Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone
Statistical Area - sa2

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's population is 19,274 as of Aug 2025, a 1.5% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 18,993 people. This growth is inferred from ABS estimates and validated new addresses. The population density is 649 persons per square kilometer. Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's growth exceeded the SA3 area average of 1.2%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.7% of recent population gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas until 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 116 persons, reflecting an increase of 0.4% over 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has seen approximately 32 new home approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, totalling 164 approvals from FY-21 to FY-25, with 6 so far in FY-26. Despite recent population decline, the area's development activity has been adequate relative to its size, benefiting buyers while new properties are constructed at an average cost of $501,000. This financial year has seen $24.2 million in commercial approvals, indicating steady investment activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has 15.0% less new development per person, placing it among the 26th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice favouring existing homes. New development consists of 74.0% detached dwellings and 26.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. This shift from the current housing mix (currently 95.0% houses) reflects reduced availability of development sites and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated population density per dwelling approval is 630 people, reflecting its quiet, low-activity development environment. By 2041, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone is expected to grow by 83 residents.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Three infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Emu Plains Rail Station Upgrades, Emu Plains Bus Stop Improvements, Regatta Park Upgrade - Emu Plains (scheduled for completion in 2021), and Mulgoa Road / Castlereagh Road Corridor Upgrade (commencing in late 2022).

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 1.2%.

There were 10,756 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 3.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 64.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area has a particular specialization in education & training with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 7.9% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the year to June 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.3% alongside a 2.3% employment decline, leaving unemployment broadly flat. Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, lagging the national employment growth of 0.26%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8%% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone had a median taxpayer income of $61,811 and an average of $80,406. This is among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $68,363 (median) and $88,929 (average) as of March 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone rank highly nationally, between the 76th and 83rd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 30.6% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,897 residents), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. A substantial proportion, 36.5%, earn above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the locality. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.1% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Sydney's metropolitan area where 92.3% were houses and 7.7% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone stood at 42.3%, similar to the Sydney metro average, with mortgaged properties at 42.9% and rented ones at 14.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,265, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,033. The median weekly rent was $440, compared to the Sydney metro figure of $400. Nationally, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's median mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,265 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $440 compared to the national figure of $375.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.0% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 18.3% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. 37.1% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 23.9% in the SA4 region and 30.4% in Australia. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 34.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 22.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 5.3% in tertiary education. There are 10 schools operating within Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, educating approximately 3,165 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1077. The educational mix includes 7 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone area shows that there are 178 active transport stops operating. These consist of a mix of train and bus services. The area is serviced by 75 individual routes which collectively provide 1,335 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent with residents typically located 188 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 190 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately seven weekly trips per individual stop.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's health metrics align closely with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is notably high at approximately 60% of the total population (11,525 people), compared to 54.4% in Greater Sydney. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 8.8% and 8.3% of residents respectively. A total of 67.5% of residents declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in Greater Sydney. The area has 21.2% of residents aged 65 and over (4,078 people), which is lower than the 24.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, as of the 2016 Census, had a population where 85.0% were born in Australia, 94.3% were Australian citizens, and 94.2% spoke only English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 54.1% of residents identifying with it, compared to 47.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.3%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (10.3%).

Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 1.8%, compared to 1.6% regionally, while Hungarian was at 0.4% (vs 0.5%) and Maltese at 1.0% (vs 0.8%).

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's median age exceeds the national pattern

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. The 65-74 age group is notably over-represented at 11.5% locally, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 5.9% to 7.6%, the 55-64 cohort declined from 12.8% to 11.4%, and the 25-34 group dropped from 9.4% to 8.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's age profile. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 196%, adding 785 residents to reach 1,186. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 99% of the population growth, while declines are projected for the 65-74 and 15-24 age cohorts.