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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
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Sales Activity
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Population
Bannockburn lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends
Bannockburn's population is approximately 9,063 as of February 2026. This figure reflects a growth of 1,309 people (16.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,754. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 8,298 in June 2024 and an additional 305 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 47 persons per square kilometer. Bannockburn's growth rate surpassed Rest of Vic.'s (8.1%) and the national average between 2021 and February 2026, making it a leader in regional growth. Interstate migration contributed approximately 69.9% to this growth. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area.
For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas until 2041. Based on these projections, Bannockburn is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of national regional areas, with a projected population increase of 6,136 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 59.3% over the 17-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Bannockburn among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide
Bannockburn averaged approximately 69 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21-FY25348 homes were approved, with an additional 33 approved in FY26 so far. Over the past five financial years, an average of 2.7 people moved to the area per new home constructed, indicating healthy demand for housing.
The average construction cost value of new homes was $378,000, reflecting quality-focused development. This year, $9.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to residential growth. When compared with the rest of Victoria, Bannockburn shows comparable building activity per person, supporting market stability inline with regional patterns.
New building activity comprises 96.0% detached houses and 4.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With around 168 people per dwelling approval, Bannockburn exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bannockburn is forecasted to gain approximately 5,371 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth in the future.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Bannockburn has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 43rdth percentile nationally
Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly, with key initiatives including Brand New Commercial Spaces in Bannockburn, St Mary MacKillop Catholic Primary School Upgrade, Bannockburn South East Precinct Structure Plan, and Bannockburn North West Development Plan Area. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Northern and Western Geelong Growth Areas
The largest greenfield planning project in regional Victoria, spanning over 5,300 hectares across the Northern (Lovely Banks) and Western (Batesford/Fyansford) corridors. It is designed to accommodate 110,000 new residents and approximately 39,103 dwellings. Current activity focuses on the Strategic Assessment under the EPBC Act, with final document endorsement by Council and the Federal Environment Minister expected in 2026 following re-exhibition in late 2025. Preparation of Precinct Structure Plans (PSPs) is underway, including Creamery Road, Elcho Road East, Elcho Road West, and Batesford North.
Lovely Banks Development
A massive 2,000-hectare master-planned community on a plateau in Geelong's Northern Growth Area. The project will deliver approximately 15,000 homes for 45,000 residents across five distinct neighbourhoods. Key features include 6-10 schools, a major town centre, 1,000+ apartments, a skyline botanical garden, and extensive green links. The development prioritises sustainability through One Planet Living Principles and supports regional growth with over 2,000 anticipated jobs.
University Hospital Geelong Children's Emergency Department
A $20 million dedicated paediatric emergency department at University Hospital Geelong. The facility features 28 dedicated treatment spaces, including two fast-track and eight short-stay beds. It includes a separate paediatric triage system, dedicated waiting and play areas, and a calming design intended to reduce anxiety for children and families. The project was delivered by the Victorian Health Building Authority in partnership with Barwon Health and Kane Constructions.
Geelong Ring Road - Stage 4C (Heales Road to Anglesea Road)
The final 5 km section of the Geelong Ring Road (Stage 4C) will complete the ring road by connecting the existing Princes Freeway at Heales Road (Corio) to the Anglesea Road interchange (Belmont). The project includes a new four-lane freeway, significant bridges over Cowies Creek and the Geelong-Melbourne rail line, and upgrades to local roads. It is designed to alleviate congestion and improve freight efficiency through the northern Geelong corridor.
Northern and Western Geelong Growth Areas
The largest greenfield urban growth project in regional Victoria, spanning approximately 5,367 hectares and planned to accommodate 110,000 residents and 40,000 dwellings. The project is currently progressing through the Precinct Structure Plan (PSP) phase. As of early 2026, the Creamery Road PSP (Amendment C450ggee) is on public exhibition with a Directions Hearing scheduled for March 2026. The Elcho Road East PSP is also in active preparation, with landowner and agency engagement expected in the first half of 2026. Strategic environmental assessments are being finalized following the 2024 rediscovery of the Victorian Grassland Earless Dragon, with federal approvals anticipated in 2026.
Geelong Line Upgrade (Geelong Fast Rail)
A multi-stage overhaul of the Melbourne-Geelong-Warrnambool rail corridor to facilitate more frequent and reliable travel. Major components include the South Geelong to Waurn Ponds Duplication featuring 8km of new track, the removal of level crossings at Fyans Street and Surf Coast Highway, and substantial station upgrades at South Geelong and Marshall. While the broader Geelong Fast Rail stage faced federal funding withdrawal in late 2023, state-led Regional Rail Revival works continue to focus on capacity increases and journey time improvements toward a 50-minute target.
Creamery Road Precinct Structure Plan
The Creamery Road Precinct Structure Plan (PSP) is the initial development within the Western Geelong Growth Area, covering 344.57 hectares. The project aims to deliver over 4,200 dwellings for approximately 11,770 residents. Key features include two primary schools, a local town center, a community hub, and significant sporting reserves. The plan emphasizes sustainable transit via a central boulevard with dedicated cycle and walking paths. A major focus is the conservation of Cowies Creek to protect the Growling Grass Frog habitat. As of February 2026, the project is undergoing a full review by the Standing Advisory Committee following a public exhibition period that concluded in early February 2026.
Gnarwarre BESS
A 250 MW / 500 MWh grid-forming battery energy storage system located about 1 km north-west of Gnarwarre in Victoria, within Surf Coast Shire. Following financial close in August 2025 and award of EPC to Samsung C&T, the project is now in construction with operations targeted for 2026. The facility will deliver firming services and improve grid stability via connection to the nearby 220 kV transmission line.
Employment
The labour market in Bannockburn shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions
Bannockburn has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% as of September 2025, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Over the past year, employment stability has been relative.
As of September 2025, 4,471 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below the regional average and workforce participation at 72.8%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census responses, 17.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, but has lower representation in agriculture, forestry & fishing at 3.4% versus the regional average of 7.5%.
Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Bannockburn's labour force decreased by 0.2%, while employment declined by 0.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment contracted by 0.7%, labour force fell by 0.6%, and unemployment rose marginally. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bannockburn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 30 June 2023 for financial year 2023, Bannockburn SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $57,808 and an average level of $70,246. These figures are higher than the national averages. In comparison, Rest of Vic had median and average incomes of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $62,577 (median) and $76,041 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Bannockburn cluster around the 68th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 37.7% of the community earns between $1,500 and $2,999 (3,416 individuals), similar to the broader area where 30.3% fall into this bracket. Housing expenses account for 13.7% of income. Residents rank in the 78th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Bannockburn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region
The latest Census evaluation of Bannockburn's dwelling structure showed 96.3% houses and 3.6% other dwellings (including semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bannockburn was at 31.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.0% and rented ones at 10.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,907, higher than Non-Metro Vic's average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Bannockburn was $386, compared to Non-Metro Vic's $285. Nationally, Bannockburn's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Bannockburn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households constitute 86.0% of all households, including 48.1% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.0%, with lone person households at 13.0% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
The educational profile of Bannockburn exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics
The area's university qualification rate is 19.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.3%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.1% and postgraduate qualifications at 2.7%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (32.1%). Educational participation is high, with 32.8% currently enrolled in formal education.
This includes 13.2% in primary, 9.7% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Bannockburn has five active public transport stops. These are served by one route, offering ten weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically living 1029 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outside the area, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 96%. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 17.9% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions.
Service frequency averages one trip per day across all routes, resulting in about two weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Bannockburn is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts
Bannockburn faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.
The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~4,884 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but slightly lower than the Rest of Vic.'s 50.5%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 9.4 and 8.3% of residents respectively. Conversely, 69.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 13.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,202 people), lower than Rest of Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Bannockburn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics
Bannockburn, as per the census data from June 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 90.2% of its residents born in Australia. This is lower than the national average. The majority of Bannockburn's population were also citizens at 93.1%, and English was spoken exclusively at home by 96.0%.
Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 48.2% of the population, which is slightly higher than the state average of 47.3%. The top three ancestry groups in Bannockburn were Australian (32.8%), English (29.4%), and Irish (8.7%). Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 2.4%, compared to the regional average of 1.7%. Similarly, Croatian ancestry was higher than average at 1.4% versus 0.4%, and Hungarian ancestry, though smaller in scale, was also higher at 0.4% compared to the regional average of 0.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Bannockburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern
The median age in Bannockburn is 36 years, which is significantly below Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 17.0% of the population compared to Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort makes up 8.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has increased from 14.8% to 17.0%, and the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 13.8% to 12.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Bannockburn, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 90% (from 1,056 to 2,013 people).