Box Hill North

Box Hill North has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Box Hill North's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 19,601. This figure represents an increase of 1,475 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,126. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,435 in June 2024 and an additional 251 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,156 persons per square kilometer, placing Box Hill North in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 8.1% growth since the census is within 1.8 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, Box Hill North is projected to experience above median population growth among statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 3,397 persons, reflecting a total gain of 16.5% over the 17 years based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

Box Hill North has seen approximately 109 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 548 homes were approved, with a further 67 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.2 new residents arrive per year for each new home over these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. However, recent data shows this ratio has increased to 5.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $547,000, reflecting developers' focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This year alone, $39.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill North has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 67th percentile nationally.

Recent construction comprises 56% detached dwellings and 44% townhouses or apartments, offering a blend of housing types catering to various price ranges. The location currently has approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. By 2041, Box Hill North is projected to grow by 3,231 residents, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Box Hill North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades (Tram Road to Springvale Road), Box Hill Hospital Redevelopment, Box Hill Metropolitan Activity Centre - Public Realm, and Eastern Freeway Upgrades - Tram Road to Springvale Road. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Box Hill North demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Box Hill North has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.0% as of September 2025, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.1%.

As of September 2025, 10,792 residents were in work and the unemployment rate was 0.6% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation was somewhat below standard at 68.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, a high 38.1% of residents worked from home, possibly due to Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

The area shows strong specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, construction has limited presence at 6.7% compared to the regional level of 9.7%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, while labour force increased by 2.8%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.0% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Box Hill North's employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Box Hill North SA2 has an above average national income. The median income is $51,826 and the average income stands at $74,559. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $56,102 (median) and $80,710 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Box Hill North cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 28.2% of residents (5,527 people), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. A significant 30.4% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Box Hill North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 62.2% houses and 37.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 62.2% houses and 37.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill North stood at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.6% and rented ones at 29.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,491, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Box Hill North was $438, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,491 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $438 than the national figure of $375.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 72.5% of all households, including 36.5% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.5%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 4.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which matches the Greater Melbourne average.

Box Hill North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Box Hill North's educational attainment is notably higher than Australian averages. As of 2021, 47.1% of residents aged 15 years and above hold university qualifications, compared to the national average of 30.4%. In Victoria, this figure stands at 33.4%. The area's high educational attainment is predominantly due to bachelor degrees (28.9%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%).

Vocational pathways account for 21.6% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 10.5%. Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2021. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Box Hill North has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 3,010 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living 203 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation at 80%, while trains account for 8% and buses for 6%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 38.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 430 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Box Hill North shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups. Approximately 56% (~10,996 people) had private health cover, which was high compared to Greater Melbourne. Mental health issues and asthma were the most common conditions, affecting 6.8 and 6.6% of residents respectively. Around 74.4% declared no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.3% (3,586 people) aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Seniors' health outcomes were strong but ranked lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Box Hill North, making up 39.0% of the population. However, Buddhism is more prevalent in Box Hill North compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 6.2% versus 4.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (24.5%), English (17.8%), and Australian (15.3%). Some ethnic groups have notable differences in representation: Sri Lankan at 0.7% (regional average is 0.8%), Korean at 0.9% (versus 0.3%), and Greek at 2.9% (compared to 2.7%).

Box Hill North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Box Hill North is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and close to the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 15-24 cohort is over-represented at 14.7% locally, while the 25-34 cohort is under-represented at 13.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.1% to 14.7%, and the 75-84 cohort has grown from 5.1% to 6.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Box Hill North. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 53%, adding 654 people and reaching a total of 1,883 from the current figure of 1,228. Meanwhile, the 5-14 cohort is expected to decrease by 12 residents.