New Norfolk

Population growth drivers in New Norfolk are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

New Norfolk's population, as of Nov 2025, is estimated at around 6,452. This figure reflects an increase of 415 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,037. AreaSearch estimates the resident population as 6,297 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), with an additional 271 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 435 persons per square kilometer. New Norfolk's growth rate of 6.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (2.6%) and the SA4 region, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with the suburb expected to expand by 653 persons to reach 7,105 by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 8.3% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within New Norfolk when compared nationally

New Norfolk saw around 40 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Approximately 200 homes were approved between financial years FY-21 to FY-25, with 5 more approved in FY-26. Each dwelling brought an average of 2.4 new residents over the past five years.

New homes were built at an average cost of $385,000. Commercial approvals totaled $7.9 million in FY-26. Compared to Greater Hobart, New Norfolk had 49.0% higher development activity per person between FY-21 and FY-25.

Recent construction comprised 97.0% detached dwellings and 3.0% medium-high density housing. With around 203 people per dwelling approval, New Norfolk is considered a growth area. AreaSearch estimates predict an increase of 534 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially supporting population growth exceeding current forecasts.

New Norfolk has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include The Mills Precinct (comprising Noble Life New Norfolk Resort), Derwent Valley Health and Wellbeing Hub, The Agrarian Kitchen Expansion, and Campus7140 Education Centre, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in New Norfolk lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

New Norfolk has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, well-represented essential services sectors, an unemployment rate of 8.6% as of June 2025, and relative employment stability over the past year. This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

There are 2,609 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 4.4% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation lags at 51.8%, compared to Greater Hobart's 61.6%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment levels are notably high, at 1.5 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical jobs are under-represented, with only 2.2% of New Norfolk's workforce compared to Greater Hobart's 6.6%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, labour force decreased by 1.7%, while employment declined by 0.5%, leading to an unemployment rate drop of 1.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Hobart saw employment decline by 1.5%, labour force decline by 1.6%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to New Norfolk's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

New Norfolk's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2022 was $45,215. The average income stood at $49,891 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Hobart's median income of $51,272 and average income of $63,777 respectively. As of September 2025, current estimates project New Norfolk's median income to be approximately $51,468 and the average income at around $56,791, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in New Norfolk all fall between the 8th and 9th percentiles nationally. Income brackets show that 29.0% of the community (1,871 individuals) earn within the $400 - 799 range, differing from the regional prevalence where the $1,500 - 2,999 category accounts for 32.2%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in New Norfolk, with only 83.2% of income remaining after expenses, ranking at the 9th percentile nationally.

New Norfolk is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

New Norfolk's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.2% houses and 8.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Hobart metro's figures of 83.1% houses and 17.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in New Norfolk stood at 31.7%, mirroring Hobart metro's rate, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (36.6%) or rented (31.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in New Norfolk was $1,127, lower than Hobart metro's average of $1,300. Median weekly rent in New Norfolk was recorded at $290, compared to Hobart metro's $320. Nationally, New Norfolk's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

New Norfolk features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 68.0% of all households, including 22.5% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 16.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Greater Hobart average.

New Norfolk faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.1%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 6.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.0%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 6.9% and certificates at 30.4%. Educational participation is high, with 27.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.3% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education. New Norfolk has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 1,000 students. The area's educational conditions vary (ICSEA: 911). Education provision is balanced, with 3 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in New Norfolk is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across New Norfolk, where various health conditions impact both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~3,029 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 12.2 and 11.5% of residents respectively. However, 58.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.7% across Greater Hobart. The area has 21.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,393 people), which is higher than the 18.7% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees New Norfolk placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

New Norfolk was found to have low cultural diversity, with 90.9% of its residents being citizens, 92.2% born in Australia, and 97.3% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, accounting for 44.1% of the population. There's no representation of Judaism (0.0%), similar to Greater Hobart's 0.0%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (37.1%, higher than the regional average of 30.6%), Australian (35.3%, higher than the regional average of 28.8%), and Irish (6.9%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal people are overrepresented at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 4.0%.

New Norfolk's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in New Norfolk is 40 years, similar to Greater Hobart's average of 39 years but somewhat older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group makes up 11.8% of the population in New Norfolk compared to Greater Hobart. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.9%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the 35-44 age group has grown from 11.7% to 12.9%, while the 5-14 age group has declined from 12.9% to 11.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for New Norfolk. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 48%, reaching 679 people from the current 458. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 63% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15-24 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.