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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills has an estimated 13,946 residents, up from 12,040 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,906 people, or 15.8%. Growth has averaged 2.5% a year over five years, faster than 85% of areas nationally. 589 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Density is about 88 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research from AreaSearch, the resident count for Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills stands at approximately 13,946 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 1,906 individuals (15.8%) following the 2021 Census, when 12,040 people were recorded. This expansion is derived from the ABS estimated resident population figure of 13,287 as of June 2025 alongside 589 validated new addresses registered after the Census date. With 87 persons per square kilometer, the resulting density provides ample physical space per resident as well as scope for upcoming expansion. Outperforming both the broader state and the SA4 region (6.3%), the 15.8% expansion rate since the 2021 census establishes Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills as a regional frontrunner in demographic gains.
Natural increase served as the primary catalyst for growth, generating around 39.4% of total population additions over recent intervals, with interstate migration and overseas migration also delivering positive additions. Projections compiled by the ABS/Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, are utilized by AreaSearch across SA2 regions, while NSW State Government SA2 forecasts published in 2022 using 2021 as the base year are applied where federal data is unavailable. These aggregated age-specific growth trajectories are likewise incorporated across all regions for the years 2032 to 2041. Projecting forward, the district is slated for remarkable demographic expansion that ranks within the upper 10 percent nationwide, with an anticipated rise of 14,635 persons to 2041 relative to latest annual ERP figures, translating to an overall expansion of 100.2% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
553 new dwellings have been approved in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills over the past five years, an average of 110 a year. That places the area in the 84th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 110 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 65% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential construction authorizations in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills have maintained an annual pace of roughly 110 homes, yielding a total of 553 building permits over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Over this same five-year window (between FY-22 and FY-26), the region absorbed an average of 2.8 new residents per year per finished home, pointing to firm underlying demand supporting local real estate, while newly approved dwellings carry an average construction value of $552,000. Furthermore, commercial building approvals reached $327.8 million this financial year, underscoring substantial local non-residential development.
Building activity in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills tracks 42.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period relative to Greater Sydney, supporting property values while still maintaining choice for incoming purchasers, even though construction momentum has moderated recently. Recent residential permits comprise 65.0% detached houses alongside 35.0% medium and high-density housing, delivering a wider array of apartments and townhouses that cater to both family buyers and those seeking smaller, more economical options. This marks a clear transition from the existing stock composition (currently 93.0% houses), highlighting tightening land supplies alongside evolving lifestyle needs for varied, cost-effective dwelling formats. With approximately 203 people per approval, the district demonstrates the characteristics of an evolving residential market. Projections indicate that Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills will add 13,971 residents through to 2041 based on the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should dwelling delivery persist at current levels, residential additions could fall behind population increases, thereby tightening market conditions and reinforcing upward price momentum.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 24 current infrastructure and development projects inside Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills, worth an estimated $20 billion. A further 95 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $82.7 billion. 42 are already under construction and 44 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic and social outcomes are heavily shaped by planning frameworks and capital works. AreaSearch has pinpointed 110 projects expected to influence the district, highlighted by major undertakings such as Everdene (Glenmore Park Stage 3), Highland Views, Everdene, and M12 Motorway, with key initiatives outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Luddenham Metro Station and Sydney Science Park
Luddenham Metro Station is a key elevated station on the 23-kilometre Sydney Metro Western Sydney Airport line. As of May 2026, construction is in an advanced stage with fa‡ade works, station precinct landscaping, and installation of lighting and mechanical systems underway. The station serves as the primary transport link for the adjacent Sydney Science Park, a 280-hectare $2 billion mixed-use innovation hub by Celestino. The Science Park is designed as a premier destination for research and development in food, energy, and health, integrating thousands of future homes with commercial and educational facilities.
Explosive Ordnance Facilities Northern NSW Redevelopment (Defence Establishment Orchard Hills)
Comprehensive redevelopment of Defence Establishment Orchard Hills to support explosive ordnance logistics and defence capability. The capital works scope encompasses upgraded engineering services, water reticulation, power, and ICT networks, new explosive ordnance logistics infrastructure, a dedicated Defence Explosive Ordnance Training School, administrative buildings, living-in accommodation, security entrance upgrades, and the demolition of redundant facilities.
M12 Motorway
A 16-kilometre toll-free motorway providing the primary access to the Western Sydney International Airport. The project features 18 bridges, a 100km/h speed limit, and a dedicated off-road shared user path. While the main motorway opened to traffic on March 14, 2026, construction continues on the critical M7-M12 interchange and integration works to complete the final motorway-to-motorway connection.
Barings Luddenham Industrial Park
A 19.4-hectare state significant development (SSD-48438209) delivering approximately 70,000 sqm of premium industrial warehousing and corporate office accommodation across seven buildings at the Western Sydney Aerotropolis. Facility sizes range from 1,000 to 30,000 sqm across three lots. Approved 28 April 2025, with construction commencing mid-2025 and leasing available from Q3 2026. Located less than 2km from Western Sydney International Airport (Nancy-Bird Walton), adjacent to the Northern Road and Elizabeth Drive intersection, serving logistics, agribusiness and advanced manufacturing sectors.The development includes an onsite cafe, open landscape areas, stormwater infrastructure and estate-wide landscaping.
Barings Luddenham Industrial Park
A 19.4-hectare State Significant Development warehousing and distribution estate within the Western Sydney Aerotropolis. The project delivers approximately 63,500 to 70,000 square metres of premium warehouse and office space across seven flexible buildings. Key amenities include an onsite cafe, estate road networks, extensive landscaping, and waterway rehabilitation. Located less than 2km from the new Western Sydney International Airport, it is designed to support over 600 construction and ongoing roles. Construction commenced in mid-2025 with the first facilities targeted for completion in late 2026.
Highland Views
A master-planned residential community at the foothills of the Blue Mountains, offering 375 land lots for new family homes. The development features over 20 hectares of community living with open spaces, parks, bushland corridors, and modern community facilities. Highland Views includes the new Nangamay Public School which opened in 2023, sporting fields at Pinnacle Park, and easy access to local amenities including cafes, gym, and childcare facilities.
Everdene (Glenmore Park Stage 3)
A major $1.2 billion masterplanned community by Mirvac, marketed as Everdene. Located on a 206-hectare site south of the existing Glenmore Park suburb, the project will deliver approximately 2,300 homes, including a mix of low and medium-density dwellings. Key features include a local village centre with shop-top housing, a future government primary school, sports fields, and over 79 hectares of conservation land and open space.
Northern Gateway Precinct
The Northern Gateway Precinct is a 287-hectare hub within the Western Sydney Aerotropolis, centered on the Sydney Science Park. As of 2026, it is progressing through State Significant Development (SSD) assessments for Stage 1 Estate Works and site-wide concepts. The precinct is designed to integrate high-skill technology, research, and advanced manufacturing sectors with residential areas near the Luddenham Metro station. Current activity focuses on finalizing the Aerotropolis Integrated Stormwater Development Servicing Plan and establishing essential utility infrastructure including the Science Park zone substation.
7,549 residents of Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills are employed, from a labour force of 7,656. Unemployment sits at 1.4%, with participation at 74.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 12,398, about 89% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour pool in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills is highly capable, highlighted by substantial representation in building and construction and a minimal jobless rate of 1.4%. Employed locals numbered 7,549 as of March 2026, while the local unemployment rate sits 2.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.1%, accompanied by an elevated participation rate of 74.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 68.9%. Census figures recorded 35.5% of working residents operating from home, though the influence of Covid-19 lockdown restrictions should be taken into account. Resident employment is primarily clustered across construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
The locality exhibits a pronounced concentration in construction, where its workforce proportion is 2.0 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, engaging 5.3% of Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills's working population compared with 11.5% in Greater Sydney. A comparison between the Census working population and resident counts suggests that local workplace positions remain relatively constrained. Evaluations of ABS and SALM metrics by AreaSearch indicate that over the 12-month period, the local workforce contracted by 3.9% alongside a 3.8% employment decline, resulting in a steady jobless rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded an employment expansion of 1.9%, a 1.9% increase in its labour force, and a slight reduction in joblessness. National workforce projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future labour requirements in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills. These five- and ten-year models have been aligned with local industry profiles to gauge prospective trends. While total nationwide employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, individual sectors vary considerably. Applying these industry growth rates to the employment makeup of Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills indicates an expected local employment expansion of 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years (note that this represents an illustrative weighted extrapolation without factoring in specific local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills is $2,699 a week (about $140,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,025 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $66,995 a year against an average of $85,557. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on ATO postcode figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills SA2 recorded a median individual taxpayer income of $66,995 and a mean of $85,557. These amounts sit well above national benchmarks and compare favourably to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index gains of 10.32% since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach approximately $73,909 (median) and $94,386 (average) as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census demonstrates that personal, family, and household earnings all place between the 80th and 93rd percentiles across the country.
In terms of earnings brackets, the largest group accounts for 30.5% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (4,253 residents), mirroring the regional share of 30.9% in that tier. Solid economic standing is further shown by the 43.9% of households with weekly incomes surpassing $3,000, underpinning strong consumer capacity. Even with accommodation outlays absorbing 15.5% of income, disposable earnings hold at the 93rd percentile, with the area ranking in the 8th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills had 3,553 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 93% detached houses and 4% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $530 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,773 a month, a total housing cost higher than 94% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the housing inventory in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills was composed of 93.1% houses and 6.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's breakdown of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Outright property ownership reached 31.5%, exceeding the metropolitan level, while mortgaged properties accounted for 49.5% and rental tenure made up 19.0%. Median monthly loan commitments stood at $2,773 compared to $2,427 across Sydney metro, and median weekly rent was $530 against $470 for Sydney metro. Across the country, local monthly mortgage repayments sit well above the Australian average of $1,863, with weekly rent substantially exceeding the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills counted 3,553 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 4,115 today, averaging 3.3 people each. 52% are couples with children, more than in 96% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 13% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 86.1%, with couples with children representing 52.0%, couples without children accounting for 23.0%, and single parent families making up 10.2%. Non-family households comprise the remaining 13.9%, consisting of lone person households at 12.6% and group households at 1.2%. The typical household size of 3.3 people exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.0% of adults in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills hold a university qualification, including 15.5% with a bachelor degree and 5.5% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.9% hold a vocational qualification. 10 schools serve the area, with 4,140 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,026 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in the district presents a key area for development, with university qualifications held by 23.0% of residents compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees constitute the largest share at 15.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Conversely, vocational and technical credentials are extensively held, with 36.8% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (25.9%). Current academic engagement is substantial across the community, with 31.1% of residents enrolled in study programs. This cohort encompasses 11.5% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills reaches 129 stops on 88 routes, timetabled for about 1,900 services a week. The typical home sits about 260 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit networks in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills comprise 129 active transport stops utilizing bus infrastructure. These facilities are connected by 88 individual routes, providing 1,897 weekly passenger trips in aggregate. Accessibility is sound, with dwellings situated an average of 264 meters from the nearest transport stop. Given the suburban character of the area, external commuting is customary, with private vehicles accounting for 94% of trips and households owning an average of 2.2 vehicles. In addition, 35.5% of residents worked from home at the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic lockdown measures.
Transit services maintain an average volume of 271 trips per day throughout the network, which translates to roughly 14 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying mapping illustrates the 100 nearest stops relative to the centrepoint of the area.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
75.1% of residents in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 91% of areas nationally. 3.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 62.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments for Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills by AreaSearch indicate positive outcomes across mortality statistics and chronic disease rates, with minimal instances of common illnesses across age brackets, while private health insurance uptake is remarkably strong at approximately 62% of the total population (8,646 people). This exceeds the Greater Sydney level of 59.9% and the Australian average of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health conditions represent the primary diagnosed medical conditions locally, noted among 6.6 and 6.0% of residents, respectively, whereas 75.1% reported no long-term illnesses, slightly ahead of Greater Sydney's 74.6%.
The working-age cohort displays excellent overall health with limited chronic conditions. Older residents aged 65 and over account for 13.2% of the population (1,838 people), below the 15.5% share in Greater Sydney, with senior health indicators remaining resilient and tracking general population benchmarks nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills is largely Australian-born, at 79.7% of residents, with 19.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (25.0%) and English (22.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures show above-average marks for Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills, where 20.3% of the resident population was born overseas and 19.1% converse in a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant faith, practiced by 68.6% of people in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. Looking at parental lineage, the most prevalent ancestries recorded across Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills are Australian at 25.0% of the population (surpassing the 17.8% regional mark), English at 22.1%, and Other at 9.4% (well below the regional proportion of 16.0%).
Furthermore, specific cultural backgrounds show distinctive local representations: Maltese represents 6.2% of Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills (against 1.0% regionally), Croatian stands at 1.5% (against 0.7%), and Lebanese comprises 1.9% (against 2.6%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills is 35, younger than 79% of areas nationally. 25.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills is younger overall than Greater Sydney. As at August 2026, residents aged 0 - 24 represent 36.1% of the locality compared to 30.4% regionally, while those aged 25 - 44 account for 27.5% versus 31.4% across Greater Sydney. AreaSearch places the median age at 35 as at August 2026, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 2 years below the Greater Sydney median of 37 from that same Census. Since the Census, the fastest-growing cohort has been seniors aged 65+, increasing from 11.9% to an estimated 13.2% of the population.
By 2041, younger residents (0 - 24) are anticipated to record the highest volume increase, rising by 4,458 (89%) to 9,493, while the 65+ demographic is projected to exhibit the highest percentage increase, expanding by 143% to 4,466 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Sep 2026 last month all 24 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Sep 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 589 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (12,040 at the 2021 Census → 13,946 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (124031463). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.