Seaford Rise

Seaford Rise has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the population of Seaford Rise is estimated at 6,626 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 521 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,105. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,442 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level results in a density ratio of 2,103 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Seaford Rise's growth of 8.5% since the 2021 Census exceeded its SA3 area (6.4%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 36.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections based on 2021 data are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb, expected to grow by 1,207 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 16.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Seaford Rise among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Seaford Rise averaged approximately 24 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 124 homes. As of FY-26, 11 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 4.1 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built, indicating demand outpacing supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $487,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

This financial year, $24,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Seaford Rise shows 19.0% lower construction activity per person while it ranks among the 66th percentile of areas assessed nationally, although building activity has increased recently. All new construction consists of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes.

The population density is approximately 212 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Seaford Rise is expected to grow by 1,105 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Seaford Rise has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Moana Growth Water Main Installation, Ocean View Estate, Fleurieu Connections - Main South Road Duplication, and Sunset Residential Development. The following list outlines those projects likely to be most relevant.

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Employment performance in Seaford Rise has been broadly consistent with national averages

Seaford Rise has a balanced workforce encompassing both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented in the area. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.5% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

In September 2025, 3,411 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.1% higher than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was at 68.8%, slightly above Greater Adelaide's 66.4%. Based on Census responses, only 10.5% of residents worked from home.

The dominant employment sectors among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Professional & technical services had a limited presence with 4.2% employment compared to the regional average of 7.3%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 3.5%, while labour force grew by 3.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. Greater Adelaide recorded employment growth of 3.0% and a slight fall in unemployment during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Seaford Rise's employment mix indicates potential local employment growth of 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, although this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Seaford Rise had a median taxpayer income of $48,961 and an average of $55,124 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This was below the national average, with Greater Adelaide's median income being $54,808 and average income being $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since the financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $53,270 (median) and $59,975 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family and personal incomes in Seaford Rise ranked modestly, between the 30th and 35th percentiles. The distribution showed that the largest segment comprised 34.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 2,285 residents falling into this category, which was consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 31.8% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 83.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Seaford Rise is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Seaford Rise, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Seaford Rise stood at 27.0%, with the remaining dwellings being mortgaged (48.0%) or rented (24.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Adelaide metro's average of $1,562. The median weekly rent figure was $318, similar to Adelaide metro's $320. Nationally, Seaford Rise's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Seaford Rise has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.5% of all households, including 34.8% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.5%, with lone person households at 23.8% and group households making up 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Seaford Rise fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are common, with 43.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 11.5% and certificates for 32.3%. Educational participation is high at 30.1%, including 12.2% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Seaford Rise has 33 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by 16 different routes, offering a total of 783 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living 204 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily, primarily using cars (89%). Train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 10.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 111 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Seaford Rise is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Seaford Rise. AreaSearch's assessment shows high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is notably low at approximately 49% of the total population (around 3,235 people), compared to 52.7% across Greater Adelaide and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 10.3% and 9.8% of residents respectively. However, 63.8% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. The working-age population faces significant health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. As of the latest data (2016), 19.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (around 1,285 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning broadly with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Seaford Rise records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Seaford Rise's cultural diversity was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average, with 73.8% of its population born in Australia, 90.4% being citizens, and 94.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Seaford Rise, comprising 37.7% of people, while Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.1% across Greater Adelaide. The top three ancestry groups were English (38.1%), Australian (27.4%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notably, Welsh (1.0%) and Hungarian (0.5%) were overrepresented, while South African was also significantly higher at 0.8%.

Seaford Rise's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Seaford Rise's median age is 39 years, aligning with the Greater Adelaide average of 39 and closely matching the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Seaford Rise has a notably higher proportion of 5-14 year-olds (13.9% locally) and a lower proportion of 25-34 year-olds (10.4%). Post-2021 Census, the 75-84 age group increased from 5.5% to 7.2%, while the 5-14 cohort decreased from 15.3% to 13.9% and the 45-54 group dropped from 13.8% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Seaford Rise's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 56%, adding 265 residents to reach 743. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 50% of the population growth, while the 55-64 group shows no projected growth with zero residents added.