Tamborine - Canungra

Population growth drivers in Tamborine - Canungra are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Tamborine - Canungra's population is around 16,898 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,206 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,692 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,628 in June 2024 and an additional 226 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 32 persons per square kilometer. Tamborine - Canungra's growth rate of 7.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area average of 7.1%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data are applied for each age cohort where utilised. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of Australia's regional areas is expected by 2041, with the area expected to increase by 1,922 persons reflecting a gain of 9.8% in total over the 17 years based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Tamborine - Canungra among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Tamborine - Canungra averaged approximately 87 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 438 homes were approved, with an additional 68 approved so far in FY-26. Each year, on average, 2.5 new residents per dwelling have been added since FY-21, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for new homes over this period was $360,000. This financial year has seen $11.9 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Tamborine - Canungra maintains similar levels of development per person, contributing to market stability consistent with regional patterns.

All new construction has consisted of standalone homes, preserving the area's traditional low-density character and appealing to families seeking space. With around 155 people per dwelling approval, Tamborine - Canungra exhibits growth area characteristics. Population forecasts indicate that Tamborine - Canungra will gain approximately 1,652 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Tamborine - Canungra has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 39 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Kidd Street Retirement Facility, Tamborine Shopping Centre Revamp, Tamborine Mountain Gallery Walk Precinct, and Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Tamborine - Canungra has been broadly consistent with national averages

Tamborine - Canungra has a skilled workforce with 3.7% unemployment as of September 2025. Employment growth in the past year was estimated at 2.1%.

There are 8,579 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 0.3% below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is equal to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction shows strong specialization at 1.2 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has lower representation at 13.5% versus the regional average of 16.1%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force by 2.3%, raising unemployment by 0.1 percentage points.

In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Statewide in Queensland, as of 25-Nov, employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tamborine - Canungra's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Tamborine - Canungra SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $47,409 and an average of $61,577. These figures are below the national average. Compared to Rest of Qld's median of $50,780 and average of $64,844, Tamborine - Canungra SA2 has lower incomes. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $54,042 (median) and $70,192 (average). The 2021 Census data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Tamborine - Canungra SA2 modestly, between the 34th and 49th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 33.7% of locals (5,694 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, similar to metropolitan regions where 31.7% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Tamborine - Canungra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Tamborine - Canungra, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tamborine - Canungra was at 38.8%, with the rest being mortgaged (47.7%) or rented (13.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, matching Non-Metro Qld's average. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $410. Nationally, Tamborine - Canungra's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $420 compared to the national figure of $375.

Tamborine - Canungra features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 78.9% of all households, including 33.7% couples with children, 34.8% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.1%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

The educational profile of Tamborine - Canungra exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 25.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 43.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (14.7%) and certificates (28.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary, 9.0% in secondary, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Tamborine - Canungra are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Tamborine - Canungra shows below-average health indicators with common conditions slightly more prevalent across both younger and older age groups compared to average.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~8,550 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis (9.0%) and mental health issues (8.1%). 68.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.5% across Rest of Qld. The area has 21.5% of residents aged 65 and over (3,636 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Tamborine - Canungra ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tamborine-Canungra, surveyed in the period from 25th August 2016 to 29th August 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 76.4% of its population born in Australia and 87.4% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 95.0%. Christianity dominated the religious landscape, comprising 45.6%.

Judaism's representation was slightly higher than the regional average, at 0.1%. The top three ancestral groups were English (33.9%), Australian (25.6%), and Scottish (9.4%). Notable differences existed in the representation of New Zealanders (1.1% vs 1.1%), Welsh (0.7% vs 0.7%), and Germans (4.6% vs 4.8%).

Tamborine - Canungra hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Tamborine - Canungra's median age is 46 years, which is significantly higher than Rest of Qld's 41 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Tamborine - Canungra has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.3%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 9.8% to 11.1%, while the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 12.8% to 11.8%. By 2041, Tamborine - Canungra's age composition is expected to change notably. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 32%, reaching 1,859 people from the current 1,404. Conversely, the 5-14 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.