Warriewood

Population growth drivers in Warriewood are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Warriewood as of Feb 2026 is around 9,160. This reflects an increase of 781 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,379 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 9,066 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 143 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,196 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warriewood's growth rate of 9.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (2.0%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 96.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated, with Warriewood expected to increase by 72 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a reduction of 5.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warriewood according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Warriewood had around 50 dwelling approvals per year on average over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 253 homes. In FY-26 so far, 12 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 0.3 new residents arrived per new home, indicating supply meeting or exceeding demand and supporting population growth potential. The average construction cost value for new dwellings was $810,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market.

This financial year has seen $4.3 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting Warriewood's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warriewood recorded 102.0% more new home approvals per person as of FY-25. New development consisted of 41.0% standalone homes and 59.0% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living for affordability and suitability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With approximately 306 people per approval, Warriewood's population projections indicate stability or decline, reducing housing demand pressures and benefiting potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Warriewood should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Warriewood has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are Warriewood Valley Release Area, Dove Lane Residences, Arri Estate, and Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Warriewood ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Warriewood has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.0%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there are 4,803 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Warriewood is somewhat below standard at 67.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 44.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training sectors. Notably, construction employs a high proportion at 1.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs just 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The ratio of 0.8 workers per resident indicates above-average employment opportunities in Warriewood. Over the 12-month period ending September 2025, labour force decreased by 0.6%, while employment declined by 1.5%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warriewood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Warriewood has a median taxpayer income of $60,938 and an average income of $95,522 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Nationally, these figures are extremely high, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Warriewood would be approximately $66,337 (median) and $103,985 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family and personal incomes in Warriewood rank highly nationally, between the 83rd and 92nd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the predominant cohort spans 28.3% of locals (2,592 people) with weekly earnings in the $1,500 - $2,999 category, mirroring the regional trend where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 43.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 18.6% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Warriewood displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Warriewood, as per the latest Census evaluation, 52.5% of dwellings were houses while 47.5% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Warriewood was 33.1%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (48.1%) or rented (18.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area stood at $3,077, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent was recorded at $750, higher than Sydney metro's figure of $470. Nationally, Warriewood's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warriewood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.0% of all households, including 44.3% couples with children, 24.5% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.0%, with lone person households at 17.2% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational achievement in Warriewood places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Warriewood's residents aged 15+ have 34.7% university degrees, compared to the SA4 region's 41.5%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 35.9% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (14.5%) and certificates (21.4%).

Educational participation is high at 34.2%, with 12.3% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warriewood has 63 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 78 different routes that together facilitate 5,389 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's location to the nearest transport stop is 136 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. In this predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 87% of residents, with walking accounting for 4%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 44.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 769 trips per day, equating to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warriewood's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis shows strong health performance in Warriewood based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low among the general population but higher than national averages for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 65% of the total population (5,916 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common conditions were mental health issues (6.8%) and arthritis (6.7%). 73.7% of residents declared no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Warriewood has 19.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,749 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%, but ranks lower nationally.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warriewood was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warriewood's cultural diversity was above average, with 14.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 26.1% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warriewood, comprising 55.8%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

The top ancestry groups were English (30.0%), Australian (24.9%), and Other (8.7%). Notably, Croatian (1.5%) and Serbian (1.2%) were overrepresented, while South African was at 0.9%, all compared to regional averages of 0.7%, 0.5%, and 0.5% respectively.

Warriewood's median age exceeds the national pattern

Warriewood's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Warriewood at 15.9%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 6.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group grew from 11.6% to 15.1%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 6.4% to 7.7%. Conversely, the 35-44 age group declined from 14.3% to 12.7%, and the 25-34 group dropped from 7.8% to 6.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Warriewood's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 85+ cohort projected to grow by 102%, adding 336 residents to reach 666. The demographic aging trend continues as residents aged 65 and older represent all of the anticipated growth. However, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 55-64 age cohorts.