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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Tully has an estimated 2,482 residents, up from 2,368 at the 2021 Census — a change of 114 people, or 4.8%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years. That puts 191 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to ABS demographic updates for the wider region and address verifications conducted by AreaSearch after the Census, the suburb of Tully has an estimated population of approximately 2,482 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 114 people (4.8%) compared to the 2,368 residents recorded during the 2021 Census. This adjustment is based on a resident population estimate of 2,466 calculated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP release, alongside 20 validated new addresses added since the Census. With these figures, the suburb of Tully has a density of 190 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and room for potential expansion.
The post-census growth of 4.8% in the suburb of Tully is within 1.0 percentage points of the broader SA3 region (5.8%), showing solid growth indicators. Net overseas migration was the primary driver of this growth, accounting for roughly 63.0% of the population increase in recent times. AreaSearch utilizes projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline for each SA2. For areas not represented in that release, or for periods beyond 2032, projections from the Queensland Government published in 2023 using 2021 data are applied. Because these state-level projections lack age breakdowns, AreaSearch allocates growth across age brackets using proportions derived from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections based on 2022 data. Future demographic forecasts suggest the area will experience population growth slightly under the median for non-metropolitan locations, with combined SA2 projections indicating an increase of 278 residents by 2041, representing a total expansion of 10.6% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
43 new dwellings have been approved in Tully over the past five years, an average of 8 a year. That is 3.6 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 9, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on residential construction permits from the ABS mapped to local boundaries, the suburb of Tully has averaged about 8 home approvals annually, translating to approximately 43 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 9 permits have been logged. Average demand stood at 1.5 incoming residents per new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, pointing to balanced supply and demand dynamics, though this ratio rose to 4.4 people per approved dwelling over the last 2 financial years, highlighting heightened popularity and potential constraints on housing availability.
Newly built residences carry an average construction value of $371,000. Additionally, commercial building permits worth $6.0 million have been logged this financial year, emphasizing the predominantly residential nature of the local market. Relative to the Rest of Qld, building activity per capita in the suburb of Tully is comparable, which aligns with regional trends and supports market equilibrium. This rate is below the national baseline, reflecting the established status of the locality and pointing to potential zoning or planning restrictions. Additionally, all recent construction projects have consisted of detached houses, preserving the classic low-density profile of the area which caters to households wanting extra space. New home construction is more heavily weighted toward standalone houses than historical metrics suggest (84.0% at Census), showing sustained demand for detached homes despite broader density pressures. A ratio of 492 residents for every approved dwelling underlines the quiet, low-scale nature of local construction activity. Looking ahead, the suburb of Tully is projected to add 262 residents by 2041 based on the most recent quarterly figures from AreaSearch. Although building permit volumes are generally keeping up with projected growth, prospective purchasers may face increased market competition as the resident population expands.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Tully
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 27 current infrastructure and development projects close to Tully, worth an estimated $3.83 billion. 8 are already under construction and 11 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and environmental & disaster management. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes to local infrastructure, planning schemes, and major construction projects have a strong influence on regional performance. AreaSearch did not identify any projects expected to affect the immediate area. Key regional projects include the North Queensland Super Hub, the Draft Far North Queensland Regional Plan 2025, the North and Far North Queensland REZs, and the Queensland National Land Transport Network Maintenance, with the primary initiatives outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Orient Road Water Security Project
A project to improve water security in the Ingham area, funded under the Building our Regions program. The project involved the extension of the water main along Orient Road.
Dutton Street Culvert Crossing Project
Construction of a culvert crossing on Dutton Street to provide a linkage between the north and south of Ingham during flood events. The project was fully funded under the National Flood Infrastructure Mitigation Program.
North Queensland Bio-Energy Facility (Ingham)
The North Queensland Bio-Energy (NQBE) facility is a proposed $640 million integrated sugar, ethanol, and renewable power plant located on an 80-hectare site south of Ingham. As of early 2026, the project remains in the planning phase while awaiting favorable market conditions and finalized financing. The facility is designed to process sugarcane into 350,000 tonnes of raw sugar annually, produce up to 200,000 litres of ethanol per day, and export approximately 110-115 MW of renewable energy to the national grid.The project was recently a focal point in the 2026 Queensland Parliamentary Inquiry into Sugarcane Bioenergy Opportunities, which seeks to address regulatory and investment barriers for such industrial hubs.
Moduline Ingham Expansion - Factory and Showroom
Proposed ~4,400 sqm manufacturing facility with ~550 sqm office and retail showroom for Moduline in Ingham CBD. Development Application lodged 24 Feb 2025 for Medium Impact Industry (furniture manufacturing, display and sales) across multiple lots fronting Herbert St and Lynn St. State assessment (SARA) advice issued 17 Mar 2025. Project aims to modernize production, expand local jobs and renew the town centre retail presence.
Hinchinbrook Shire Council Priority Projects
A list of priority projects for the Hinchinbrook Shire, including upgrades to marine and tourism infrastructure, recycling facilities, and digital connectivity. Specific projects include the Dungeness Marine Access Upgrade, Wallaman Falls Eco and Adventure Tourism, and Forrest Beach Boat Ramp Facilities.
Residential Activation Fund - Hinchinbrook Housing
Two critical infrastructure projects to unlock more than 180 new homes in Ingham. The projects are funded through the Queensland Government's Residential Activation Fund and align with the Hinchinbrook Shire Council's Local Housing Action Plan to address housing shortages.
Atlantic North Ingham
Atlantic North Ingham is a proposed mixed-use development at 70 Townsville Road, Ingham, designed to expand the commercial hub of Hinchinbrook Shire. The precinct comprises six retail showrooms of approximately 800 square metres each, an 18-room motel, and a 30-bed dormitory building for school groups and tourists. Located within walking distance of the Tyto Wetlands, the development incorporates North Queensland architectural elements and flood-proof design with floor levels 2.40 metres above natural ground, supported by 310 car parking bays.
Atherton Hospital Redevelopment
The $86.4 million redevelopment of Atherton Hospital delivered modern healthcare infrastructure for the Tablelands region. Key components include a new four-storey Clinical Services Building housing a state-of-the-art emergency department, medical imaging, maternity services with birth suites, operating and endoscopy theatres, and a sterilising unit. The project also delivered a Community, Allied and Mental Health Building, a new helipad, and an engineering services building. A final $12.9 million stage involving the refurbishment of the existing South Ward was initiated in late 2025 to further boost oncology services and inpatient capacity.
1,245 residents of Tully are employed, from a labour force of 1,314. Unemployment sits at 5.3%, with participation at 61.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 4.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,860, about 75% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is split between white-collar and blue-collar occupations with representation across multiple fields, showing an unemployment rate of 5.3% based on AreaSearch statistical aggregations. As of March 2026, there are 1,245 employed citizens, with unemployment running 1.3% higher than the Regional Qld benchmark of 3.9%, and participation levels sitting below average (61.9% compared to 64.3% in Regional Qld). Census records show that a minor 4.4% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure was influenced by pandemic containment measures. Primary employment sectors for local workers include agriculture, forestry & fishing, retail trade, and manufacturing.
The local economy is highly concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, which employs residents at a rate 8.0 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance is underrepresented, employing 7.3% of local workers compared to 16.1% across Regional Qld. A comparison of the Census working population against the resident population suggests that local employment opportunities are somewhat limited. According to SALM and ABS statistics compiled across broader regions, during the 12 months ending March 2026, the local workforce shrank by 2.5% while total employment fell by 4.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 2.1 percentage points. Over the same timeframe in Regional Qld, employment increased by 0.1%, the labor force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment ticked up by 0.1 percentage points. National employment projections released in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia give context for future labor needs. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential changes. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with wide variation among industries. Applying these sectoral growth rates directly to the local employment profile indicates potential employment growth of 4.2% over five years and 10.0% over ten years, representing a simple weighted model that does not account for specific local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Tully is $1,270 a week (about $66,000 a year), with median personal income at $727 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,460 a year against an average of $60,007. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Tax data from the ATO for financial year 2023 indicates that local earnings are below the national average. Taxpayers in the suburb of Tully recorded a median income of $49,460 and an average income of $60,007, compared to Regional Qld benchmarks of $53,146 and $66,593. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, local income estimates stand at approximately $55,079 for the median and $66,824 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed individual incomes at the 34th percentile ($727 weekly) and household incomes at the 18th percentile.
In terms of earnings distribution, 30.6% of residents (759 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is very similar to the regional rate of 31.7%. Even though residents retain 87.4% of their income due to low housing costs, total disposable income sits at the 22nd percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Tully had 843 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 84% detached houses and 14% apartments. 23% are owned with a mortgage, 41% rented and 36% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $250 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,100 a month. Rent absorbs 19.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in the suburb of Tully at the time of the last Census consisted of 83.8% detached houses and 16.2% alternative options such as townhouses, apartments, or other structures, compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% other options across Regional Qld. Home ownership rates were higher than the regional average, standing at 36.2%, while mortgaged homes accounted for 22.8% and rental properties made up 41.0%. The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,100, which is below the regional median of $1,655, and the median weekly rent was $250, compared to $345 in Regional Qld.
Nationally, local mortgage obligations are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also well below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Tully counted 843 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 22% are couples with children, fewer than in 82% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 32% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 61.7% of local households, consisting of couples with children at 21.5%, couples without children at 26.3%, and single-parent homes at 11.8%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 38.3% of households, with single-person households representing 32.1% and group houses making up 6.4%. The average household size is 2.4 residents, which is slightly smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
12.7% of adults in Tully hold a university qualification, including 9.8% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 87% of areas nationally. A further 28.0% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,116 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 937 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region shows lower rates of higher education, with university graduation rates at 12.7% compared to the national benchmark of 30.4%. This highlights a clear area for targeted educational strategies. Bachelor degrees represent 9.8% of qualifications, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.3%. Vocational training is common, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.8% and certificates at 28.0%. A high proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 29.0% of residents enrolled in an educational institution. This enrollment consists of 11.2% in primary schools, 10.0% in secondary schools, and 2.1% in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Tully means driving: households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.5% of residents in Tully report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Analysis of mortality statistics and chronic illnesses by AreaSearch shows that the local community faces notable health issues, with various medical conditions present in both younger and older residents, while private health insurance coverage is low at about 51% of the population, representing roughly 1,265 individuals. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent diagnoses, affecting 9.0% and 6.1% of residents respectively, though 70.5% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Health outcomes for residents under 65 are better than national averages. The local population contains a higher proportion of seniors than the region, with 23.1% aged 65 and over (573 people) compared to 20.4% in Regional Qld.
Health trends among older residents reflect some difficulties, with national indicators matching those of the broader Australian population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Tully is largely Australian-born, at 78.2% of residents, with 17.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (23.3%) and English (21.0%). 7.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is higher than average, with 21.8% of residents born outside Australia and 17.7% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 58.3% of the community. However, the most distinct variation is in the Other category, which represents 4.5% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional Qld. In terms of family backgrounds, the three largest ancestral groups are Australian at 23.3%, English at 21.0% (which is lower than the regional level of 29.6%), and Other at 13.1% (which is higher than the regional average of 6.9%).
There are also distinct differences in other ancestral groups, with Indigenous Australians making up 7.6% of the population compared to 3.9% regionally, Italian heritage at 7.1% compared to 2.4%, and Filipino heritage at 2.0% compared to 0.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Tully is 38. 30.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 38 in the suburb of Tully is slightly younger than the Regional Qld average of 41, matching the national figure of 38. The 25 - 34 age bracket is well represented at 17.8% compared to Regional Qld, while the 5 - 14 group is less common at 8.7%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 6.8% to 8.0%, and the 65 to 74 group rose from 10.0% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 11.8% to 10.3%, and the 5 to 14 group decreased from 10.0% to 8.7%.
Projections for 2041 point to significant changes in local demographics. The 85+ bracket is projected to increase by 93% (90 people), growing from 96 to 187. Overall, residents aged 65 and older will represent 57% of all population growth, showing an aging trend. By contrast, the 5 to 14 and 55 to 64 cohorts are projected to see declines in population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Tully
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,368 at the 2021 Census → 2,482 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32882). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.