Avalon - Palm Beach
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Avalon - Palm Beach reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Avalon - Palm Beach's population was 13,052 as of Aug 2021. By Aug 2025, it is estimated to be around 13,223, an increase of 171 people (1.3%) since the 2021 Census. This increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 13,188 as of June 2024 and 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 1,535 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Between Aug 2021 and Aug 2025, Avalon - Palm Beach's growth rate of 1.3% is close to the SA3 area's growth rate of 1.7%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.5% of population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where data is not available, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Future population growth trends suggest lower quartile growth nationally, with Avalon - Palm Beach expected to expand by 76 persons to 2041 based on the latest numbers, reflecting an increase of approximately 0.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Avalon - Palm Beach according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Avalon-Palm Beach has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) produces development approval data on a financial year basis, with 179 homes approved over the past five financial years (between FY-2020/21 and FY-2025/26), including seven so far in FY-2026/27. On average, about 0.5 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five financial years. This suggests that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $2,537,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, there have been $6.6 million in commercial approvals this financial year, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avalon-Palm Beach maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. This rate is also below the national average, which could be attributed to the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

New development consists of 76% detached houses and 24% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 390 people per dwelling approval, Avalon-Palm Beach shows a developed market with a population density of about 15 persons per hectare. Looking ahead, Avalon-Palm Beach is projected to grow by 41 residents through to 2041, which, combined with current construction levels, should adequately meet housing demand. This creates favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Avalon - Palm Beach has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include IPM Palm Beach Development, Avalon Beach Bike Facility, 100 Hilltop Road House Construction, and Palm Beach Shop-Top Housing (Former General Store site). The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment environment in Avalon - Palm Beach shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Avalon - Palm Beach has an educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 2.8%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

From June 2025, 6,820 residents are employed, with a participation rate similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0% but an unemployment rate 1.4% lower. Dominant employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs at 1.3 times the regional level, while public administration & safety shows lower representation at 2.9%. Over a year to June 2025, labour force increased by 0.0%, employment declined by 0.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points.

Meanwhile, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. National forecasts from May 2025 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local growth patterns may differ based on industry-specific projections for Avalon - Palm Beach's employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Avalon - Palm Beach is exceptionally high nationally. The median income is assessed at $55,895 while the average income stands at $125,965. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $61,820 (median) and $139,317 (average) as of March 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Avalon - Palm Beach, between the 83rd and 91st percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 31.7% of locals (4,191 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike trends in the region where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A significant 43.9% earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 15.1% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 91st percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Avalon - Palm Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Avalon-Palm Beach, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.0% houses and 16.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avalon-Palm Beach was 49.2%, with the rest either mortgaged (35.3%) or rented (15.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,300, higher than Sydney metro's $3,200. The median weekly rent figure was $745, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Avalon-Palm Beach's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Avalon - Palm Beach features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 77.7% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 33.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.3%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Avalon - Palm Beach shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rates exceed the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW at 32.2%, standing at 40.1% for residents aged 15+. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 14.0% and certificates at 17.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education. Avalon - Palm Beach's schools have a combined enrollment of 1,837 students. The area demonstrates socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1100. Education provision is balanced with three primary schools and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Avalon-Palm Beach has 146 operational public transport stops, offering a combination of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 38 unique routes, facilitating a total of 3,756 weekly passenger trips. The area boasts excellent transport accessibility, with residents situated an average of 138 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 536 daily trips across all routes, translating to around 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Avalon - Palm Beach's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Avalon - Palm Beach, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 80% of the total population (10,604 people), compared to 74.1% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.6% and 6.4% of residents respectively, while 72.9% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.8% across Greater Sydney.

The area has 28.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,710 people), which is higher than the 24.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Avalon - Palm Beach records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avalon-Palm Beach, compared to the wider Greater Sydney area, has a population that is roughly equally diverse culturally. It comprises 76.1% Australian-born residents, 90.6% citizens, and 93.7% English-only speakers at home. Christianity dominates religious affiliation in Avalon-Palm Beach with 43.4%.

However, Judaism is slightly overrepresented at 0.5%, compared to the regional average of 0.3%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (34.9%), Australian (23.2%), and Irish (10.4%). Notably, French ancestry is overrepresented at 1.0% in Avalon-Palm Beach versus 0.8% regionally, Scottish at 9.7% compared to 8.7%, and Welsh at 0.8% against 0.7%.

Avalon - Palm Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Avalon-Palm Beach has a median age of 48 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 14.2% of the population, while the 25-34 age group comprises only 4.8%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 7.9% to 10.6%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 11.3% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 6.2% to 4.8%, and the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 13.1% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts suggest significant demographic changes for Avalon-Palm Beach. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 182%, adding 771 residents to reach a total of 1,196. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, highlighting the trend towards an aging demographic. However, population declines are forecast for the 25 to 34 age group and the 0 to 4 age cohort.