Bagdad

Bagdad has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Bagad's population is estimated at around 1,570 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase from 1,482 people in the 2021 Census, marking a growth of 88 people (5.9%). The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1,536 residents following examination of ABS data released June 2024 and validation of 55 new addresses since the Census date. This population results in a density ratio of 22 persons per square kilometer. Bagdad's growth exceeded both state (5.3%) and SA3 area levels, making it a regional growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% to overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 and adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. By 2041, the suburb's population is projected to decline by 100 persons. However, specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are expected to grow, with an anticipated increase of 40 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bagdad recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Bagdad averaged around 12 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 60 homes were approved, with a further seven approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.4 new residents arrived per new home over these five years, indicating a stable market supply-demand balance. However, this has moderated to 0.2 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting an improved supply-demand balance.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $365,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year, $5.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Bagdad's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Tas., Bagdad shows 53.0% higher construction activity per person, providing buyers with ample choice. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 93 people per approval, Bagdad reflects a low-density area. Population projections indicating stability or decline should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Bagdad has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 21stth percentile nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, significant projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Jordan River Learning Federation School Farm Upgrade, Federal Government Growth Precinct Infrastructure Program - Brighton South, New Brighton High School, and New Bridgewater Bridge, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Bagdad well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Bagdad has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.6%.

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data, 736 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.8%. The workforce participation rate is similar to Rest of Tas.'s 58.6%. Census responses show that only 6.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

Bagdad has a strong specialization in construction with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 4.3% compared to the regional 8.4%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.8% and employment declined by 1.3%, resulting in a 0.5 percentage point fall in unemployment rate compared to Rest of Tas.'s growth of 0.7% employment and 0.5% labour force expansion with a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Bagdad's employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bagdad's employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Bagdad is lower than average nationally. The median income is $53,252 and the average is $59,414. In contrast, Rest of Tas.'s median income is $49,689 with an average of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Bagdad would be approximately $58,364 (median) and $65,118 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Bagdad rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 39.2% of Bagdad's community (615 individuals), aligning with the broader area where this cohort represents 28.5%. After housing costs, 86.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Bagdad is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bagdad's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses with no other dwellings. This contrasts with Non-Metro Tas., where 89.9% of dwellings were houses and 10.1% were other types. Bagdad's home ownership rate was 31.5%, lower than Non-Metro Tas.'s. The remaining dwellings in Bagdad were either mortgaged (58.6%) or rented (9.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bagdad was $1,341, higher than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,274. The median weekly rent figure in Bagdad was $350, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $250. Nationally, Bagdad's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Bagdad features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.7% of all households, including 37.3% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.3%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 0.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.3.

Bagdad faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 7.3%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 5.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 43.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 7.8% while certificates account for 35.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Bagdad is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Bagdad faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions impact both younger and older age groups, with private health cover at approximately 51% compared to the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues affect 11.3% of residents, while arthritis impacts 10.9%. 61.7% report no medical ailments, close to Rest of Tas.'s 62.0%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has 17.1% residents aged 65 and over (268 people), lower than Rest of Tas.'s 24.9%. Senior health outcomes align with national rankings, similar to the general population.

The latest Census data sees Bagdad placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bagdad was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 93.1% of its population being Australian citizens and 94.5% born in Australia. A total of 98.8% spoke English only at home. The predominant religion in Bagdad is Christianity, comprising 47.9% of the population, compared to 43.0% across the rest of Tasmania.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (38.9%), English (35.5%), and Australian Aboriginal (6.7%). Notably, Polish ethnicity is overrepresented in Bagdad at 0.9%, compared to the regional average of 0.4%.

Bagdad's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bagdad is 38 years, which is lower than the Rest of Tasmania's average of 45 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Rest of Tasmania average, the 5-14 age cohort is notably higher at 14.2% in Bagdad, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 5.1%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.1%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has risen from 9.5% to 10.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 13.7% to 12.4%. By 2041, Bagdad's population is projected to see significant demographic changes. The 75 to 84 age cohort is expected to grow by 29 people (37%) from 80 to 110. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 61% of the population growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.