Turners Beach - Forth

Turners Beach - Forth has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Turners Beach - Forth's population is approximately 3,752 as of May 2026, a 7.9% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 3,478 people. This growth was inferred from ABS estimates and validated new addresses between June 2025 and the Census date. The population density is around 44 persons per square kilometer. The area's population growth exceeded both its SA4 region (3.8%) and state averages since the 2021 Census, driven mainly by interstate migration contributing about 53.5% of overall gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections for areas not covered, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. By 2041, the population is projected to decline by 90 persons, but specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are expected to grow, with an increase of 100 people anticipated in that cohort.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering the projected demographic shifts, Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to decline by 90 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 100 people. <i>See the age section for more details.</i>

Recent residential development output has been above average within Turners Beach - Forth when compared nationally

Turners Beach - Forth has granted approximately 24 residential property approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 122 homes were approved, with an additional seven approved in FY-26 as of now. On average, 2.6 people have moved to the area per new home constructed over these five years, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $273,000. This year alone, $1.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Turners Beach - Forth has shown elevated construction activity, with a 17.0% increase per person over the past five years.

This has preserved reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. However, recent periods have seen a moderation in development activity. All recent building activity consists of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking family homes with space. The location has approximately 207 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Turners Beach - Forth may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Turners Beach - Forth has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 8thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could impact this region. Notable initiatives include Stony Rise Retail Precinct, The Da Vinci Village, Don to Leith Coastal Pathway, and North West Support School Devonport. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Turners Beach - Forth performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Turners Beach - Forth has an unemployment rate of 1.4% as of December 2025. The area has experienced a 5.7% increase in employment over the past year. As of this date, 2,018 residents are employed.

The unemployment rate is 2.4% lower than Regional Tas.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation stands at 65.5%, higher than Regional Tas.'s 58.7%. According to Census responses, 9.9% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

The area has a strong specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, accommodation & food services show lower representation at 4.9% compared to the regional average of 7.7%. Employment levels increased by 5.7% during the year to December 2025, while unemployment remained essentially unchanged. In contrast, Regional Tas. saw employment rise by 1.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point decrease in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Turners Beach - Forth's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that median income in Turners Beach - Forth SA2 is $49,452 and average income stands at $58,419. In comparison, Regional Tas.'s figures show a median income of $49,689 and an average income of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $54,867 (median) and $64,816 (average) by March 2026. Census data reveals household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly in Turners Beach - Forth, between the 40th and 41st percentiles. Distribution data shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket dominates with 33.9% of residents (1,271 people), similar to broader trends across the area showing 28.5% in the same category. Housing costs are manageable with 89.8% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 47th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Turners Beach - Forth is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Turners Beach - Forth's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.0% houses and 7.1% other dwellings. This compares to Regional Tas.'s 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Turners Beach - Forth was at 47.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.0% and rented ones at 13.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,400, higher than Regional Tas.'s average of $1,274. The median weekly rent figure was $270, compared to Regional Tas.'s $250. Nationally, Turners Beach - Forth's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,400 versus Australia's $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national average of $375.

Turners Beach - Forth has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.8% of all households, including 29.6% couples with children, 35.4% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.2%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional Tasmanian average of 2.3.

Turners Beach - Forth shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Turners Beach - Forth trail region has 22.9% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 39.7% of residents aged 15 years and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (30.1%). Educational participation is high at 25.0%, with 9.4% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Turners Beach - Forth's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Turners Beach - Forth residents have relatively positive health outcomes, according to health data analysed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and health conditions in the area are broadly in line with national benchmarks.

The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 48% (~1,808 people) of the total population has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 10.8% of residents) and mental health issues (7.9%). A significant majority, 66.5%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.0% across Regional Tas. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has 25.5% (955 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors in Turners Beach - Forth are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Turners Beach - Forth is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Turners Beach-Forth had a cultural diversity score below average, with 88.7% of its population born in Australia, 90.9% being citizens, and 96.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 46.6%, compared to 43.0% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were English (35.3%), Australian (32.6%), and Irish (7.5%).

Notably, Dutch ethnicity was overrepresented at 2.7% versus 1.7% regionally, Australian Aboriginal at 4.3% versus 4.1%, and Maori at 0.4% versus 0.2%.

Turners Beach - Forth hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Turners Beach - Forth has a median age of 47, which is higher than the Regional Tasmanian figure of 45 and well above Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Regional Tasmanian average, Turners Beach - Forth has an over-representation of the 55-64 age cohort (15.3% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (9.7%). Between 2021 and the present, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 6.5% to 8.5%, while those aged 15 to 24 increased from 8.8% to 10.3%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group decreased from 14.2% to 12.5%, and the 55-64 cohort dropped from 16.9% to 15.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Turners Beach - Forth's age structure. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 88 people (28%), increasing from 318 to 407 residents. Senior residents aged 65 and above will contribute to 73% of the population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends in the area. Conversely, populations aged 0-4 and 25-34 are projected to decline.