.9%, while those aged 55-64 comprise a smaller proportion at 10.2% compared to the Rest of Tas. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.7% to 7.4% of the population. Conversely, the 85+ cohort has declined from 5.3% to 4.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Shorewell Park. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 15%, adding 15 residents to reach 121. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, underscoring trends towards demographic aging. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 65-74 age group and the 15-24 age cohort.