Graceville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Graceville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026, the suburb of Graceville's population is estimated at around 4,993. This reflects an increase of 229 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,764 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,916, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 28 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,655 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 93.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected for the suburb, with an expected increase of 326 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Graceville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Graceville averaged around 19 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 98 homes. As of FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $874,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

This financial year, there have also been $771,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Graceville records 15.0% less building activity per person and places among the 46th percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. New construction has been completely comprised of detached houses, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 363 people per dwelling approval, Graceville shows a developed market. Future projections from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate show Graceville adding 227 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Graceville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects likely affecting this region: Centenary Motorway Bypass, Queensland Tennis Centre Upgrade, Parklands at Sherwood, and Cross River Rail - Graceville Station. The following details the most relevant ones.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Graceville places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Graceville has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of AreaSearch's statistical aggregation. As of September 2025, 2,731 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. Census responses showed that 37.9% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries for employment among residents were professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Graceville had a particularly high specialization in professional & technical jobs at twice the regional level, but construction showed lower representation at 5.7% compared to the regional average of 9.0%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, Graceville's labour force decreased by 3.8%, with employment declining by 3.2%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate of 0.5 percentage points. Greater Brisbane, however, showed employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Graceville's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, though this was a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and did not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Graceville had a median taxpayer income of $60,615 and an average income of $91,381 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This places it among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth figures, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $66,622 and an average income of $100,437 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census data, incomes in Graceville rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 90th and 96th percentiles. The distribution shows that 35.3% of individuals earn $4,000 or more, differing from broader area patterns where earnings between $1,500 and $2,999 dominate at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident with 49.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Graceville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Graceville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.6% houses and 11.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Brisbane metro's 78.6% houses and 21.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Graceville stood at 36.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.5% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Graceville was $495, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Graceville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Graceville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.8% of all households, including 45.8% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Graceville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Graceville has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above, with 55.7% holding university qualifications compared to the broader Queensland figure of 25.7% and the national average of 30.4%. The area's strong educational advantage is evident in the distribution of qualifications: Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 34.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.9%). Vocational pathways account for 19.5% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas making up 8.8% and certificates 10.7%. Educational participation is high in Graceville, with 34.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.0% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 7.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 27 active stops in Graceville offering train and bus services. These stops are served by 91 routes providing 2,883 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, located on average 183 meters from the nearest stop. In this residential area, most commute outward using cars (75%), with 16% using trains and 2% cycling. There are typically 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, a high 37.9% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 411 trips daily across all routes, translating to about 106 weekly trips per stop.

Graceville's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Graceville. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low among the general population, nearing the nation's average for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover was exceptionally high, with approximately 63% of the total population (3,166 people) having it, compared to Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were mental health issues (7.9%) and asthma (7.0%). A significant portion, 74.6%, declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than Greater Brisbane's 69.2%. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.8% of residents aged 65 and over (788 people). Health outcomes among seniors were above average but ranked lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Graceville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Graceville exhibited above-average cultural diversity, with 12.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.1% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 50.6%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% in Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (28.5%), Australian (23.6%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, Scottish (10.0%) and South African (1.0%) were overrepresented, while Welsh (0.7%) was slightly higher than regional averages.

Graceville's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Graceville is 40 years, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and modestly exceeds the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Graceville at 17.5%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.3%. The 45-54 concentration in Graceville is well above the national average of 12.0%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.5% to 15.0%, and the 75 to 84 age cohort has increased from 3.8% to 5.9%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 17.5% to 15.6%, and the 35 to 44 age group has dropped from 15.0% to 13.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Graceville. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 44%, adding 129 people, reaching a total of 424 from the previous count of 294. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to represent 64% of the anticipated population growth. However, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.