Bagdad

Bagdad has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Bagad's population is estimated at around 1,573 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,482 people, a growth of 91 individuals (6.1%). The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1,563 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2025 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. Bagdad's population density stands at 22 persons per square kilometer. The suburb's growth rate of 6.1% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state's (4.0%) and Rest of Tas' figures, marking it as a regional growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% to Bagdad's population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. By 2041, Bagdad's overall population is projected to decline by 101 persons according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are expected to grow, with an anticipated increase of 34 individuals.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Bagdad when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Bagdad averaged around 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 58 homes were approved, with 9 so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, approximately 1.6 new residents arrived per new home on average, indicating a balanced supply-demand ratio. However, this has moderated to 0.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting an improved balance.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $365,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year, $5.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Bagdad's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Tas., Bagdad exhibits moderately higher construction activity, 47.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values.

Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers, with around 99 people per approval. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Bagdad has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 17thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified zero projects impacting this region. Notable projects include Jordan River Learning Federation School Farm Upgrade, Federal Government Growth Precinct Infrastructure Program - Brighton South, New Brighton High School, and New Bridgewater Bridge. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Bagdad significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Bagdad has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% and estimated employment growth of 5.2% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. As of December 2025746 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than Regional Tas.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 61.6%, compared to Regional Tas.'s 58.7%. Census responses show that 6.5% of residents work from home, but Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors are construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Bagdad specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 4.3% compared to the regional 8.4%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the working population versus resident population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.2%, while labour force grew by 3.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Tas. had employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 1.5%, with a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Bagdad. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bagdad's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Bagad suburb's median taxpayer income was $53,252 and average was $59,414 in financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, contrasting with Regional Tas.'s median of $49,689 and average of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.95%, estimated incomes as of March 2026 are approximately $59,083 (median) and $65,920 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Bagdad's household, family, and personal incomes modestly between the 37th and 40th percentiles. In Bagdad, 39.2% of individuals earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, mirroring regional levels at 28.5%. After housing expenses, 86.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Bagdad is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bagad's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses with no other dwelling types present. This contrasts with Regional Tas.'s mix of 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Bagdad's home ownership rate was 31.5%, lower than Regional Tas.'s figure. The majority of Bagdad homes were mortgaged (58.6%) or rented (9.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bagdad was $1,341, higher than Regional Tas.'s average of $1,274. The median weekly rent in Bagdad was $350, compared to Regional Tas.'s $250. Nationally, Bagdad's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Bagdad features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.7% of all households, including 37.3% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.3%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 0.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Regional Tasmanian average of 2.3.

Bagdad faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 7.3%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.8%) and certificates (35.8%). Educational participation is high at 29.3%, comprising primary education (13.6%), secondary education (8.3%), and tertiary education (1.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Bagdad is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Bagdad faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Several health conditions affect both younger and older age groups, with approximately 51% of Bagdad's total population (~797 people) having private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (11.3%) and arthritis (10.9%), while 61.7% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Regional Tas.'s 62.0%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Bagdad has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (268 people), lower than Regional Tas.'s 24.9%. Senior health outcomes present some challenges, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Bagdad placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bagdad was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 93.1% of its population being Australian citizens and 94.5% born in Australia. English was spoken exclusively at home by 98.8% of Bagdad's residents. The predominant religion in Bagdad was Christianity, comprising 47.9% of the population, compared to 43.0% across Regional Tas..

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were Australian (38.9%), English (35.5%), and Australian Aboriginal (6.7%). Notably, Polish ethnicity was overrepresented in Bagdad at 0.9%, compared to 0.4% regionally.

Bagdad's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bagdad is 38 years, which is notably lower than Regional Tas.'s average of 45 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Regional Tas., the 5-14 age cohort is significantly overrepresented at 14.0% locally while the 75-84 year-olds are underrepresented at 5.3%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.3% of Bagdad's population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.7% to 12.0%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 15.1% to 14.0%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic shifts in Bagdad, with the 75 to 84 age cohort projected to expand by 29 people (36%) from 83 to 113. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 63% of the projected growth. Conversely, the 65 to 74 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.