New Norfolk

Population growth drivers in New Norfolk are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

New Norfolk's population, according to AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 7,797 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 504 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,293. The change can be inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,649 in June 2024 and an additional 332 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 123 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. New Norfolk's growth rate of 6.9% since the 2021 census exceeded that of the SA3 area (2.3%) and the SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 79.3% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all factors including overseas migration and natural growth were positive contributors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted with adjustments made using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas, with the area expected to grow by 769 persons to reach approximately 8,566 by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 8.0% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within New Norfolk when compared nationally

New Norfolk has received approximately 59 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 296 homes. As of FY-26, 11 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.9 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. The average construction value of new properties is $232,000.

In FY-26, there have been $8.2 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Compared to Greater Hobart, New Norfolk has 82.0% more construction activity per person. The area's development consists predominantly of detached houses (98.0%) and a small proportion of townhouses or apartments (2.0%), maintaining its traditional low density character. There are approximately 200 people per dwelling approval in the location, suggesting an expanding market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, New Norfolk is projected to gain 621 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

New Norfolk has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 15thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are The Mills Precinct (including Noble Life New Norfolk Resort), Derwent Valley Health and Wellbeing Hub, The Agrarian Kitchen Expansion, and Campus7140 Education Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in New Norfolk face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

New Norfolk's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.7% as of September 2025, which is 3.7% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in New Norfolk is lower at 56.5%, compared to Greater Hobart's 63.8%.

According to Census data, only 5.3% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 2.4% employment compared to the regional average of 6.6%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, New Norfolk's labour force decreased by 0.8%, while employment remained stable at a decline of 0.0%, leading to a 0.7 percentage point drop in unemployment. In Greater Hobart, employment contracted by 0.7%, the labour force fell by 0.9%, and unemployment dropped by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to New Norfolk's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not consider localized population projections.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The New Norfolk SA2's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2023 was $49,238. The average income stood at $54,457 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Hobart had figures of $54,577 and $65,190 respectively for median and average incomes. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,965, with the average being around $59,685. Census data indicates that household, family and personal incomes in New Norfolk fall between the 11th and 11th percentiles nationally. In terms of income distribution, 29.4% of New Norfolk's population (2,292 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.2% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in New Norfolk, with only 83.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

New Norfolk is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

New Norfolk's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in New Norfolk was at 33.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.1% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,200, below Hobart metro's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in New Norfolk was $290, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, New Norfolk's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

New Norfolk has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.6% of all households, including 24.3% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 16.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.4 people, aligning with the Greater Hobart average.

New Norfolk faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 6.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.2%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.0%) and certificates (31.2%). Educational participation is high, with 27.0% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising primary (12.0%), secondary (7.6%), and tertiary (2.2%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in New Norfolk is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

New Norfolk faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 3,648 people), compared to Greater Hobart's 51.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 12.0% and 11.5% of residents respectively. However, 59.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Hobart's 65.5%. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.0%, with 1,635 people, compared to Greater Hobart's 19.6%. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they generally align with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees New Norfolk placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

New Norfolk's cultural diversity was found to be below average. Its population comprised 91.4% citizens, 92.4% born in Australia, and 97.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 45.7% of people identifying as such, compared to 39.8% across Greater Hobart.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English (37.1%, substantially higher than the regional average of 31.8%), Australian (35.7%, substantially higher than the regional average of 28.0%), and Irish (7.0%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was overrepresented at 4.7% compared to the regional average of 3.0%.

New Norfolk's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in New Norfolk is 40 years, similar to Greater Hobart's average of 39 years but somewhat older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 12.8% of the population compared to Greater Hobart, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35-44 age group has grown from 12.1% to 13.3%, and the 5-14 age group has declined from 12.9% to 11.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in New Norfolk, with the 75-84 age group expected to grow by 48%, reaching 801 people from 541. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 63% of total population growth. Conversely, the 15-24 and 55-64 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.