Warrimoo

Warrimoo is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Warrimoo statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 2,497. This reflects an increase of 45 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,452 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,490 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 291 persons per square kilometer. Warrimoo's 1.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 1.6%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to contract by 59 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 85 people.

The level of residential development activity in Warrimoo is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Warrimoo averaged around 2 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years to FY-26. This totals an estimated 11 homes. As of FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. The area's population decline suggests new supply is meeting demand, providing good choice for buyers.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $501,000, indicating developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $1.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Warrimoo's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warrimoo has significantly less development activity (56.0% below regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This level is also below national average, suggesting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% medium-high density housing, expanding medium-density options to create a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 989 people, indicating Warrimoo's quiet, low activity development environment. Population projections showing stability or decline suggest reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Warrimoo has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact this area. Key projects include Emu Heights Residential Estate, Nepean River Masterplan Precinct (Emu Plains side), Westfield Penrith Entertainment Expansion, and M12 Motorway - Western Package (M12 West).

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Warrimoo performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Warrimoo has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 0.2%, based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 1,493 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 4.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Warrimoo is 69.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Education & training has a particularly strong presence with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have limited representation at 7.8%, compared to the regional rate of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. In the 12 months prior, Warrimoo's labour force decreased by 3.5% while employment declined by 3.4%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. Meanwhile, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a corresponding rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from NSW up to 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Job and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Warrimoo's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 indicates that median income in Warrimoo suburb was $64,802 and average income stood at $84,297. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates suggest median income would be approximately $70,543 and average income around $91,766 as of September 2025. Census data from 2021 shows household incomes in Warrimoo rank between the 80th and 87th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 32.6% (814 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, aligning with regional levels at 30.9%. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 37.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Warrimoo is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Warrimoo, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrimoo stood at 34.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.9% and rented ones at 13.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,033. Median weekly rent in Warrimoo was recorded at $400, matching the Sydney metro figure of $400. Nationally, Warrimoo's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Warrimoo features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.7% of all households, including 41.5% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.3%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Warrimoo shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Warrimoo, 37.5% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, exceeding the SA4 region's 23.9% and Australia's 30.4%. The area has a significant educational advantage, with bachelor degrees being the most common at 24.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 34.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (22.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrimoo has 42 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are serviced by 42 individual routes, collectively providing 1,076 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 210 meters, indicating good accessibility.

Service frequency averages 153 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warrimoo's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Warrimoo's health data shows positive outcomes overall. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among its general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national averages.

Approximately 60% (1,503 people) have private health cover, higher than Greater Sydney's 55.6%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 9.1% and 8.0% of residents respectively. Around 68.5% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in Greater Sydney. Warrimoo has 17.3% (431 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 24.3%. While health outcomes among seniors require more attention, the area's overall figures are encouraging.

Warrimoo is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Warrimoo's population showed low cultural diversity, with 86.5% born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 49.5%. Judaism, however, had a higher representation than average, at 0.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.9%), English (29.7%), and Irish (10.2%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Hungarian was equally represented at 0.5%, Dutch slightly higher at 1.8%, and Polish slightly lower at 0.8% compared to regional averages.

Warrimoo's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Warrimoo is close to Greater Sydney's average at 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warrimoo has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.3%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of those aged 75-84 has increased from 3.3% to 5.3%, while the 5-14 age group has risen from 14.8% to 16.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 11.5% to 10.3%. By 2041, Warrimoo's population is expected to see significant shifts in age composition. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 192%, reaching 124 people from the current 42. This growth is part of a broader aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 65-74 age groups.