Chelmer - Graceville

Chelmer - Graceville has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates that Chelmer - Graceville's population is approximately 8,151 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 302 people, representing a 3.8% rise from the 7,849 reported in the 2021 Census. This change can be inferred from the estimated resident population of 8,059 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 33 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 2,515 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with an expected expansion to 8,787 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 636 persons and 6.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Chelmer - Graceville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Chelmer - Graceville has recorded approximately 22 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 111 homes. As of FY-26, seven approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average value of $874,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment.

This financial year, there have been $771,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Chelmer - Graceville shows approximately 58% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 36th percentile nationally, implying limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established properties. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 461 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its established status.

Population forecasts indicate Chelmer - Graceville will gain 544 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Chelmer - Graceville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

"Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified ten projects potentially impacting the region. Notable ones are Centenary Motorway Bypass, Queensland Tennis Centre Upgrade, Oxley Creek Transformation, and 525-Home Indooroopilly Development.".

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Chelmer - Graceville performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Chelmer - Graceville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%.

As of June 2025, 4,516 residents are employed, which is 2.6% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation stands at 68.7%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Dominant employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average.

However, construction is under-represented, at 5.7% compared to Greater Brisbane's 9.0%. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.5%, and employment declined by 1.3%, causing a fall in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%. At the state level, QLD's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs) as of Nov-25, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, aligning with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Chelmer - Graceville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Chelmer - Graceville SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $61,595 and an average income of $93,473. These figures are higher than the national averages of $55,645 and $70,520 for Greater Brisbane respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $70,212 and $106,550 respectively. Census 2021 income data ranks Chelmer - Graceville's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 92nd and 98th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 38.1% of locals (3,105 people) earn over $4000 weekly, differing from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 33.3%. The area's affluence is evident with 52.8% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Chelmer - Graceville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation, dwelling structures in Chelmer-Graceville consisted of 90.5% houses and 9.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's 48.9% houses and 51.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Chelmer-Graceville stood at 37.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.2% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,800, surpassing Brisbane metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in the area was recorded at $490, compared to Brisbane metro's $410. Nationally, Chelmer-Graceville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Chelmer - Graceville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.9% of all households, including 46.9% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.1%, with lone person households at 16.1% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Chelmer - Graceville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Chelmer - Graceville's educational attainment notably exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 55.9% hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally. University graduates comprise the largest group at 34.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.3%) and graduate diplomas (5.7%). Vocational pathways account for 18.8% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas making up 8.9% and certificates 9.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in primary education, 11.1% in secondary education, and 7.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Chelmer - Graceville has 35 operational public transport stops offering a combination of train and bus services. These stops are served by 78 unique routes that facilitate 3,423 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents generally residing within 251 meters of the nearest transport stop.

On average, service frequency across all routes stands at 489 trips per day, translating to roughly 97 weekly trips per individual stop.

Chelmer - Graceville's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Chelmer - Graceville. Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at-risk cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (5,558 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.5% and 6.9% of residents respectively. A total of 73.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 16.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,328 people), which is higher than the 14.4% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Chelmer - Graceville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Chelmer-Graceville showed higher cultural diversity with 12.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.0% born overseas. Christianity dominated, comprising 52.0%. Judaism was similarly represented at 0.3%, matching Greater Brisbane's figure.

In ancestry, the top groups were English (28.4%), Australian (23.1%), and Irish (10.8%). Scottish representation was notably higher at 10.1% compared to 8.7% regionally. Welsh stood at 0.8%, up from 0.6%, and South African at 0.9%, slightly above the regional average of 0.7%.

Chelmer - Graceville's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Chelmer - Graceville is 40 years, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and modestly exceeds the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Chelmer-Graceville at 16.7%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 7.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.4% to 15.6%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 4.2% to 5.7%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 17.3% to 16.0%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 5.2% to 4.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Chelmer-Graceville, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 58% (265 people), reaching 728 from 462. This growth is led by residents aged 65 and older, who represent 62% of anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.