Blaxland (NSW)

Blaxland is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for Blaxland (NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is around 7,585 people. This figure reflects a growth of 151 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,434 people in Blaxland (NSW) (SA2). AreaSearch validated this increase through examination of ERP data released by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 24 new addresses identified post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 783 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Blaxland's growth rate of 2.0% since the 2021 Census exceeds the SA3 area's growth rate of 1.6%, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by this data. Applying growth rates from these aggregations to all areas for years 2032 to 2041, AreaSearch anticipates lower quartile growth in statistical areas, with Blaxland (NSW) (SA2) expected to grow by 15 persons by 2041, reflecting a decline of 0.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blaxland, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Blaxland has around 25 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 127 homes were approved, with a further 10 approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline during this period, new supply appears to have kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $501,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $17.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland shows 68.0% higher building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, this activity is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 72.0% detached houses and 28.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Blaxland's low-density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix of 92.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

Blaxland has approximately 342 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Blaxland has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No changes can impact an area's performance more than modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of 0 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially influencing the area. Significant projects include Nepean River Masterplan Precinct (Emu Plains Side), Westfield Penrith Entertainment Expansion, M12 Motorway - Western Package (M12 West), and Digital Western Parkland City. The following list details those considered most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Blaxland significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Blaxland's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% as of September 2025, according to AreaSearch aggregated statistical area data.

In that month, 4,019 residents were employed at an unemployment rate of 2.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Blaxland was 62.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors included education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Notably, education & training had an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, finance & insurance was under-represented at 3.8% of Blaxland's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. Local employment opportunities appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. From September 2024 to September 2025, Blaxland's labour force decreased by 4.2%, and employment declined by 3.9%, leading to a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and labour force expand by 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 showed employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) at an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blaxland's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Blaxland had a median taxpayer income of $59,646 and an average of $77,590 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than the national average, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Blaxland would be approximately $64,931 (median) and $84,464 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, incomes in Blaxland cluster around the 73rd percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, 31.1% of the population (2,358 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to the broader area where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 32.8% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blaxland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Blaxland, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blaxland was at 40.7%, aligning with Sydney metro's level, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (41.2%) or rented (18.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Blaxland was $2,230, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,033. The median weekly rent figure in Blaxland was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Blaxland's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blaxland features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.6% of all households, including 36.6% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households making up 1.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Blaxland shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Blaxland is notably high, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications as of 2021 data, compared to the SA4 region average of 23.9% and the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 35.6% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.3% and certificates for 23.3%. Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest available data.

This includes 10.3% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blaxland has 65 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 60 different routes that facilitate 1,459 weekly passenger trips in total. The city's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average being located 203 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 208 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Blaxland is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Blaxland faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58%, covering about 4,366 people. Mental health issues impact 9.3% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.5%. About 66.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.1% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, 21.2% of Blaxland's residents are aged 65 and over (1,608 people), which is lower than the 24.3% in Greater Sydney.

Blaxland ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blaxland had a cultural diversity level below average, with 84.6% of its population born in Australia, 93.7% being citizens, and 93.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Blaxland, accounting for 54.2%, compared to 47.1% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.0%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.9%).

Notably, Polish (1.0%) was overrepresented in Blaxland compared to the regional average (0.9%), as were Russian (0.5% vs 0.4%) and Welsh (0.7% vs 0.7%).

Blaxland's median age exceeds the national pattern

Blaxland's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland has a notably higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (11.7% locally) and a lower percentage of those aged 25-34 (9.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 5.7% to 7.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.2% to 12.3%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 12.5% to 11.0%, and the 25 to 34 group decreased from 10.4% to 9.0%. Demographic modeling suggests Blaxland's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 85+ cohort projected to grow by 188%, adding 298 residents to reach 458. The population is expected to age further as those aged 65 and older represent all anticipated growth, while declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 cohorts.