Winmalee

Winmalee has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Winmalee statistical area (Lv2) is around 6,499, showing an increase of 111 people since the 2021 Census. This reflects a growth rate of 1.7%, with the resident population being 6,438 as estimated by AreaSearch after examining the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and accounting for additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 717 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Winmalee SA2's growth rate exceeded that of its surrounding SA3 area (1.6%) during this period, marking it as a growth leader. The primary driver for the population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are utilized. According to these projections, over the period from 2025 to 2041, there is an expected decline of 265 persons in the Winmalee SA2's overall population. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, with the 75 to 84 age group projected to increase by 134 people during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Winmalee is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Winmalee has seen approximately four new homes approved annually, with a total of 21 approvals between financial years FY-21 to FY-25 and one so far in FY-26. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average value of new homes approved is $451,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments.

This year, $6.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Winmalee's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Winmalee has significantly less development activity, 68.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This level is also below the national average, suggesting mature planning constraints in the area. New developments consist of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving Winmalee's traditional low-density character appealing to families seeking space. This shift from the current 98.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 2562 people, reflecting Winmalee's quiet development environment.

With a stable or declining population expected, reduced pressure on housing may create buying opportunities.

Winmalee has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

AreaSearch has identified one major project that is expected to impact the area: Rail Infrastructure Upgrades - Springwood Station. Other key projects include Hawkesbury-Neapn Valley Flood Management, Digital Western Parkland City, and Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Winmalee positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Winmalee has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.5%.

The area's unemployment rate is 2.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is higher at 65.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training is particularly strong with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical employs only 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data comparisons. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Winmalee's labour force decreased by 4.1%, with a 3.7% decline in employment, leading to a 0.4 percentage point drop in unemployment. This contrasts with Greater Sydney where employment grew by 2.1%. State-level data from November 25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts, released in May 2025, project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Winmalee's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Winmalee's median income is $58,423 and average income is $71,348. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $63,599 (median) and $77,669 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Winmalee's household, family, and personal incomes fall around the 71st percentile nationally. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 34.8% of Winmalee residents (2,261 individuals), similar to metropolitan Sydney at 30.9%. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income. Residents rank in the 77th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Winmalee is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Winmalee's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 98.1% houses and 1.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Winmalee was at 39.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.5% and rented ones at 11.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's $2,033. Median weekly rent in Winmalee was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Winmalee's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Winmalee features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.0% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.0%, with lone person households at 17.5% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Winmalee exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Winmalee's residents aged 15+ have 28.1% with university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 39.7%, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (27.2%). Educational participation is high, with 30.4% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (10.4%), secondary (9.2%), and tertiary (4.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Winmalee has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 37 different routes that together offer 408 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents on average being located 205 meters from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 58 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Winmalee's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Winmalee's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a standard level. Approximately 55% of Winmalee's total population (~3,582 people) have private health cover, a rate that is very high. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.9 and 8.6% of residents respectively. 66.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.1% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, Winmalee has 18.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,221 people), which is lower than the 24.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors in Winmalee are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Winmalee is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Winmalee had a cultural diversity score below average, with 86.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.9% being citizens, and 95.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Winmalee, comprising 54.9% of people. The most notable overrepresentation was seen in Judaism, which made up 0.2% of the population compared to 0.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English (30.3%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.9%). There were also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Welsh was overrepresented at 0.8% compared to 0.7% regionally, Dutch at 1.8% versus 1.6%, and Maltese at 1.2% against 0.8%.

Winmalee's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Winmalee has a median age of 40, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's 38 years. The 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented in Winmalee at 10.8%, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.8% to 6.7%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.5% to 13.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 10.2% to 9.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Winmalee's age profile will evolve significantly. The 85+ age cohort is projected to surge dramatically, increasing by 109 people (130%) from 84 to 194. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 and 45 to 54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.