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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Bagdad has an estimated 1,573 residents, up from 1,482 at the 2021 Census — a change of 91 people, or 6.1%. Growth has averaged 1.1% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 47.0% of that increase. Density is about 22 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census the suburb of Bagdad has an estimated population of approximately 1,573 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 91 residents (6.1%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 1,482 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,563, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This level of population equates to a density ratio of 22 persons per square kilometer, a level providing ample space per person. the suburb of Bagdad's 6.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (4.0%), along with the Rest of Tas., marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering the projected demographic shifts, Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to decline by 101 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to expand by 34 people. See the age section for more details.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
60 new dwellings have been approved in Bagdad over the past five years, an average of 12 a year. That places the area in the 50th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 12, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to research by AreaSearch on ABS building permissions distributed from local statistical data, the annual average for new home permits stands at roughly 12, culminating in an estimated 60 dwellings approved over the previous 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 11 so far during FY-26. Given that approximately 1.4 new occupants arrived for every new dwelling constructed over the previous 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the market appears highly balanced with stable conditions, though this has adjusted down to 0.8 people per dwelling over the last 2 financial years, pointing to a stronger equilibrium.
Approved residential builds carry an average valuation of $365,000, indicating developers are prioritizing high-end designs in the upper tier of the market. Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $5.1 million have been logged this financial year, emphasizing the predominantly residential layout of the locality. Relative to Rest of Tas., local building activity per capita is 52.0% higher, offering prospective buyers a broad selection. Additionally, recent construction consists entirely of detached homes, maintaining the low-density landscape and appealing to buyers seeking extra space. The density remains low, with approximately 111 residents for each approved permit. Given that demographic projections point to stable or contracting numbers, the locality is likely to experience less pressure on housing demand, which should prove advantageous to prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Bagdad
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 31 current infrastructure and development projects close to Bagdad, worth an estimated $1.69 billion. 5 are already under construction and 13 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and tourism. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes to local planning, major developments, and infrastructure have a significant impact on local performance. In total, no new developments have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to affect the area. Key regional projects include Jordan River Learning Federation School Farm Upgrade, Federal Government Growth Precinct Infrastructure Program - Brighton South, New Brighton High School, and New Bridgewater Bridge, with the detailed list highlighting the most relevant initiatives.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Jordan River Learning Federation School Farm Upgrade
Government-funded upgrade of the JRLF School Farm in Bridgewater/Brighton to enhance agricultural and landcare education pathways, including new learning spaces, paddock-to-plate facilities and community-use areas. Works were completed in 2022 and the facility is now operating as part of the JRLF Senior School.
Housing Land Supply Order (Brighton) 2024 - William Street Rezoning
Strategic rezoning of land from rural to General Residential Zone to facilitate additional housing development. Land described by folios FR 108441/1 and 78100/1, enabling increased residential density in this growth corridor.
Homes Tasmania Brighton Subdivision
Major residential subdivision delivering 109 lots across 10.7 hectares, including 107 residential lots, one commercial lot, and public open space. Approximately 85% of lots will be sold privately with the MyHome shared equity program, while 15% will be retained for social and affordable rental housing.
Brighton Town Square Development
Community-focused town square delivered by Brighton Council in central Brighton next to the new IGA complex. The square provides a lawn for passive play, picnic tables, bench seating, shade sails, native gardens with feature trees, a water play element themed to the Jordan River, catenary lighting and upgraded public amenities to create a civic gathering space for events and everyday use.
Federal Government Growth Precinct Infrastructure Program - Brighton South
Comprehensive $10 million infrastructure package including new sewer pump station, upgrades to Brighton Road, Dylan Street and William Street, and over 1 kilometre of shared pathways connecting township to industrial hub. The project includes construction of sewage pumping station, gravity sewer main, and rising sewer main designed to service 73 hectares of residential and commercial land, supporting up to 600 new homes and the new Brighton High School. Completed February 2025.
New Brighton High School
State-of-the-art co-educational high school for Years 7-12 accommodating up to 600 students. Features modern facilities including multi-purpose hall, performing arts space, gymnasium, commercial kitchen and caf,, outdoor learning areas and technologies space.
Hydrogen Brighton/Bridgewater Project
5MW electrolyser capacity green hydrogen production facility targeting heavy road transport and industrial applications. Includes refuelling station facilities under H2Co Energy brand. Uses renewable power from grid initially, with plans for behind-the-meter solar and power purchase agreements.
New Bridgewater Bridge
Opened on June 1, 2025, the New Bridgewater Bridge is Tasmania's largest ever transport infrastructure project, featuring a 1.2-kilometre four-lane concrete box girder bridge across the River Derwent. It replaces the 78-year-old lift-span bridge, providing enhanced interchanges at Granton and Bridgewater and a 3-metre-wide shared pathway for cyclists and pedestrians. As of February 2026, work is focused on the demolition and removal of the old bridge structure, including the removal of the lift span via barge, with all removal activities expected to conclude by mid-2026.
776 residents of Bagdad are employed, from a labour force of 798. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 64.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,209, about 77% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
A balanced mix of blue-collar and white-collar occupations characterizes the local workforce, with the building sector showing exceptionally strong representation. The unemployment rate sits at a low 2.8%, and jobs grew by an estimated 11.3% over the prior year, according to aggregated statistical district details compiled by AreaSearch. In March 2026, there were 776 employed locals, representing an unemployment rate 1.2% lower than the 3.9% recorded in Regional Tas. Participation in the labor market is also high, registering at 64.1% compared to 58.8% for Regional Tas. Census records indicate that a small proportion of 6.5% of workers operated from home, though the influence of pandemic restrictions should be kept in mind.
The principal sectors of employment for residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. The local area displays a notable concentration in building trades, where the proportion of workers is 1.8 times the regional standard. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing represents a minor portion of local work at 4.3% compared to the regional figure of 8.4%. The comparison of Census employment figures against the resident worker pool suggests that local positions are relatively scarce in the immediate vicinity. Data compiled by AreaSearch from SALM and ABS records across broader statistical boundaries indicates that for the 12 months ending March 2026, the number of employed residents grew by 11.3% while the total labor pool expanded by 10.7%, resulting in a 0.6 percentage point decrease in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Regional Tas. recorded a 1.8% rise in employment and a 1.7% expansion in the workforce, alongside a very minor contraction in joblessness. Broader national projections from Jobs and Skills Australia dated May-25 offer additional context regarding potential long-term hiring needs in the area. These five and ten-year national outlooks have been applied to the local workforce composition to model potential changes. While overall national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates vary widely by industry. Projecting these trends onto the local industry distribution suggests employment could rise by 5.9% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, noting this is a basic weighted projection for modeling purposes and does not account for local population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Bagdad is $1,587 a week (about $83,000 a year), with median personal income at $743 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,252 a year against an average of $59,414. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer records from the ATO for financial year 2023, compiled at the postcode level by AreaSearch, show a median income of $53,252 and an average of $59,414. These figures sit below national benchmarks, compared to a median of $49,689 and an average of $59,358 across Regional Tas. Factoring in a Wage Price Index rise of 10.95% since financial year 2023, current projections place the figures at roughly $59,083 for the median and $65,920 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census highlights that household, family, and individual incomes fall into moderate brackets, positioning between the 37th and 40th percentiles.
The earnings distribution shows 39.2% of the population (616 individuals) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which is higher than the regional rate of 28.5%. Once housing expenses are met, 86.4% of earnings are available for other costs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Bagdad had 503 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 59% are owned with a mortgage, 10% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $350 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,341 a month. Rent absorbs 22.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the most recent Census, the distribution of residential structures in the locality was 100.0% houses and none were recorded in other categories like apartments or semi-detached options, whereas Regional Tas. comprised 89.9% houses and 10.1% alternative designs. The proportion of outright home ownership was lower than the regional benchmark of Regional Tas., standing at 31.5%, while the remaining properties were held under mortgages (58.6%) or occupied by tenants (9.9%). The median monthly home loan payment was higher than the regional average of $1,274 at $1,341, and the median weekly rent was $350 compared to the regional figure of $250.
On a national level, home loan payments are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Bagdad counted 503 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 534 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 37% are couples with children, against 31% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of households at 82.7%, consisting of couples with children at 37.3%, childless couples at 30.6%, and single parents at 14.7%. The remaining 17.3% is made up of non-family living arrangements, where single-person households account for 16.5% and shared group homes comprise 0.8%. The typical household size is 2.8 individuals, which is larger than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
7.3% of adults in Bagdad hold a university qualification, including 5.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.0% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 95% of areas nationally. A further 35.8% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 151 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 879 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Local education outcomes show areas for improvement, as university graduation rates (7.3%) sit well below the nationwide benchmark of 30.4%. This represents a key area for potential educational support and development. Among those with degrees, bachelor programs are the most common at 5.7%, followed by postgraduate studies (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Practical and vocational qualifications are highly represented, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding certificates or diplomas, including advanced diplomas (7.8%) and certificates (35.8%). Enrolment in education is strong, with 29.3% of the local population currently engaged in study.
This group includes 13.6% attending primary schools, 8.3% in high schools, and 1.9% enrolled in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Bagdad means driving: households keep an average of 2.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
61.7% of residents in Bagdad report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 91% of areas nationally. 7.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Significant healthcare concerns are present locally, as indicated by AreaSearch metrics on mortality and long-term illnesses affecting both younger and older residents, alongside a lower rate of private health insurance coverage, which sits at roughly 51% of the population (~797 people) compared to a national average of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and arthritis were identified as the most prevalent health issues, affecting 11.3% and 10.9% of the population, respectively. Meanwhile, 61.7% of residents reported having no chronic health issues, compared to 62.0% across Regional Tas. Health difficulties are notable among the working-age population, who show higher rates of long-term conditions.
Residents aged 65 and older represent 17.1% of the local population (268 people), lower than the 24.9% seen across Regional Tas. Senior health indicators reveal some difficulties, with national performance metrics tracking closely with the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Bagdad is largely Australian-born, at 94.5% of residents, with 1.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (38.9%) and English (35.5%). 6.7% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures lower than average, with citizens making up 93.1% of the population, 94.5% of residents born in Australia, and 98.8% using only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, representing 47.9% of residents, compared to 43.0% across Regional Tas. Looking at parental birthplace, the three largest ancestry groups are Australian at 38.9% (considerably above the regional rate of 32.6%), English at 35.5%, and Australian Aboriginal at 6.7%. Certain smaller groups show distinct local concentrations, with Polish heritage overrepresented at 0.9% compared to the regional rate of 0.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Bagdad is 38. 24.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 38 years is equal to the national median of 38, yet sits notably below the Regional Tas. average of 45. Relative to the Regional Tas. average, children aged 5 - 14 show a high representation at 14.0%, whereas individuals aged 75 - 84 are underrepresented at 5.3%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 3.7% to 5.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 group contracted from 13.7% to 12.0%, and the 5 to 14 group fell from 15.1% to 14.0%.
Demographic projections for 2041 point to major shifts, with the 75 to 84 age bracket expected to grow by 29 people (36%), rising from 83 to 113. An aging trend is evident, as residents aged 65+ account for 63% of the projected growth, while the 65 to 74 and 0 to 4 groups are forecast to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Bagdad
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 57 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,482 at the 2021 Census → 1,573 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL60026). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.