Graceville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Graceville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the Graceville statistical area (Lv2), and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Graceville's population is estimated at around 4,989 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 225 people (4.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,764 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,916 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,653 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 93.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with the Graceville (SA2) expected to increase by 315 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 4.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Graceville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Graceville shows an average of 19 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 98 homes were approved, with another 5 so far in FY-26. Despite a falling population, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $874,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment. This financial year, there have been $771,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Graceville has 15.0% less new development per person and ranks at the 46th percentile nationally, implying more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties.

Recent development has consisted entirely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suitable for buyers seeking space. With around 363 people per dwelling approval, Graceville exhibits a developed market. By 2041, AreaSearch projects an increase of 226 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Graceville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure can significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to impact the area. Major projects include the Centenary Motorway Bypass, Queensland Tennis Centre Upgrade, Parklands At Sherwood, and Cross River Rail - Graceville Station. The following details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Graceville rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Graceville has a highly educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate is 1.7%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 2,728 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 2.3% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation stands at 71.0%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors. Notably, employment levels in professional & technical are at 2.0 times the regional average.

However, construction has limited presence with 5.7% employment compared to 9.0% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.8%, combined with employment decreasing by 3.2%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane where employment rose by 3.8%. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows QLD employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Graceville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Graceville had a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $60,615 and the average income stood at $91,381, compared to Greater Brisbane's figures of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $66,622 (median) and $100,437 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Graceville, between the 90th and 96th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 35.3% of residents (1,761 people), differing from the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 33.3%. Notably, 49.0% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting areas of prosperity driving local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Graceville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Graceville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.6% houses and 11.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Brisbane metro had 48.9% houses and 51.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Graceville was at 36.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.5% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Graceville was $495, compared to Brisbane metro's $410. Nationally, Graceville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Graceville were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Graceville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.8% of all households, including 45.8% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Graceville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Graceville's residents aged 15 and above have a significantly higher educational attainment than broader benchmarks. 55.7% of Graceville residents hold university qualifications compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% in Australia. The most common university qualifications are bachelor degrees at 34.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 15.1% and graduate diplomas at 5.9%. Vocational pathways account for 19.5% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificates at 10.7%.

Educational participation is high in Graceville, with 34.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 7.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates that there are currently 27 operational transport stops in Graceville. These include a combination of train and bus services. In total, these stops cater to 91 different routes which facilitate approximately 2,883 weekly passenger trips altogether.

The accessibility of public transport is considered excellent with residents generally residing just 183 meters away from the nearest stop. On average, there are around 411 daily trips across all routes, translating to roughly 106 weekly trips per individual stop.

Graceville's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Graceville, with younger cohorts particularly seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (3,163 people), compared to 65.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.9 and 7.0% of residents respectively, while 74.6% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane.

As of 2021, the area has 15.0% of residents aged 65 and over (748 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Graceville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Graceville exhibited above-average cultural diversity, with 12.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.1% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 50.6%. Judaism was overrepresented in Graceville at 0.3%, compared to 0.3% regionally.

Top ancestry groups were English (28.5%), Australian (23.6%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, Scottish (10.0%) and South African (1.0%) were overrepresented while Welsh was slightly higher at 0.7%.

Graceville's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Graceville is 40 years, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and modestly exceeds the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, the 45-54 cohort is notably over-represented at 17.2% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.8%. This concentration in the 45-54 age bracket is well above the national average of 12.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.5% to 14.6%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.8% to 5.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 17.5% to 16.2%, and the 35 to 44 age group dropped from 15.0% to 13.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Graceville, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 56% (adding 150 people), reaching 420 from 269. This growth is led by residents aged 65 and older, who represent 62% of anticipated population growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.