Avalon - Palm Beach

An assessment of population growth drivers in Avalon - Palm Beach reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Avalon - Palm Beach stands at approximately 13,185 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 133 individuals (1.0%) from the 13,052 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This population shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 13,161 from June 2025 alongside 29 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting population density is 1,531 persons per square kilometer, a figure that exceeds the typical density found in other evaluated national locations. The 1.0% growth rate of Avalon - Palm Beach since the census is within 1.5 percentage points of the broader SA3 area (2.5%), showing competitive local growth dynamics. The population gains in the area were almost exclusively driven by overseas migration during recent timeframes.

AreaSearch incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For SA2 areas where these figures are unavailable, AreaSearch references the NSW State Government projections from 2022, which use 2021 as the baseline. The growth rates by age bracket derived from these datasets are applied to all regions for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic outlooks indicate that the area is projected to experience lower quartile growth relative to other statistical areas nationwide. The population is forecast to grow by 68 individuals by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a total increase of 0.3% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Avalon - Palm Beach according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Development approvals in Avalon - Palm Beach average approximately 35 dwellings annually, with 179 residences approved during the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 44 approvals recorded so far in FY-26. The ratio of population growth to construction shows that only 0.3 people moved to the area for each completed dwelling over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating that housing supply is matching or exceeding demand. This trend offers buyers more options and supports potential population growth beyond current forecasts, with new properties averaging a construction value of $1,298,000, pointing to developer activity focused on upscale, premium homes. Furthermore, commercial approvals total $6.6 million for the current financial year, showing a subdued focus on commercial building projects.

The rate of building approvals per person in Avalon - Palm Beach is close to the level seen in Greater Sydney, keeping the market balanced in line with the wider metropolitan region. This construction rate is below the national average, reflecting the established state of the local market and highlighting potential planning restrictions. Detached houses account for 76.0% of new residential projects, while semi-detached or attached options make up the remaining 24.0%, preserving the traditional low-density residential feel of the suburb with an emphasis on spacious family residences. The area averages about 390 people for every approved dwelling, which is typical of a mature locality.

Long-term projections indicate that Avalon - Palm Beach will add 44 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. The current rate of home building is expected to supply enough housing to meet demand, which should benefit home buyers and potentially allow for faster population expansion than currently projected.

Avalon - Palm Beach has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major works, and planning updates have a significant effect on regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 5 projects that are expected to influence this locality. The primary developments include Snappermans, Palm Beach, Avalon Beach Bike Facility, 100 Hilltop Road House Construction, and Palm Beach Shop-Top Housing (Former General Store site), with details on the most relevant initiatives provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Avalon - Palm Beach maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

The labor force in Avalon - Palm Beach is highly educated, with strong representation in the technology industry, an unemployment rate of just 3.4%, and an annual employment growth rate estimated at 0.8%. As of March 2026, there are 6,818 employed residents, and the local unemployment rate sits 0.7% lower than the 4.1% rate in Greater Sydney. However, workforce participation is notably lower at 63.3% compared to the 69.1% average for Greater Sydney. Census data indicates that a high proportion of employed residents (48.6%) worked from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic-related restrictions.

The primary sectors employing local residents are professional & technical services, health care & social assistance, and construction. The local economy shows a high concentration of jobs in the professional & technical services sector, with its employment share reaching 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, public administration & safety is underrepresented, making up 2.9% of local jobs compared to the regional figure of 5.7%. The comparison between the census working population and the resident population suggests this mostly residential suburb offers few local jobs.

An analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that during the 12 months ending March 2026, local employment expanded by 0.8% while the total labor force grew by 1.4%, leading to a 0.6 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. Over the same period, Greater Sydney recorded employment and labor force growth of 1.9% and 1.9% respectively, alongside a minor decrease in unemployment. National employment projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context on prospective labor demand for Avalon - Palm Beach. These five and ten-year national outlooks have been aligned with the local industry profile to project future employment trends. Although overall Australian employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change vary by industry. Projecting these industry-level trends onto the employment structure of Avalon - Palm Beach suggests local job numbers could grow by 7.0% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The latest postcode-level ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year show that incomes in the Avalon - Palm Beach SA2 are very high compared to the rest of the nation, with a median income of $58,254 and an average income of $139,902. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Applying the Wage Price Index increase of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be roughly $64,266 for the median and $154,340 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Avalon - Palm Beach all placed in the upper tier nationally, ranking between the 83rd and 91st percentiles. Income distribution data shows that the largest cohort, comprising 31.7% of residents (4,179 people), earns $4,000+ per week, which differs from the wider region where 30.9% of the population falls into the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A substantial 43.9% of residents earn more than $3,000 weekly, pointing to high concentration of wealth that supports local retail and business. Although high housing expenses absorb 15.1% of household earnings, strong incomes place disposable income in the 91st percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 9th decile for income.

Avalon - Palm Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The housing stock in Avalon - Palm Beach at the time of the last Census consisted of 84.0% separate houses and 16.0% alternative housing types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or other dwellings, compared to the Sydney metropolitan split of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The rate of outright home ownership in Avalon - Palm Beach reached 49.2%, which is considerably higher than the Sydney metro average, with the remaining residences being mortgaged (35.3%) or occupied by renters (15.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $3,300 and the median weekly rent of $745 in the area are both well above the Sydney metropolitan averages of $2,427 and $470. On a national level, mortgage repayments in Avalon - Palm Beach are much higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are significantly higher than the national figure of $375.

Avalon - Palm Beach features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Families make up 77.7% of all households in the area, consisting of couples with children at 35.7%, couples without children at 33.0%, and single parent households at 8.5%. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.3% of the total, with lone person households representing 20.8% and group households at 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, matching the average for Greater Sydney.

Avalon - Palm Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The educational profile of the area is distinct within the region, as university completion rates for residents aged 15+ stand at 40.1%, higher than the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%, indicating a strong local focus on higher education. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 27.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 9.4% and graduate diplomas at 3.1%. Vocational and technical training is also common, with 31.9% of the population aged 15+ holding qualifications such as advanced diplomas (14.0%) or certificates (17.9%).

There is a high level of study engagement in the suburb, with 28.8% of the population enrolled in an educational program. This group includes 10.1% attending primary school, 8.9% in high school, and 4.6% studying at the tertiary level.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

An analysis of public transport options shows 152 active bus and ferry stops operating in Avalon - Palm Beach. These stops are served by 38 distinct routes, which combine to deliver 3,950 passenger trips each week. Transport access is rated as excellent, with the typical resident living 138 meters from the nearest stop. Due to the residential nature of the suburb, most working residents travel out of the area for employment, with private cars being the primary mode of transport at 88%, while 6% of commuters walk. Households own an average of 1.7 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. A high proportion of residents, 48.6%, work from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic conditions.

Public transport services run at an average frequency of 564 trips per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 25 weekly trips for each stop. The corresponding map highlights the 100 closest stops relative to the center of the suburb.

Avalon - Palm Beach's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health metrics show excellent results for Avalon - Palm Beach, with AreaSearch evaluations of mortality rates and chronic illness showing a very low prevalence of common health problems across all age cohorts. Additionally, the proportion of residents with private health insurance is exceptionally high at roughly 84% of the population (11,049 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent diagnosed medical conditions among local residents, affecting 7.6% and 6.4% of the population respectively, while 72.9% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 29.1% of the local population (3,839 people), which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. The health outcomes for these older residents are strong, with national rankings aligning closely with those of the broader local population.

Avalon - Palm Beach ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The cultural diversity of Avalon - Palm Beach is lower than the metropolitan average, with 76.1% of the population born in Australia, 90.6% holding citizenship, and 93.7% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 43.4% of residents. The most distinct religious overrepresentation in comparison to the wider region is Judaism, which accounts for 0.5% of the local population compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of parental ancestry, the three largest groups in Avalon - Palm Beach are English at 34.9% of the population (well above the regional average of 19.0%), Australian at 23.2% (well above the regional average of 17.8%), and Irish at 10.4%. There are also notable differences in other ancestral groups, with French ancestry overrepresented at 1.0% of the population (compared to 0.5% regionally), Scottish at 9.7% (compared to 4.8%), and Welsh at 0.8% (compared to 0.4%).

Avalon - Palm Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age of 48 years in Avalon - Palm Beach is much higher than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38 years. The demographic profile shows a large cohort of 65 - 74 year-olds (14.4%), while the 25 - 34 age group is small (5.2%) relative to Greater Sydney. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age bracket has increased from 7.9% to 11.0% of the population, and the 15 to 24 group has risen from 11.3% to 13.1%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 13.1% to 11.6%, and the 35 to 44 age bracket fell from 10.1% to 8.7%. Population projections for 2041 suggest major demographic changes, with the 85+ group expected to grow by 155% by adding 765 residents to reach a total of 1,260. Residents aged 65+ are projected to account for 100% of the area's population growth, highlighting the aging trend, while declines are forecast for the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups.