Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s population was around 14,965 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 331 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 14,634. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 14,945 in June 2024 and additional validated addresses since the Census date. The population density was 2,316 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s growth of 2.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area average of 1.7%. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by these data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s population is expected to increase by 932 persons, reflecting a total increase of 6.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has seen approximately 69 new home approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 345 homes. As of FY26, 12 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.7 new residents arrive per new home annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating supply meets or exceeds demand. The average construction cost value for new dwellings is $436,000.

In FY26, $6.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) records 59% more new home approvals per capita. New building activity comprises 26% detached dwellings and 74% medium and high-density housing. The current population density is around 1009 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 911 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand.

Looking ahead, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) is expected to grow by 911 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Warriewood Valley Release Area, Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment, Dove Lane Residences, and Mona Vale Place Plan. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%.

As of September 2025, 8,071 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.3% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at par with Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction (employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. However, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence with 3.0% employment compared to 5.3% regionally.

The area's ratio of 0.7 workers per resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.6%, employment decreased by 1.2%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourable to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest an expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) SA2 had a median income of $58,893 and an average income of $94,681. This is higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $66,319 and the average income around $106,620, based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) ranks between the 79th and 82nd percentiles nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. The income bracket of $1,500-$2,999 is dominant with 27.5% of residents, similar to the broader metropolitan region at 30.9%. Notably, 38.3% of residents earn more than $3,000 weekly. Despite high housing costs consuming 16.8% of income, disposable income remains at the 80th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Mona Vale - Warriewood (North), as per the latest Census data, 53.4% of dwellings were houses while 46.6% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is in contrast to Sydney metropolitan areas where 72.1% of dwellings are houses and 27.9% are other dwellings. Home ownership levels in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) were similar to those in Sydney metro at 44.3%. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (34.7%) or rented (21.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,033, lower than the Sydney metro average of $3,200. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure stood at $660 compared to Sydney's $695. Nationally, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.3% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 28.6% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.8% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Mona Vale - Warriewood (North), 33.5% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to the SA4 regional average of 41.5%. The most common educational qualification is a bachelor degree, held by 24.0% of residents. Postgraduate qualifications are held by 7.1%, and graduate diplomas by 2.4%. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 35.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications.

Advanced diplomas are held by 14.1%, and certificates by 21.8%. Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has 92 active public transport stops. These are served by buses on 92 different routes, offering a total of 5,961 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 176 meters from their nearest stop.

Buses run an average of 851 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 64 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) residents show favourable health outcomes, with low prevalence rates for common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is notably high at approximately 69% of the total population of 10,370 people, compared to 74.1% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.4%) and asthma (6.5%), with 71.0% of residents reporting no medical ailments, slightly below the Greater Sydney average of 72.8%.

As of 30 June 2020, 24.7% of residents were aged 65 years or older, totalling 3,699 people. Health outcomes among seniors are above average and better than those of the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mona Vale-Warriewood North, surveyed in 2016, had above average cultural diversity with 11.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.7% born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion at 55.5%. Judaism, at 0.3%, was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's 0.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (24.9%), and Irish (8.8%). Notably, Croatian (1.5% vs regional 0.8%), Serbian (1.1% vs 0.5%), and Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.3%) ethnicities were overrepresented.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 years (9.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 years (8.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 years has increased from 11.1% to 13.5%, while the 35-44 age group has decreased from 11.6% to 10.2%. The 5-14 age group has also declined, from 13.0% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s age structure. Notably, the 85+ age group is projected to grow by 107%, reaching 1,283 people from 619. The combined 65+ age groups will account for 93% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.