Kurrajong

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kurrajong reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Kurrajong's population is estimated at around 3,228 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 115 people (3.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,113 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,228, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 3 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 70 persons per square kilometer. Kurrajong's 3.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (1.2%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth is projected nationally, with the suburb expected to grow by 432 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 13.4% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kurrajong according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Kurrajong has recorded approximately eight residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 42 homes were approved, with six more approved in FY26 so far.

On average, two new residents are estimated to have moved into each dwelling constructed over these five years. This suggests a balanced supply and demand dynamic, maintaining stable market conditions. The average construction value of new properties is approximately $787,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kurrajong's construction activity has been somewhat elevated, at 30.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period from FY21 to FY25.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Nationally, Kurrajong's construction activity is below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction in Kurrajong comprises 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population density is approximately 490 people per dwelling approval, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kurrajong is projected to gain around 432 residents by 2041. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with this projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as the population increases.

Kurrajong has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to impact the area. Notable ones are The Sanctuary North Richmond, Redbank North Richmond - Masterplanned Community, New Richmond Bridge and Traffic Improvements, and Hambledon Park. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kurrajong recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kurrajong has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 5.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 1,781 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 6.3% compared to Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Kurrajong mirrors Greater Sydney's at 68.8%. Census responses reveal that 37.8% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries for employment among residents are construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. Notably, construction jobs are at 2.1 times the regional average.

Conversely, finance & insurance shows lower representation at 2.1% versus the regional average of 7.3%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels increased by 0.3%, while employment decreased by 1.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney where employment grew by 2.2% and labour force expanded by 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide insight into potential future demand within Kurrajong. These projections suggest that national employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kurrajong's employment mix indicates local employment should grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023. Kurrajong's median taxpayer income was $53,502 with an average of $68,308. National averages were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively across Greater Sydney. As of March 2026, estimated incomes are approximately $59,023 (median) and $75,357 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%. The 2021 Census ranked Kurrajong's household incomes at the 83rd percentile ($2,304 weekly). Income analysis showed that 30.9% of residents (997 people) earned between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, similar to regional levels. A substantial 36.6% exceeded $3,000 weekly. Housing accounted for 13.6% of income, with residents ranking in the 85th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Kurrajong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Kurrajong, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 97.7% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metropolitan area's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurrajong stood at 44.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (44.5%) or rented (10.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kurrajong was $2,600, higher than Sydney metropolitan area's average of $2,427 recorded as of June 2021. Median weekly rent in Kurrajong was $430, compared to the national figure of $375 as of March 2021. Nationally, Kurrajong's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 reported in June 2021.

Kurrajong features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.4% of all households, including 39.9% couples with children, 33.4% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 17.6%, with lone person households at 16.3% and group households making up 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Kurrajong exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.7%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 42.2% of residents aged 15 and above, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (29.8%). Educational participation is high, with 25.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.8% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kurrajong has 40 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 29 different routes that together facilitate 262 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is considered good with residents located an average of 318 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 95%. The average number of vehicles per dwelling is 2.3, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 37.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, there are an average of 37 trips per day, resulting in approximately 6 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Kurrajong is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Kurrajong demonstrates better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low among the general population, closer to national averages for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 54% (~1,741 people) of Kurrajong residents had private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions were arthritis (9.0%) and mental health issues (7.2%). A total of 67.5% declared themselves free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents were typical. Kurrajong had a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.3% (784 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Senior health outcomes were above average but ranked lower nationally than the broader population.

Kurrajong ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurrajong's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 85.4% born in Australia, 94.2% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 62.2%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (28.1%), and Irish (7.8%).

Notably, Maltese (4.0%) and Polish (1.4%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.0% and 0.6%, respectively, while Lebanese (0.6%) was underrepresented compared to the regional average of 2.6%.

Kurrajong hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Kurrajong is 46 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kurrajong has a notable over-representation of the 65-74 age cohort at 13.3%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 6.4% to 8.2% of Kurrajong's population, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 15.0% to 12.9%. By 2041, Kurrajong's population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes, with the 85+ age group projected to surge dramatically from 90 to 244 people, an increase of 153 people (170%). The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 89% of projected growth. Conversely, the 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.