New Norfolk

Population growth drivers in New Norfolk are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

New Norfolk's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 7,800. This figure represents an increase of 507 people, a 7.0% rise from the 2021 Census which reported a population of 7,293. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,649 in June 2024 and the addition of 335 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 123 persons per square kilometer. New Norfolk's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (2.4%) and SA4 region, making it a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 79.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth by age group post-2032, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the Australian median statistical area average. By 2041, New Norfolk is expected to grow by 769 persons, reflecting a total increase of 7.9% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within New Norfolk when compared nationally

New Norfolk has received approximately 59 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 296 homes. As of FY-26, 11 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.9 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand market with stable conditions. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $232,000.

This financial year has seen $8.2 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to Greater Hobart, where there is 82.0% more construction activity per person. New development primarily consists of detached houses (98.0%) with a minority of townhouses or apartments (2.0%), maintaining the area's low density character and appealing to families seeking space. The location has approximately 200 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, New Norfolk is projected to gain 618 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

New Norfolk has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 15thth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could impact the area, with key ones being The Mills Precinct (including Noble Life New Norfolk Resort), Derwent Valley Health and Wellbeing Hub, The Agrarian Kitchen Expansion, and Campus7140 Education Centre. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in New Norfolk face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

New Norfolk has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 7.7% as of September 2025. Resident employment stood at 3,286, which is 3.7% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation in New Norfolk lags behind Greater Hobart at 56.2% compared to 63.8%. According to Census responses, only 5.3% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment is particularly notable, at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence with only 2.4% employment compared to 6.6% regionally. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.8%, while employment remained stable at a decline of 0.0%. This led to a decrease in unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Hobart saw employment contract by 0.7% during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to New Norfolk's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The New Norfolk SA2's median income among taxpayers was $49,238 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $54,457 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Hobart of $54,577 and $65,190 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.6% since financial year 2023, estimated median income would be approximately $53,965 as of September 2025, with average income estimated at $59,685 during the same period. Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in New Norfolk all fall between the 11th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 29.4% of the population (2,293 individuals) have incomes within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.2% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

New Norfolk is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in New Norfolk, as per the latest Census, consists of 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Hobart metro has 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in New Norfolk stands at 33.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.1% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,200, lower than Hobart metro's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure in New Norfolk is $290, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, New Norfolk's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

New Norfolk has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 69.6% of all households, including 24.3% composed of couples with children, 28.3% consisting of couples without children, and 16.1% being single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Greater Hobart average.

New Norfolk faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 6.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.0%) and certificates (31.2%). Educational participation is high at 27.0%, comprising primary education (12.0%), secondary education (7.6%), and tertiary education (2.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.2% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in New Norfolk is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

New Norfolk faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 3,650 people), compared to Greater Hobart's 51.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common conditions, affecting 12.0% and 11.5% of residents respectively, while 59.2% report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Hobart's 65.5%. Working-age population health is notably challenging due to high chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.3%, compared to Greater Hobart's 19.9%. Senior health outcomes present challenges, generally aligning with national rankings.

The latest Census data sees New Norfolk placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

New Norfolk showed lower cultural diversity, with 91.4% of its residents being citizens and 92.4% born in Australia. English was the language spoken at home by 97.5%. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 45.7%, compared to 39.8% across Greater Hobart.

The top three ancestral groups were English (37.1%), Australian (35.7%), and Irish (7.0%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 4.7% in New Norfolk than the regional average of 3%.

New Norfolk's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in New Norfolk is 40 years, similar to Greater Hobart's average of 39 years but somewhat older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 has a strong representation at 12.8% compared to Greater Hobart, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 11.7%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the population aged 35 to 44 has grown from 12.1% to 13.7%, whereas the age group of 5 to 14 has declined from 12.9% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in New Norfolk, with the 75-84 age group expected to grow by 47% (an increase of 257 people), reaching a total of 801 from 543. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 58% of the total population growth, reflecting New Norfolk's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the age groups of 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 are expected to experience population declines.