Kurrajong

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kurrajong reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Kurrajong's population is estimated at around 3,149. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 3,113 people, a rise of 36 individuals (1.2%). The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,139 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and validation of three new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 69 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade (2015-2025), Kurrajong has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.4%, outpacing its SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics project an above median growth for statistical areas nationwide, with Kurrajong expected to grow by 477 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 16.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kurrajong, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Kurrajong recorded approximately five residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), around 25 homes were approved, with one additional approval in FY-26. This indicates an average of 2.2 new residents per year for each dwelling over these years.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $787,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $2.4 million, indicating limited commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kurrajong has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 10th percentile nationally for assessed areas, suggesting more limited housing choices and supporting demand for existing dwellings. The area's established nature is further indicated by its activity levels being below the national average.

Recent development has consisted entirely of standalone homes, maintaining Kurrajong's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. As of now, there are an estimated 1590 people per dwelling approval in the area. Future projections estimate Kurrajong will add 521 residents by 2041 (based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate). If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and driving price growth.

Kurrajong has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are The Sanctuary North Richmond, Redbank Estate - Stage 8 & Future Stages, New Richmond Bridge and Traffic Improvements, and Hambledon Park. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Kurrajong remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Kurrajong's workforce is skilled with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.6% as of June 2025, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.7%. As of June 2025, 1,798 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 64.0%, similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. Notably, construction employment is at 2.1 times the regional average.

However, finance & insurance has limited presence with only 2.1% of employment compared to the regional average of 7.3%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.7% while labour force grew by 3.2%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kurrajong's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The latest postcode level ATO data for Kurrajong, released for the financial year ending June 2022, shows a median income among taxpayers of $53,502 and an average income of $68,308. Nationally, the median income was lower at $47,914 with an average of $63,093. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $56,994 and the average was $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% from June 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes for Kurrajong would be approximately $60,249 (median) and $76,922 (average). According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household incomes in Kurrajong ranked at the 83rd percentile with a weekly income of $2,304. The earnings profile shows that 30.9% of residents (973 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 weekly income bracket, similar to the surrounding region where also 30.9% occupy this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 36.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, indicating elevated consumer spending. Housing expenses account for 13.6% of income, and strong earnings place residents within the 85th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kurrajong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Kurrajong, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.7% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 98.7% houses and 1.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kurrajong stood at 44.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (44.5%) or rented (10.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kurrajong was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,308. The median weekly rent figure for Kurrajong was recorded at $430, matching Sydney metro's figure of $430. Nationally, Kurrajong's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kurrajong features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 82.4% of all households, including 39.9% couples with children, 33.4% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.6%, with lone person households at 16.3% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

The educational profile of Kurrajong exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.7%, substantially below the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 42.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 29.8%. Educational participation is high, with 25.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.8% in primary, 7.0% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education. Kurrajong's 4 schools have a combined enrollment of 591 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1030) and balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 18.8 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 9.7, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 29 operational transit points in Kurrajong, offering a blend of bus services. These points are supported by 29 distinct routes, facilitating a total of 260 weekly passenger journeys. Transit accessibility is deemed good, with residents situated on average 318 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 37 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 8 weekly trips per individual point.

Health performance in Kurrajong is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Kurrajong faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (around 1,698 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.0% and 7.2% of residents respectively. Seventy-seven point five percent declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.4% across Greater Sydney. Twenty-three point five percent of residents are aged 65 and over (around 740 people), which is higher than the 18.9% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Kurrajong ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kurrajong's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 85.4% born in Australia, 94.2% being citizens, and 94.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 62.2%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 60.4%. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (28.1%), and Irish (7.8%).

Some ethnic groups had notable differences: Maltese at 4.0% (regional average 4.8%), Polish at 1.4% (0.6%), and Lebanese at 0.6% (0.4%).

Kurrajong hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Kurrajong is 46 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also above Australia's median age of 38 years. The percentage of people aged 65-74 in Kurrajong is notably high at 13.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average. Conversely, those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 9.2%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population percentage of those aged 75-84 has increased from 6.4% to 8.0%, while the 45-54 age group has declined from 15.0% to 13.0%. By 2041, Kurrajong's population is projected to change significantly. The number of people aged 85 and above is expected to increase dramatically by 171 individuals (a rise of 218%), from 78 to 250. This growth will primarily come from the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising 93% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the populations of those aged 5-14 and 35-44 are expected to decline.