Tamborine - Canungra

Population growth drivers in Tamborine - Canungra are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Tamborine - Canungra's population was around 16,687 as of Feb 2026. This is an increase of 995 people (6.3%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 15,692 people. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 16,628 in June 2024 and an additional 364 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 31 persons per square kilometer. Tamborine - Canungra's growth of 6.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth of 6.1%, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Future population dynamics anticipate an increase just below the median of Australia's regional areas, with the area expected to increase by 1,922 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 11.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Tamborine - Canungra among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Tamborine - Canungra averaged approximately 87 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21 and FY25438 homes were approved, with an additional 76 approved in FY26 so far. Over the past five financial years, each dwelling has attracted an average of 2.5 new residents per year, indicating healthy demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $360,000. This financial year, $11.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Tamborine - Canungra has similar development levels per person, supporting market stability inline with regional patterns.

All new construction consists of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking space for families. With around 155 people per dwelling approval, Tamborine - Canungra exhibits characteristics of a low density area. Population forecasts indicate that Tamborine - Canungra will gain approximately 1,863 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Tamborine - Canungra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 39 projects that could impact the region. Key projects include Tamborine Shopping Centre Revamp, Kidd Street Retirement Facility, Tamborine Mountain Gallery Walk Precinct, and Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Tamborine - Canungra has been broadly consistent with national averages

Tamborine - Canungra has a skilled workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.7%, lower than the national average of 4.1%. In the past year, employment growth was estimated at 2.1%.

As of September 2025, 8,579 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.7%, which is 0.3% below Rest of Qld's rate. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. According to Census responses, 20.7% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

The area has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 13.5% compared to the regional average of 16.1%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, while labour force grew by 2.3%, causing a slight rise in unemployment rate. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tamborine - Canungra's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023. Tamborine - Canungra SA2's median income among taxpayers was $49,802 with an average of $65,910. This is below the national average. Rest of Qld had a median of $53,146 and an average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $54,737 (median) and $72,442 (average). The 2021 Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Tamborine - Canungra rank modestly, between the 34th and 49th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 33.7% of locals (5,623 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to metropolitan regions at 31.7%. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 51st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Tamborine - Canungra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Tamborine-Canungra, as per the latest Census, 95.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 4.2% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tamborine-Canungra stood at 38.8%, with mortgaged properties at 47.7% and rented ones at 13.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent was $420, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Tamborine-Canungra's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Tamborine - Canungra features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 78.9% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 34.8% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.1%, consisting of 18.4% lone person households and 2.7% group households. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Tamborine - Canungra exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 25.7%, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 43.0% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (14.7%) and certificates (28.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.6% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.0% in primary, 9.0% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Tamborine - Canungra's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Tamborine - Canungra based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~8,660 people), slightly lagging that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.0 and 8.1% of residents respectively, while 68.0% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 21.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,619 people), which is higher than the 20.4% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Tamborine - Canungra ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tamborine-Canungra, as per the census data from June 2016, showed lower cultural diversity with 76.4% of its residents born in Australia and 87.4% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 95.0% of the population. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 45.6%.

Judaism, however, was slightly overrepresented compared to the rest of Queensland, with 0.1% of Tamborine-Canungra's population identifying as Jewish. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.9%), Australian (25.6%), and Scottish (9.4%). Notable differences in representation included New Zealand (1.1% vs regional 0.9%), Welsh (0.7% vs 0.5%), and German (4.6% vs 4.7%).

Tamborine - Canungra hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tamborine-Canungra has a median age of 46 years, which is significantly higher than Rest of Qld's 41 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Tamborine-Canungra has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 9.8% to 11.2%, while the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 12.8% to 11.5%. The 45-54 age group has also declined from 15.5% to 14.3%. By 2041, Tamborine-Canungra's age composition is expected to change notably. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 30%, adding 432 people and reaching a total of 1,859 from the current 1,426. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort is anticipated to decrease by 189 people.