Gagebrook

Population growth drivers in Gagebrook are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Gagebrook is around 1,617, reflecting an increase of 45 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a growth rate of approximately 2.9%. The current population estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of resident population data from June 2024 ABS ERP release, which stands at 1,606. Over the past decade, Gagebrook has shown resilient growth patterns with an average annual growth rate of 1.4%, outpacing the state's growth rate during this period. Natural growth contributed approximately 53% to overall population gains in recent periods, although interstate and overseas migration also played positive roles. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections for areas not covered by this data, with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods.

Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest an above median population growth for the suburb of Gagebrook, with projections indicating an increase of 369 persons to reach a total population of approximately 1,986 by 2041, representing a gain of around 27% over this period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Gagebrook according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Gagebrook has experienced approximately one dwelling receiving development approval annually. Between financial years 2021 and 2025, around nine homes were approved, with none yet in the current financial year 2026. This results in an average of 20.9 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

Commercial development approvals totalled $638,000 this financial year, indicating minimal commercial activity. Compared to Greater Hobart, Gagebrook has significantly reduced construction levels, at 88.0% below the regional average per person. Recent building activity consists solely of detached houses, maintaining the area's suburban identity with family homes suited for space-seeking buyers. With a population of around 3338 people per approval, Gagebrook is an established area. Population forecasts indicate it will gain 436 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Gagebrook has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 25thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch that will affect this area. Key projects include: New Bridgewater Bridge, Hydrogen Brighton/Bridgewater Project, New Brighton High School, and Federal Government Growth Precinct Infrastructure Program - Brighton South.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Gagebrook face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Gagebrook has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 27.0% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.1%.

This rate is significantly higher than Greater Hobart's unemployment rate of 4.0%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in Gagebrook lags behind Greater Hobart, with a participation rate of 45.7% compared to Greater Hobart's 63.8%. Census responses showed that 0.0% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food.

Retail trade is particularly notable, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 3.2% compared to the regional average of 10.8%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, while labour force decreased by 2.2%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 3.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Hobart experienced an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.9%, with a drop in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gagebrook's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that in Gagebrook, median income is $44,826 and average income is $49,310. This is lower than the national averages of $54,577 (median) and $65,190 (average). In Greater Hobart, median income is $54,577 and average income is $65,190. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes in Gagebrook would be approximately $49,129 (median) and $54,044 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Gagebrook are between the 0th and 2nd percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 35.7% of residents earn between $400 and $799 weekly, with a total of 577 people. This differs from the surrounding region where 32.2% earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. In Gagebrook, 47.4% earn under $800 per week, indicating significant income constraints affecting local spending patterns. Housing affordability is a severe issue, with only 73.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 2nd percentile nationally.

Gagebrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Gagebrook's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Hobart metro had 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gagebrook was at 7.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 15.5% and rented ones at 76.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $867, below Hobart metro's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Gagebrook was $240, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Gagebrook's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gagebrook has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.5% of all households, including 17.3% couples with children, 12.6% couples without children, and 37.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 27.1% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Gagebrook faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 4.2%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 3.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.5%) and graduate diplomas (0%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (4.9%) and certificates (31.7%). Educational participation is high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 18.6% in primary education, 9.6% in secondary education, and 1.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gagebrook has 26 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 66 different routes that together facilitate 4,607 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 107 meters from the nearest stop. As a mainly residential zone, most Gagebrook residents commute outwards daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 90% of these commuters, while only 5% use buses. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling in Gagebrook is 1.0, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, no residents (0%) work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 658 trips per day, equating to approximately 177 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Gagebrook is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's assessment reveals significant health challenges across Gagebrook. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (~755 people), compared to 51.7% in Greater Hobart and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, impacting 15.3% and 12.8% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.5% in Greater Hobart. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Gagebrook has 7.7% of residents aged 65 and over (124 people), lower than the 19.9% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Gagebrook placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gagebrook's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.4% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (96.7%), and speaking English only at home (97.2%). Christianity is the predominant religion in Gagebrook, comprising 26.7% of people. Islam's representation is notably higher than the regional average, making up 0.8% compared to Greater Hobart's 1.3%.

The top ancestry groups are Australian (37.3%), English (32.3%), and Australian Aboriginal (15.8%), all substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 28.0% and 3.0%. Hungarian (0.2%) and Welsh (0.4%) ethnicities show notable overrepresentation in Gagebrook compared to the regional averages of 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively.

Gagebrook hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gagebrook has a median age of 27, which is notably younger than Greater Hobart's figure of 39 and significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Hobart, Gagebrook has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.3%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (3.5%). This 5-14 concentration is considerably higher than the national average of 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 15.7% to 17.5%, while the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 2.5% to 3.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 19.9% to 18.3%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 10.2% to 8.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate substantial shifts in Gagebrook's age structure. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to increase significantly by 77 people (39%), growing from 200 to 278. The 55 to 64 group is expected to grow more modestly, adding only 2 residents at a rate of 2%.