Box Hill North

Box Hill North has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Box Hill North's population is around 19,601 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,475 people (8.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,126 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,435 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 251 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,156 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Box Hill North's 8.1% growth since the census positions it within 1.8 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above-median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with the area expected to grow by 3,397 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 16.5% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

Box Hill North has seen around 109 new homes approved annually, with 548 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 74 so far in FY-26. At an average of 1.2 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data shows this has intensified to 5.5 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average construction value of $547,000, showing that developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $39.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill North has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 67th percentile of areas assessed nationally. Recent construction comprises 56.0% detached dwellings and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, featuring an increasing blend of attached housing types that offer choices across price ranges, from spacious family homes to more accessible compact options. The location has approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Looking ahead, Box Hill North is expected to grow by 3,231 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Box Hill North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 35 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades (Tram Road to Springvale Road), Box Hill Hospital Redevelopment, Box Hill Metropolitan Activity Centre - Public Realm, and Eastern Freeway Upgrades - Tram Road to Springvale Road, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Box Hill North remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Box Hill North possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 4.3%, and 2.2% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 10,809 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.5% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (68.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a high 38.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area shows particularly strong specialization in professional & technical, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Meanwhile, construction has a limited presence with 6.7% employment compared to 9.7% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.2% while the labour force increased by 2.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne, where employment rose by 2.4%, the labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Box Hill North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Box Hill North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Box Hill North SA2 is well above average nationally, with the median assessed at $51,826 while the average income stands at $74,559. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $56,102 (median) and $80,710 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Box Hill North cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 28.2% of residents (5,527 people), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. A significant 30.4% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting pockets of prosperity that drive robust local economic activity. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 60th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Box Hill North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 62.2% houses and 37.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Box Hill North was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 37.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (32.6%) or rented (29.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Melbourne metro average at $2,491, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $438, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Box Hill North's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 72.5% of all households, comprising 36.5% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.5%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 4.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people matches the Greater Melbourne average.

Box Hill North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Box Hill North significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 47.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 33.4% in VIC. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 28.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational pathways account for 21.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+; advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (10.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 86 active transport stops operating within Box Hill North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 20 individual routes, collectively providing 3,010 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 203 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 80%, with 8% by train and 6% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. A high 38.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 430 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Box Hill North, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~10,996 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 6.8 and 6.6% of residents, respectively, while 74.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,586 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North scores highly on cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Box Hill North is Christianity, which makes up 39.0% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which comprises 6.2% of the population, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Box Hill North are Chinese, comprising 24.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 6.5%, English, comprising 17.8% of the population, and Australian, comprising 15.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is notably overrepresented at 0.7% of Box Hill North (vs 0.8% regionally), Korean at 0.9% (vs 0.3%) and Greek at 2.9% (vs 2.7%).

Box Hill North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The 39-year median age in Box Hill North is somewhat higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and similarly very close to the 38-year national average. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 15 - 24 cohort is notably over-represented (14.7% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (13.1%). Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.7% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 5.1% to 6.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Box Hill North. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 53% (654 people), reaching 1,883 from 1,228. On the other hand, the 5 to 14 group will contract by 12 residents.