Bagdad

Bagdad has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Bagad's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 1,557 people. This figure reflects an increase of 75 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,482 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,534 following their examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024, and an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 21 persons per square kilometer. Bagdad's growth rate of 5.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 4.8%, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are adopted, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Projected demographic shifts indicate an overall population decline for Bagdad. By 2041, the area's population is expected to decrease by 96 persons according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group which is projected to expand by 37 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bagdad recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Bagdad shows an average of 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, 59 homes were approved, with a further 3 approved so far in FY-26. This averages to approximately 1.5 new residents arriving per new home over the past five financial years, indicating stable market conditions. However, this ratio has moderated to 0.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting an improved supply-demand balance.

The average construction value of new homes is $365,000. In FY-26, Bagdad has registered $1.7 million in commercial approvals. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Bagdad exhibits 50.0% higher construction activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers. All recent building activity consists of detached dwellings, preserving Bagdad's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 133 people per approval, Bagdad reflects a low density area. Population is expected to remain stable or decline, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

Bagdad has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Jordan River Learning Federation School Farm Upgrade, Federal Government Growth Precinct Infrastructure Program - Brighton South, New Brighton High School, and New Bridgewater Bridge. The following list outlines those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Bagdad maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Bagdad has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent.

As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 3.0%. According to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data, Bagdad's unemployment rate is 1.0% lower than Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Bagdad is high at 63.0%, compared to Rest of Tas.'s 55.7%. The leading employment industries are construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

Construction stands out with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence in Bagdad, with only 4.3% employment compared to the regional average of 8.4%. The area may not offer many local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.7%, and employment declined by 5.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Tas., where employment fell by 0.5% and unemployment fell marginally despite a slight contraction in labour force. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Bagdad's employment mix could grow by 5.9% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bagdad's current employment profile.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Bagdad is lower than average nationally. The median income is $53,252 and the average income is $59,414. This contrasts with Rest of Tas.'s figures where the median income is $47,358 and the average income is $57,384. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Bagdad would be approximately $60,617 (median) and $67,631 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Bagdad rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 39.2% of the community (610 individuals), which aligns with the broader area where this cohort also represents 28.5%. After housing expenses, 86.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Bagdad is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bagad's dwellings were entirely houses as per the latest Census data. This is compared to Non-Metro Tas., which had 97.8% houses and 2.2% other dwelling types. Home ownership in Bagdad was at 31.5%, with mortgaged properties at 58.6% and rented ones at 9.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bagdad was $1,341, higher than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,200. The median weekly rent figure for Bagdad was recorded as $350, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $240. Nationally, Bagdad's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Bagdad features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.7% of all households, including 37.3% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.3%, comprising 16.5% lone person households and 0.8% group households. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.4.

Bagdad faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 7.3%, significantly below the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 5.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (7.8%) and certificates (35.8%).

Educational participation is high at 29.3%, including 13.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education. Bagdad Primary School serves the local area with an enrollment of 151 students as of 2021, operating under varied educational conditions (ICSEA: 879). The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas from 2022 onwards. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs (9.7 places per 100 residents vs 7.1 regionally), indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region since 2015.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Bagdad is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Bagdad faces significant health challenges with a higher prevalence of common conditions compared to average, particularly among older age groups. Approximately 51% (~789 people) have private health cover, lower than the 46.5% across Rest of Tas.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions at 11.3% and 10.9%, respectively. Around 61.7% report no medical ailments, similar to the 62.3% in Rest of Tas. Bagdad has a lower proportion of seniors (16.4%, or 255 people) compared to Rest of Tas. (22%). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The latest Census data sees Bagdad placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bagdad was found to have below average cultural diversity with 93.1% citizens, 94.5% born in Australia and 98.8% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion is Christianity at 47.9%, compared to 49.6% across Rest of Tas. Top ancestry groups are Australian (38.9%), English (35.5%) and Australian Aboriginal (6.7%).

Notably, Polish ethnicity is overrepresented in Bagdad at 0.9%, compared to the regional average of 0.5%.

Bagdad's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bagdad is 38 years, which is lower than the Rest of Tas.'s average of 45 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Bagdad has a notably higher proportion of individuals aged 5-14 (13.8%) and a significantly lower proportion of those aged 75-84 (4.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 65-74 increased from 9.5% to 10.6%, while the 75-84 age group grew from 3.7% to 4.8%. Conversely, the proportion of individuals aged 5-14 decreased from 15.1% to 13.8%, and those aged 45-54 dropped from 13.7% to 12.6%. By 2041, Bagdad's population is projected to see significant demographic changes. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to expand by 31 people (an increase of 42%), with those aged 65 and above comprising 64% of the projected growth. Conversely, the populations aged 65-74 and 0-4 are forecasted to decrease.