Bringelly

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bringelly reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bringelly's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 3,090 people. This figure reflects a growth of 657 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,433 people. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of Bringelly's resident population at 2,864 as of June 2024, based on ABS ERP data, and an additional 235 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 76 persons per square kilometer. The suburb's growth rate of 27.0% since the 2021 census exceeds both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.0% of Bringelly's population gains during recent periods, though natural growth and overseas migration also played positive roles.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Bringelly is projected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of national areas. The suburb's population is expected to increase by 10,070 persons over this period, reflecting a total increase of 337.8%.

The level of residential development activity in Bringelly was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Bringelly has seen approximately 58 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 294 homes were approved between financial years FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional 26 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, each home built over these five years accommodates about 4.9 new residents per year.

This demand outpaces supply, potentially driving up prices and increasing buyer competition. The average construction cost of new homes is $437,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $10.8 million, indicating steady investment activity in the area. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bringelly exhibits moderately higher development activity, at 24.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New building activity comprises predominantly detached dwellings (93.0%) with a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (7.0%), preserving Bringelly's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With approximately 50 people per dwelling approval, Bringelly exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 10,439 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Bringelly has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 33 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Bradfield City Centre, 40 The Retreat Bradfield Mixed-use Development, Birling Estate, and Kemps Creek Energy Storage Facility. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Bringelly shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Bringelly's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with construction being particularly prominent. The unemployment rate in Bringelly is 2.2%, lower than the national average.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.9%. As of June 2025, 1,653 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Bringelly is 8.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate. Key industries include construction, education & training, and retail trade.

Construction employment levels are at 2.4 times the regional average, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.6% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, labour force by 3.2%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bringelly's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 11.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Bringelly had a median income among taxpayers of $48,029 and an average income of $61,481. These figures are lower than the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $54,085 (median) and $69,234 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 55th percentile ($1,833 weekly), while personal income sits at the 25th percentile. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 28.3% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (874 residents). Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 30.5% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing expenses, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bringelly is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bringelly's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bringelly stood at 51.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.6% and rented ones at 22.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,475, while the median weekly rent was $500, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Bringelly's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bringelly features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.6% of all households, including 42.5% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.4%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households at 3.2%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Bringelly faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted education initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 9.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 39.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 7.9% and certificates at 31.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 4.2% in tertiary education. Bringelly Public School serves the local area, with an enrollment of 95 students as of a recent report. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited, with only 3.1 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 19.0, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bringelly has 20 operational public transport stops. These are bus stops serviced by 17 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 232 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have limited access to transport, with an average distance of 719 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency is 33 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bringelly is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Bringelly shows above-average health outcomes with both young and elderly cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~1,584 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.0%) and asthma (5.4%), while 72.6% of residents report no medical ailments compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. The area has 15.9% of residents aged 65 and over (491 people), higher than the 10.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Bringelly was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bringelly's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 22.9% born overseas and 28.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Bringelly, comprising 72.3%, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (19.8%), English (16.7%), and Italian (13.1%), all higher than regional averages of 14.8%, 11.4%, and 6.6% respectively.

Notably, Maltese (9.1%), Croatian (3.2%), and Serbian (1%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.0%, 1.4%, and 1.9%.

Bringelly hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Bringelly has a median age of 40, which is somewhat higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, Bringelly has an over-representation of the 15-24 cohort (17.0% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (11.4%). Between 2021 and now, younger residents have shifted the median age down by 1.8 years to 40. Specifically, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.3% to 15.1%, while the 5-14 cohort increased from 12.2% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 14.5% to 12.6% and the 65-74 group dropped from 12.6% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for Bringelly in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes. Notably, the 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 471%, adding 1,891 people and reaching a total of 2,293 from its previous figure of 401.