Turners Beach

Population growth drivers in Turners Beach are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

By May 2026, Turners Beach's population is estimated at around 2,164 people. This reflects a growth of 198 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,966 people. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 2,134 residents based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 39 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 303 persons per square kilometer. Turners Beach's growth rate of 10.1% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (3.8%) and the state level, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year are used, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Projections indicate an overall decline in population by 28 persons by 2041, but specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are expected to grow, with an increase of 63 people anticipated.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Turners Beach when compared nationally

Turners Beach has seen approximately 11 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 58 homes were approved in the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with an additional four approved so far in FY26. On average, about 3.6 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This indicates substantial demand outstripping supply, likely leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $376,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY26, there have been commercial approvals totaling $1.1 million, indicating a predominantly residential focus. All new constructions in Turners Beach have been standalone homes, maintaining its traditional low-density character and appealing to those seeking space for families. With around 180 people per dwelling approval, the area shows characteristics of growth. However, with population projections suggesting stability or decline, housing demand pressures are expected to reduce, potentially benefiting buyers.

Turners Beach has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

No local infrastructure changes or major projects are known to significantly affect this area. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impactful. Notable initiatives include the Don to Leith Coastal Pathway, Don Irrigation Scheme, Marinus Link, and North West Transmission Developments.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Turners Beach performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Turners Beach has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 1.8% as of December 2025. This rate is lower than Regional Tas.'s rate of 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.3%, based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 1,121 residents in work and workforce participation stands at 63.1%, compared to Regional Tas.'s 58.7%. According to Census responses, 7.4% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

The area has a strong specialization in education & training with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 4.1%, compared to Regional Tas.'s average of 8.4%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 6.3% while labour force also grew by 6.3%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.1%. In comparison, Regional Tas. saw employment growth of 1.8%, labour force expansion of 1.5%, and a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate potential future demand within Turners Beach. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Turners Beach's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Turners Beach had a median income among taxpayers of $46,805 and an average of $55,574. This is below the national average. Regional Tas.'s median was $49,689 with an average of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Turners Beach are approximately $51,930 (median) and $61,659 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Turners Beach modestly, between the 36th and 40th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 32.3% of locals (698 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. Housing costs are manageable with 88.8% retained. Disposable income ranks at the 41st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Turners Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Turners Beach, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Regional Tasmania's 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Turners Beach stood at 44.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.3% and rented properties at 16.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,387, higher than Regional Tasmania's average of $1,274. Median weekly rent in Turners Beach was $280, compared to Regional Tasmania's $250. Nationally, Turners Beach's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863 as of 2019, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375 for the same year.

Turners Beach has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 73.1% of all households, including 27.6% couples with children, 32.7% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households at 24.7% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.4 people, larger than the Regional Tasmanian average of 2.3.

Turners Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Turners Beach has educational qualifications that trail regional benchmarks. Among residents aged 15 and above, 21.0% have university degrees, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. This indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement in the area. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%).

Vocational credentials are also prevalent among residents aged 15 and above, with 39.6% holding such qualifications. This includes advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificates (31.2%). Educational participation is high in Turners Beach, with 25.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.0%), secondary education (7.5%), and tertiary education (2.8%).

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Turners Beach's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Turners Beach residents' health data shows positive results, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health issues are seen across both young and elderly age groups.

Private health cover is relatively low at 49% (~1,064 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.0%) and mental health issues (8.5%). 64.7% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Regional Tas.'s 62.0%. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions. 26.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (566 people), above Regional Tas.'s 24.9%. Senior health outcomes rank higher than the general population nationally.

The latest Census data sees Turners Beach placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Turners Beach, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, exhibited below-average cultural diversity. The population born in Australia constituted 91.5%, with 92.2% being citizens, and a majority of 96.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 47.5% of the population.

However, the category 'Other' showed an overrepresentation in Turners Beach, comprising 0.9%, compared to 0.7% across Regional Tas. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (36.1%), Australian (32.9%), and Irish (8.1%). Notably, Dutch ethnicity was overrepresented at 2.6% in Turners Beach compared to the regional average of 1.7%. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal and New Zealand ethnicities showed higher representation at 5.0% and 0.6%, respectively, than their regional averages of 4.1% and 0.4%.

Turners Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Turners Beach's median age is 46 years, comparable to Regional Tas.'s 45 and significantly higher than the Australian median of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 45-54 are particularly prominent at 12.8%, while the 25-34 group is smaller at 9.9% compared to Regional Tas.. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.6% to 9.0% of the population, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 1.3% to 2.8%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 16.4% to 14.6%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 11.2% to 9.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that Turners Beach's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 53 people (27%) from 194 to 248. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 74% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.