Warriewood

Population growth drivers in Warriewood are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Warriewood statistical area's population is estimated at around 9,124, reflecting an increase of 745 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents an 8.9% increase from the previous population count of 8,379. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of a resident population of 9,066 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 115 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,188 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warriewood's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (1.8%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 96.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate lower quartile growth across statistical areas nationally, with Warriewood expected to increase by 80 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a reduction of 5.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warriewood according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Warriewood experienced approximately 50 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 253 homes. As of FY-26, 12 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.3 new residents arrived per new home each year between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply met or exceeded demand. The average development value was $810,000, suggesting focus on premium market developments.

This financial year, $4.3 million in commercial development approvals were recorded, reflecting Warriewood's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warriewood had 102.0% more new home approvals per person as of FY-25. New development consisted of 41.0% standalone homes and 59.0% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living for affordability and suitability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 306 people per approval, Warriewood's population projections indicate stability or decline, potentially reducing housing demand pressures to benefit buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Warriewood should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Warriewood has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects that could affect the area. Notable ones are Warriewood Valley Release Area, Dove Lane Residences, Arri Estate, and Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment. The following list details projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Warriewood ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Warriewood has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.0%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 4,787 residents employed with an unemployment rate at 1.1% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Warriewood is 65.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, construction employment levels are at 1.2 times the regional average, while transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

The ratio of 0.8 workers per resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. Over the past year, labour force decreased by 0.7%, and employment declined by 1.6%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Warriewood's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Warriewood had a median taxpayer income of $60,938 and an average income of $95,522 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. Nationally, these figures are high, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Warriewood would be approximately $66,337 (median) and $103,985 (average) as of September 2025. Census data from 2021 shows that incomes in Warriewood rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes all between the 83rd and 92nd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 28.3% of locals (2,582 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 weekly income category, mirroring the regional trend where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Higher earners make up a substantial presence in Warriewood, with 43.3% earning over $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 18.6% of income, but despite this, disposable income ranks at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Warriewood displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Warriewood, as per the latest Census, consisted of 52.5% houses and 47.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warriewood stood at 33.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (48.1%) or rented (18.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,077, below Sydney metro's average of $3,200. Median weekly rent was $750, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Warriewood's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warriewood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.0% of all households, including 44.3% couples with children, 24.5% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 17.2% and group households making up 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational achievement in Warriewood places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Warriewood trail residents aged 15+ with university degrees comprise 34.7%, compared to the SA4 region's 41.5%. The most prevalent qualification is bachelor degrees at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.9% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 14.5% and certificates at 21.4%. Educational participation is high, with 34.2% currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.3% in primary, 10.1% in secondary, and 4.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 63 active transport stops in Warriewood, with a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 78 individual routes, offering 5,389 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 136 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 769 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 85 weekly trips per stop.

Warriewood's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Warriewood. Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 65% of the total population (5,893 people), compared to 73.8% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 6.8% and 6.7% of residents respectively. 73.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.8% across Greater Sydney. Warriewood has 18.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,715 people), which is lower than the 24.1% in Greater Sydney but requires more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warriewood was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warriewood's cultural diversity is above average, with 14.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 26.1% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 55.8%. Judaism, at 0.3%, is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's 0.3%.

Top ancestry groups are English (30.0%), Australian (24.9%), and Other (8.7%). Croatian (1.5% vs regional 0.8%) and Serbian (1.2% vs regional 0.5%) are overrepresented, while South African representation is similar (0.9% vs regional 0.8%).

Warriewood's median age exceeds the national pattern

Warriewood's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Warriewood at 16.2%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 6.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.6% to 14.6% of Warriewood's population, and the 75-84 cohort has risen from 6.4% to 7.6%. Conversely, the 35-44 age group has decreased from 14.3% to 12.8%. Demographic modeling suggests that Warriewood's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 110%, adding 351 residents, reaching a total of 671. This growth is part of an overall demographic aging trend, with residents aged 65 and older representing all anticipated population growth. However, the 55-64 and 25-34 age cohorts are projected to decline in population.