Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills

Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills' population was around 13,384 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 1,344 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,040 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,127 in June 2024 and an additional 373 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 84 persons per square kilometer. Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills' growth rate exceeded both its SA4 region (5.5%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 40.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over this period, with the area expected to increase by 15,230 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 111.9% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills has seen approximately 112 new home approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 561 homes. By June 2026, 13 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.1 new residents per year arrive for every dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply may be lagging demand, which could lead to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $434,000, slightly above the regional average.

In FY-26, $327.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills has 54.0% more new home approvals per person as of now. New development consists of 59.0% detached dwellings and 41.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The current housing mix is approximately 93.0% houses.

As of the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills is projected to gain 14,973 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure changes greatly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 111 potential impact projects. Notable ones are Everdene at Glenmore Park Stage 3, Everdene, Highland Views, and M12 Motorway. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. As of September 2025, its unemployment rate is 1.2%.

There are 7,588 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 3.0%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 69.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction employment, with a share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services employ just 5.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. AreaSearch analysis shows that during September 2024 to September 2025, labour force decreased by 3.7%, employment declined by 3.4%, causing unemployment rate to fall by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25 in NSW, employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, compared to national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $61,765 and an average income of $83,381 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is notably higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on a 12.61% growth since financial year 2022, as per the Wage Price Index, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $69,554 (median) and $93,895 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills rank between the 80th and 93rd percentiles nationally. The income bracket of $1,500-$2,999 includes 30.5% of the community (4,082 individuals), which is consistent with broader trends across the area showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength is evident as 43.9% of households earn high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, contributing to elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 93rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills, as per the latest Census data, 93.1% of dwellings were houses while 6.9% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's 77.4% houses and 22.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills stood at 31.5%, with mortgaged properties at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,773, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Weekly rent in the area averaged $530, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,773 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while weekly rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 86.1% of all households, including 52.0% couples with children, 23.0% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 13.9%, with lone person households at 12.6% and group households at 1.2%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (25.9%). Educational participation is high at 31.1%, with 11.5% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills area has 93 active public transport stops. These are served by 88 different bus routes, offering a total of 1,630 weekly passenger trips. The region's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living 269 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 232 daily trips across all routes, which translates to about 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills shows excellent health outcomes across all ages, with very low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 61% (8,204 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 53.8%. Nationally, it averages 55.3%.

Asthma and mental health issues are most prevalent, affecting 6.6% and 6.0%, respectively. Overall, 75.1% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 69.5%. The area has 12.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,714 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills has a cultural diversity above average, with 20.3% of its population born overseas and 19.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills, comprising 68.6% of people, compared to 57.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (25.0%), English (22.1%), and Other (9.4%).

Notably, Maltese is overrepresented at 6.2%, Croatian at 1.5%, and Lebanese at 1.9%.

Mulgoa - Luddenham - Orchard Hills's population is younger than the national pattern

Mulgoa-Luddenham-Orchard Hills has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. The 5-14 age group makes up 15.6% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 11.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.6% to 4.5%, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 12.3% to 11.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes: the 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 2,526 people (146%), from 1,733 to 4,260.