Box Hill North

Box Hill North has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Box Hill North's population was around 19,575 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 1,449 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,126 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,435 in June 2024 and an additional 249 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 3,152 persons per square kilometer, placing Box Hill North in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Its 8.0% growth since the census positioned it within 0.3 percentage points of the SA4 region (8.3%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth was projected, with the area expected to increase by 3,397 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 16.6% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Box Hill North when compared nationally

Box Hill North has seen approximately 109 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25548 homes were approved, with an additional 54 approved so far in FY26. On average, around 1.2 new residents arrived per new home each year during these five years. However, this figure has increased to 5.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing demand and tightening supply.

The average construction value of new homes is $547,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year alone, $39.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill North records about 69% of building activity per person and ranks among the 67th percentile nationally.

New building activity comprises approximately 56.0% detached houses and 44.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options across various price brackets. The location has around 205 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. By 2041, Box Hill North is projected to grow by 3,257 residents, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development levels appear aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Box Hill North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects that may affect the region. Notable initiatives include North East Link - Eastern Freeway Upgrades (Tram Road to Springvale Road), Eastern Freeway Upgrades - Tram Road to Springvale Road, Box Hill Hospital Redevelopment, and Box Hill Metropolitan Activity Centre - Public Realm. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Box Hill North maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Box Hill North has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.0% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.1% over the past year.

As of that date, 10,792 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training sectors. The area shows particular strength in professional & technical employment, with a share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction is under-represented at 6.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.7%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.1%, labour force grew by 2.8%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0%, labour force expansion of 3.3%, and an increase in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Box Hill North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Box Hill North SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $49,279 and an average income of $72,804 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. Nationally, these figures are high, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 in the same period. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% suggest a median income of approximately $55,271 and an average income of $81,657. The 2021 Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Box Hill North clustering around the 53rd percentile nationally. Distribution data indicates that the largest segment comprises 28.2% earning between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly (5,520 residents), consistent with broader trends across the region where 32.8% fall into this category. Economic strength is evident through 30.4% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Box Hill North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Box Hill North's dwelling structure in its latest Census evaluation showed 62.2% houses and 37.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 60.2% houses and 39.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill North was at 37.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.6% and rented ones at 29.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,491, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,300. The median weekly rent was $438, compared to Melbourne metro's $412. Nationally, Box Hill North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,491 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $438.

Box Hill North features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.5% of all households, including 36.5% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.5%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 4.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Box Hill North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Box Hill North is notably high, with 47.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This figure surpasses the national average of 30.4% and the Victorian state average of 33.4%. The area's educational advantage is reflected in its strong representation of bachelor degrees (28.9%), postgraduate qualifications (13.5%), and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational pathways are also well-represented, with advanced diplomas accounting for 11.1% and certificates for 10.5% among residents aged 15 and above.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% enrolled in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Box Hill North indicates there are 86 active transport stops currently operating. These stops primarily service buses, with a total of 20 individual routes providing weekly passenger trips amounting to 5,906. The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 203 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, across all routes, there are 843 trips per day, equating to approximately 68 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill North's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Box Hill North.

Prevalence of common health conditions is very low across all age groups. Approximately 56% (~10,962 people) of the total population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 6.8 and 6.6% of residents respectively. A majority (74.4%) declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.9% across Greater Melbourne. Box Hill North has 17.6% (3,449 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Box Hill North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Box Hill North, accounting for 39.0% of people. Buddhism, however, is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 6.2% versus 6.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (24.5%), English (17.8%), and Australian (15.3%). Notably, Sri Lankan, Korean, and Greek ethnicities have higher representations in Box Hill North than the regional average: Sri Lankan at 0.7% versus 0.8%, Korean at 0.9% versus 0.7%, and Greek at 2.9% versus 3.0%.

Box Hill North's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Box Hill North is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Box Hill North has a notably higher proportion of 15-24 year-olds (14.6% locally) but fewer 25-34 year-olds (13.4%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group grew from 13.1% to 14.6%, while the 5-14 cohort declined from 12.1% to 11.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Box Hill North. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 59%, adding 696 people and reaching a total of 1,883 from the current 1,186. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent half of this growth, while the 5-14 cohort is projected to decrease by 43 people.