Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s population is 15,003 as of Feb 2026. This shows an increase of 369 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,634. The change is inferred from ABS data: the estimated resident population was 14,944 in June 2024 and there were 147 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,322 persons per square kilometer, higher than average national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 2.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth of 2.0%, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, based on latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to increase by 932 persons, reflecting a total increase of 5.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) saw approximately 69 new home approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 345 homes. As of FY26, 13 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents arriving per new home in this area was 0.7 per year between FY21 and FY25. This suggests that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering greater buyer choice while supporting potential population growth above projections.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings over the past five financial years was $436,000, which is somewhat higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. In FY26, $6.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) records 59.0% more new home approvals per person, creating greater choice for buyers. However, construction activity has eased recently. New building activity shows 26.0% detached dwellings and 74.0% medium and high-density housing, reflecting a shift towards higher-density living to provide more affordable entry points and suit downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix of 53.0% houses.

With around 1009 people per dwelling approval, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) reflects a highly mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 873 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones are Warriewood Valley Release Area, Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment, Dove Lane Residences, and Arri Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Mona Vale-Warriewood (North) has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%. As of September 2025, 8,071 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 66.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census data shows 43.3% of residents work from home. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction employment is notably high, at 1.4 times the regional average.

Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence, with 3.0% employment compared to 5.3% regionally. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating above-average local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.6%, while employment decreased by 1.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with an unemployment increase of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mona Vale-Warriewood (North)'s employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) SA2 has a high national median income of $62,415 and an average income of $95,080. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) are approximately $67,945 median and $103,504 average as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) rank highly nationally, between the 79th and 82nd percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The $1,500-$2,999 income bracket dominates with 27.5% of residents (4,125 people), consistent with broader metropolitan trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Higher earners make up a substantial presence, with 38.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 80th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Mona Vale-Warriewood (North), as per the latest Census, 53.4% of dwellings were houses while 46.6% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas where 55.9% are houses and 44.1% are other dwellings. Home ownership in Mona Vale-Warriewood (North) stood at 44.3%, with the rest either mortgaged (34.7%) or rented (21.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent in the area averaged $660, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Mona Vale-Warriewood (North)'s mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.3% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 28.6% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.8% and group households making up 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mona Vale-Warriewood (North) trail regional benchmarks, with 33.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 41.5% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 35.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 14.1% and certificates at 21.8%. Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.5% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has 121 active public transport stops. These are serviced by 92 routes, offering 6,210 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 175 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car is the dominant mode of transport at 85%, with 7% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, above the regional average.

In 2021 Census data, 43.3% of residents worked from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 887 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 51 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

The level of general health in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 69% of the total population, which consists of 10,307 people.

This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationally. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.4 and 6.5% of residents respectively. A total of 71.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 25.2% of residents aged 65 and over, which totals 3,777 people, higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly aligning with those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mona Vale-Warriewood (North), surveyed in June 2021, showed above-average cultural diversity with 11.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.7% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 55.5%. Judaism's representation stood at 0.3%, higher than Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

Top ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (24.9%), and Irish (8.8%). Notable ethnic group divergences included Croatian (1.5% vs regional 0.7%) and Serbian (1.1% vs 0.5%), with Hungarian at 0.4% compared to the region's 0.3%.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a higher percentage of residents aged 75-84 (9.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.8%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.1% to 14.0%, while the 35-44 age group has decreased from 11.6% to 10.0% and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 13.0% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s age structure. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 102%, reaching 1,283 people from 636. The combined 65+ age groups will account for 94% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.