Kurrajong

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kurrajong reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Kurrajong's population is estimated at around 3,201 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 88 people (2.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,113 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,198 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 3 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 70 persons per square kilometer for the suburb of Kurrajong, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. The suburb's 2.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 1.1%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth, with the suburb expected to grow by 474 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 14.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurrajong, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Kurrajong has recorded approximately 8 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 42 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY-26.

On average, these new dwellings have added about 1.4 new residents annually over this period. This supply and demand balance has maintained stable market conditions. The average construction value of new properties is $787,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Comparatively, Kurrajong's construction activity is 31.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This elevated construction has supported buyer choice and existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Nationally, Kurrajong's construction levels are below average. Recent construction in Kurrajong comprises 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining its traditional low-density character focused on family homes. As of now, there are an estimated 489 people per dwelling approval in the area, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Kurrajong will gain approximately 471 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Construction is currently maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as population increases.

Kurrajong has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include The Sanctuary North Richmond, Redbank Estate - Stage 8 & Future Stages, New Richmond Bridge and Traffic Improvements, and Hambledon Park. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Kurrajong recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kurrajong has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.4% as of December 2025, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. In Kurrajong, 1,739 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.2% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Census responses showed that 37.8% of residents worked from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The primary industries of employment among Kurrajong residents were construction, education and training, and health care and social assistance. Construction had notably high representation with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average.

Conversely, finance and insurance showed lower representation at 2.1% compared to the regional average of 7.3%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.3%, and employment decreased by 1.8% in Kurrajong, leading to a rise of 1.4 percentage points in unemployment rate. This contrasted with Greater Sydney where employment grew by 2.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kurrajong's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Kurrajong had a median income among taxpayers of $53,502 and an average income of $68,308. These figures are in line with national averages, which were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ended June 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $58,242, with average income around $74,360. According to the 2021 Census, Kurrajong's household incomes rank at the 83rd percentile, with weekly earnings of $2,304. Income analysis shows that 30.9% of residents (989 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, reflecting regional patterns. A substantial 36.6% of residents earn more than $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power. Housing expenses account for 13.6% of income, with residents ranking in the 85th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kurrajong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Kurrajong, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.7% houses and 2.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurrajong was at 44.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 10.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kurrajong was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Kurrajong was $430, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kurrajong's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kurrajong features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 82.4% of all households, including 39.9% couples with children, 33.4% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.6%, with lone person households at 16.3% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Kurrajong exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.7%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (29.8%). Educational participation is high at 25.0%, comprising 8.8% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates that as of the 2021 Census, there are 40 active transport stops operating within Kurrajong. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 29 individual routes providing service to the area. Collectively, these routes facilitate 262 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in Kurrajong is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 318 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward for work or other purposes. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation, used by 95% of residents.

Vehicle ownership averages 2.3 per dwelling in Kurrajong, which is above the regional average. Notably, 37.8% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages approximately 37 trips per day, equating to around 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kurrajong is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Kurrajong shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but nears national averages among older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 54% (~1,726 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.0%) and mental health issues (7.2%). About 67.5% claim no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are largely typical. Kurrajong has 24.7% of residents aged 65 and over (790 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Kurrajong ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurrajong's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.4% of its population born in Australia, 94.2% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kurrajong, comprising 62.2%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three represented ancestral groups were English (31.6%), Australian (28.1%), and Irish (7.8%).

Notably, Maltese were overrepresented at 4.0% in Kurrajong versus the regional average of 1.0%, Polish at 1.4% compared to 0.6%, while Lebanese were underrepresented at 0.6% versus 2.6%.

Kurrajong hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Kurrajong is 46 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 65-74 age cohort is significantly over-represented in Kurrajong at 13.5%, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 9.0%. Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population of those aged 75 to 84 has grown from 6.4% to 8.5%. Meanwhile, the population of those aged 45 to 54 has declined from 15.0% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes for Kurrajong's population. The number of people aged 85 and above is projected to increase by 159 individuals (an 185% rise) from 86 to 246. This aging population trend is evident in the projection that those aged 65 and above will comprise 88% of the total population growth. Conversely, populations in the age groups of 5-14 years and 35-44 years are expected to decline.