Tamborine - Canungra

Population growth drivers in Tamborine - Canungra are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Tamborine - Canungra's population is approximately 16,876 as of May 2026. This figure represents a growth of 1,184 individuals (7.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,692 people. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 16,855 in June 2025 and an additional 394 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of 32 persons per square kilometer. Tamborine - Canungra's growth rate exceeded the SA3 area average (7.2%) during this period, marking it as a region leader in terms of population growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.2% to overall population gains recently, although all migration types were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 (based on 2021 data) are adopted. However, these state projections lack age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) are applied when utilized. Looking ahead with demographic trends, a population increase just below Australia's non-metropolitan median is expected for Tamborine - Canungra, with an anticipated growth of 1,776 persons to reach approximately 18,652 by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers. This reflects a total gain of 10.4% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Tamborine - Canungra among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Tamborine - Canungra granted approval for approximately 87 residential properties annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 438 homes were approved, with an additional 90 approved in FY26 so far. On average, about 2.5 people moved into the area each year per new home constructed during these five years, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost of new homes was approximately $360,000. In terms of commercial development, around $11.9 million in approvals were recorded this financial year, suggesting steady investment activity. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Tamborine - Canungra maintains similar construction rates per capita, reflecting a balanced market consistent with the broader area.

All new constructions have been detached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 155 people added per approval, Tamborine - Canungra is considered a developing area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the region is projected to add approximately 1,755 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Tamborine - Canungra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 37 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones are Tamborine Shopping Centre Revamp, Kidd Street Retirement Facility, Tamborine Mountain Gallery Walk Precinct, and Yarrabilba Master Planned Community. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Tamborine - Canungra ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Tamborine - Canungra has a skilled workforce with 3.5% unemployment rate as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.8%. There are 8,680 residents in work while the unemployment rate is 0.5% below Regional Queensland's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is similar to Regional Queensland's 64.5%. According to Census responses, 20.7% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area has a particular specialization in construction with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance has limited presence at 13.5% compared to 16.1% regionally. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.8%, labour force by 2.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Queensland saw employment grow by 0.7%, labour force expand by 1.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Tamborine - Canungra's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Tamborine - Canungra SA2 had a median income of $49,802 and an average income of $65,910 in financial year 2023, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to regional Queensland's figures of $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average). By March 2026, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest median income will be approximately $55,460 and average income around $73,397. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly in Tamborine - Canungra, between the 34th and 49th percentiles. The majority of residents (33.7%, or 5,687 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, consistent with broader regional trends (31.7%). Housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Tamborine - Canungra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tamborine - Canungra, as per the latest Census, 95.8% of dwellings were houses while 4.2% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Regional Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tamborine - Canungra stood at 38.8%, with mortgaged properties at 47.7% and rented ones at 13.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, exceeding Regional Qld's average of $1,655. Weekly rent in the area averaged $420, compared to Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, Tamborine - Canungra's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tamborine - Canungra features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.9% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 34.8% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.1%, consisting of lone person households at 18.4% and group households at 2.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Tamborine - Canungra exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 25.7% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (14.7%) and certificates (28.3%).

Educational participation is high at 27.6%, comprising primary education (10.0%), secondary education (9.0%), and tertiary education (3.9%).

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Tamborine - Canungra's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Tamborine - Canungra.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups. Private health cover was approximately 52% of the total population (~8,758 people), slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions were arthritis (9.0%) and mental health issues (8.1%). 68.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Health outcomes among the working-age population were broadly typical. The area had 22.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,766 people), higher than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Tamborine - Canungra ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tamborine-Canungra, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 76.4% born in Australia, 87.4% being citizens, and 95.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 45.6%. Judaism, at 0.1%, was slightly overrepresented compared to Regional Qld's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.9%), Australian (25.6%), and Scottish (9.4%). Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.1% versus the regional average of 0.9%, as were Welsh people at 0.7% compared to 0.5%. German ancestry was almost equally represented at 4.6% versus Regional Qld's 4.7%.

Tamborine - Canungra hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tamborine - Canungra's median age of 46 years is significantly higher than Regional Queensland's 41 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Queensland, Tamborine - Canungra has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.3%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 35-44 has increased from 12.2% to 13.2%, while the 45-54 age group has declined from 15.5% to 14.2%. The 5-14 age group has also decreased from 12.8% to 11.5%. By 2041, Tamborine - Canungra's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 29%, increasing from 1,402 to 1,810 people. Conversely, the 15-24 age group is expected to decline by 197 people.