Avalon - Palm Beach

An assessment of population growth drivers in Avalon - Palm Beach reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Avalon - Palm Beach's population is approximately 13,247 as of February 2026. This figure represents a growth of 195 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,052. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,188 in June 2024 and an additional 25 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,538 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Avalon - Palm Beach's growth rate of 1.5% since the census is within 0.5 percentage points of the SA3 area's 2.0%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth nationally, with Avalon - Palm Beach expected to expand by 76 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 0.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Avalon - Palm Beach according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Avalon-Palm Beach has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25179 homes were approved, with a further 27 approved in FY26 as of now. On average, around 0.5 people have moved to the area per year for each dwelling built over these five years.

This indicates that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $1,298,000, suggesting developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, $6.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avalon-Palm Beach shows comparable new home approvals per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas.

This activity is below average nationally, indicating the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 76% detached houses and 24% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 390 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Looking ahead, Avalon-Palm Beach is expected to grow by 17 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Avalon - Palm Beach has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects expected to impact the region: Snappermans, Palm Beach, Avalon Beach Bike Facility, 100 Hilltop Road House Construction, and Palm Beach Shop-Top Housing (Former General Store site). The following list highlights those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

While Avalon - Palm Beach retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.3%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Avalon - Palm Beach has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate as of September 2025 is 3.3%. At this time, 6,758 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.9% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 62.6%, which is significantly lower compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 48.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. The dominant employment sectors are professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and construction. Avalon - Palm Beach has a particular specialization in professional & technical jobs with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, public administration & safety shows lower representation at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 5.7%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force decreased by 0.5%, while employment decreased by 1.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avalon - Palm Beach's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Avalon - Palm Beach SA2 is exceptionally high nationally. The median income is $58,254 and the average income stands at $139,902. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $63,415 (median) and $152,297 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Avalon - Palm Beach rank highly nationally, between the 83rd and 91st percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 31.7% of locals (4,199 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike trends in the region where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A significant 43.9% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 91st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Avalon - Palm Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Avalon - Palm Beach, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.0% houses and 16.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avalon - Palm Beach stood at 49.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.3% and rented ones at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,300, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in the area was $745, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Avalon - Palm Beach's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Avalon - Palm Beach features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 77.7% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 33.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.3%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Avalon - Palm Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 40.1% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 14.0% and certificates for 17.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.1% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Avalon-Palm Beach has 152 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 38 different routes, collectively facilitating 3,950 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 138 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 88%, with 6% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 48.6% of residents work from home, a figure possibly influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 564 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Avalon - Palm Beach's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Avalon - Palm Beach demonstrates excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 84% of the total population (11,100 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.6% and 6.4% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 72.9%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.4% (3,889 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Avalon - Palm Beach ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avalon-Palm Beach was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 76.1% of its population born in Australia, 90.6% being citizens, and 93.7% speaking English only at home as of the census conducted on 28 June 2016. The predominant religion in Avalon-Palm Beach was Christianity, comprising 43.4% of the population. However, Judaism was notably overrepresented, making up 0.5% of the population compared to the regional average of 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (34.9%), Australian (23.2%), and Irish (10.4%). These figures were substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 19.0%, 17.8%, and 5.6%. Additionally, there were notable divergences in the representation of French (1.0% vs regional average of 0.5%), Scottish (9.7% vs 4.8%), and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.4%) ethnic groups.

Avalon - Palm Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Avalon - Palm Beach's median age is 48 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national median age of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, comprising 14.7% of the population, while those aged 25-34 make up only 4.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's figures. This concentration of those aged 65-74 is well above the national average of 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 7.9% to 11.2%, while the 15-24 cohort has increased from 11.3% to 12.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 6.2% to 4.5%, and the 5-14 group has dropped from 13.1% to 11.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Avalon - Palm Beach, with the strongest growth projected for those aged 85 and above, expected to increase by 155%, adding 727 residents to reach a total of 1,196. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 25-34 and 0-4 years.