Box Hill North
Statistical Area - sa2

Box Hill North has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Box Hill North's population is around 19,565 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,439 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,126. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 19,435 in June 2024 and additional 245 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,150 persons per square kilometer, placing Box Hill North in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 7.9% since census is within 0.2 percentage points of its SA4 region (8.1%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Box Hill North is expected to have an above median population growth, increasing by 3,397 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 16.7% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

Box Hill North saw approximately 109 new homes approved annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) provides development approval data on a financial year basis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 548 homes were approved, with 20 approvals recorded so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 1.2 new residents moved into Box Hill North per new home built. However, this figure has accelerated to 5.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $859,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $39.0 million in commercial development approvals, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill North has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 67th percentile of areas assessed nationally.

New building activity shows a mix of housing types, with 56.0% detached houses and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a range of medium-density options across different price brackets. The area has approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Future projections suggest Box Hill North will add around 3,267 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Box Hill North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 37 projects that could affect the region. Notable ones include Box Hill Central North Masterplan, Middleborough Road Upgrade - Eastern Section, North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades - East (Tram Rd to Springvale Rd), and Elgar Park North East Oval Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Box Hill North shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Box Hill North has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.2% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment grew by 3.0% over the past year. Out of 10,760 residents in work, many are employed in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, employment in professional & technical services is particularly high at 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, construction employment is under-represented at 6.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.7%.

Despite its predominantly residential nature, Box Hill North saw employment levels increase by 3.0% and labour force grow by 3.0% during the year to June 2025, keeping unemployment stable. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.08%, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Box Hill North's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Box Hill North had a median taxpayer income of $49,279 and an average of $72,804 in financial year 2022. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761. Based on a 10.11% increase since 2022, estimated incomes for March 2025 would be approximately $54,261 (median) and $80,164 (average). The 2021 Census showed household, family, and personal incomes in Box Hill North at the 54th percentile nationally. Income distribution data indicated that 28.2% of residents earned between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, consistent with broader regional trends where 32.8% fell into this category. Economic strength was evident with 30.4% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, supporting higher consumer spending. Housing costs consumed 16.5% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Box Hill North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 62.2% houses and 37.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 60.2% houses and 39.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill North stood at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.6% and rented dwellings at 29.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,491, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,300. The median weekly rent figure was $438, compared to Melbourne metro's $412. Nationally, Box Hill North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,491 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 72.5% of all households, including 36.5% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.5%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 4.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Box Hill North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Box Hill North's residents aged 15+ have a significantly higher university qualification rate of 47.1% compared to Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. This is largely due to Bachelor degrees (28.9%), postgraduate qualifications (13.5%), and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational pathways account for 21.6%, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 10.5%. Educational participation is high, with 31.9% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (8.8%), secondary (8.6%), and tertiary (7.8%).

Box Hill North's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 2,416 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1088. Educational provision is conventional, split between 2 primary and 3 secondary institutions.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Box Hill North has 86 active transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of buses along 20 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 5906 weekly passenger trips in total.

The accessibility to public transport is rated as good, with residents on average located 203 meters away from the nearest stop. On average, service frequency across all routes stands at 843 trips per day, translating to approximately 68 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Box Hill North, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 56% (~10,956 people) of the total population has private health cover. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.8 and 6.6% of residents respectively. A majority, 74.4%, report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 73.9% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 17.6% (3,447 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, aligning closely with the general population's health profile.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North has high cultural diversity, with 44.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 44.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Box Hill North, comprising 39.0%. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 6.2% of the population.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (24.5%), English (17.8%), and Australian (15.3%). Korean is notably overrepresented at 0.9%, Sri Lankan at 0.7%, and Greek at 2.9%.

Box Hill North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Box Hill North was 39 years at the time of the Census, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and very close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Comparing Box Hill North's demographics with Greater Melbourne, the 15-24 age group was notably over-represented locally (14.6%), while the 25-34 age group was under-represented (13.4%). According to data from the Census conducted on August 9th, 2021, the proportion of Box Hill North's population aged 15 to 24 had increased from 13.1% in previous years to 14.6%. Conversely, the proportion of those aged 5 to 14 had decreased from 12.1% to 11.0%. Population forecasts for Box Hill North indicate significant demographic changes by the year 2041. The number of residents aged 75 to 84 is projected to grow by 59%, reaching a total of 1,883 people from the previous figure of 1,185. This growth in the older population continues as those aged 65 and above represent half of the anticipated demographic growth. However, the number of residents aged 5 to 14 is projected to decrease by 41 people.