Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
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Sales Activity
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Sales Detail
Population
Lara lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends
Lara's population was around 23,982 as of May 2026. This showed an increase of 3,165 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,817. The change was inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 23,953 in June 2025 and an additional 1,861 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 40 persons per square kilometer. Lara's growth rate of 15.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of Vic's (4.3%) and SA3 area, indicating it was a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 64.9% to overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors. AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year.
For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth, placing Lara in the top 10 percent of national regional areas. The area is expected to increase by 10,877 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 45.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
The level of residential development activity in Lara was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country
Lara has received approximately 428 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 2,143 homes were approved, with an additional 518 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 1.2 new residents arrive annually for each new home built over these five years, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.
The average construction cost of new homes is approximately $275,000. This year alone, Lara has recorded around $1.009 billion in commercial development approvals, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Comparatively, Lara shows 90.0% more development activity per person than the Rest of Vic., offering buyers ample choice and indicating robust developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises primarily standalone homes at 96.0%, with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 4.0%. This maintains the area's traditional low density character, appealing to those seeking family homes with space.
With around 54 people per dwelling approval, Lara exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Lara is projected to add approximately 10,847 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Lara
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Lara has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally
Changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 58 projects expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Lara Lakes Estate, Parkview Lara Estate, Austin Lara Master Planned Community, and Prospect Hill Energy from Waste Facility. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Lara West Precinct Structure Plan
A 390-hectare urban growth precinct on the western edge of Lara, gazetted in February 2014 as part of Greater Geelong Planning Scheme Amendment C246. The precinct is planned to deliver around 4,000 to 6,000 new homes and house roughly 11,000 residents over a development horizon of about 30 years. Headline features include a neighbourhood activity centre, three planned schools (including Lara West State Secondary College), Club Coridale and other community and sporting facilities, an employment precinct expected to create around 300 jobs, and an upgraded Lara train station precinct. Three major estates are currently in active construction within the precinct: Villawood Properties' Coridale (around 1,100 to 1,180 lots, with new VillaRange small homes and Henley display homes opening late 2025), Bisinella Developments' Lara Lakes Estate (planned 520 lots, with Stage 8 completing in 2025 and Stage 10 selling with completion expected early 2026), and Dennis Family Corporation's Austin Lara estate (around 1,100 lots, with Stages 31A and 32A released in 2025 to 2026). Supporting infrastructure includes the Victorian Government's 16 million dollar Lara Six Ways intersection upgrade, currently in planning and design as of late 2025 with construction timing to be confirmed.
Prospect Hill Energy from Waste Facility
A state-of-the-art energy from waste plant that will convert 400,000 tonnes of residual waste into 35 MW of electricity annually, enough to power up to 50,000 homes. The facility will divert waste from landfill and contribute to Victoria's energy security. The project has received EPA development licence approval in December 2023 and is currently in the detailed design phase, though facing community opposition and VCAT appeals.
Norlane ARC (Northern Aquatic and Community Hub)
State-of-the-art $65.6 million aquatic and community facility featuring 25m indoor pool, hydrotherapy pool, learn to swim pool, water play area, waterslide, 1000sqm multi-purpose community space, spa, sauna, steam room, gymnasium, and extensive landscaped outdoor areas. Replaces former Waterworld and Centenary Hall facilities.
MAB Greater Avalon Business Park
A proposed 780-hectare industrial and business precinct alongside Avalon Airport focused on large-scale manufacturing, transport and logistics, wholesale trade, energy and airport-related uses. Developer guidance indicates planning approvals and stage 1 works target initial operations in 2028, with an estimated investment of about $3.3 billion and 18,000+ jobs.
Austin Lara Master Planned Community
A vibrant new master-planned community in West Lara featuring over 1,000+ residential lots across multiple stages. Combining natural features such as open parkland and waterways with wide tree-lined streets. First titles issued late 2020/early 2021 with ongoing construction across Stages 1-15+. Developed by Austin Land with project management by PPM Group.
Parkview Lara Estate
A master-planned residential estate offering titled lots across 9 stages, featuring 500 approved residential lots on 80 hectares in Lara West. The development includes parks, playgrounds, waterways, and picturesque views to the You Yangs Ranges. Stage 4 is currently launching with lots ranging from 238-344 sqm. Part of the broader Lara West Precinct Structure Plan supporting 11,000 residents and $37 million in infrastructure investment.
Lara Six Ways Intersection Upgrade
Major intersection upgrade to improve traffic flow and safety at the Lara Six Ways intersection. The project includes new traffic signals, road widening, and improved pedestrian and cycling facilities.
Lara Lakes Estate
Masterplanned residential estate by Bisinella with approx. 520 lots and 6.7 hectares of open space including wetlands, walking trails and two playgrounds. Multiple stages are underway and selling, with recent news confirming construction on Stage 8 and Stage 10 now selling.
Employment
While Lara retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.8%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking
Lara has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.8%. As of December 2025, 11,567 residents are employed.
The unemployment rate aligns with Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is similar at 61.0%. According to Census responses, 20.7% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Notably, transport, postal & warehousing employs 1.8 times the regional average.
Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 2.0% of local workers, below Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.7%, with employment also decreasing by 0.7%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. Regional Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Lara. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. However, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Lara's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Lara SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $58,655. The average income stood at $69,401. This is slightly above the national average and compares to levels of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic., respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for median income would be approximately $64,298 as of March 2026, with average income estimated at $76,077 during the same period. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Lara cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 37.1% of residents (8,897 people). After housing costs, 86.5% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Lara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region
In Lara, as per the latest Census findings, 90.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.6% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is similar to Regional Victoria's figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lara stood at 32.5%, with mortgaged properties making up 46.4% and rented dwellings accounting for 21.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,755, higher than Regional Victoria's average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Lara was $370, compared to Regional Victoria's $285. Nationally, Lara's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Lara features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households comprise 77.2% of all households, including 37.7% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.8%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the regional Victorian average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Educational attainment in Lara aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics
The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (26.0%). Educational participation is high at 32.7%, with 12.1% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.
Educational participation is notably high, with 32.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Lara has 74 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 7 routes, facilitating 1,459 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically residing 709 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Lara's primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant transport mode at 92%, with an average of 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 20.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.
Service frequency averages 208 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 19 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Lara's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts
Lara's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.
Private health cover stands at approximately 54% of the total population (~12,926 people), leading the average SA2 area's rate of 50.5%, as seen in Regional Vic.. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.3 and 9.2% of residents respectively, while 66.6% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 14.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,374 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
In terms of cultural diversity, Lara records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Lara's cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average, with 85.4% citizens, 82.2% born in Australia, and 88.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lara, accounting for 47.7%. Notably, the 'Other' category comprises 1.6%, higher than the regional average of 0.8%.
The top three ancestry groups are English (28.0%), Australian (27.9%), and Irish (8.4%). Divergences include Dutch (2.2% vs regional 1.7%), Croatian (1.2% vs 0.4%), and Serbian (0.6% vs 0.2%) groups being more prevalent in Lara than regionally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Lara's population is slightly younger than the national pattern
The median age in Lara is 36 years, which is significantly lower than Regional Victoria's average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 35-44 age group has a strong representation in Lara at 16.8%, compared to Regional Victoria. However, the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent in Lara at 7.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35-44 age group grew from 14.9% to 16.8% of Lara's population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.5% to 12.0%, and the 65-74 group dropped from 9.1% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Lara. Notably, the 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 62%, reaching 6,032 people from 3,717.