Box Hill North
Statistical Area - sa2

Box Hill North has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Box Hill North's population was approximately 19,575 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,449 people, an 8.0% rise from the 2021 Census count of 18,126 individuals. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: a resident population of 19,435 in June 2024 and an additional 249 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,152 persons per square kilometer, placing Box Hill North in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's 8.0% growth since the census is within 0.3 percentage points of its SA4 region (8.3%), indicating competitive growth dynamics. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, using weighted aggregation methods to adjust population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Box Hill North is expected to have an above median population growth, increasing by 3,397 persons to 2041, a total gain of 16.6% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

Box Hill North has seen approximately 109 new homes approved annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 548 homes were approved, with an additional 42 approved in FY26 as of now. Over the past five financial years, an average of 1.2 new residents per year has been recorded for each new home. However, this figure has increased to 5.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing demand and tightening supply.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $547,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY26, commercial approvals have reached $39.0 million, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum in Box Hill North compared to Greater Melbourne, where it records around 69% of building activity per person. Nationally, Box Hill North ranks at approximately the 67th percentile for areas assessed.

The new building activity is composed of about 56.0% detached houses and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options to cater to various price brackets. With around 205 people per dwelling approval, Box Hill North shows an expanding market. By 2041, the location is expected to grow by approximately 3,257 residents. The current development levels appear aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Box Hill North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 35 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Elgar Park North East Oval Redevelopment, SKY SQR, North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades (Tram Road to Springvale Road), and Box Hill Hospital Redevelopment. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Box Hill North shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Box Hill North has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.2% as of June 2025, which is 0.4% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0%. In June 2025, 10,760 residents were employed, with workforce participation similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area has a particularly strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, construction is under-represented, with only 6.7% of Box Hill North's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.7%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.0%, while labour force also grew by 3.0%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at its rate of 4.2%. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5% and labour force expand by 4.0%, with unemployment rising to 5.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Box Hill North's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Box Hill North had a median taxpayer income of $49,279 and an average of $72,804 in financial year 2022. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 during the same period. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $55,271 and an average of $81,657 based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Box Hill North clustered around the 54th percentile nationally. Income distribution indicates that the largest segment comprises 28.2% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, with a total of 5,520 residents falling into this category. This aligns with broader trends across the region where 32.8% fall within the same income bracket. Economic strength is evident with 30.4% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, which supports elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Box Hill North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 62.2% houses and 37.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Compared to Melbourne metro's figures of 60.2% houses and 39.8% other dwellings respectively. Home ownership in Box Hill North stood at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.6% and rented ones at 29.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,491, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,300. Median weekly rent in Box Hill North was $438, compared to Melbourne metro's $412. Nationally, Box Hill North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,491 versus the Australian average of $1,863. Rents were also substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.5% of all households, including 36.5% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.5%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 4.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Box Hill North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Box Hill North is significantly higher than national and state averages. As of the latest data, 47.1% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 33.4% in Victoria. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational pathways account for 21.6% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 10.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education. The five schools in Box Hill North have a combined enrollment of 2,416 students as of the latest count. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1088. Educational provision follows conventional lines, split between two primary and three secondary institutions.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Box Hill North area has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 5906 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically located 203 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 843 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 68 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Box Hill North shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages.

Private health cover is high at approximately 56% (~10,962 people). Mental health issues and asthma are most common, affecting 6.8% and 6.6% respectively. 74.4% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 73.9%. The area has 17.6% seniors (3,449 people), with strong health outcomes broadly matching the general population's profile.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 44.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Box Hill North, accounting for 39.0%. However, Buddhism is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, with 6.2% versus 6.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (24.5%), English (17.8%), and Australian (15.3%). Notable divergences exist in the representation of Korean (0.9% vs regional 0.7%), Sri Lankan (0.7% vs 0.8%), and Greek (2.9% vs 3.0%) ethnic groups.

Box Hill North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Box Hill North is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 15-24 age group is over-represented in Box Hill North at 14.6%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 13.4%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.1% to 14.6% of the population, while the 5-14 age group has declined from 12.1% to 11.0%. By 2041, Box Hill North's population is forecasted to experience significant demographic changes. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 59%, adding 696 people and reaching a total of 1,883 from the current 1,186. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 50% of the population growth. Conversely, the 5-14 age group is projected to decline by 43 people.