Chapel Hill (Qld)

Chapel Hill is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Chapel Hill (Qld) statistical area (Lv2) is around 10,951 people. This reflects an increase of 440 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,511. The current resident population estimate of 10,949 by AreaSearch is based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,172 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Chapel Hill (Qld) (SA2)'s growth rate of 4.2% since the census is within 1.9 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 6.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. According to projections over this period, the Chapel Hill (Qld) (SA2)'s population is expected to decline by 277 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, with the 85 and over age group projected to increase by 335 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Chapel Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Chapel Hill recorded around 20 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), approximately 101 homes were approved, with another 8 so far in FY-26. Based on an average of 3 new residents per home built over these years, demand is outpacing supply, suggesting heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction value of new homes is $697,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $10.6 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Chapel Hill shows approximately 61% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, offering limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings. Recent construction comprises 73.0% standalone homes and 27.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature while addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 396 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area with stable or declining population forecasts, potentially easing housing pressure in the future.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Chapel Hill may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Chapel Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified six projects that could impact the area's performance. Key projects include Woodlands Residences, 2172 Moggill Road Townhouses, Mount Coot-tha Precinct Upgrades, and Centa Property Group Lambert Road Development.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Chapel Hill ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Chapel Hill has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.1% as of September 2025, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

In September 2025, 5611 residents were employed at an unemployment rate of 1.9%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (2.1 times the regional level), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction employment is limited at 5.2% compared to the regional 9.0%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population versus resident population counts. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.8%, with a 2.8% employment decline causing unemployment to fall by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows QLD employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Chapel Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 7.4% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Chapel Hill had a median income among taxpayers of $66,927. The average income stood at $111,218. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, with Greater Brisbane having median and average incomes of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Chapel Hill as of September 2025 are approximately $73,559 (median) and $122,240 (average). Census 2021 data shows income rankings in Chapel Hill: household at the 85th percentile nationally, family at the 96th percentile, and personal income also high. Income analysis reveals that 34.2% of residents earn over $4,000 weekly, with 49.8% earning over $3,000 per week, indicating significant affluence. After housing costs, residents retain 89.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile nationally.

Chapel Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Chapel Hill's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.7% houses and 2.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had 95.2% houses and 4.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Chapel Hill stood at 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.0% and rented ones at 13.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,427, higher than Brisbane metro's $2,311. The median weekly rent was $555, compared to Brisbane metro's $500. Nationally, Chapel Hill's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Chapel Hill features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.7% of all households, including 47.1% couples with children, 28.8% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 12.8% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 3.0 people.

Chapel Hill demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Chapel Hill's residents aged 15+ show a high educational attainment, with 57.9% holding university qualifications, compared to Queensland's 25.7% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 33.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (19.4%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational pathways account for 18.6%, including advanced diplomas (9.1%) and certificates (9.5%). Educational participation is high, with 32.6% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.9% in primary, 9.6% in secondary, and 7.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 9.6% in secondary education, and 7.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Chapel Hill shows 44 active public transport stops, served by a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 13 individual routes, offering 1,377 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 194 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 196 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 31 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Chapel Hill is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Chapel Hill exhibits above-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 71% of its total population of 7,803 has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues (6.5%) and arthritis (6.4%). About 73.9% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 73.1%. As of 2021, Chapel Hill has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.2% (2,212 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 18.2%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Chapel Hill are strong and largely align with the general population's health profile.

Chapel Hill was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Chapel Hill's population, as per the 2016 Census, showed high cultural diversity with 23.7% speaking languages other than English at home and 36.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion at 48.3%. Judaism, though small at 0.6%, was higher than Greater Brisbane's 0.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (25.6%), Australian (20.2%), and Other (10.5%). Notable ethnic group disparities included South African (Chapel Hill: 1.6%, regional: 2.0%), Korean (Chapel Hill: 1.0%, regional: 0.7%), and Sri Lankan (Chapel Hill: 0.7%, regional: 0.4%).

Chapel Hill's median age exceeds the national pattern

Chapel Hill's median age at 42 years is significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Chapel Hill has a notably over-represented 45-54 cohort (15.9%) and an under-represented 25-34 age group (6.6%). Post the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group grew from 11.7% to 14.1%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 5.8% to 7.6%. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort declined from 14.1% to 12.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Chapel Hill's age profile, with the strongest growth in the 85+ cohort (144%), adding 330 residents to reach 560. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 80% of this anticipated growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 65-74 cohorts.