Bayview - Elanora Heights
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bayview - Elanora Heights reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bayview - Elanora Heights' population was 11,243 as of Aug 2021. By Aug 2025, the population is projected to reach around 11,342, an increase of approximately 99 people (0.9%) since the 2021 Census. This growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data: 11,332 as of June 2024 and additional validated new addresses post-Census date. The population density ratio is 175 persons per square kilometer. Since census, Bayview - Elanora Heights' growth rate (0.9%) is close to the SA3 area's growth rate (1.7%), indicating competitive fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of recent population gains in this area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022; NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decrease by approximately 29 persons overall but expand in specific age cohorts, notably the 85 and over age group, which is expected to grow by around 624 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bayview - Elanora Heights, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Bayview - Elanora Heights has seen approximately 25 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals 129 homes since FY-18. In the current financial year, FY-26, there have been five approvals recorded to date. The area has experienced population decline, resulting in adequate housing supply relative to demand.

This creates a balanced market with good buyer choice, as developers focus on premium properties with an average construction cost of $828,000. There have also been $3.8 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. When compared to Greater Sydney, Bayview - Elanora Heights shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person. It ranks among the 20th percentile nationally when assessed for areas with similar characteristics.

This results in relatively constrained buyer choice and supports interest in existing homes, which is under the national average. Recent construction comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1055 people, reflecting the area's quiet, low activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline in the future, Bayview - Elanora Heights should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Bayview - Elanora Heights has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 0thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Dove Lane Residences, Warriewood Valley Release Area, Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment, and Karinya Warriewood. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Bayview - Elanora Heights presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.2%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Bayview - Elanora Heights has an educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 3.2%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

As of June 2025, 5776 residents are employed, with a participation rate of 57.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include professional & technical services, construction, and health care & social assistance. Construction employment is high at 1.5 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing is lower at 2.5%. Over June 2024 to June 2025, labour force levels remained stable (0.0% change), but employment declined by 1.1%, increasing unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points.

In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and a smaller unemployment rise of 0.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bayview - Elanora Heights' employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Bayview-Elanora Heights has exceptionally high incomes nationally, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers is $57,765, with an average income of $113,190. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $65,049 (median) and $127,463 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Bayview-Elanora Heights, between the 79th and 92nd percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 32.4% of the population fall within the $40,000+ income range, unlike broader area trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. The locality demonstrates affluence with 45.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 91st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Bayview - Elanora Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bayview - Elanora Heights dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.0% houses and 18.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayview - Elanora Heights was higher than Sydney metro at 50.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.6% and rented ones at 11.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,467, surpassing the Sydney metro average of $3,200. The median weekly rent stood at $745, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Bayview - Elanora Heights's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bayview - Elanora Heights has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 76.8% of all households, including 39.3% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 6.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 21.7% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Bayview - Elanora Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 37.4% of residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 32.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 13.9% and certificates for 18.5%.

Educational participation is high at 29.2%, including 9.8% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education. Bayview - Elanora Heights has three schools with a combined enrollment of 718 students as of the latest data. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1070. The educational mix includes two primary and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents stand at 6.3, below the regional average of 12.7, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to their parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayview-Elanora Heights has 105 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These are covered by 62 different routes that facilitate 2,244 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents on average located 239 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 320 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bayview - Elanora Heights is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Bayview-Elanora Heights shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is low, with arthritis affecting 9.0% and asthma impacting 6.2% of residents. 78% of the total population (8,790 people) has private health cover, compared to 74.1% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%.

70.8% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 72.8% across Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 27.7% (3,137 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 24.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bayview - Elanora Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayview-Elanora Heights, surveyed in June 2016, had a cultural diversity index of 9.1%, with residents speaking languages other than English at home. Overseas-born population was 26.1%. Christianity dominated religiously, with 53.5% adherents.

Judaism's representation was slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average, at 0.3%. Top three ancestral groups were English (32.4%), Australian (24.5%), and Irish (8.8%). Notably, French ancestry was overrepresented at 0.9%, compared to the regional average of 0.8%. South African and Serbian ancestries also showed higher representation than Greater Sydney averages, at 0.9% and 0.6% respectively.

Bayview - Elanora Heights hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Bayview - Elanora Heights has a median age of 49, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 years are prominent, making up 10.9% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years form a smaller group at 5.3%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.6% to 13.3%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group has declined from 9.9% to 8.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bayview - Elanora Heights' age structure. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 114%, reaching 1,111 people from 519. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.