Tamborine - Canungra
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Tamborine - Canungra are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Tamborine - Canungra's population is approximately 16,898. This figure represents a growth of 1,206 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,692. The increase was inferred from an estimated resident population of 16,628 in June 2024 and an additional 226 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 32 persons per square kilometer. Tamborine - Canungra's growth rate of 7.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded the SA3 area average of 7.1%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.4% to the overall population gains during recent periods, with all migration drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 based on 2022 data. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 using 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts lacking split data. By 2041, Tamborine - Canungra is expected to increase by approximately 1,922 persons, representing a gain of around 9.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Tamborine - Canungra among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Tamborine - Canungra averaged approximately 87 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25438 homes were approved, with an additional 62 approved in FY26 so far. Each year, on average, 2.5 new residents per dwelling have been added since FY21.

The average construction cost value of these new homes is $360,000. This financial year has seen $11.9 million in commercial development approvals. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Tamborine - Canungra's development levels are similar per capita, indicating market stability aligned with regional patterns.

All new construction since FY21 has been standalone homes, maintaining the area's low-density character and appealing to families seeking space. With around 155 people per dwelling approval, Tamborine - Canungra exhibits growth area characteristics. Population forecasts project an increase of 1,652 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, presenting good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Tamborine - Canungra has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 37thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 39 projects likely influencing the area. Notable projects include Kidd Street Retirement Facility, Tamborine Shopping Centre Revamp, Tamborine Mountain Gallery Walk Precinct, and Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Tamborine - Canungra has been broadly consistent with national averages

Tamborine-Canungra has a skilled workforce with the essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in June 2025, which is 0.3% below Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.9%. As of June 2025, 8,580 residents were employed, with workforce participation on par with Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance has lower representation at 13.5% versus the regional average of 16.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 1.9%, labour force grew by 2.1%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Tamborine-Canungra suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch released its postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Tamborine - Canungra's median income among taxpayers was $47,409, with an average of $61,577. This is below the national average. The Rest of Qld had a median income of $50,780 and an average of $64,844. Based on Wage Price Index growth, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $54,042 (median) and $70,192 (average). The 2021 Census reported household income at the 50th percentile ($1,745 weekly), with personal income at the 34th percentile. The earnings profile showed that 33.7% of locals (5,694 people) fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 category. High housing costs consumed 15.5% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranked at the 51st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Tamborine - Canungra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tamborine - Canungra, as per the latest Census, 95.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 4.2% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments and other dwelling types. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tamborine - Canungra stood at 38.8%, mirroring Non-Metro Qld's figure, with mortgaged properties making up 47.7% and rented dwellings accounting for 13.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, in line with the Non-Metro Qld average. The median weekly rent stood at $420 compared to Non-Metro Qld's figure of $410. Nationally, Tamborine - Canungra's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Tamborine - Canungra features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 78.9% of all households, composed of 33.7% couples with children, 34.8% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.1%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

The educational profile of Tamborine - Canungra exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable within its region, with university qualification rates at 25.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 14.7% and certificates account for 28.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary, 9.0% in secondary, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education. Six schools operate within Tamborine - Canungra, educating approximately 2,623 students. These schools demonstrate typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1045) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs at 15.5 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 12.4, indicating that the area serves as an educational hub for the broader region.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Tamborine - Canungra's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Tamborine's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a standard level. Approximately 51% of Tamborine's total population (~8,550 people) have private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 9.0% and 8.1% of residents respectively. A total of 68.0% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 68.5% in the rest of Queensland. In Tamborine, 21.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,636 people). Health outcomes among seniors in this area are notably strong, even outperforming those of the general population in health metrics.

Tamborine - Canungra ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tamborine-Canungra, surveyed in 2016, had a population with 76.4% born in Australia, 87.4% being citizens, and 95.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 45.6%. Judaism's representation was slightly higher than average, at 0.1% compared to 0.1% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.9%), Australian (25.6%), and Scottish (9.4%). Notably, New Zealanders were equally represented at 1.1%, Welsh were also equally represented at 0.7%, and Germans showed a slight underrepresentation at 4.6% compared to the regional figure of 4.8%.

Tamborine - Canungra hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tamborine - Canungra's median age is 46 years, which is significantly higher than Rest of Qld's 41 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Tamborine - Canungra has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.3%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 9.8% to 11.1%, while the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 12.8% to 11.8%. By 2041, Tamborine - Canungra's age composition is expected to change notably. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 32%, reaching 1,859 people from the current 1,404. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.