Romaine

An assessment of population growth drivers in Romaine reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on an evaluation of ABS population updates for the wider region, along with recent addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the population of the suburb of Romaine is estimated at approximately 1,895 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 45 people (2.4%) from the 2021 Census, which counted a population of 1,850 people. The variance is calculated from a resident population of 1,893, estimated by AreaSearch using the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) and an extra 5 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level translates to a density ratio of 255 persons per square kilometer, which offers substantial space per individual and capacity for subsequent expansion. Throughout the last decade, the suburb of Romaine has shown stable growth trends with a 0.7% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population expansion in the locality was chiefly driven by natural growth, which made up roughly 57.99999999999999% of all population increases in recent times.

AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 regions lacking this coverage, and to calculate growth across age segments for the years after 2032, the LGA/Regional projections from the Tasmania State Government, published in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are utilized with adjustments made using a weighted aggregation method of population growth from LGA to SA2 tiers. Factoring in the anticipated demographic shifts over this timeframe, projections show a contraction in the overall population, with the number of residents expected to decrease by 129 persons by 2041 under this approach. Nonetheless, growth is expected within certain age brackets, particularly the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 36 people. See the age section for more details.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Romaine, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

The suburb of Romaine experiences very low residential construction activity, averaging 2 dwelling approvals annually (amounting to 13 over the last five years). These minimal construction volumes are typical of rural localities where housing requirements are modest and building activity is restricted by local demand and infrastructure limits. Note that with such small approval numbers, annual growth rates and comparative shifts can vary widely depending on specific projects.

The suburb of Romaine has much lower development levels than the Rest of Tas.. Construction volumes also fall below national benchmarks. Furthermore, all recent building activity has consisted of standalone homes, showing the rural nature of the locality where spacious properties are common. The estimated ratio of 3800 people in the area per dwelling approval highlights this quiet, low-intensity construction environment.

Given that the population is projected to stay steady or contract, the suburb of Romaine is likely to experience less pressure on housing, which could open up possibilities for buyers.

Romaine has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 37thth percentile nationally

Local performance is heavily shaped by changes to regional infrastructure, major works, and planning schemes. In total, no projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a likely impact on this locality. Notable projects in the wider region include Marinus Link, North West Transmission Developments, Tasmanian North West REZ, and the Cethana Pumped Hydro Energy Storage Project, with the list below highlighting the ones most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Romaine demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

The suburb of Romaine has a balanced workforce distributed between white and blue collar jobs, with a solid representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 2.6%, and 3.7% in estimated job growth over the prior year, according to AreaSearch calculations of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 1,047 residents are employed, which is an unemployment rate 1.3% lower than the Regional Tas. level of 3.9%, while workforce participation is notably high (67.4% compared to 58.8% in Regional Tas.). Census figures indicate that a minor 4.8% of residents worked from home, though the effects of Covid-19 lockdowns should be kept in mind.

The primary sectors of employment for local residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. The locality shows a particularly high concentration of workers in mining, with employment levels sitting at 3.2 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 2.9% of local workers, which is below the 8.4% recorded in Regional Tas.. The region seems to present few local jobs, as shown by the comparison of Census working population to resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader statistical regions, during the 12 months ending March 2026, employment grew by 3.7% and the labor force expanded by 3.7%, keeping unemployment virtually unchanged. In comparison, Regional Tas. experienced a 1.8% rise in employment, a 1.7% increase in the labor force, and a minor reduction in unemployment. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of May-25 offer additional context on future demand within the suburb of Romaine. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been matched to the local employment profile to estimate growth trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, expansion rates vary greatly by industry. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to the local job mix indicates that employment in the suburb of Romaine should grow by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted extrapolation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate localized population forecasts).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Romaine displays a median taxpayer income of $55,610 and an average of $67,574, based on the latest postcode-level ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures are comparable to national averages, differing from the median income of $49,689 and average of $59,358 in Regional Tas.. Adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, current estimates would stand at roughly $61,699 (median) and $74,973 (average) as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census data, household, family, and personal incomes in the suburb of Romaine are all modest, ranking between the 32nd and 35th percentiles. Looking at the spread of income, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the most common, accounting for 33.1% of residents (627 people), matching regional patterns where 28.5% fall into the same bracket. Accommodation costs are sustainable with 87.4% of income retained, though disposable income is below average at the 36th percentile.

Romaine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Residential structures in the suburb of Romaine at the time of the latest Census consisted of 92.4% houses and 7.6% other options (semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative dwellings), compared to 89.9% houses and 10.1% other options in Regional Tas.. Meanwhile, the home ownership rate in the suburb of Romaine was slightly below that of Regional Tas. at 37.3%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (38.7%) or occupied by tenants (24.0%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area stood at $1,300, which is higher than the Regional Tas. average of $1,274, while the median weekly rent was $280, compared to $250 in Regional Tas.. On a national scale, mortgage repayments in the suburb of Romaine are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are considerably lower than the national figure of $375.

Romaine has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up the majority of households at 74.6%, consisting of 30.1% couples with children, 33.1% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.4%, with single person homes at 24.0% and group households representing 1.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.

Romaine faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The locality displays low levels of academic attainment, with university graduation rates (12.9%) sitting well below the national average of 30.4%. This represents both a structural issue and an opening for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate degrees (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational and technical training is highly prevalent, with 44.0% of residents aged 15+ holding trade qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (34.7%).

Participation in study is remarkably high, with 28.4% of residents currently undertaking formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary school, 9.4% in high school, and 2.4% enrolled in higher education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transit reveals 11 active passenger stops within the suburb of Romaine, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected to 41 separate routes, which combine to offer 2,153 weekly passenger journeys. Transit accessibility is classified as good, with residents living an average of 373 meters from their nearest stop. Because this is a mainly residential locality, the majority of workers travel out of the area, and cars remain the primary mode of travel at 97%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per home. A small 4.8% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic-related conditions.

Service frequency averages 307 journeys per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 195 weekly trips for each transport stop.

Health performance in Romaine is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

The suburb of Romaine exhibits notable health issues, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality statistics and the prevalence of chronic illnesses across both younger and older cohorts, while the proportion of the population with private health insurance is relatively high at approximately 54% (~1,022 people). This compares to 49.1% of residents across Regional Tas..

The most prevalent medical issues reported in the locality are mental health conditions and arthritis, affecting 9.7 and 9.6% of residents, respectively, while 64.5% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 62.0% in Regional Tas.. Health outcomes for the working-age population are generally standard. The suburb of Romaine has 21.1% of its population aged 65 and over (399 people), which is lower than the 24.9% seen in Regional Tas.. Health metrics for older residents present some difficulties, with national rankings aligning closely with the broader population.

Romaine is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

The suburb of Romaine ranks below average for cultural diversity, with 90.3% of residents born in Australia, 92.7% holding citizenship, and 95.6% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, which is practiced by 39.4% of residents. However, the most distinct overrepresentation is seen in Islam, which accounts for 1.4% of the population compared to 0.6% in Regional Tas..

In terms of parentage (parents' country of birth), the three most common backgrounds in the suburb of Romaine are Australian (35.1%), English (32.8%), and Irish (7.4%). In addition, there are distinct differences in the representation of certain other cultural backgrounds: Australian Aboriginal is highly represented at 5.5% of the suburb of Romaine (compared to 4.1% regionally), South Australian at 0.6% (compared to 0.2% regionally), and Maltese at 0.4% (compared to 0.1% regionally).

Romaine's population is slightly older than the national pattern

At 40 years, the median age in the suburb of Romaine is much lower than the Regional Tas. average of 45, though slightly higher than the Australian figure of 38 years. The demographic profile shows that the 15 - 24 age bracket is highly represented (12.6%), whereas the 65 - 74 bracket is relatively small (11.5%) compared to Regional Tas.. Since 2021, the 65 to 74 demographic has increased from 10.2% to 11.5% of the population, and the 85+ bracket has risen from 1.5% to 2.6%. On the other hand, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 14.2% to 12.2%, and the 5 to 14 cohort has fallen from 13.1% to 11.2%. Projections for 2041 point to significant changes in the age structure of the suburb of Romaine. The 85+ bracket is expected to grow the fastest at 68%, adding 33 residents to reach 83. Older residents (65+) are projected to account for 100% of the population growth, highlighting the aging trend. Conversely, population contractions are expected within the 65 to 74 and 0 to 4 brackets.