Chapel Hill

Chapel Hill is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Chapel Hill's population was approximately 10,731 people as of April 2021. By November 2025, this had increased to around 11,170 people, reflecting a growth of 439 individuals (4.1%) since the 2021 Census. This increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,170 reported by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) as of June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses recorded since the Census date. This results in a population density of approximately 2,068 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Chapel Hill's growth rate of 4.1% since the census places it within 1.6 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.7%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. The primary driver of population growth in the area was overseas migration, which accounted for essentially all population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, which were released in 2023 using 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 with a base year of 2022. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to decline by 282 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 344 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Chapel Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Chapel Hill has seen approximately 20 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 102 homes. As of FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3 new residents per year arrive per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This supply lagging demand leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New homes are being built at an average value of $641,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $10.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Chapel Hill shows approximately 60% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, suggesting limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings. Recent construction comprises 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space, marking a departure from the current housing pattern of 97.0% houses. Chapel Hill shows a mature, established area with around 588 people per approval.

Population projections indicate stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures and benefiting potential buyers.

Chapel Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact the region. Notable ones are Woodlands Residences, Mount Coot-tha Precinct Upgrades, Centa Property Group Lambert Road Development, and 2172 Moggill Road Townhouses. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Chapel Hill ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Chapel Hill has a highly educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate in the area is 2.1%.

As of September 2025, 5720 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.9% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Brisbane's at 64.5%. Key industries for employment among residents include professional & technical services, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Chapel Hill shows a strong specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share 2.1 times the regional level.

However, construction is under-represented with only 5.3% of Chapel Hill's workforce compared to 9.0% in Greater Brisbane. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 3.8%, while employment declined by 2.8%, causing unemployment to fall by 1.0 percentage points in Chapel Hill. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.8% over the same period. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while overall employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Chapel Hill's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 15.0% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Chapel Hill SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $66,927 and an average income of $111,218 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is notably higher than Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. As of September 2025, estimated incomes based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% would be approximately $76,290 (median) and $126,777 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Chapel Hill ranks highly nationally for household, family, and personal incomes, between the 85th and 96th percentiles. The income distribution shows that 33.9% of locals (3,786 people) fall into the $4000+ category, differing from the regional prevalence of the $1,500 - 2,999 category at 33.3%. A significant 49.4% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 89.3% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Chapel Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Chapel Hill, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 97.3% houses and 2.7% other dwellings. In Brisbane metro, this was 95.2% houses and 4.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Chapel Hill was 43.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.9% and rented dwellings at 14.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,407, compared to Brisbane metro's $2,311. The median weekly rent figure for Chapel Hill was $555, while Brisbane metro recorded $500. Nationally, Chapel Hill's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,407 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Chapel Hill features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 84.5% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.5%, with lone person households at 12.7% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 3.0.

Chapel Hill demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Chapel Hill's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 57.9% have university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 33.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 19.4% and graduate diplomas at 5.5%. Vocational pathways account for 18.5% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 9.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 7.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 47 active public transport stops in Chapel Hill, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 18 individual routes, facilitating 1,842 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 197 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 263 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Chapel Hill's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows Chapel Hill performed well across various health metrics. Both younger and older residents had low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover was high at approximately 76%, covering 8511 people, compared to Greater Brisbane's 72%.

Nationally, it averages at 55.3%. Mental health issues affected 6.5% and arthritis impacted 6.4% of residents, while 74% declared no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 73.1%. Chapel Hill has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 20.1% (2246 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 18.2%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Chapel Hill was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Chapel Hill, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, had a higher linguistic diversity than most local areas, with 23.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 36.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Chapel Hill, comprising 48.0% of the population. However, Judaism was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, making up 0.6% of Chapel Hill's population versus 0.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (25.7%), Australian (20.2%), and Other (10.5%). Notably, South African (1.6% vs regional 2.0%), Korean (1.0% vs 0.7%), and Sri Lankan (0.6% vs 0.4%) ethnic groups were more prevalent in Chapel Hill than in the Greater Brisbane region.

Chapel Hill's median age exceeds the national pattern

Chapel Hill's median age is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's median of 38. The 45-54 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.9% locally compared to the Greater Brisbane average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 6.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 14.1%, and the 75-84 cohort has grown from 5.8% to 7.6%. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort has declined from 14.2% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Chapel Hill's age profile. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 140%, adding 334 residents to reach 574. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 80% of the anticipated population growth. However, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 65-74 cohorts.