Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's population is approximately 19,288 people. This figure reflects a growth of 295 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,993 people. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,241 as of June 2024 and an additional 33 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 649 persons per square kilometer. Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's growth rate of 1.6% since the census is comparable to its SA3 area, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to grow by 116 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 0.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has seen approximately 32 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 164 homes. As of FY2025-26, 12 approvals have been recorded. The population decline during this period suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice while new properties are constructed at an average value of $412,000. This financial year has seen $24.2 million in commercial development approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has 15.0% less new development per person and ranks among the 25th percentile nationally, providing more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. Recent construction comprises 74.0% detached houses and 26.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature while addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 630 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone will gain 69 residents by 2041, with current development rates comfortably meeting demand and potentially supporting growth beyond current projections.

Population forecasts indicate Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone will gain 69 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects that may affect this region. Notable projects include Rail Infrastructure Upgrades at Blaxland Stations, the Blaxland Town Centre Upgrade, Old Bathurst Road Safety Upgrades in Blaxland, and the Thomas Park Upgrade. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.1%. As of September 2025, there are 10,502 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.1% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's at 70.0%. Census responses show that 48.0% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area has a notable concentration in education & training with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average.

Professional & technical employs only 7.9% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. There appears to be limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force decreased by 4.1%, employment declined by 3.9%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 estimate a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, assuming no change in population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone SA2 has one of the highest income levels in Australia according to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $66,032 and the average income stands at $84,378, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $71,882 (median) and $91,854 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone rank highly nationally, between the 75th and 83rd percentiles. The data shows that 30.6% of individuals (5,902) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, consistent with broader trends in the surrounding region. A substantial proportion, 36.5%, earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.8% of dwellings were houses with 5.1% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan area's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone stood at 42.3%, with mortgaged properties at 42.9% and rented dwellings at 14.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,265, lower than Sydney's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in the area was $440, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.0% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 18.3% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone exceeds broader benchmarks significantly. As of 2016, 37.1% of residents aged 15 and over held university qualifications, compared to 23.9% in the SA4 region and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees were most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials were also prominent, with 34.1% of residents aged 15 and over holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas constituted 12.1% and certificates made up 22.0%.

Educational participation was notably high, with 30.0% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included 10.1% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has 206 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 78 routes, collectively providing 1,618 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 188 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters travel outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode at 90%, while train usage stands at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

In 2021 Census data, 48% of residents worked from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 231 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 7 weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies this analysis, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone region based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably, younger cohorts exhibit a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (11,881 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 8.8 and 8.3% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 67.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The region has 21.6% of residents aged 65 and over (4,158 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. While health outcomes among seniors are above average, they rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's cultural diversity is below average. As of the 2016 Census, 85.0% of its population were born in Australia, with 94.3% being citizens and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, comprising 54.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (30.3%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, Dutch (1.8%) and Hungarian (0.4%) populations exceed regional averages of 0.7% and 0.3%, respectively.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, residents aged 65-74 are notably over-represented at 11.4%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 7.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 75-84 grew from 5.9% to 7.9%, and the 15-24 age group increased from 11.7% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort declined from 9.4% to 7.6%, and the 55-64 group decreased from 12.8% to 11.5%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's age profile by 2041, with the 85+ cohort expected to grow by 169%, adding 744 residents to reach 1,186. This growth will be driven entirely by demographic aging, as residents aged 65 and older represent all of the anticipated population increase. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 55-64 and 65-74.