Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone
Statistical Area - sa2

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's population is approximately 19,274 as of November 2025. This shows an increase of 281 people (1.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,993. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 19,241 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 649 persons per square kilometer. Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's growth exceeded that of its SA3 area (1.2%), making it a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.7% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to grow by 116 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of 0.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has seen approximately 32 new home approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 164 homes. As of FY-26, 11 approvals have been recorded. The area's population has fallen during this period, suggesting that new supply is keeping pace with demand and providing good options for buyers. New properties are being constructed at an average expected cost of $412,000.

In the current financial year, $24.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has 15.0% less new development per person and ranks at the 26th percentile nationally for areas assessed, offering more limited choices for buyers but supporting demand for existing homes. Recent construction comprises 74.0% detached houses and 26.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature while addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. This is a significant change from the current housing mix of 95.0% houses. The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 630 people, reflecting its quiet development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone will gain 83 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Eleven projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key initiatives include Rail Infrastructure Upgrades at Blaxland Stations, Old Bathurst Road Safety Upgrades in Blaxland, Thomas Park Upgrade, and Blaxland Town Centre Upgrade. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.2% as of June 2025.

The area has 10,756 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 3.0% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 64.0%, comparable to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment industries are education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. Education & training shows notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services employ only 7.9% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data showing fewer working residents than expected based on population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.3%, while employment also declined by 2.3%, keeping unemployment stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's current employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8%% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone has one of Australia's highest income levels according to AreaSearch aggregated ATO data for financial year 2022. Its median taxpayer income is $61,811 and average income stands at $80,406, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $69,605 (median) and $90,545 (average). The 2021 Census places Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's household, family, and personal incomes between the 76th and 83rd percentiles nationally. The data shows that 30.6% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, consistent with surrounding regions at 30.9%. A substantial proportion, 36.5%, earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, as per the latest Census data, 94.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 5.1% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Sydney's metropolitan area where 92.3% were houses and 7.7% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone stood at 42.3%, mirroring the Sydney metro figure, with mortgaged properties at 42.9% and rented ones at 14.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,265, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,033. The median weekly rent was $440, compared to Sydney's $400. Nationally, Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.0% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 18.3% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. As of the latest data, 37.1% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 23.9% in the SA4 region and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 34.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 22.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education. There are 10 schools operating within Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, educating approximately 3,165 students as of the latest count. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1077. The educational mix includes 7 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone area has 178 active public transport stops. These include train and bus services. There are 75 individual routes operating in total.

They provide a combined weekly passenger trip count of 1,335. Residents' average proximity to the nearest stop is 188 meters. Daily service frequency across all routes averages 190 trips. This translates to approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's health metrics align closely with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are prevalent across both young and old age groups.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% (11,525 people), compared to 54.4% in Greater Sydney. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 8.8 and 8.3% of residents respectively. 67.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.1% in Greater Sydney. As of June 2021, 21.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (4,078 people), lower than the 24.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone, as per the Census data of June 2016, showed a lower level of cultural diversity with 85.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.3% being Australian citizens, and 94.2% speaking only English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 54.1% of the population, compared to 47.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.3%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (10.3%).

Notably, Dutch (1.8%) was slightly overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.6%, while Hungarian (0.4%) and Maltese (1.0%) also showed higher percentages than their respective regional averages of 0.5% and 0.8%.

Blaxland - Warrimoo - Lapstone's median age exceeds the national pattern

Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, residents aged 65-74 are notably over-represented at 11.5%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.9% to 7.6% of the population. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 12.8% to 11.4%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 9.4% to 8.0%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Blaxland-Warrimoo-Lapstone's age profile by 2041. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow strongly at 196%, adding 785 residents to reach 1,186. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to contribute 99% of the population growth. However, declines are anticipated for the 65-74 and 15-24 age groups.