Avalon Beach

Avalon Beach is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, AreaSearch estimates the population of the Avalon Beach statistical area (Lv2) at around 10,480 people. This figure reflects a growth of 101 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,379. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 10,455 in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,035 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Avalon Beach (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 1.0% from the Census date to November 2025, positioning it within 0.8 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 1.8%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in June 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in December 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate a decline in overall population over this period. The Avalon Beach (SA2) is expected to experience a contraction of 102 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 648 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Avalon Beach according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Avalon Beach has seen approximately 30 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 153 homes received approval, with a further 20 approved in FY26 as of now. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been relatively adequate, benefiting buyers.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $2,537,000, indicating a focus on the premium market and high-end developments. Commercial approvals this financial year totalled $128,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Avalon Beach maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. However, this activity is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Building activity shows 77.0% detached houses and 23.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Avalon Beach's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 335 people per approval, it reflects a low density area. Given expected population stability or decline, Avalon Beach should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Avalon Beach has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified two projects that are expected to influence this area. Notable projects include Avalon Beach Bike Facility, 100 Hilltop Road House Construction, Mona Vale Hospital Reconfiguration, and Northern Beaches Coast Walk. The following details those projects likely to have the most relevance:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Avalon Beach presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.5%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Avalon Beach has a well-educated workforce. The technology sector is particularly notable among residents.

The unemployment rate in the area was 3.5% as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there were 5,416 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's at 60.0%. The leading employment industries are professional & technical services, construction, and health care & social assistance.

Construction stands out with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. However, public administration & safety has a lower representation, at 3.0% compared to Greater Sydney's 5.7%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force decreased by 0.5%, while employment declined by 1.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and labour force expand by 2.4%. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avalon Beach's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 7.0% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for local population changes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Avalon Beach had a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers was $52,566 and average income stood at $118,290. Greater Sydney's figures were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Avalon Beach would be approximately $57,223 (median) and $128,770 (average) as of September 2025. Census data showed household, family and personal incomes all ranked highly in Avalon Beach, between the 78th and 90th percentiles nationally. Income analysis revealed that the $4000+ bracket dominated with 30.4% of residents (3,185 people), differing from patterns across the broader area where $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 30.9%. The area demonstrated considerable affluence with 42.6% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consumed 15.9% of income, though strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 89th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Avalon Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Avalon Beach's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 72.1% houses and 27.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avalon Beach stood at 46.2%, similar to Sydney metro, with the rest being mortgaged (38.1%) or rented (15.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,200. Median weekly rent in Avalon Beach was $700, compared to Sydney metro's $695. Nationally, Avalon Beach's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,250 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Avalon Beach features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 39.4% couples with children, 29.4% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 20.0% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Avalon Beach demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 38.1% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 26.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 33.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 14.3% and certificates make up 18.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Avalon Beach has 97 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 36 different routes that together facilitate 2,275 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 145 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 325 daily trips across all routes, equating to around 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Avalon Beach's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Avalon Beach demonstrates excellent health outcomes with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 74% of its total population (7,702 people) has private health cover, significantly higher than the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.3% and 6.5% of residents respectively. A majority, 73.9%, report being completely free from medical ailments compared to 72.8% in Greater Sydney. Avalon Beach has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 25.4% (2,661 people) than Greater Sydney's 24.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Avalon Beach records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avalon Beach's population, born in Australia, is approximately 75.9%, with 91.0% being citizens and 93.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominates Avalon Beach's religious landscape at 41.6%. Judaism, though small at 0.4%, is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 0.3%.

The top three parental ancestry groups are English (34.4%), Australian (23.7%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, French ancestry is overrepresented at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Scottish at 9.4% versus 8.7%, and Welsh at 0.7%.

Avalon Beach hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Avalon Beach is 46 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney's average, the cohort aged 65-74 is significantly overrepresented in Avalon Beach at 12.9%, while those aged 25-34 are underrepresented at 4.8%. Since the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 6.2% to 9.3%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 11.9% to 13.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 6.3% to 4.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Avalon Beach. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase dramatically by 616 people (184%), from 335 to 952. This aging population trend is clear, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected growth. Conversely, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.