Kurrajong

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kurrajong reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Kurrajong is around 3,201. This figure reflects an increase from the 2021 Census population of 3,113 people, marking a growth of 88 individuals (2.8%). AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 3,198 in Jun 2024, along with validation of three new addresses since the Census date, contributes to this increase. This results in a density ratio of approximately 70 persons per square kilometer. Kurrajong's growth rate outperformed the SA3 area's 1.1% during the same period, making it a regional growth leader. Natural growth accounted for roughly 72.0% of Kurrajong's overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2-level projections from 2022 (base year: 2021) are utilized. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is projected to grow by 477 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, indicating a total increase of 14.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurrajong, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Kurrajong has recorded around 8 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 42 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY-26.

On average, each new dwelling constructed over this period accommodated about 1.3 new residents annually. This suggests a balanced supply and demand dynamic, contributing to stable market conditions. The average construction value of new properties was $787,000, indicating developers' focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Compared to Greater Sydney's regional average, Kurrajong has seen elevated construction activity, at 31.0% above the average per person over the past 5 years.

This has maintained good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years, which could reflect planning constraints or other factors. Recent construction in Kurrajong comprised predominantly detached dwellings (86.0%), with a smaller proportion of medium and high-density housing (14.0%). This maintains the area's traditional low density character, appealing to those seeking family homes and space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 489 people. Population forecasts indicate Kurrajong will gain approximately 468 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Construction activity is expected to maintain a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may face increasing competition as the population grows.

Kurrajong has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified seven potential impact projects: The Sanctuary North Richmond, Redbank Estate - Stage 8 & Future Stages, New Richmond Bridge and Traffic Improvements, and Hambledon Park. Relevant projects are detailed subsequently.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Kurrajong shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Kurrajong has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.7% in September 2025, 0.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 70%, matching Greater Sydney's figure.

According to Census responses, 37.8% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. Kurrajong specializes in construction with an employment share 2.1 times the regional level but has fewer finance & insurance jobs at 2.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison of working population vs resident population.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment remained stable (0.0% change) while labour force increased by 0.5%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and labour force by 2.4%, with a smaller rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth varies significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Kurrajong's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Kurrajong had median income among taxpayers of $53,502 and average income of $68,308 in financial year 2023. These figures are comparable to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth project median income at approximately $58,242 and average income at $74,360. Census data indicates household incomes rank at the 83rd percentile with a weekly figure of $2,304. The largest segment comprises 30.9% earning between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, consistent with metropolitan regions where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident through 36.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. Housing accounts for 13.6% of income, and strong earnings place residents within the 85th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kurrajong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kurrajong's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 97.7% houses and 2.4% other types (semi-detached, apartments, others). This contrasts with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurrajong stood at 44.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 10.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's $2,427. Weekly rent median was $430, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kurrajong's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Kurrajong features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.4% of all households, including 39.9% couples with children, 33.4% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.6%, consisting of 16.3% lone person households and 1.1% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Kurrajong exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.7%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 42.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 29.8%. Educational participation is high, with 25.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.8% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kurrajong has 40 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 29 different routes that together offer 262 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living 318 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Kurrajong being primarily residential. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 95%. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 37.8% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 37 trips per day, equating to approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kurrajong is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Kurrajong shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but closer to national averages for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 54% (1,726 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Common medical conditions include arthritis (9.0%) and mental health issues (7.2%), with 67.5% reporting no medical ailments, versus Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are generally typical. Kurrajong has 24.3% of residents aged 65 and over (777 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Seniors' health outcomes are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Kurrajong ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurrajong had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 85.4% of its population born in Australia, 94.2% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion was Christianity, comprising 62.2% of Kurrajong's population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (31.6%), Australian (28.1%), and Irish (7.8%).

Notably, Maltese (4.0%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.0%, as were Polish (1.4% vs 0.6%) and Lebanese (0.6% vs 2.6%).

Kurrajong hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Kurrajong is 46 years, notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also above Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the cohort aged 65-74 is significantly over-represented in Kurrajong at 13.3%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.8%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 6.4% to 8.3%, the cohort aged 45 to 54 has declined from 15.0% to 12.5%, and those aged 25 to 34 have decreased from 9.9% to 8.8%. By 2041, Kurrajong's population is projected to see substantial demographic changes, with the cohort aged 85+ expected to surge dramatically by 155 people (an increase of 180%), reaching a total of 242. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 89% of the projected growth. Conversely, the cohorts aged 15-24 and 5-14 are expected to experience population declines.