Warrimoo

Warrimoo is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Warrimoo is around 2,662. This figure represents an increase of 210 people from the 2021 Census count of 2,452 inhabitants. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on ERP data released by the ABS in June 2025 and validated new addresses since the Census date, is 2,659. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 310 persons per square kilometer. The suburb's population growth rate of 8.6% since the 2021 Census exceeds that of the SA3 area (1.6%) and the SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed around 53.0% to Warrimoo's recent population gains.

AreaSearch projections for Warrimoo are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2 level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are applied. Growth rates by age group are used for all areas from 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Warrimoo's population is expected to decrease by 56 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 85 and over group are projected to increase, with an anticipated growth of 93 people in this category.

The level of residential development activity in Warrimoo is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Warrimoo has averaged approximately 2 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 10 homes. As of FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. The area's population decline suggests that new supply is meeting demand, providing good options for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $501,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

This financial year has seen $1.6 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting Warrimoo's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warrimoo has significantly less development activity (61.0% below regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, this level is also below average, suggesting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% medium and high-density housing, offering a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This reflects reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, marking a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 99.0% houses). The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1244 people, indicating Warrimoo's quiet, low activity development environment.

With population projections showing stability or decline, reduced housing demand pressures are expected, benefiting potential buyers.

Warrimoo has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No infrastructure changes are expected in the area as no projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact it. Key projects previously considered include Emu Heights Residential Estate, Nepean River Masterplan Precinct (Emu Plains Side), Westfield Penrith Entertainment Expansion, and M12 Motorway - Western Package (M12 West).

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Warrimoo performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Warrimoo has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 0.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 1,567 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Warrimoo stands at 74.0%, exceeding Greater Sydney's rate of 68.8%. Census responses indicate that 46.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors are education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Notably, Warrimoo has a strong specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence, with 7.8% employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the difference between the Census working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Warrimoo's labour force decreased by 2.7% while employment declined by 2.5%, leading to a slight fall in unemployment rate of 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. According to Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warrimoo's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over the next five years and 13.9% over the following five years, assuming no significant changes in population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Warrimoo is among the highest in Australia. The median income is $64,802 and the average income stands at $84,297. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $71,490 (median) and $92,996 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Warrimoo, between the 80th and 87th percentiles nationally. Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 32.6% of the community (867 individuals), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. The locality demonstrates considerable affluence with 37.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Warrimoo is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Warrimoo, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrimoo stood at 34.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.9% and rented ones at 13.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Warrimoo was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Warrimoo's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $400 compared to the national figure of $375.

Warrimoo features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.7% of all households, including 41.5% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute 18.3%, comprising 15.9% lone person households and 2.8% group households. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Warrimoo shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Warrimoo's residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate at 37.5%, surpassing the SA4 region's 23.9% and Australia's 30.4%. This is led by bachelor degrees (24.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 34.6% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (22.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.3% currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (10.3%), secondary (8.7%), and tertiary (4.9%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrimoo has 41 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 42 individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,076 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 210 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commute outward. Car remains dominant at 91%, while train accounts for 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, above regional average.

High work-from-home rate of 46.9% was recorded in the 2021 Census, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 153 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per stop.

Warrimoo's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Warrimoo's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national mortality rates and health condition prevalence being low overall but higher among elderly at-risk groups.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at 60%, covering 1,602 residents. Mental health issues (9.1%) and arthritis (8.0%) are the most common conditions, while 68.5% of residents report no medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Under-65 residents have better-than-average health outcomes. Warrimoo has 17.7% residents aged 65 and over (471 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Senior health outcomes present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Warrimoo is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Warrimoo's population was found to be less culturally diverse, with 86.5% born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.5%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 29.9%, significantly higher than the regional average of 17.8%. English ancestry stood at 29.7%, above the regional average of 19.0%. Irish ancestry was also notable at 10.2%. Other ethnic groups with significant divergences were Hungarian (0.5% vs regional 0.3%), Dutch (1.8% vs regional 0.7%), and Polish (0.8% vs regional 0.6%).

Warrimoo's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Warrimoo is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warrimoo has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.9%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the proportion of Warrimoo's population aged 75 to 84 increased from 3.3% to 5.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 decreased from 11.5% to 9.9%. By 2041, Warrimoo is projected to see significant shifts in its age composition. The number of residents aged 85 and above is expected to grow by 177%, reaching 140 from 50. This growth will be led by the demographic shift towards an aging population, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the age groups 55 to 64 and 65 to 74.