Winmalee

Winmalee has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Winmalee's population is estimated at around 6,500 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 112 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6,388. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 6,438 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 717 persons per square kilometer. Winmalee's growth rate of 1.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 1.7%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by this data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projections indicate an overall population decline of 267 persons by 2041, but growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group projected to increase by 138 people.

The level of residential development activity in Winmalee is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Winmalee has seen around 4 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 21 homes were approved, with 1 more approved so far in FY-26. The population has been declining over recent years, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New homes are being built at an average value of $451,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. This year, $6.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Winmalee has significantly less development activity, 68.0% below the regional average per person, which usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This level is also below national average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This represents a shift from the area's existing housing, currently 98.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 2562 people, reflecting Winmalee's quiet, low activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Winmalee should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Winmalee has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to affect this region: Rail Infrastructure Upgrades - Springwood Station, along with other notable projects such as Hawkesbury-Nepean Valley Flood Management, Digital Western Parkland City, and Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Winmalee positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Winmalee has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 1.5% as per AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there are 3,531 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 2.7% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Winmalee is similar to Greater Sydney at 70.0%.

According to Census responses, 39.2% of residents work from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, the area has a high specialization in education & training with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services employ only 6.0% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Winmalee's labour force decreased by 4.2% alongside a 3.8% employment decline, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Winmalee's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Winmalee's median income is $58,423 and average income is $71,348. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $63,599 (median) and $77,669 (average). The 2021 Census data indicates that Winmalee's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. In Winmalee, 34.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, reflecting a pattern similar to metropolitan regions where 30.9% fall within this range. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income. Residents rank highly with disposable incomes at the 77th percentile and Winmalee's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Winmalee is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Winmalee's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.1% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Winmalee was at 39.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.5% and rented ones at 11.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's $2,427. The median weekly rent in Winmalee was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Winmalee's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Winmalee features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.0% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 29.7% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.0%, with lone person households at 17.5% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Winmalee exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Winmalee trail has educational qualifications that lag behind Greater Sydney's regional benchmarks. Specifically, 28.1% of Winmalee residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This disparity suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%).

Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 39.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 12.5% and certificates for 27.2%. Educational participation is notably high in Winmalee trail, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Winmalee has 45 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. There are 37 individual routes operating weekly, providing a total of 408 passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 205 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 58 trips per day, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Winmalee is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Winmalee demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population, around 3,583 people, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 8.9 and 8.6% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point six percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 19.4% of residents aged 65 and over, around 1,261 people, which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Winmalee is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Winmalee's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.0% of its population born in Australia (as of 2016), 94.9% being citizens, and 95.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Winmalee, comprising 54.9% of people (according to the 2016 census). However, Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.2% of the population compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups were English at 30.3%, Australian at 28.5%, and Irish at 9.9%. Notably, Welsh (0.8%), Dutch (1.8%), and Maltese (1.2%) groups were also overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4%, 0.7%, and 1.0% respectively.

Winmalee's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Winmalee has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Comparing it with Greater Sydney's average, the 65-74 age group is notably over-represented at 10.8% in Winmalee, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.6%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.8% to 7.0%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 12.5% to 13.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 10.2% to 8.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Winmalee's age profile. The 85+ cohort is expected to surge dramatically, growing by 106 people (102%) from 104 to 210. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.