Graceville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Graceville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Graceville is around 4,962. This reflects an increase of 198 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,764. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,903, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,639 persons per square kilometer, placing Graceville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 93.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected for Graceville. The suburb is expected to increase by 309 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 5.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Graceville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Graceville averaged around 18 new dwelling approvals annually from statistical area data. Approximately 90 homes were approved between FY21-FY25, with six more approved in FY26 so far. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost of $859,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, there have been $771,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Graceville has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 45th percentile nationally, offering limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties.

Recent development comprises solely standalone homes, preserving the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to space-seeking buyers, at approximately 376 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, Graceville is projected to grow by 247 residents (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Graceville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects likely affecting this region: Centenary Motorway Bypass, Queensland Tennis Centre Upgrade, Parklands At Sherwood, and Cross River Rail - Graceville Station. The following details the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Graceville rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Graceville has a highly educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate is 1.7%.

As of June 2025, 2,790 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.4% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Graceville is higher at 71.0%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Employment among residents is concentrated in professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors. Notably, employment levels in the professional & technical sector are twice the regional average.

However, construction has limited presence with only 5.7% of employment compared to the regional average of 9.0%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.4%, accompanied by a 1.2% decrease in employment, resulting in a fall of 0.2 percentage points in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 4.4%, labour force grow by 4.0%, and unemployment fall by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insights into potential future demand within Graceville. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Graceville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Graceville's median income among taxpayers was $60,627 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $91,390 during the same period. These figures are higher than those for Greater Brisbane, which were $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $69,109 and $104,175 based on a Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Graceville rank highly nationally, between the 90th and 96th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 35.3% of residents (1,751 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, contrasting with the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 33.3%. Notably, 49.0% of Graceville's residents earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Graceville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Graceville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.6% houses and 11.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's figures of 48.9% houses and 51.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Graceville stood at 36.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.5% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure in Graceville was recorded at $495, compared to Brisbane metro's $410. Nationally, Graceville's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Graceville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.8% of all households, including 45.8% couples with children, 22.7% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Graceville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Graceville exceeds broader benchmarks. 55.7% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 34.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.9%). Vocational pathways account for 19.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.0% in primary, 10.8% in secondary, and 7.7% in tertiary education. Christ the King School and Graceville State School serve 953 students combined, demonstrating significant socio-educational advantages (ICSEA score: 1144). Both schools focus on primary education only, with secondary options available nearby. There are 19.2 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 26.0.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Graceville has 27 active public transport stops. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 36 different routes operating in total, providing 1,913 weekly passenger trips combined.

The average distance residents live from the nearest stop is 183 meters. On average, there are 273 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to around 70 weekly trips per individual stop.

Graceville's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health performance in Graceville, with younger cohorts having very low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover is high at approximately 63%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 66.6% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are most common, affecting 7.9% and 7.0% respectively.

74.6% report no medical ailments. The area has 15.0% residents aged 65 and over (744 people), with health outcomes requiring more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Graceville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Graceville's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 12.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 25.1% born overseas. Christianity was the main religion in Graceville, comprising 50.6% of people. Judaism, however, was notably overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to 0.3% across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.5%), Australian (23.6%), and Irish (10.3%). Some ethnic groups showed notable divergences in representation: Scottish at 10.0% (vs regional 8.7%), South African at 1.0% (vs regional 0.7%), and Welsh at 0.7% (vs regional 0.6%).

Graceville's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Graceville is 40 years, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and slightly exceeds the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Graceville at 17.2%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.8%. This concentration of the 45-54 cohort is well above the national average of 12.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group grew from 12.5% to 14.6%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.8% to 5.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 17.5% to 16.2%, and the 35 to 44 age group dropped from 15.0% to 13.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Graceville, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 56% (150 people), reaching 418 from 267. The demographic aging trend continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 62% of anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.