Bayview - Elanora Heights
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bayview - Elanora Heights reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bayview - Elanora Heights' population is approximately 11,350 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 107 people, a 1.0% rise from the 2021 Census count of 11,243 residents. The change is inferred from ABS estimates: 11,332 in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 175 persons per square kilometer. Bayview - Elanora Heights' growth rate since the census (1.0%) is within 0.7 percentage points of its SA3 area's rate (1.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this population increase.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to decline by 29 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 85 and over group, projected to expand by 624 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bayview - Elanora Heights, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Bayview - Elanora Heights has seen approximately 25 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 129 homes. As of FY-26, six approvals have been recorded. The area's population decline has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average value of $604,000, indicating developers' focus on the premium market and high-end developments.

This financial year, there have been $3.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bayview - Elanora Heights shows around 75% of construction activity per person, placing it among the 20th percentile nationally, which results in relatively constrained buyer choice and supports interest in existing homes. This is below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1055 people, reflecting its quiet, low-activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Bayview - Elanora Heights should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Bayview - Elanora Heights has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 0thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects likely influencing the area. Notable projects include Dove Lane Residences, Warriewood Valley Release Area, Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment, and Karinya Warriewood. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Bayview - Elanora Heights presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.2%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Bayview - Elanora Heights has an educated workforce with a notable presence in the technology sector. The unemployment rate is 3.2%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

As of June 2025, 5776 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% below Greater Sydney's. Workforce participation is slightly lower at 57.7%. Key employment sectors include professional & technical, construction, and health care & social assistance. The area has a strong specialization in construction, employing 1.5 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.5% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Over the year ending June 2025, labour force levels remained stable (0.0%) while employment decreased by 1.1%, leading to a 1.1 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bayview - Elanora Heights' employment mix suggests potential local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Bayview-Elanora Heights has an exceptionally high income level nationally, according to the latest Australian Taxation Office data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ending June 2022. The median income among taxpayers in Bayview-Elanora Heights is $57,765, and the average income stands at $113,190. These figures compare to those of Greater Sydney, which are $56,994 for median income and $80,856 for average income respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since June 2022, current estimates would be approximately $65,049 (median) and $127,463 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Bayview-Elanora Heights, between the 79th and 92nd percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 32.4% of the population (3,677 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, unlike trends in the broader area where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. The locality demonstrates considerable affluence with 45.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 91st percentile. The area's Socio-Economic Indexes for Advantage (SEIFA) income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Bayview - Elanora Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bayview - Elanora Heights dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.0% houses and 18.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Sydney metro's 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayview - Elanora Heights stood at 50.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.6% and rented ones at 11.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,467, higher than Sydney metro's $3,200. Median weekly rent was $745, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Bayview - Elanora Heights had significantly higher mortgage repayments at $1,863 and substantially higher rents at $375.

Bayview - Elanora Heights has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 76.8 percent of all households, including 39.3 percent couples with children, 30.1 percent couples without children, and 6.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.2 percent, with lone person households at 21.7 percent and group households comprising 1.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Bayview - Elanora Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 37.4% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 32.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (13.9%) and certificates (18.5%).

Educational participation is high at 29.2%, including 9.8% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education. The area's three schools have a combined enrollment of 718 students and demonstrate above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1070). The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents stand at 6.3, below the regional average of 12.7, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas. Note: for schools with 'n/a' listed for enrolments, please refer to their parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayview-Elanora Heights has 105 active public transport stops, offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 62 different routes, which collectively facilitate 2,244 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically situated approximately 239 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 320 daily trips across all routes, translating to roughly 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bayview - Elanora Heights is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Bayview-Elanora Heights shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly residents, with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 78% (8,796 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 74.1%, and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.0%) and asthma (6.2%).

Around 70.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.8% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 27.7% (3,139 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 24.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bayview - Elanora Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayview-Elanora Heights showed cultural diversity with 9.1% speaking a language other than English at home, and 26.1% born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion at 53.5%. Judaism, though small at 0.3%, was proportionally similar to Greater Sydney's 0.3%.

In terms of ancestry, English (32.4%), Australian (24.5%), and Irish (8.8%) were the top groups. Notably, French (0.9% vs regional 0.8%), South African (0.9% vs 0.8%), and Serbian (0.6% vs 0.5%) were overrepresented.

Bayview - Elanora Heights hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Bayview - Elanora Heights has a median age of 49, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and also above the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 years make up 10.9% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years constitute only 5.3%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of people aged 15-24 has increased from 11.6% to 13.3%, and the 75-84 age group has risen from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 35-44 age group has decreased from 9.9% to 8.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bayview - Elanora Heights' age structure. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 114%, reaching 1,111 people from 519. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. In contrast, the 55-64 and 25-34 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.