Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone
Statistical Area - sa2

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's population is around 19,274 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 281 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,993 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,241 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 30 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 649 persons per square kilometer. Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's growth rate of 1.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 1.2%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 52.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone is expected to grow by 116 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of approximately 0.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has averaged approximately 34 new home approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics provides development approval data on a financial year basis, showing 174 approvals from FY20 to FY25 and 6 so far in FY26. Despite recent population decline, development activity has been relatively adequate, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice for new properties valued at an average of $501,000. This year has seen $24.2 million in commercial approvals, indicating steady investment activity compared to Greater Sydney.

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has 16.0% less new development per person and ranks in the 26th percentile nationally, suggesting constrained buyer choice favouring existing homes due to market maturity and potential development constraints. New developments consist of 74.0% detached dwellings and 26.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. This shift from the current housing mix (95.0% houses) reflects reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands. With an estimated 630 people per dwelling approval, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone maintains a quiet development environment. Future growth projections estimate an increase of 83 residents by 2041, with current development rates comfortably meeting demand and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is expected to grow by 83 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that may impact the area's performance due to changes in local infrastructure. Key projects include Emu Plains Rail Station Upgrades, Emu Plains Bus Stop Improvements, and Regatta Park Upgrade - Emu Plains. Additionally, Mulgoa Road / Castlereagh Road Corridor Upgrade is listed as potentially relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate as of June 2025 is 1.2%.

There are 10,756 residents employed, with the unemployment rate 3.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and a workforce participation rate of 64.0%. Dominant employment sectors include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area specializes in education & training, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level, but has lower representation in professional & technical services at 7.9% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population data.

From June 2024 to June 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.3%, with employment declining by a similar percentage, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. Statewide in NSW as of Sep-25, employment contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.5%, with employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone. National employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to the local employment mix indicates potential growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone had a median income among taxpayers of $61,811 and an average of $80,406. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $68,363 (median) and $88,929 (average). The 2021 Census ranks Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's household, family, and personal incomes highly nationally, between the 76th and 83rd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 30.6% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (5,897 residents), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 36.5%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout the locality. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, as per the latest Census, was 94.8% houses and 5.1% other dwellings. This compares to Sydney metro's 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone was 42.3%, with the rest either mortgaged (42.9%) or rented (14.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,265, above Sydney metro's average of $2,033. The median weekly rent was $440, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.0% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 18.3% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. 37.1% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 23.9% in the SA4 region and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 34.1% of residents holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.1% and certificates for 22.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education. There are 10 schools operating within Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, educating approximately 3,165 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1077. The educational mix includes 7 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone area has 178 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. They are served by 75 different routes, offering a total of 1,335 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to these stops is rated excellent, with residents typically located just 188 meters from the nearest one. On average, there are 190 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 7 weekly trips per stop.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, showing common health conditions similarly distributed across both young and older age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (11,525 people), compared to 54.4% in Greater Sydney as of October 2021.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 8.8%, and arthritis impacting 8.3%. A total of 67.5% reported no medical ailments, compared to 64.1% across Greater Sydney during the same period. As of January 2020, 21.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (4,078 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 24.3%. Health outcomes among seniors in the area are above average and broadly consistent with the general population's health profile.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, recorded in the 2016 Census, had a population with 85.0% born in Australia, 94.3% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 54.1% of the population, compared to 47.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.3%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (10.3%).

Notably, Dutch ethnicity was overrepresented at 1.8%, compared to 1.6% regionally, Hungarian at 0.4% versus 0.5%, and Maltese at 1.0% against 0.8%.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's median age exceeds the national pattern

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. Locally, the 65-74 age group comprises 11.5%, notably above the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 8.0%, which is under-represented compared to the Greater Sydney average. As per the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 5.9% to 7.6%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort decreased from 12.8% to 11.4%, and the 25-34 group fell from 9.4% to 8.0%. By 2041, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 196%, adding 785 residents to reach 1,186. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 99% of the anticipated population growth. However, declines are projected for the 65-74 and 15-24 age cohorts.