Warriewood

Population growth drivers in Warriewood are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Warriewood's population is estimated at around 9,160, reflecting an increase of 781 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 8,379. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 9,066 in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 2,196 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Warriewood's 9.3% growth since 2021 exceeded the SA3 area (2%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 96.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. For projections until 2041, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, with growth rates applied from 2032 to 2041.

Considering projected demographic shifts, the suburb is expected to increase by 70 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a reduction of 0.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warriewood according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Warriewood has experienced around 51 dwellings receiving development approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 257 homes between FY-21 and FY-25. So far in FY-26, 16 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.3 new residents arrive per new home annually during this period, indicating that supply meets or exceeds demand, offering greater buyer choice while supporting potential population growth above projections.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $806,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $4.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, reflecting Warriewood's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warriewood records 105.0% more new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. New development consists of 42.0% standalone homes and 58.0% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 286 people per approval, Warriewood reflects a transitioning market, and population projections indicating stability or decline should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Warriewood should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Warriewood has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 potential impact projects in total. Notable ones include Warriewood Valley Release Area, Dove Lane Residences, Arri Estate, and Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment. The following list details the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Warriewood ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Warriewood's workforce is well-educated with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.1% as of AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 4,822 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation was 68.0%, slightly below Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 44.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, construction employs 1.2 times the regional average while transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.2%, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

The worker-to-resident ratio of 0.8 indicates ample local employment opportunities. In the year to December 2025, labour force decreased by 0.2% and employment declined by 1.0%, raising unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. Conversely, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warriewood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Warriewood suburb has a median taxpayer income of $60,938 and an average of $95,522 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is notably high compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,023. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $66,337 and an average of $103,985, factoring in the Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Warriewood rank high nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 83rd and 92nd percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 28.3% of locals (2,592 people) earning $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, similar to the regional average of 30.9%. Notably, 43.3% of Warriewood residents earn more than $3,000 weekly, indicating substantial purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 18.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Warriewood displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Warriewood, as per the latest Census evaluation, 52.5% of dwellings were houses while 47.5% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This differs slightly from Sydney's metropolitan area where 55.9% were houses and 44.1% were other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Warriewood stood at 33.1%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (48.1%) or rented (18.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warriewood was $3,077, higher than Sydney's metro average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Warriewood was recorded at $750, compared to Sydney's metro average of $470. Nationally, Warriewood's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warriewood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.0% of all households, including 44.3% couples with children, 24.5% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.0%, consisting of lone person households at 17.2% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational achievement in Warriewood places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Warriewood trail's residents aged 15+ have 34.7% university degrees, compared to SA4 region's 41.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 14.5% and certificates at 21.4%. Educational participation is high, with 34.2% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.3% in primary, 10.1% in secondary, and 4.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warriewood has 63 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 78 different routes that together facilitate 5,389 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 136 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Car remains the primary mode of transport for 87% of residents, while 4% walk. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 44.9% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, an average of 769 trips are made daily, equating to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warriewood's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Warriewood. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were assessed by AreaSearch, with common health conditions' prevalence low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover rate was exceptionally high at approximately 65% of the total population (5,916 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were mental health issues impacting 6.8% of residents and arthritis affecting 6.7%, while 73.7% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Warriewood has 19.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,749 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney but ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warriewood was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warriewood's cultural diversity was above average, with 14.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 26.1% born overseas. Christianity dominated Warriewood's religious landscape, comprising 55.8%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

In ancestry, English (30.0%) and Australian (24.9%) groups were substantially higher than regional averages of 19.0% and 17.8%, respectively. The Other group was notably lower at 8.7% compared to the region's 16.0%. Notable divergences included Croatian (1.5%), Serbian (1.2%), and South Australian (0.9%) groups, all overrepresented relative to regional averages.

Warriewood's median age exceeds the national pattern

Warriewood's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warriewood has a notably higher proportion of the 45-54 age group (16.1% locally) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (6.3%). Post-2021 Census, the 15-24 age group increased from 11.6% to 15.3%, while the 75-84 cohort rose from 6.4% to 7.8%. Conversely, the 35-44 age group declined from 14.3% to 12.6%, and the 25-34 group decreased from 7.8% to 6.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Warriewood's age profile. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 118%, adding 356 residents to reach 659. Residents aged 65 and older will represent all anticipated population growth, while the 55-64 and 25-34 cohorts are expected to decline in population.