Gagebrook

Population growth drivers in Gagebrook are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Gagebrook is around 1,605. This figure reflects an increase of 33 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,572. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 1,578 following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,188 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Gagebrook has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.4%, outpacing the state. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for Gagebrook, with the suburb expected to increase by 363 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 27.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Gagebrook according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Gagebrook had virtually no dwelling approvals in recent years. Between FY21 and FY25, an estimated 2 homes were approved, with none so far in FY26. This resulted in an average of 94 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over those five financial years.

Consequently, demand significantly exceeded new supply, leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. In FY26, $282,000 in commercial development approvals were recorded, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Hobart, Gagebrook shows substantially reduced construction, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties nationally as well.

Gagebrook has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly influence a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major undertakings, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has pinpointed 0 projects expected to impact the area. Notable projects include New Bridgewater Bridge, Hydrogen Brighton/Bridgewater Project, New Brighton High School, and Federal Government Growth Precinct Infrastructure Program - Brighton South, with the following list highlighting those most pertinent.

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Employment conditions in Gagebrook face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Gagebrook's workforce spans white and blue collar jobs, with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 27.9% as of June 2025, showing a 1.4% employment growth over the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

Residents in work numbered 373, while the unemployment rate stood at 23.7%, significantly higher than Greater Hobart's 4.1%. Workforce participation was lower at 40.9% compared to Greater Hobart's 61.6%. Key employment sectors included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food services. Retail trade had a particularly high share of employment, at 1.9 times the regional level, while education & training had limited presence with only 3.2% employment compared to 10.8% regionally.

The area's predominantly residential nature offered limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 1.4%, while the labour force decreased by 3.2%, resulting in a 3.2 percentage point drop in unemployment rate compared to Greater Hobart's 0.2 percentage point decrease. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections suggesting Gagebrook's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Gagebrook's median taxpayer income in financial year 2022 was $44,826 and average income was $49,310 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below the national average of $51,272 median and $63,777 average for Greater Hobart. By September 2025, estimates suggest Gagebrook's median income will be approximately $51,025 and average income around $56,130 based on a 13.83% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census showed household, family, and personal incomes in Gagebrook falling between the 0th and 2nd percentiles nationally. Income analysis revealed that 35.7% of locals (572 people) had incomes in the $400 - $799 category, unlike broader trends where 32.2% fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Economic circumstances indicated widespread financial pressure with 47.4% of households operating on weekly budgets below $800. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 73.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 2nd percentile.

Gagebrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Gagebrook, as per the latest Census evaluation, 92.4% of dwellings were houses while 7.6% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In contrast, Hobart metro had 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gagebrook stood at 7.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 15.5% and rented ones at 76.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $867, lower than Hobart metro's average of $1,400. The median weekly rent in Gagebrook was $240, compared to Hobart metro's $280. Nationally, Gagebrook's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $867 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gagebrook has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.5 percent of all households, including 17.3 percent couples with children, 12.6 percent couples without children, and 37.5 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.5 percent, with lone person households at 27.1 percent and group households comprising 2.7 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which matches the Greater Hobart average.

Gagebrook faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 4.2%, substantially below the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees lead at 3.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (0.5%) and graduate diplomas (0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (4.9%) and certificates (31.7%). Educational participation is high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 18.6% in primary, 9.6% in secondary, and 1.3% pursuing tertiary education.

JRLF - Gagebrook Primary School provides local educational services within Gagebrook, enrolling 135 students as of a date unspecified. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with ICSEA score of 783, indicating varied educational conditions. Secondary options are available in surrounding areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 26 active public transport stops in Gagebrook, served by a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 61 individual routes, offering a total of 4,602 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 107 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 657 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 177 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Gagebrook is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Gagebrook, with a range of health conditions impacting both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~749 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 15.3% and 12.8% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 58.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.0% across Greater Hobart. The area has 7.5% of residents aged 65 and over (120 people), which is lower than the 15.7% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Gagebrook placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gagebrook had a cultural diversity below average, with 88.4% citizens, 96.7% born in Australia, and 97.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 26.7%. Islam's representation was 0.8%, higher than Greater Hobart's 0.6%.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (37.3%), English (32.3%), and Australian Aboriginal (15.8%), significantly higher than the regional average of 7.4%. Hungarian and Welsh groups showed notable divergences, with Hungarians at 0.2% in Gagebrook compared to 0.2% regionally, and Welsh at 0.4% versus 0.2%.

Gagebrook hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gagebrook's median age of 27 is notably lower than Greater Hobart's figure of 39 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Hobart, Gagebrook has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.5%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (3.5%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly above the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 15.7% to 17.7%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 15.4% to 16.5%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 19.9% to 18.5% and the 45 to 54 age group decreased from 10.2% to 9.1%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Gagebrook's age structure. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to increase by 84 people (44%), from 192 to 277. The 55 to 64 age group is expected to grow at a more modest rate of 2%, adding only 3 residents.