Bringelly

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bringelly reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bringelly's population, as estimated by AreaSearch based on ABS data up to Nov 2025, is around 3,111. This shows a 678 person increase since the 2021 Census, which recorded 2,433 people. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 2,889 in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 77 persons per square kilometer. Bringelly's growth of 27.9% since 2021 surpassed both state (7.6%) and metropolitan area averages, making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.0% to recent population gains, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a 2022 base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Bringelly (SA2) is projected to increase by 9,842 persons, reflecting a total increase of 327.6% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Bringelly was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Bringelly shows approximately 53 new homes approved annually. From FY21 to FY25, around 269 homes were approved, with an additional 38 approved so far in FY26. Each home built over these years accommodates an average of 5.4 new residents.

This demand significantly outpaces supply, potentially influencing prices and buyer competition. New homes are constructed at an average value of $437,000, reflecting quality-focused development. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $3.1 million, indicating limited focus on commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney's regional average per person over the past five years, Bringelly exhibits moderately higher development activity (17.0%).

However, recent periods show a moderation in development activity. Nationally, Bringelly's developer confidence is notably strong. New building activity comprises 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 105 people per dwelling approval, Bringelly exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate an addition of 10,190 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to meet population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bringelly has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 33 projects potentially impacting the area. Notable ones include Bradfield City Centre, 40 The Retreat Bradfield Mixed-use Development, Birling Estate, and Kemps Creek Energy Storage Facility. Below is a list detailing those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bringelly demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Bringelly has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.0% and estimated employment growth of 4.3% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 1,815 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 2.2% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 51.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction, education & training, and retail trade. Construction employment is notably high at 2.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical jobs are lower at 3.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 4.3%, labour force by 4.4%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted slightly by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bringelly's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 11.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Bringelly suburb had median income among taxpayers at $47,960 and average income at $61,395. These figures are lower than national averages, which stood at $60,817 and $83,003 respectively for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $52,209 and average income is $66,835 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, Bringelly's household income ranks at the 55th percentile ($1,833 weekly) and personal income at the 25th percentile. Income analysis shows that 28.3% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (880 residents), aligning with regional trends where this cohort represents 30.9%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence, with 30.5% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing expenses, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses. Bringelly's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bringelly is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bringelly's residential structures, as per the latest Census data, were 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bringelly stood at 51.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.6% and rented ones at 22.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. Median weekly rent in Bringelly was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Bringelly's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bringelly features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.6% of all households, including 42.5% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.4%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households at 3.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Bringelly faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 9.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 39.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (7.9%) and certificates (31.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.9%), secondary education (9.5%), and tertiary education (4.2%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis conducted in Bringelly shows 36 active public transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 21 individual routes. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 284.

Transport accessibility in Bringelly is rated as limited, with residents generally located 612 meters away from the nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes stands at 40 trips per day, translating to approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bringelly is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Bringelly shows above-average health outcomes with both young and old age cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~1,594 people), compared to 53.8% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.0 and 5.4% of residents respectively, while 72.6% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 77.9% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, 15.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (494 people), which is higher than the 10.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bringelly was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bringelly's population shows high cultural diversity, with 22.9% born overseas and 28.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Bringelly at 72.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 57.1%. The top three ancestral groups are Australian (19.8%), English (16.7%), and Italian (13.1%), each exceeding regional averages.

Notably, Maltese (9.1%) Croatian (3.2%) and Serbian (1.0%) populations are higher than their respective regional averages of 2.0%, 1.4% and 1.9%.

Bringelly's median age exceeds the national pattern

Bringelly's median age is 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 15-24 age cohort is notably over-represented in Bringelly at 17.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and present, younger residents have lowered the median age by 1.8 years to 40. Specifically, the 35-44 age group has increased from 10.3% to 15.0%, and the 5-14 cohort has risen from 12.2% to 14.3%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 14.5% to 12.6%, and the 65-74 age group has dropped from 12.6% to 10.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Bringelly, with the 45-54 age group expected to grow by 460% (an increase of 1,859 people), reaching a total of 2,264 from its previous figure of 404.