Turners Beach

Population growth drivers in Turners Beach are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Turners Beach's population is estimated at around 2127 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 161 people (8.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1966 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2086, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 39 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 297 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Turners Beach's 8.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (5.1%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Moving forward with demographic trends, over this period projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to contract by 8 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 73 people.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Turners Beach when compared nationally

Turners Beach has seen approximately 12 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 60 homes were approved between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built over the past five financial years attracted an average of 3 people to the area.

This has led to significant demand outstripping supply, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $376,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

There have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. All new constructions have been standalone homes, maintaining Turners Beach's traditional low density character and appealing to families seeking space. With around 166 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits characteristics of growth. However, with population projections indicating stability or decline, housing demand pressures in Turners Beach are expected to reduce, benefiting potential buyers.

Turners Beach has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 0 projects impacting this area. Notable projects are Don to Leith Coastal Pathway, Don Irrigation Scheme, Marinus Link, and North West Transmission Developments, as detailed below for relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Turners Beach performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Turners Beach has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.7% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 6.2% over the past year. There were 1,105 residents in work at this time, while the unemployment rate was 2.1% lower than Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation was high at 64.8%, compared to Rest of Tas.'s 58.6%. According to Census responses, a low 7.4% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The area shows strong specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 4.1%, compared to the regional average of 8.4%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 6.2% while labour force grew by 6.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Tas. saw employment grow by 0.7%, labour force expand by 0.5%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate that Turners Beach's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Turners Beach had a median income of $46,805 and an average of $55,574 among taxpayers. This is below the national average. Rest of Tas., meanwhile, had a median of $49,689 and an average of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Turners Beach would be approximately $51,298 (median) and $60,909 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Turners Beach rank modestly, between the 36th and 40th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 32.3% of locals (687 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to metropolitan regions where 28.5% occupy this range. Housing costs are manageable with 88.8% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 41st percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Turners Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Turners Beach's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.1% houses and 11.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Turners Beach stood at 44.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.3% and rented ones at 16.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,387, higher than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,274. The median weekly rent figure in Turners Beach was $280, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $250. Nationally, Turners Beach's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,387 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Turners Beach has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.1% of all households, including 27.6% couples with children, 32.7% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households at 24.7% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is larger than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.3.

Turners Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Turners Beach has educational qualifications that trail regional benchmarks. 21.0% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%).

Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificates (31.2%). Educational participation is high, with 25.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary, 7.5% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Turners Beach's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Turners Beach residents have relatively positive health outcomes according to health data. AreaSearch's analysis shows mortality rates and health conditions are broadly in line with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level. Private health cover is relatively low, with approximately 49% of the total population (~1,046 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (11.0%) and mental health issues (8.5%). 64.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.0% across Rest of Tas.. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 25.5% of residents aged 65 and over (542 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Turners Beach placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Turners Beach, as per the census conducted on Tuesday 9 June 2009, exhibited below-average cultural diversity. The population was predominantly born in Australia, with 91.5%. Citizenship was also high, at 92.2%, and English was spoken exclusively at home by 96.9% of residents.

Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 47.5% of people. However, the 'Other' religious category showed a slight overrepresentation compared to the rest of Tasmania, with 0.9% versus 0.7%. In terms of ancestry, English (36.1%), Australian (32.9%), and Irish (8.1%) were the top three groups represented in Turners Beach. Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 2.6%, compared to the regional average of 1.7%. Australian Aboriginal ancestry also showed higher representation at 5.0% versus 4.1% regionally, and New Zealand ancestry was slightly overrepresented at 0.6% compared to 0.4%.

Turners Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Turners Beach's median age is 46 years, comparable to Rest of Tas.'s 45, and significantly higher than the Australian median of 38. The age profile shows that the 45-54 year-olds are particularly prominent at 12.7%, while the 25-34 group is smaller at 10.0% compared to Rest of Tas.. Post-2021 Census data shows the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.6% to 9.0% and the 85+ cohort increased from 1.3% to 2.5%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 16.4% to 14.3% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 13.9% to 12.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Turners Beach's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 75 to 84 age cohort projected to grow steadily by 50 people (26%) from 191 to 242. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 74% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.