Box Hill North

Box Hill North has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Box Hill North's population is around 19,593 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,467 people (8.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,126 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,435 as of June 2024 and an additional 249 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,155 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Box Hill North's 8.1% growth since census positions it within 1.6 percentage points of the national average (9.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth of Australian statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 3,397 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 16.5% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

Box Hill North has seen approximately 109 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years ending June 2025. This totals to 548 homes. As of this date, 67 approvals have been recorded in FY-26. On average, 1.2 new residents arrive per new home annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, recent figures show an acceleration to 5.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $547,000, targeting the premium market segment. This financial year has seen $39.0 million in commercial development approvals recorded, indicating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill North has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 67th percentile nationally.

New building activity comprises 56.0% detached houses and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options across various price brackets. The location currently has approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Future projections estimate Box Hill North to add 3,239 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Box Hill North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects that could affect this region. Notable initiatives include North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades (Tram Road to Springvale Road), Box Hill Hospital Redevelopment, Box Hill Metropolitan Activity Centre - Public Realm, and Eastern Freeway Upgrades - Tram Road to Springvale Road. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Box Hill North maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Box Hill North has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.0% as of September 2025, which is 0.6% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.1%.

As of September 2025, there were 10,792 residents in work and workforce participation was 68.5%, slightly below Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 38.1% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Major employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

However, construction is under-represented at 6.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.7%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.1% while labour force grew by 2.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0%, labour force expand by 3.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Box Hill North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Box Hill North SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $51,826 and an average income of $74,559 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are high compared nationally to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth suggest a median income of approximately $56,102 and an average income of around $80,710. The 2021 Census data shows that incomes in Box Hill North cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Distribution data indicates that the largest segment comprises 28.2% earning between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, with a total of 5,525 residents falling into this category. This is consistent with broader trends across the region where 32.8% fall into the same income bracket. Economic strength is evident in Box Hill North with 30.4% of households earning above $3,000 weekly, supporting elevated consumer spending. Despite high housing costs consuming 16.5% of income, strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Box Hill North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 62.2% houses and 37.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill North stood at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.6% and rented ones at 29.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,491, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Box Hill North was $438, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Box Hill North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,491 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 72.5% of all households, including 36.5% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.5%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households making up 4.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which matches the Greater Melbourne average.

Box Hill North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Box Hill North is notably high, with 47.1% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data point. This figure surpasses both national (30.4%) and state (VIC: 33.4%) averages. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 13.5% and graduate diplomas at 4.7%. Vocational pathways account for 21.6% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 10.5%.

Educational participation is also high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education as of the latest enrollment figures.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 86 active transport stops operating within Box Hill North. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 20 individual routes that collectively provide 3,010 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 203 metres from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 80%, with 8% using train and 6% using bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 38.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 430 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment of Box Hill North shows excellent health outcomes.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is high at approximately 56% (~10,991 people). The most common conditions are mental health issues (6.8%) and asthma (6.6%). A total of 74.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. There are 3,452 seniors aged 65 and over (17.6%), higher than Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. While senior health outcomes are strong, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Box Hill North, making up 39.0% of the population. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 6.2% versus 4.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (24.5%), English (17.8%), and Australian (15.3%). Notably, Sri Lankan, Korean, and Greek ethnicities have higher representations in Box Hill North than the regional averages: Sri Lankan at 0.7% versus 0.8%, Korean at 0.9% versus 0.3%, and Greek at 2.9% versus 2.7%.

Box Hill North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Box Hill North is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill North has a notably higher proportion of individuals aged 15-24 (14.6% locally) and a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (13.4%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.1% to 14.6%, while the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 12.1% to 11.0%. Population forecasts for Box Hill North in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 75-84 age group expected to grow by 59% (695 people), reaching 1,883 from 1,187. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to represent 50% of the anticipated growth, while the 5-14 cohort is projected to decline by 45 people.