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Sales Activity
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Population
An assessment of population growth drivers in Avalon - Palm Beach reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends
Avalon - Palm Beach's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 13,223, reflecting a growth of 171 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 1.3% rise from the previous population count of 13,052. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,188 in June 2024 and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,535 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Avalon - Palm Beach's growth rate of 1.3% since the census is close to that of the SA3 area (1.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. The primary driver for this population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 97.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth across statistical areas nationally, with Avalon - Palm Beach expected to expand by 76 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 0.3% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is lower than average in Avalon - Palm Beach according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets
Avalon - Palm Beach averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually over recent years. Between FY-21 and FY-25179 homes were approved, with an additional 12 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, on average, only 0.5 people moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.
The average construction value of new homes was $2,537,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $6.6 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avalon - Palm Beach shows comparable new home approvals per capita, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. However, this activity is below average nationally, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints.
Recent construction comprised 76.0% detached houses and 24.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. The location has approximately 390 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Looking ahead, Avalon - Palm Beach is projected to grow by 41 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Avalon - Palm Beach has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Snappermans, Palm Beach, Avalon Beach Bike Facility, 100 Hilltop Road House Construction, and Palm Beach Shop-Top Housing (Former General Store site).
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mariyung Fleet (New Intercity Fleet)
The Mariyung Fleet is a 610-carriage double-deck electric train fleet being delivered by RailConnect NSW (UGL, Hyundai Rotem, Mitsubishi Electric Australia) for Transport for NSW. Named after the Darug word for emu, the fleet commenced passenger services on the Central Coast & Newcastle Line on 3 December 2024, followed by the Blue Mountains Line on 13 October 2025. Services on the South Coast Line are scheduled to commence in 2026. The fleet features modern amenities including spacious 2x2 seating, charging ports, improved accessibility with wheelchair spaces and accessible toilets, CCTV emergency help points, and dedicated spaces for luggage, prams and bicycles. The trains operate in flexible 4-car, 6-car, 8-car or 10-car formations. The fleet replaces aging V-set trains that entered service in the 1970s and serves approximately 26 million passenger journeys annually across the electrified intercity network. Supporting infrastructure includes the new Kangy Angy Maintenance Facility, platform extensions, and signaling upgrades at multiple stations.
NSW Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy
Statewide NSW planning reform (State Environmental Planning Policy amendments) enabling diverse low and mid-rise housing types including dual occupancies, terraces, townhouses, manor houses, and apartments up to 6 storeys within 800m walking distance of selected train/light rail stations and town centres. Stage 1 commenced 1 July 2024 (dual occupancies in R2 zones); Stage 2 commenced 28 February 2025. Expected to deliver up to 112,000 new homes over 5 years by increasing supply and housing choice in well-located areas near transport and services while maintaining neighbourhood character.
Mona Vale Hospital Reconfiguration
NSW Health Infrastructure has completed the reconfiguration of Mona Vale Hospital to focus on rehabilitation, sub-acute and community health services. Works included establishing a 20-bed geriatric evaluation and management and palliative care building (10-bed GEM and 10-bed palliative), creating an urgent care centre from the former ED, a new support services building, helipad relocation, and demolition of redundant buildings. The program complements services at Northern Beaches Hospital and ensures ongoing local access to appropriate care.
Sydney Metro
Australia's largest public transport program delivering four driverless metro lines and 46 stations across 113 km. The M1 City section opened in August 2024. The Sydenham to Bankstown conversion is underway and now targeted for 2026. Sydney Metro West is tunnelling toward Parramatta with opening planned for 2032. The Western Sydney Airport line is under construction with tracklaying commenced and stations in delivery.
Rail Service Improvement Program (formerly More Trains More Services)
Program of staged upgrades across Sydney's heavy rail network to increase frequency and capacity through digital systems, track and signalling works, station upgrades and new or upgraded rollingstock. Formerly branded as More Trains More Services, the program continues delivery on lines including T4 Eastern Suburbs & Illawarra, T8 Airport & South, and integration works tied to broader network changes.
Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line Upgrades
Program of upgrades to existing intercity rail corridors linking Newcastle-Central Coast-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney to reduce travel times and improve reliability. Current scope includes timetable and service changes under the Rail Service Improvement Program, targeted network upgrades (signalling, power, station works) and the introduction of the Mariyung intercity fleet on the Central Coast & Newcastle Line, alongside Federal planning led by the High Speed Rail Authority for a dedicated Sydney-Newcastle high speed corridor.
Opal Next Generation Ticketing System
NSW is upgrading the Opal ticketing system to an account-based platform (Opal Next Gen). The program adds digital Opal cards to device wallets, expands contactless options, modernises bus equipment, and improves apps and web services for planning, payment and travel information. Procurement and enabling contracts are underway led by Transport for NSW.
Northern Beaches Bus Network Improvements
Comprehensive upgrade to the Northern Beaches bus network to improve reliability and capacity. The project involves the procurement of 50 new articulated buses and 10 new double-decker B-Line buses, scheduled for delivery by mid-2026. Operational changes commencing January 2025 include new all-night services on Route 144 (Manly to Chatswood), extended services on Route 199, and frequency improvements on key corridors. The program runs in parallel with the $75M+ Wakehurst Parkway improvements to reduce flooding and improve transit reliability.
Employment
The employment environment in Avalon - Palm Beach shows above-average strength when compared nationally
Avalon-Palm Beach has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 2.8%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.
As of June 2025, 6,820 residents are employed. The area's employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and construction. Professional & technical jobs are particularly prevalent at 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, public administration & safety has lower representation at 2.9% versus the regional average of 5.7%.
Labour force data from June 2024 to June 2025 shows no change in labour force but a 0.3% decrease in employment, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avalon-Palm Beach's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.0% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows income in Avalon - Palm Beach is exceptionally high nationally. The median income is $55,895 while the average income stands at $125,965. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $62,943 (median) and $141,849 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Avalon - Palm Beach rank highly nationally, between the 83rd and 91st percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 31.7% of locals (4,191 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike trends in the region where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A significant 43.9% earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 15.1% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 91st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Avalon - Palm Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
The dwelling structure in Avalon-Palm Beach, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.0% houses and 16.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avalon-Palm Beach stood at 49.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (35.3%) or rented (15.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,300, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,200. The median weekly rent was $745, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Avalon-Palm Beach's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Avalon - Palm Beach features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size
Family households compose 77.7% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 33.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for 22.3%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, matching the Greater Sydney average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Avalon - Palm Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators
The area's educational profile is notable regionally. University qualification rates exceed the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW (32.2%), standing at 40.1% for residents aged 15+. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%).
Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 14.0% and certificates for 17.9%. Educational participation is high at 28.8%, including primary education (10.1%), secondary education (8.9%), and tertiary education (4.6%). The four schools in Avalon - Palm Beach have a combined enrollment of 1,837 students. This area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1100. Education provision is balanced, serving distinct age groups with three primary schools and one secondary school.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
The transport analysis indicates 146 active stops operating within Avalon - Palm Beach, consisting of a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 38 individual routes, collectively facilitating 3,756 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 138 meters from the nearest stop.
Service frequency averages 536 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Avalon - Palm Beach's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups
Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Avalon - Palm Beach. The prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups is very low. Approximately 80% of the total population (10,604 people) has private health cover, compared to 74.1% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%.
The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6% and 6.4% of residents respectively. 72.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.8% across Greater Sydney. The area has 28.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,710 people), which is higher than the 24.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
In terms of cultural diversity, Avalon - Palm Beach records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Avalon-Palm Beach's population was found to be approximately average in cultural diversity compared to its broader area, with 76.1% born in Australia, 90.6% being citizens, and 93.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Avalon-Palm Beach as of 2016 Census data, comprising 43.4% of its population. However, Judaism was notably overrepresented, making up 0.5% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 0.3%.
In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (34.9%), Australian (23.2%), and Irish (10.4%). There were also notable differences in certain ethnic groups: French was overrepresented at 1.0%, Scottish at 9.7%, and Welsh at 0.8%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Avalon - Palm Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide
Avalon-Palm Beach's median age is 48 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 65-74 year-old group constitutes 14.2% of the population, while the 25-34 year-old group makes up only 4.8%. Since 2021, the 75-84 year-old cohort has increased from 7.9% to 10.6%, and the 15-24 year-old group has risen from 11.3% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 year-old cohort has decreased from 6.2% to 4.8%, and the 5-14 year-old group has dropped from 13.1% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Avalon-Palm Beach. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 182%, adding 771 residents to reach a total of 1,196. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all the population growth, emphasizing demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 25-34 year-old group and the 0-4 year-old cohort.