Seaford Rise

Seaford Rise has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Seaford Rise statistical area (Lv2) is around 6,626, reflecting an increase of 521 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6,105. This growth represents an 8.5% increase and is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 6,442 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. The resulting population density ratio is 2,103 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. This growth rate exceeds that of the SA3 area (6.2%) and the SA4 region, marking Seaford Rise as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 36.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth being positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering these projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for the area, with an expected increase of 1,205 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 16.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Seaford Rise among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Seaford Rise averaged approximately 24 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 124 homes. By FY-26, 11 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 4.1 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating demand outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and intensifies competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $487,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, $24,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Seaford Rise exhibits 19.0% lower construction activity per person but ranks among the 66th percentile nationally for building activity, with acceleration noted in recent years. All new constructions have been detached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban character and appealing to families seeking space, with around 212 people per approval.

By 2041, Seaford Rise is projected to grow by 1,103 residents, potentially leading to increased competition among buyers and stronger price growth if current development rates persist without keeping pace with population growth.

Seaford Rise has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area. Key projects include Moana Growth Water Main Installation, Ocean View Estate, Fleurieu Connections - Main South Road Duplication, and Sunset Residential Development.

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Employment performance in Seaford Rise has been broadly consistent with national averages

Seaford Rise has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented with an unemployment rate of 4.1% as of September 2025.

The area experienced an estimated employment growth of 3.6% over the past year. There are 3,412 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 0.1% higher than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%.

The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. However, professional & technical services have limited presence with 4.2% employment compared to the regional average of 7.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.6% while labour force increased by 3.5%, leaving unemployment broadly unchanged. In comparison, Greater Adelaide recorded employment growth of 3.0% with a slight decrease in unemployment. State-level data from November 2025 shows South Australia's employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 10,710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.0%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%, with South Australia's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Seaford Rise's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Seaford Rise had a median taxpayer income of $48,961 and an average income of $55,124 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Greater Adelaide's median income being $54,808 and average income $66,852 during the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $53,270 (median) and $59,975 (average), based on an 8.8% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data from 2021 shows household, family, and personal incomes in Seaford Rise rank modestly, between the 30th and 35th percentiles. Income distribution indicates that 34.5% of residents earn $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, which is consistent with broader regional trends at 31.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Seaford Rise, with only 83.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Seaford Rise is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Seaford Rise had 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings in the latest Census, compared to Adelaide metro's 89.2% houses and 10.7% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 27.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.0% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, higher than Adelaide metro's $1,452. Median weekly rent was $318, slightly above Adelaide metro's $314. Nationally, Seaford Rise's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Seaford Rise has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.5% of all households, including 34.8% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.5%, with lone person households at 23.8% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Seaford Rise fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 43.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (32.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.2% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 3.8% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 33 operational stops in Seaford Rise, offering mixed bus services. These stops cater to 16 unique routes, facilitating a total of 783 weekly passenger trips. Residential accessibility is deemed good, with residents situated an average of 204 meters from the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency averages 111 trips across all routes, translating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Seaford Rise is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Seaford Rise faces significant health challenges with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across all age groups, but slightly more so among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 49% of the total population (around 3,235 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, affecting 10.3 and 9.8% of residents respectively. However, 63.8% of residents report having no medical ailments, which is similar to the Greater Adelaide figure of 62.9%. Seaford Rise has an older population than the national average, with 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (around 1,239 people), compared to 21.0% in Greater Adelaide. The health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Seaford Rise records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Seaford Rise's cultural diversity was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average, with 73.8% of its population born in Australia, 90.4% being citizens, and 94.6% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Seaford Rise was Christianity, comprising 37.7% of people residing there. However, Judaism showed the most significant overrepresentation, with 0.1% of Seaford Rise's population compared to 0.1% across Greater Adelaide.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English (38.1%), Australian (27.4%), and Scottish (7.6%). Notably, Welsh (1.0%) was overrepresented in Seaford Rise compared to the regional average of 0.8%. Similarly, Hungarian (0.5%) and South African (0.8%) were also more prevalent than their respective regional averages of 0.3% and 0.4%.

Seaford Rise's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Seaford Rise's median age is 39 years, aligning with Greater Adelaide's average of 39 and closely matching Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Seaford Rise has a notably higher proportion of the 5-14 cohort (14.2% locally) but fewer individuals aged 25-34 (10.5%). Post-2021 Census, the 75-84 age group increased from 5.5% to 6.9%, while the 5-14 cohort decreased from 15.3% to 14.2% and the 45-54 group fell from 13.8% to 12.7%. By 2041, Seaford Rise's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 63%, adding 289 residents to reach 747. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to contribute to 54% of this growth, while the 55-64 age range is projected to decrease by 10%.