Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s population, as of November 2025, is approximately 14,965. This figure represents an increase of 331 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,634. The growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident populations and validated new addresses. The population density ratio stands at 2,316 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally. Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s growth rate since the Census exceeded the SA3 area's rate, marking it as a leader in regional growth. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by approximately 932 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of about 6.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has seen approximately 69 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 345 homes. As of FY26, 12 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.7 new residents arrive per year for each new home built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that supply meets or exceeds demand. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $931,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment.

In FY26, $6.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) records 59.0% more new home approvals per person. Currently, 26.0% of new building activity involves detached dwellings, while 74.0% is medium and high-density housing. This shift reflects reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands. With around 1009 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) is projected to grow by 911 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, supporting good conditions for buyers and potential population growth beyond current projections.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Warriewood Valley Release Area, Pittwater Plaza Redevelopment, Dove Lane Residences, and Mona Vale Place Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate stands at 2.5%.

As of June 2025, 8,141 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.7% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation mirrors Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 3.0% compared to 5.3% regionally. The area's worker-to-resident ratio of 0.7 indicates ample local employment opportunities. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels remained stable while employment decreased by 0.5%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6% and labour force by 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 points. State-level data for NSW as of Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) SA2 had exceptionally high incomes nationally, with a median assessed income of $58,893 and an average income of $94,681. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $66,319 (median) and $106,620 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) rank highly nationally, between the 79th and 82nd percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500-$2,999 bracket dominates with 27.5% of residents (4,115 people), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 38.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 80th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North), as per the latest Census, consisted of 53.4% houses and 46.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) was 44.3%, with the rest either mortgaged (34.7%) or rented (21.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,033, below Sydney metro's average of $3,200. The median weekly rent figure was $660, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.3% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 28.6% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.8% and group households making up 1.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Mona Vale-Warriewood (North), 33.5% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to the SA4 region's 41.5%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational credentials are held by 35.9% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 14.1% and certificates at 21.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) shows that there are currently 92 active transport stops operating in the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with each route being individually numbered and operated by different services. The total number of weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes is 5,961.

The accessibility of public transport in this region is rated as excellent due to the proximity of residents to their nearest transport stop, which averages at approximately 176 meters away. On a daily basis, there are an average of 851 trips made across all routes, equating to around 64 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North)'s residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) residents show positive health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Private health cover is high at 69% (10,370 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 74.1%. Nationally, it stands at 55.3%.

Common medical conditions include arthritis (8.4%) and asthma (6.5%). 71.0% of residents report no ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 72.8%. The area has 24.7% seniors (3,699 people), with health outcomes above average for this age group.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mona Vale-Warriewood North had a cultural diversity above average, with 11.4% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 25.7% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mona Vale-Warriewood North, making up 55.5% of people there. However, Judaism stood out as overrepresented, comprising 0.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.3%.

In terms of ancestry, English was the most represented group at 31.6%, followed by Australian at 24.9% and Irish at 8.8%. Notably, Croatian (1.5%), Serbian (1.1%), and Hungarian (0.4%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional percentages of 0.8%, 0.5%, and 0.3% respectively.

Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This is also considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mona Vale - Warriewood (North) has a higher percentage of residents aged 75-84, at 9.6%, but fewer residents aged 25-34, at 8%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 increased from 11.1% to 13.5%, while the 35-44 age group declined from 11.6% to 10.2% and the 5-14 age group dropped from 13.0% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 85+ age group will grow by 107%, reaching 1,283 people from 619. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 93% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.