Blaxland (NSW)

Blaxland is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the estimated population of Blaxland (NSW) as of February 2026 is around 7,589. This reflects a increase of 155 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,434. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 7,570 in June 2024 and an additional 30 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 784 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Blaxland's growth of 2.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth of 1.7%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated, with Blaxland expected to expand by 21 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 0.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blaxland, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Blaxland experienced around 25 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past 5 financial years ending FY26. This totals an estimated 128 homes. By FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Population decline in recent years has seen adequate development activity relative to population size, benefiting buyers while new homes are constructed at an average value of $501,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

In this financial year, $17.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland shows 70.0% higher construction activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers. However, this level is lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Blaxland's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 92.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 327 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Population forecasts indicate Blaxland will gain 2 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Blaxland has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No changes can impact an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, significant projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially affect this area. Key projects include Nepean River Masterplan Precinct (Emu Plains Side), Westfield Penrith Entertainment Expansion, M12 Motorway - Western Package (M12 West), and Digital Western Parkland City. The following list provides details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Blaxland demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Blaxland's workforce is well-educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 3,951 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 2.3%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was somewhat lower than the regional average at 66.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 46.8% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors were education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Notably, education & training employed 1.8 times the regional average.

Finance & insurance employed only 3.8% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 7.3%. Local employment opportunities appeared limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and November 2025, Blaxland's labour force decreased by 4.9%, with employment declining by the same percentage while unemployment remained stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blaxland's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Blaxland had a median income among taxpayers of $59,646. The average income stood at $77,590. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 for Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,931 (median) and $84,464 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Blaxland cluster around the 73rd percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 31.1% of residents, totalling 2,360 people. This mirrors the regional trend where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Blaxland demonstrates considerable affluence with 32.8% earning over $3,000 per week. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blaxland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Blaxland's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Blaxland was 40.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.2% and rented dwellings at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,230, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Blaxland was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Blaxland's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,230 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blaxland features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 78.6% of all households, including 36.6% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.4%, consisting of lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Blaxland shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Blaxland's educational attainment is notably higher than regional and national averages. As of 2016 Census data, 35.7% of Blaxland residents aged 15 years or older held university qualifications, compared to the SA4 region average of 23.9% and Australia's average of 30.4%. This indicates a significant educational advantage for Blaxland residents. Bachelor degrees were most prevalent at 21.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%).

Vocational credentials were also common, with 35.6% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas accounted for 12.3% and certificates for 23.3%. Educational participation was high in Blaxland, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as at the Census date. This included 10.3% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blaxland has 64 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 60 unique routes facilitating 1,459 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport access is deemed good with residents typically residing 203 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode at 89%, while trains account for 6%. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.5 per dwelling, exceeding regional averages.

In 2021 Census data (possibly influenced by COVID-19 conditions), 46.8% of residents worked from home. Daily service frequency averages 208 trips across all routes, translating to about 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blaxland's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Blaxland shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health issues are seen across both young and old age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population (4,368 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. Mental health issues affect 9.3% of residents, while arthritis impacts 8.5%. 66.5% report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among working-age residents are typical. Blaxland has 21.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,639 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. National rankings for this age group align with the general population.

Blaxland ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blaxland's cultural diversity was found to be below average. As of the 2016 Census, 84.6% of its population were born in Australia, with 93.7% being citizens and 93.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Blaxland, making up 54.2% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.0%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.9%). These percentages were substantially higher than the regional averages of 19.0%, 17.8%, and 6.9%, respectively. Notably, Polish, Russian, and Welsh ethnicities were overrepresented in Blaxland compared to regional averages: Polish at 1.0% vs 0.6%, Russian at 0.5% vs 0.4%, and Welsh at 0.7% vs 0.4%.

Blaxland's median age exceeds the national pattern

Blaxland's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland has a notably over-represented 65-74 cohort (11.6%) and an under-represented 25-34 age group (8.5%). Post the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 5.7% to 7.7%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.2% to 12.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 10.4% to 8.5%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 12.5% to 11.1%. Demographic modeling projects significant changes in Blaxland's age profile by 2041, with the 85+ cohort showing the strongest projected growth of 166%, adding 289 residents to reach 464. This growth is entirely due to demographic aging, as residents aged 65 and older represent all anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 cohorts.