Seaford Rise

Seaford Rise has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Seaford Rise is around 6,302, reflecting an increase of 197 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 3.2% growth from the previous population count of 6,105. The current resident population estimate of 6,296 by AreaSearch is based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and validation of additional 14 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 2,000 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Seaford Rise has shown resilient growth patterns with an annual compound growth rate of 1.5%, outperforming the SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed significantly to population growth, accounting for approximately 36.0% of overall gains during recent periods.

However, all migration drivers including interstate migration and natural growth were positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Seaford Rise, with an expected increase of 1,206 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 22.7% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Seaford Rise when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Seaford Rise averaged around 24 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 120 homes. As of FY-26, six approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 4.2 people moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $487,000, moderately above regional levels, suggesting emphasis on quality construction. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Seaford Rise has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and places among the 53rd percentile nationally. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached houses, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 308 people per dwelling approval, Seaford Rise shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections estimate Seaford Rise will add 1,428 residents by 2041, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases if current development rates struggle to match population growth.

Seaford Rise has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Moana Growth Water Main Installation, Ocean View Estate, Fleurieu Connections - Main South Road Duplication, and Sunset Residential Development, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

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The employment landscape in Seaford Rise shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Seaford Rise has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue-collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented in the area.

The unemployment rate was 4.3% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of that date, 3,319 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 0.3% higher than Greater Adelaide's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction sectors. However, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 4.2%, compared to the regional average of 7.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the comparison between Census working population and resident population counts. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.2% while labour force increased by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points, compared to Greater Adelaide's marginal increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 can provide further insight into potential future demand within Seaford Rise. These projections estimate that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Seaford Rise's employment mix suggests that local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Seaford Rise median taxpayer income was $48,961 in financial year 2022. Average income was $55,124. This is lower than national averages of $52,592 (median) and $64,886 (average) for Greater Adelaide. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $55,243, with average at around $62,196, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.83%. Census 2021 data shows incomes in Seaford Rise rank modestly, between the 30th and 35th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Incomes ranging $1,500-$2,999 were reported by 34.5% of individuals (2,174), similar to regional levels at 31.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Seaford Rise is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Seaford Rise, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. In comparison, Adelaide metro had 89.2% houses and 10.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Seaford Rise was at 27.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.0% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, higher than Adelaide metro's average of $1,452. The median weekly rent figure in Seaford Rise was $318, compared to Adelaide metro's $314. Nationally, Seaford Rise's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $318 compared to the national figure of $375.

Seaford Rise has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.5% of all households, including 34.8% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.5%, consisting of 23.8% lone person households and 1.9% group households. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Seaford Rise fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 32.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.2% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 3.8% in tertiary education. Seaford Rise Primary School serves the area, with an enrollment of 395 students as of its establishment on 27 January 2004. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. Local school capacity is limited (6.3 places per 100 residents vs 13.6 regionally), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Seaford Rise shows that there are currently 33 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 16 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 783 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 204 meters from their nearest transport stop. The service frequency across all routes averages about 111 trips per day, which equates to roughly 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Seaford Rise is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Seaford Rise faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups but slightly higher among older cohorts. Approximately 49% of its total population (~3,077 people) has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.3%) and arthritis (9.8%), while 63.8% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 62.9% in Greater Adelaide. There are 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,178 people), lower than the 21.0% in Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to presenting challenges beyond those faced by the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Seaford Rise records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Seaford Rise's cultural diversity aligns with the broader region, with 73.8% born in Australia, 90.4% being citizens, and 94.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 37.7%. Judaism, at 0.1%, is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Adelaide's 0.1%.

Top ancestry groups are English (38.1%), Australian (27.4%), and Scottish (7.6%). Welsh (1.0% vs regional 0.8%) Hungarian (0.5% vs 0.3%) and South African (0.8% vs 0.4%) ethnicities show notable divergences.

Seaford Rise's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Seaford Rise's median age is 39 years, aligning with Greater Adelaide's average of 39 and closely matching Australia's median of 38. Compared to the Greater Adelaide average, the 5-14 age group is notably higher at Seaford Rise (14.2% locally), while the 25-34 age group is lower (10.5%). Post-2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 5.5% to 6.9%, whereas the 5-14 cohort declined from 15.3% to 14.2% and the 45-54 group decreased from 13.8% to 12.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Seaford Rise's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 72%, adding 313 residents to reach 748. Meanwhile, the 55-64 group is expected to grow by 4%, adding only 25 residents.