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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Chapel Hill has an estimated 11,218 residents, up from 10,731 at the 2021 Census — a change of 487 people, or 4.5%. That puts 2,077 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the estimated headcount for Chapel Hill stands at approximately 11,218 as of Aug 2026. Relative to the 2021 Census total of 10,731 people, the locality has expanded by 487 people (4.5%). This adjustment builds upon the ABS figure of 11,166 for estimated resident population recorded as of June 2025 alongside 30 validated new addresses identified following the Census date. Consequently, the local density equates to 2,077 persons per square kilometer, outpacing the national benchmark evaluated by AreaSearch. In addition, the 4.5% expansion rate since census trails the broader SA3 area (5.5%) by only 1.0 percentage points, highlighting sound growth momentum.
The primary catalyst behind these local population gains has been overseas migration, serving practically as the exclusive growth channel in recent times. ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 population projections released in 2024 (using 2022 as their base year) form the foundation of AreaSearch's demographic modelling. For periods extending post-2032 or locations omitted from that release, projections published in 2023 by the Queensland State Government using 2021 data are incorporated. Because state-level figures omit breakdowns across age cohorts, AreaSearch distributes growth using proportional weightings drawn from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (based on 2022 data). Under this framework, long-term projections point toward an overall population retraction, with local numbers expected to fall by 349 persons by 2041. In contrast, certain age brackets will experience expansion, most prominently the 85 and over age group with an anticipated addition of 277 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
100 new dwellings have been approved in Chapel Hill over the past five years, an average of 20 a year. That is 1.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 20 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 70% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals across Chapel Hill have maintained a pace of roughly 20 new homes annually, accumulating to 100 homes across the past 5 financial years. Between FY-22 and FY-26, the area added an average of 2.4 new residents per year for each dwelling over the past 5 financial years, signaling healthy underlying demand supporting local property values. Construction activity focuses squarely on high-end, premium developments, with approved dwellings carrying an average expected construction cost of $739,000. Additionally, commercial development has progressed at a moderate pace, registering $10.6 million in commercial approvals this financial year.
Per capita building approvals in Chapel Hill track at roughly 68% of the Greater Brisbane rate, placing the suburb in the 37th percentile across all nationally evaluated markets; this constrained supply tends to restrict choices for prospective purchasers while underpinning demand for existing properties, even as local building activity has accelerated in recent years. This lower level of construction volume relative to national averages reflects both the established nature of the suburb and potential local planning limitations. Current residential development comprises 70.0% standalone homes alongside 30.0% townhouses or apartments, introducing a broader selection of medium-density choices that cater to diverse budgets, spanning classic family residences to compact options. This represents a distinct shift from the existing dwelling stock (currently 97.0% houses), driven by limited remaining greenfield parcels, evolving lifestyle considerations, and affordability pressures. A ratio of approximately 592 people per dwelling approval further underscores the mature profile of the local market. Given that demographic forecasts indicate a stabilizing or decreasing local population base, Chapel Hill is poised to experience eased residential demand pressures, creating advantageous conditions for prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Chapel Hill
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Chapel Hill, worth an estimated $85 million. A further 80 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $35.9 billion. 21 are already under construction and 28 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and health & medical. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure investment, urban planning, and capital projects play a pivotal role in shaping an area's trajectory. AreaSearch has pinpointed 7 major projects expected to influence the surrounding area. Prominent among these developments are Woodlands Residences, Mount Coot-tha Precinct Upgrades, Centa Property Group Lambert Road Development, and 2172 Moggill Road Townhouses.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Woodlands Residences
An exclusive collection of seventeen freehold, architecturally designed homes nestled within the thriving natural habitat of Mount Coot-tha. Four-bedroom townhomes with double garage, featuring sustainable design with solar power and EV charging. Completion July 2025.
1 Clarina St, Chapel Hill Qld 4069
A three-storey childcare centre accommodating up to 116 children with associated car parking and landscaping.
The Priory - Indooroopilly
Luxury boutique development of 13 bespoke apartments featuring river views, double glazing, real timber herringbone flooring, and premium finishes. Amenities include heated magnesium pool and spa, steam room, residents' gym, and outdoor entertaining spaces. Developed by Pitman Properties with 40+ years experience.
Kenmore Roundabout Upgrade - Moggill Road and Brookfield Road
Transport and Main Roads planning study investigating improvements to the intersection of Moggill Road and Brookfield Road in Kenmore. Following community consultation rejecting complete roundabout signalisation, investigations focus on targeted safety, active transport, and corridor flow improvements. The project is managed by the Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads.
42-50 Merlin Terrace Kenmore Residential Development
Development approval for multiple dwellings and townhouse residential development located along Merlin Terrace in Kenmore. The project delivers residential townhome/apartment housing with associated access infrastructure, private open space, and landscaping across the consolidated site. Planning assessment and approval was processed through Brisbane City Council development planning frameworks.
Natura Residences by Opalyn Property Group
A boutique collection of 35 two and three-bedroom apartments over five levels, featuring a neutral palette inspired by nature, high-quality finishes and fixtures from renowned brands, rooftop terrace with manicured gardens, two undercover secure car parks per residence, and basement storage. Designed for modern urban living with natural comfort, located near Indooroopilly Shopping Centre, transport, schools, and the University of Queensland.
Centa Property Group Lambert Road Development
A 12-level building with 95 apartments featuring two and three-bedroom units designed by Rothelowman. Includes ground floor retail precinct with four tenancies, rooftop pool and amenities, and modern terracotta facade design. Located directly across from Indooroopilly train station and Witton Barracks Park, designed to enhance the pedestrian connection to Indooroopilly Train Station.
Keating Park Residential
Two subtropical designed towers (20 and 9 storeys) comprising 124 apartments (39 one-bedroom, 74 two-bedroom, 11 three-bedroom) fronting Keating Park. Features hidden carpark ramp linking to Indooroopilly Shopping Centre, rooftop pool and BBQ deck area on level 10, ground floor retail tenancy, and environmentally sustainable design features. Designed by Hames Sharley for developer Eureka Funds Management.
5,656 residents of Chapel Hill are employed, from a labour force of 5,821. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 64.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 9,092, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Chapel Hill features a highly skilled resident workforce with significant participation in professional services sectors and a low unemployment rate of 2.8%. There were 5,656 residents actively employed as of March 2026, while local joblessness sat 1.5% below the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 4.3%. Meanwhile, labor force participation tracks lower at 64.4% compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.1%. Census records indicated that a notable 38.6% of workers carried out their duties from home, an outcome partially shaped by Covid-19 lockdown circumstances. The primary employment sectors across the local resident base consist of professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training.
Representation is particularly prominent in professional & technical services, where resident worker shares reach 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, construction represents only 5.3% of the local workforce, trailing Greater Brisbane's 9.0%. Comparing Census counts of the working population to the resident population indicates that this predominantly suburban residential setting provides modest volumes of localized jobs. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM figures indicates that over the 12-month period, the local labor force fell by 2.4% while total employment also contracted by 2.4%, keeping local joblessness virtually unchanged. Across Greater Brisbane, by comparison, employment grew by 3.2% alongside a 3.4% rise in the labor pool, resulting in a 0.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. Looking ahead, national forecasts issued by Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide perspective on prospective labor requirements for Chapel Hill. When these national projections (which forecast overall expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years across differing industry sectors) are weighted against the local occupational profile, Chapel Hill's resident employment base is modeled to increase by 7.4% over five years and 15.0% over ten years (representing an illustrative sectoral extrapolation rather than a local demographic forecast).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Chapel Hill is $2,957 a week (about $154,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,084 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $70,140 a year against an average of $109,157. The average runs 56% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation statistics for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate that taxpayers in the Chapel Hill SA2 earn a median income of $70,140 and an average of $109,157, markedly above Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Factoring in subsequent Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, local earnings are estimated at roughly $78,108 (median) and $121,557 (average) as of March 2026. Across 2021 Census measures, personal, family, and household earnings all placed between the 85th and 96th percentiles nationally. The single largest income bracket contains 33.9% of earners making $4000+ weekly (3,802 residents), contrasting with the wider metropolitan region where 33.3% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range.
Substantial local affluence is demonstrated by the 49.4% of households earning more than $3,000 per week, fostering high consumer expenditure. Households retain 89.3% of income once mortgage and rent obligations are met, giving the area a SEIFA income score in the 10th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Chapel Hill had 3,604 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 0% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 14% rented and 43% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $555 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,407 a month. Rent absorbs 18.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Data from the most recent Census shows that Chapel Hill's dwelling landscape consists of 97.3% houses and 2.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), differing substantially from Greater Brisbane's distribution of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright home ownership reached 43.1%, noticeably outperforming the metropolitan standard, while mortgaged properties accounted for 42.9% and rented properties represented 14.0%. The local median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,407, surpassing the Brisbane metro benchmark of $1,863 as well as the national figure of $1,863. Similarly, typical weekly rent reached $555, considerably higher than Brisbane metro's $380 and the Australian average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Chapel Hill counted 3,604 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 47% are couples with children, more than in 92% of areas nationally, against 29% couples without children. 13% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families form the primary household structure at 84.5% of all dwellings, consisting of 47.0% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 15.5%, made up of lone person households at 12.7% and group households at 2.7%. With a median household size of 2.9 people, Chapel Hill dwellings accommodate more residents on average than the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
57.9% of adults in Chapel Hill hold a university qualification, including 33.0% with a bachelor degree and 19.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 98% of areas nationally. A further 9.5% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 807 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,169 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels in Chapel Hill are exceptionally high, with 57.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a tertiary qualification, substantially exceeding both the 25.7% recorded across QLD and the 30.4% national standard. Among residents aged 15+, Bachelor degrees are held by 33.0%, postgraduate qualifications by 19.4%, and graduate diplomas by 5.5%. Meanwhile, vocational qualifications account for 18.5% of the adult population, split between advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (9.5%). A substantial proportion of the local population is engaged in learning, with 32.6% of residents actively enrolled in an educational institution.
Specifically, 10.9% attend primary education, 9.5% are enrolled in secondary education, and 7.6% are engaged in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Chapel Hill means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
74.0% of residents in Chapel Hill report no long-term health condition. 4.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 75.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments across Chapel Hill demonstrate exceptionally favorable outcomes, characterized by low mortality rates and limited chronic illness across both younger and older cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is notably widespread, held by approximately 75% of the total population (8,447 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and the national level of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis represent the two most prevalent diagnosed conditions locally, reported by 6.5 and 6.4% of residents, respectively. Meanwhile, 74.0% of the community reported having no chronic medical conditions, outperforming the Greater Brisbane figure of 69.2%.
Senior residents aged 65 and over comprise 18.9% of the population (2,125 people), above Greater Brisbane's 15.0%, with health outcomes in this cohort tracking strongly against national benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
36.5% of Chapel Hill residents were born overseas and 23.7% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (25.7%) and Australian (20.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Chapel Hill exhibits a high degree of cultural diversity compared to most Australian suburbs, with 36.5% of residents born overseas and 23.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity represents the most widely practiced faith, embraced by 48.0% of residents. In addition, Judaism exhibits notable local representation at 0.6% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane. Regarding parental ancestry, the three primary heritage backgrounds reported in Chapel Hill are English at 25.7%, Australian at 20.2%, and Other at 10.5%. The community also demonstrates distinctive representation across several specific cultural groups, including South Australian backgrounds at 1.6% (compared to 0.6% regionally), Korean at 1.0% (against 0.5%), and Sri Lankan at 0.6% (versus 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Chapel Hill is 42. 22.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Chapel Hill displays an age structure distinct from Greater Brisbane as a whole. As of August 2026, AreaSearch estimates indicate that 18.9% of the population falls into retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) compared to 15.0% across Greater Brisbane, while young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) account for 19.6% against a regional benchmark of 30.6%. The median age remains steady at an estimated 42, matching the 2021 Census and sitting 6 years above the Greater Brisbane Census figure of 36. The share of children and young adults (0 - 24) has increased from 32.5% at the Census to an estimated 34.9%.
By 2041, the largest numerical gain is projected across retiree and elderly cohorts, rising by 372 residents (18%) to 2,498, whereas cohorts covering young to middle aged adults and children and young adults are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Chapel Hill
8 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 8 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 3 sections | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2025 about a year ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2025. | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 30 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (10,731 at the 2021 Census → 11,218 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (304021088). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.