Blaxland (NSW)

Blaxland is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Blaxland as of Nov 2025 is around 7,566. This reflects an increase of 132 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,434 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 7,550 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 781 persons per square kilometer. Blaxland's growth rate of 1.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area average of 1.2%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 15 persons to 2041, reflecting a decline of 0.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blaxland, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Blaxland has had around 25 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 126 homes were approved, with a further 8 approved so far in FY-26. The average value of new dwellings is $501,000.

In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $24.2 million. Blaxland has 67.0% more development activity per person compared to Greater Sydney, suggesting greater choice for buyers despite being below the national average, implying established nature and potential planning limitations. New developments consist of 75.0% detached dwellings and 25.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving low density nature while offering diverse housing options. This shift from the area's existing 92.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles preferences. Blaxland has around 342 people per dwelling approval, characteristic of a low density area. With stable or declining population forecasts, housing pressure may be less intense, favouring buyers in the area.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Blaxland may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Blaxland has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No factors impact an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially affect this area. Notable projects include Nepean River Masterplan Precinct (Emu Plains Side), Westfield Penrith Entertainment Expansion, M12 Motorway - Western Package (M12 West), and Digital Western Parkland City. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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Blaxland ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Blaxland's workforce is highly educated with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate, as of June 2025, stands at 1.7%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

In Blaxland, 4,113 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's at 62.8%. Key employment industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Notably, education & training has a significantly higher share in Blaxland compared to the regional level, with an employment share of 1.8 times as much.

Conversely, finance & insurance is under-represented, with only 3.8% of Blaxland's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities, indicated by a lower count of Census working population compared to resident population. Over the 12 months prior to June 2025, labour force decreased by 2.4% and employment decreased by 2.5%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.8%. This contrasts with Greater Sydney where employment grew by 2.6% and labour force expanded by 2.9%, leading to a slight increase in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. For future insights, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, applying these projections to Blaxland's specific employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Blaxland's median income among taxpayers is $59,646. The average income in the area is $77,590. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Blaxland would be approximately $67,167 (median) and $87,374 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Blaxland cluster around the 73rd percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 31.1% of locals (2,353 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which is consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 32.8% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blaxland is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Blaxland, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blaxland was 40.7%, with the remainder either mortgaged at 41.2% or rented at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,230, above Sydney metro's average of $2,033. Median weekly rent was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Blaxland's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blaxland features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.6% of all households, including 36.6% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.4%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Blaxland shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Blaxland is notably high, with 35.7% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications compared to the SA4 region's 23.9% and Australia's 30.4%. The most common university qualification is Bachelor degrees at 21.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.3% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 35.6% of residents aged 15 years and over holding them – advanced diplomas account for 12.3% and certificates for 23.3%. Educational participation is high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.3% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education. Blaxland's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,522 students as of the latest data. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1068. Educational provision is balanced with two primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs (20.1 places per 100 residents vs regionally average 14.5), suggesting the area serves as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blaxland has 57 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 57 unique routes, collectively facilitating 1,238 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated good, with residents on average being located 203 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 176 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Blaxland is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Blaxland faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population, around 4,355 people, compared to 54.4% across Greater Sydney.

Mental health issues impact 9.3% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.5%. About 66.5% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in Greater Sydney. The area has 21.2% of residents aged 65 and over, around 1,603 people, which is lower than the 24.3% in Greater Sydney.

Blaxland ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blaxland, as per the census conducted on 28 June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 84.6% of its population born in Australia, 93.7% being citizens, and 93.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Blaxland, accounting for 54.2% of the population, compared to 47.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.0%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.9%).

Notable differences existed in the representation of Polish (1.0%, vs regional 0.9%), Russian (0.5%, vs 0.4%), and Welsh (0.7%, vs 0.7%) ethnic groups.

Blaxland hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Blaxland's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland has a notably higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (11.7% locally) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 5.7% to 7.4%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.2% to 12.3%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 12.5% to 11.0%, and the 25 to 34 group decreased from 10.4% to 9.0%. Demographic modeling projects significant changes in Blaxland's age profile by 2041, with the strongest growth (188%) in the 85+ cohort, adding 299 residents to reach 458. This growth will be driven entirely by residents aged 65 and older, while population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 cohorts.