Turners Beach

Population growth drivers in Turners Beach are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Analysis of ABS population updates for the wider region and new address datasets verified by AreaSearch since the Census indicates that the suburb of Turners Beach has an estimated population of 2,164 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 198 people (10.1%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 1,966 residents. The calculation stems from a resident population of 2,134 estimated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with 39 validated new addresses registered since the Census. This population size results in a density of 303 persons per square kilometer, offering generous space per resident and room for future expansion. The 10.1% growth rate in the suburb of Turners Beach since the 2021 census outpaced both the SA4 region (3.8%) and the state, positioning it as a regional growth leader. This population rise was mostly fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 66.0% of the total gains, though other components such as overseas migration and natural increase also made positive contributions.

Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are utilized for each SA2 area. For SA2 areas lacking this data, and to project age cohort changes after 2032, regional and LGA projections from the Tasmania State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are applied, using weighted aggregation of population changes from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking at future demographic trends, projections indicate a contraction in the overall population, with a projected loss of 28 persons by 2041 under this framework. Conversely, some age groups are set to expand, particularly the 75 to 84 cohort, which is expected to rise by 63 people. More details can be found in the age section.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Turners Beach when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical areas reveals that Turners Beach averages approximately 11 residential approvals annually. This includes 59 approved dwellings over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, and 6 approvals recorded in FY-26 so far. With an average of 3.1 new residents per built dwelling arriving yearly over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, demand outstrips new supply, a dynamic that typically spurs price appreciation and heightens buyer competition. Approved new builds carry an average value of $376,000, pointing to developer activity focused on upscale, premium projects. Additionally, commercial approvals reached $1.1 million this financial year, confirming that development remains overwhelmingly residential.

Recent construction activity has consisted entirely of detached single-family dwellings, preserving the local low-density style and catering to buyers prioritizing space. The ratio of approximately 212 people per dwelling approval reflects a growing market.

Given that the population is projected to stabilize or contract, Turners Beach is likely to experience less pressure on its housing market, which may open up favorable conditions for buyers.

Turners Beach has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and development initiatives are primary drivers of regional change. AreaSearch has identified no projects expected to influence the local area. Notable projects nearby include the Don to Leith Coastal Pathway, the Don Irrigation Scheme, the Marinus Link, and the North West Transmission Developments, with the main relevant details provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Turners Beach ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Data aggregated by AreaSearch indicates that Turners Beach has a highly skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 1.8%, and a 3.4% annual increase in employment. As of March 2026, there are 1,103 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 2.2% lower than the Regional Tas. figure of 3.9%, while participation in the labor force is relatively typical, standing at 62.1% compared to 58.8% in Regional Tas. Census data shows that a minor 7.4% of residents worked from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic lockdowns.

Local employment is concentrated primarily in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The educational sector is highly represented, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional benchmark. On the other hand, agricultural, forestry & fishing sectors are underrepresented, accounting for 4.1% compared to the regional proportion of 8.4%. The comparison between the working Census population and resident counts suggests that local job openings within the area itself are relatively scarce.

According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated across broader areas, the 12 months leading to March 2026 saw employment expand by 3.4% and the labor force rise by 3.5%, leading to a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Conversely, Regional Tas. recorded a 1.8% rise in employment, a 1.7% increase in the labor force, and a slight decrease in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment projections from May-25 offer additional context on future demand patterns. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential changes. While total national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary widely by sector. Mapping these industry trends to the local employment mix suggests Turners Beach could see employment growth of 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a basic weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to the latest ATO postcode statistics for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the suburb of Turners Beach earn a median income of $46,805 and an average income of $55,574. These figures sit below the national benchmarks, and compare with a median of $49,689 and an average of $59,358 in Regional Tas. Adjusted for a 10.95% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to a median of approximately $51,930 and an average of $61,659 as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed household, family, and personal incomes in moderate ranges, landing between the 36th and 40th percentiles. The primary income group consists of 32.3% of local taxpayers (698 people) earning within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which aligns with metropolitan trends where 28.5% fall into this bracket. Residents retain 88.8% of their income after housing costs, though disposable income is below average at the 41st percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 4th decile for income.

Turners Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

According to the latest Census, the housing stock in Turners Beach is composed of 88.1% separate houses and 11.9% other dwelling types, such as apartments and semi-detached properties, compared to 89.9% separate houses and 10.1% alternative dwellings in Regional Tas. Home ownership rates are higher than the regional average at 44.9%, with remaining households holding a mortgage (38.3%) or renting (16.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,387 is higher than the Regional Tas. average of $1,274, and the median weekly rent of $280 is also above the regional figure of $250. Compared nationally, mortgage payments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are well below the national median of $375.

Turners Beach has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up 73.1% of all households, consisting of couples without children at 32.7%, couples with children at 27.6%, and single parents at 11.9%. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households representing 24.7% and group households making up 1.8% of the total. The median household size stands at 2.4 residents, which is slightly larger than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.

Turners Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment levels in Turners Beach are below regional averages, with 21.0% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university degree, compared to 30.4% nationwide. This indicates opportunities for further educational advancement. Bachelor degrees represent the largest tertiary qualification at 15.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are common, with 39.6% of the population aged 15 and over possessing credentials in these areas, consisting of advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificate level qualifications (31.2%).

A high proportion of residents are active students, with 25.6% of the population currently enrolled in education. This group comprises 10.0% in primary school, 7.5% in secondary school, and 2.8% in tertiary programs.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Turners Beach's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health indicators are generally positive for the local population, with AreaSearch analysis of mortality rates and chronic conditions aligning closely with national averages. The incidence of common medical conditions is typical across age cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is on the lower side, held by approximately 49% of the population (~1,064 people), compared to the Australian average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues, affecting 11.0% and 8.5% of residents, respectively. A total of 64.7% of the population reported no long-term medical conditions, compared to 62.0% in Regional Tas. Residents of working age experience higher-than-average rates of chronic conditions. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 26.2% of the population (566 people), which is higher than the Regional Tas. average of 24.9%. Seniors in the area exhibit above-average health profiles, with national standings that exceed those of the broader local population.

The latest Census data sees Turners Beach placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

The local population displays lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with 91.5% of residents born in Australia, 92.2% holding citizenship, and 96.9% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 47.5% of the population. The most notable statistical variance is in the Other category, which represents 0.9% of residents compared to 0.7% across Regional Tas.

Regarding parental birthplace and ancestry, the primary groups identified are English at 36.1%, Australian at 32.9%, and Irish at 8.1%. Statistical variances include residents of Dutch heritage at 2.6% (compared to 1.7% regionally), Australian Aboriginal ancestry at 5.0% (compared to 4.1% regionally), and New Zealand ancestry at 0.6% (compared to 0.4% regionally).

Turners Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age of 46 years is similar to the Regional Tas. median of 45, but sits higher than the national median of 38. The age distribution reveals a high proportion of residents in the 45 - 54 age bracket (12.8%), while the 25 - 34 cohort is smaller at 9.9% compared to Regional Tas. Post-2021 Census adjustments show the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 6.6% to 9.0% of the population, and the 85+ cohort grew from 1.3% to 2.8%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 group declined from 16.4% to 14.6%, and the 25 - 34 group fell from 11.2% to 9.9%. Projections for 2041 suggest significant demographic shifts, with the 75 to 84 age bracket expected to rise by 53 people (27%) from 194 to 248. Older residents (65+) are projected to account for 74% of population growth, confirming an aging trend, while the 0 to 4 and 25 - 34 cohorts are expected to decrease.