Wilberforce (NSW)

Wilberforce is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Wilberforce's population is estimated at around 2,985. This reflects an increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,957 people. The growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,980 based on latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2024) and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 93 persons per square kilometer. Wilberforce's 0.9% growth positions it within 0.3 percentage points of the SA3 area's 1.2%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate an increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas, with Wilberforce expected to increase by 290 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 9.6% over these years.

The level of residential development activity in Wilberforce is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Wilberforce has averaged approximately three new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated fifteen homes. In FY26 to date, two approvals have been recorded. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction value of new properties is $787,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to Greater Sydney, Wilberforce has significantly less development activity, 51.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, although there has been an increase in recent periods. Development activity is also below average nationally, suggesting possible planning constraints. All recent development has consisted of detached houses, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 744 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Wilberforce will gain 285 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Wilberforce has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified two projects that could significantly impact the local area. These are Pitt Town Bypass, scheduled for completion in 2025, and Hawkesbury-Neap Valley Flood Management, expected to finish by late 2026. Other notable projects include Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill and Box Hill Industrial Precinct.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Wilberforce remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Wilberforce has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 4.7% and estimated employment growth of 2.1% in the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of June 2025, 1,707 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, 0.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The workforce participation rate is 67.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment industries include construction, education & training, and retail trade. Construction has a notable concentration with levels at 2.4 times the regional average.

Professional & technical jobs are less prevalent, at 4.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the working population vs resident population count. In the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, while labour force grew by 2.8%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wilberforce's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 5.9% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Wilberforce's median income among taxpayers was $54,758. The average income was $69,913. This is higher than the national average. Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average of $80,856 during this period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Wilberforce would be approximately $61,663 (median) and $78,729 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data ranks Wilberforce's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 69th and 81st percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 31.9% of Wilberforce's population (952 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range. This is similar to the broader area where 30.9% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 35.2% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.3% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 82nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Wilberforce is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Wilberforce's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Sydney metro's 96.7% houses and 3.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wilberforce was at 36.2%, similar to Sydney metro's 36.1%. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (46.3%) or rented (17.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Wilberforce was $2,364, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,308. Median weekly rent in Wilberforce was $410, compared to Sydney metro's $430. Nationally, Wilberforce's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Wilberforce features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.9% of all households, including 42.2% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.1%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Wilberforce shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 15.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. This indicates a need for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 43.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (32.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education. Wilberforce Public School serves the local community, with an enrollment of 336 students as of a recent count. The school focuses on primary education, with secondary options available nearby.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wilberforce has 39 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 different routes that together facilitate 210 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is excellent, with residents on average being located 175 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 30 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately five weekly trips per individual stop.

Wilberforce's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Wilberforce.

Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~1,628 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 7.6 and 7.2% of residents respectively. 72.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.4% across Greater Sydney. Wilberforce has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over (531 people), which is lower than the 18.9% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Wilberforce is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Wilberforce had a cultural diversity index below average, with 89.9% of its population born in Australia, 93.7% being citizens, and 95.0% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion was Christianity, practiced by 65.1% of Wilberforce's population, compared to 60.4% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (31.8%), English (30.7%), and Irish (7.7%).

Notably, Maltese were overrepresented at 5.5%, while Lebanese and Serbian populations were also present at 0.4% and 0.3% respectively, differing from regional figures of 4.8%, 0.4%, and 0.1%.

Wilberforce's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Wilberforce is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 55-64 age group is notably over-represented in Wilberforce at 13.8%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.8%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.0% to 5.5% of Wilberforce's population, while the 45-54 age group has declined from 16.0% to 13.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Wilberforce. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 207%, reaching 174 people from the current 56, with residents aged 65 and older representing 90% of anticipated population growth. Conversely, the 15-24 and 55-64 age groups are expected to experience population declines.