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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
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Sales Activity
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Population
An assessment of population growth drivers in Avalon - Palm Beach reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends
Avalon - Palm Beach's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 13,223. This figure reflects a growth of 171 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,052. The increase was inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,188 in June 2024 and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,535 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 1.3% since the census is within 0.4 percentage points of the SA3 area's rate of 1.7%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.
For future projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to expand by 76 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 0.3% over the 17-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is lower than average in Avalon - Palm Beach according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets
Avalon - Palm Beach has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. This totals 179 homes approved during this period, with an additional 27 approved so far in FY26. On average, around 0.5 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built annually over these five years, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.
The average construction value of new homes has been $1,298,000, suggesting a focus on premium market developments. In FY26, $6.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avalon - Palm Beach shows comparable new home approvals per capita, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding areas. However, this activity is below the national average, possibly due to established planning constraints.
Recent construction comprises 76% detached houses and 24% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's traditional suburban character. As of now, there are approximately 390 people per dwelling approval in Avalon - Palm Beach, indicating an established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the location is expected to grow by 41 residents by 2041, with current development rates comfortably meeting demand and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Avalon - Palm Beach has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally
Five projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Snappermans, Palm Beach, Avalon Beach Bike Facility, construction at 100 Hilltop Road House, and Palm Beach Shop-Top Housing on the former General Store site.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Northern Beaches Coast Walk
A 36km continuous coastal walking trail linking Manly to Palm Beach via beaches, headlands and existing paths. The project upgrades and connects existing sections with new boardwalks, viewing platforms, signage and accessibility improvements. Works are staged with multiple sections already complete and major construction underway on remaining gaps, particularly around Narrabeen, Warriewood and North Narrabeen.
Mona Vale Hospital Reconfiguration
NSW Health Infrastructure has completed the reconfiguration of Mona Vale Hospital to focus on rehabilitation, sub-acute and community health services. Works included establishing a 20-bed geriatric evaluation and management and palliative care building (10-bed GEM and 10-bed palliative), creating an urgent care centre from the former ED, a new support services building, helipad relocation, and demolition of redundant buildings. The program complements services at Northern Beaches Hospital and ensures ongoing local access to appropriate care.
Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy
State-wide NSW planning reforms via amendments to the State Environmental Planning Policy to enable more diverse low and mid-rise housing (dual occupancies, terraces, townhouses, manor houses and residential flat buildings up to 6 storeys) in well-located areas within 800 m of selected train, metro and light-rail stations and town centres. Stage 1 (dual occupancies in R2 zones statewide) commenced 1 July 2024. Stage 2 (mid-rise apartments, terraces and dual occupancies near stations) commenced 28 February 2025. Expected to facilitate up to 112,000 additional homes over the next five years.
Sydney Metro
Australia's biggest public transport infrastructure program, delivering four new metro railway lines (City & Southwest, West, Western Sydney Airport, and extensions). As of December 2025, the City & Southwest line (M1) is fully operational from Chatswood to Sy1 Sydenham-Bankstown conversion is under construction with target opening 2026-2027. Sydney Metro West tunnelling is over 70% complete with all TBMs now at or past Parramatta, targeted for 2032 opening. Western Sydney Airport line civil works and station construction are progressing with services planned for airport opening in late 2026.
Mariyung Fleet (New Intercity Fleet)
The Mariyung Fleet is a 610-carriage double-deck electric train fleet being delivered by RailConnect NSW (UGL, Hyundai Rotem, Mitsubishi Electric Australia) for Transport for NSW. Named after the Darug word for emu, the fleet commenced passenger services on the Central Coast & Newcastle Line on 3 December 2024, followed by the Blue Mountains Line on 13 October 2025. Services on the South Coast Line are scheduled to commence in 2026. The fleet features modern amenities including spacious 2x2 seating, charging ports, improved accessibility with wheelchair spaces and accessible toilets, CCTV emergency help points, and dedicated spaces for luggage, prams and bicycles. The trains operate in flexible 4-car, 6-car, 8-car or 10-car formations. The fleet replaces aging V-set trains that entered service in the 1970s and serves approximately 26 million passenger journeys annually across the electrified intercity network. Supporting infrastructure includes the new Kangy Angy Maintenance Facility, platform extensions, and signaling upgrades at multiple stations.
Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line Upgrades
Program of upgrades to existing intercity rail corridors linking Newcastle-Central Coast-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney to reduce travel times and improve reliability. Current scope includes timetable and service changes under the Rail Service Improvement Program, targeted network upgrades (signalling, power, station works) and the introduction of the Mariyung intercity fleet on the Central Coast & Newcastle Line, alongside Federal planning led by the High Speed Rail Authority for a dedicated Sydney-Newcastle high speed corridor.
Opal Next Generation Ticketing System
NSW is upgrading the Opal ticketing system to an account-based platform (Opal Next Gen). The program adds digital Opal cards to device wallets, expands contactless options, modernises bus equipment, and improves apps and web services for planning, payment and travel information. Procurement and enabling contracts are underway led by Transport for NSW.
Northern Beaches Bus Network Improvements
Comprehensive upgrade to the Northern Beaches bus network to improve reliability and capacity. The project involves the procurement of 50 new articulated buses and 10 new double-decker B-Line buses, scheduled for delivery by mid-2026. Operational changes commencing January 2025 include new all-night services on Route 144 (Manly to Chatswood), extended services on Route 199, and frequency improvements on key corridors. The program runs in parallel with the $75M+ Wakehurst Parkway improvements to reduce flooding and improve transit reliability.
Employment
While Avalon - Palm Beach retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.3%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking
Avalon - Palm Beach has a highly educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%.
As of September 2025, 6758 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and similar workforce participation at 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs, with a share 1.3 times the regional level, but has lower representation in public administration & safety at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 5.7%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force decreased by 0.5%, employment by 1.1%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points.
Conversely, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. As of 25-Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs), with state unemployment rate at 3.9%, compared to national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avalon - Palm Beach's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Avalon - Palm Beach SA2 is exceptionally high nationally. The median income is assessed at $55,895 while the average income stands at $125,965. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $62,943 (median) and $141,849 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Avalon - Palm Beach, between the 83rd and 91st percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 31.7% of locals (4,191 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike trends in the region where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A significant 43.9% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.1% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 91st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Avalon - Palm Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
Dwelling structure in Avalon - Palm Beach, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.0% houses and 16.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avalon - Palm Beach was 49.2%, with the rest either mortgaged (35.3%) or rented (15.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,300, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,200. The median weekly rent figure was $745, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Avalon - Palm Beach's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Avalon - Palm Beach features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size
Family households constitute 77.7% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 33.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for 22.3%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Avalon - Palm Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators
The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 40.1%, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 14.0% and certificates at 17.9%.
Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Avalon-Palm Beach has 146 active public transport stops. These include a mix of ferry and bus services. The area is served by 38 individual routes, providing a total of 3,756 weekly passenger trips.
Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 138 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency across all routes averages 536 trips per day, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Avalon - Palm Beach's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups
Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Avalon - Palm Beach. The prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups is very low. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 80% of the total population (10,604 people), compared to 74.1% across Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.3%.
The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6 and 6.4% of residents respectively. 72.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.8% across Greater Sydney. The area has 28.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,710 people), which is higher than the 24.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Avalon - Palm Beach ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Avalon-Palm Beach was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 76.1% of its population born in Australia, 90.6% being citizens, and 93.7% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Avalon-Palm Beach is Christianity, comprising 43.4% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.5% compared to 0.3% across Greater Sydney.
Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are English (34.9%), Australian (23.2%), and Irish (10.4%). There are also notable differences in the representation of French (1.0% vs regional 0.8%), Scottish (9.7% vs 8.7%), and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.7%) ethnic groups.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Avalon - Palm Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide
Avalon - Palm Beach's median age is 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, comprising 14.2% of the population, while the 25-34 age group is smaller at 4.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 7.9% to 10.6%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 11.3% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 6.2% to 4.8%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 13.1% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts suggest substantial demographic changes for Avalon - Palm Beach. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 182%, adding 771 residents to reach 1,196. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, reinforcing trends of demographic aging. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age cohorts.