Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)
Statistical Area - sa2

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s population is approximately 14,964 as of August 2025. This represents a growth of 330 people (2.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,634. The increase was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 14,944 in June 2024 and an additional 140 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2,316 persons per square kilometer, placing it among the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (1.7%), making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, the area is expected to increase by approximately 932 persons by 2041, marking a total growth of 6.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) saw approximately 69 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 345 homes. As of FY26, 12 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year arriving per new home in this period was 0.7. This indicates that supply has met or exceeded demand, offering greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth beyond projections.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings was $931,000, reflecting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, $6.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) recorded 59.0% more new home approvals per person as of recent data. The current construction activity shows a focus on higher-density living, with 26.0% detached dwellings and 74.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift from the current housing mix (currently 53.0% houses) reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 1009 people per dwelling approval, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) indicates a highly mature market.

Future projections expect an increase of 912 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply is expected to comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Warriewood Valley Release Area, MAYA Mona Vale, Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment, and Bayside Mona Vale. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.5% as of June 2025.

Residents' employment totals 8,141, with an unemployment rate 1.7% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation matches Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction has notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Meanwhile, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence, at 3.0% compared to the regional 5.3%. The area had a worker-to-resident ratio of 0.7 at Census time, indicating above-average local employment opportunities. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.0%, and employment decreased by 0.5%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data for NSW to Sep-25 shows employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s employment mix suggests potential local growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows median income in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) at $58,893 and average income at $94,681. These figures contrast with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes are approximately $65,136 (median) and $104,717 (average) as of March 2025. According to the 2021 Census, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 79th and 82nd percentiles nationally. The income bracket $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 27.5% of residents (4,115 people), consistent with metropolitan trends showing 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 38.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 80th percentile and SEIFA income ranking places the area in the 9th decile.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Mona Vale-Warriewood (North), as per the latest Census, comprised 53.4% houses and 46.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mona Vale-Warriewood (North) was 44.3%, with the rest either mortgaged (34.7%) or rented (21.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, below Sydney metro's average of $3,200. Median weekly rent was $660, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Mona Vale-Warriewood (North)'s mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.3% of all households, composed of couples with children (35.8%), couples without children (28.6%), and single parent families (9.3%). Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.8% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, smaller than Greater Sydney's average of 2.7.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) educational qualifications lag behind regional benchmarks. 33.5% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees compared to the SA4 region's 41.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 35.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 14.1% and certificates at 21.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education. Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has 4 schools with a combined enrollment of 2,084 students. The area's socio-educational conditions are above average, with an ICSEA score of 1089. Education provision is balanced with 3 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) region has 92 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a total of 92 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 5,961 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 176 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 851 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 64 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) residents have a relatively low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 69% of the total population (10,370 people) has private health cover, compared to 74.1% in Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis, affecting 8.4% of residents, and asthma, impacting 6.5%.

A total of 71.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.8% in Greater Sydney. In the area, 24.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,699 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mona Vale-Warriewood North, surveyed in June 2016, had cultural diversity above average with 11.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.7% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion at 55.5%. Judaism, though small at 0.3%, was proportionally higher compared to Greater Sydney's 0.3%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (31.6%), Australian (24.9%), and Irish (8.8%). Notably, Croatian (1.5% vs regional 0.8%), Serbian (1.1% vs 0.5%), and Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.3%) were overrepresented.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84, at 9.6%, but fewer residents aged 25-34, at 8.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 grew from 11.1% to 13.5%, while the 35-44 age group declined from 11.6% to 10.2%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 13.0% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s age structure. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 107%, reaching 1,283 people from 619. The combined 65+ age groups will account for 93% of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.