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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Tully has an estimated 2,481 residents, up from 2,368 at the 2021 Census — a change of 113 people, or 4.8%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years. That puts 191 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Tully has an estimated population of approximately 2,481, established through AreaSearch's evaluation of broader regional ABS demographic updates alongside post-Census validated addresses. Compared to the 2021 Census count of 2,368 people, this represents an addition of 113 people (4.8%). This metric draws on an estimated resident population of 2,467 established from the ABS June 2025 ERP release, together with 20 validated new addresses added post-Census. With a density of 190 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers generous living space and capacity for ongoing expansion.
The suburb of Tully outpaced broad benchmarks by staying within 1.0 percentage points of the wider SA3 area (5.8%), highlighting resilient local momentum. International arrivals served as the primary growth catalyst, accounting for roughly 63.0% of total inbound net migration across recent periods. Projections for each SA2 district utilise ABS/Geoscience Australia models released in 2024 (using 2022 as the base year), transitioning to Queensland State Government SA2 forecasts (issued in 2023 from 2021 data) for non-covered areas and horizons beyond 2032. Because state series exclude age-bracket breakdowns, AreaSearch applies proportional distributions from the 2023-released ABS Greater Capital Region projections (benchmarked to 2022 data) across individual cohorts. Looking forward, the suburb of Tully is set for expansion just below the national non-metropolitan median, with consolidated SA2 modeling projecting a net gain of 274 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 10.5% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
37 new dwellings have been approved in Tully over the past five years, an average of 7 a year. That is 4.0 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 11, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Dwelling construction metrics from AreaSearch, derived from ABS building approval data across statistical areas, reveal that Tully has averaged roughly 7 dwellings granted development approval each year, culminating in 37 homes across the previous 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 11 approvals have been registered. An influx averaging 1.3 new residents annually per completed dwelling between FY-21 and FY-25 illustrates a well-balanced supply-demand equation supporting steady market fundamentals, while an average expected construction cost of $440,000 per dwelling sits beneath regional benchmarks to deliver relatively attainable entry points. Furthermore, $6.0 million in commercial building approvals was authorized in the ongoing financial year, underlining the district's predominantly residential character.
On an individual resident basis, Tully registers 10.0% less building volume relative to Rest of Qld, positioning it at the 55th percentile across national assessments. Standalone single-family houses represent the entirety of newly sanctioned construction, preserving the neighbourhood's traditional low-density profile geared toward space-focused households. This preference for standalone builds exceeds baseline stock distributions (84.0% at Census), underscoring enduring appetite for standalone residences despite densification trends elsewhere. Accompanied by a ratio of roughly 259 people per dwelling approval, Tully maintains all the hallmarks of a low-density environment. Long-term demographic forecasts project Tully will incorporate 260 residents through to 2041, benchmarked from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly update. While construction volume remains aligned with anticipated population trajectories, incoming buyers could encounter tighter market conditions as community expansion unfolds.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Tully
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 27 current infrastructure and development projects close to Tully, worth an estimated $3.83 billion. 8 are already under construction and 11 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and environmental & disaster management. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic works, zoning frameworks, and transport initiatives play a pivotal role in driving regional trajectory. AreaSearch has evaluated the area and identified no major projects likely to exert an impact on the immediate locality. Strategic undertakings of broader interest include the North Queensland Super Hub, Draft Far North Queensland Regional Plan 2025, North and Far North Queensland REZs, and Queensland National Land Transport Network Maintenance, with the primary initiatives outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Orient Road Water Security Project
A project to improve water security in the Ingham area, funded under the Building our Regions program. The project involved the extension of the water main along Orient Road.
Dutton Street Culvert Crossing Project
Construction of a culvert crossing on Dutton Street to provide a linkage between the north and south of Ingham during flood events. The project was fully funded under the National Flood Infrastructure Mitigation Program.
North Queensland Bio-Energy Facility (Ingham)
The North Queensland Bio-Energy (NQBE) facility is a proposed $640 million integrated sugar, ethanol, and renewable power plant located on an 80-hectare site south of Ingham. As of early 2026, the project remains in the planning phase while awaiting favorable market conditions and finalized financing. The facility is designed to process sugarcane into 350,000 tonnes of raw sugar annually, produce up to 200,000 litres of ethanol per day, and export approximately 110-115 MW of renewable energy to the national grid.The project was recently a focal point in the 2026 Queensland Parliamentary Inquiry into Sugarcane Bioenergy Opportunities, which seeks to address regulatory and investment barriers for such industrial hubs.
Moduline Ingham Expansion - Factory and Showroom
Proposed ~4,400 sqm manufacturing facility with ~550 sqm office and retail showroom for Moduline in Ingham CBD. Development Application lodged 24 Feb 2025 for Medium Impact Industry (furniture manufacturing, display and sales) across multiple lots fronting Herbert St and Lynn St. State assessment (SARA) advice issued 17 Mar 2025. Project aims to modernize production, expand local jobs and renew the town centre retail presence.
Hinchinbrook Shire Council Priority Projects
A list of priority projects for the Hinchinbrook Shire, including upgrades to marine and tourism infrastructure, recycling facilities, and digital connectivity. Specific projects include the Dungeness Marine Access Upgrade, Wallaman Falls Eco and Adventure Tourism, and Forrest Beach Boat Ramp Facilities.
Residential Activation Fund - Hinchinbrook Housing
Two critical infrastructure projects to unlock more than 180 new homes in Ingham. The projects are funded through the Queensland Government's Residential Activation Fund and align with the Hinchinbrook Shire Council's Local Housing Action Plan to address housing shortages.
Atlantic North Ingham
Atlantic North Ingham is a proposed mixed-use development at 70 Townsville Road, Ingham, designed to expand the commercial hub of Hinchinbrook Shire. The precinct comprises six retail showrooms of approximately 800 square metres each, an 18-room motel, and a 30-bed dormitory building for school groups and tourists. Located within walking distance of the Tyto Wetlands, the development incorporates North Queensland architectural elements and flood-proof design with floor levels 2.40 metres above natural ground, supported by 310 car parking bays.
Atherton Hospital Redevelopment
The $86.4 million redevelopment of Atherton Hospital delivered modern healthcare infrastructure for the Tablelands region. Key components include a new four-storey Clinical Services Building housing a state-of-the-art emergency department, medical imaging, maternity services with birth suites, operating and endoscopy theatres, and a sterilising unit. The project also delivered a Community, Allied and Mental Health Building, a new helipad, and an engineering services building. A final $12.9 million stage involving the refurbishment of the existing South Ward was initiated in late 2025 to further boost oncology services and inpatient capacity.
1,247 residents of Tully are employed, from a labour force of 1,317. Unemployment sits at 5.3%, with participation at 62.2%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 4.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,857, about 75% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Statistical area aggregations from AreaSearch indicate Tully maintains a varied employment foundation covering both blue-collar and white-collar roles across multiple sectors, alongside an unemployment rate of 5.3%. In March 2026, 1,247 residents were actively employed; however, joblessness exceeds Regional Qld's 3.9% by 1.4%, and the local labour participation rate of 62.2% trails the Regional Qld benchmark of 64.2%. Census figures also recorded that a modest 4.4% of workers operated remotely from home, a metric shaped in part by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions at the time. Locally resident workers are heavily concentrated within agriculture, forestry & fishing, retail trade, and manufacturing.
The primary point of economic concentration is agriculture, forestry & fishing, which commands a workforce share 8.0 times that seen across the broader region. Conversely, health care & social assistance exhibits subdued representation, engaging only 7.3% of Tully workers against 16.1% across Regional Qld. Comparing Census resident worker totals with active local workplace tallies indicates a constrained volume of employment within the immediate area. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM statistical aggregations shows that during the twelve-month period to March 2026, the local workforce contracted by 2.4% while overall employment fell by 4.7%, driving an unemployment rate increase of 2.2 percentage points. By contrast, Regional Qld saw employment rise 0.1%, the workforce expand 0.3%, and unemployment edge up 0.1 percentage points. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia national industry models from Mar-26 provide indicative trajectories for Tully when mapped onto its existing sector distribution. Against nationwide projections of 6.6% job growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years, applying sectoral weighting suggests Tully's employment could increase by 4.2% over five years and 10.0% over ten years (representing an illustrative sectoral model rather than a localised demographic projection).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Tully is $1,270 a week (about $66,000 a year), with median personal income at $727 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,460 a year against an average of $60,007. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode statistics for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate the suburb of Tully recorded a median taxpayer income of $49,460 and an average of $60,007, trailing Regional Qld benchmarks of $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average) as well as national norms. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, modeled figures reach roughly $55,079 (median) and $66,824 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed individual earnings at the 34th percentile ($727 weekly) and household income at the 18th percentile. Weekly income bands show the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the largest, capturing 30.6% of residents (759 people), mirroring the regional standard of 31.7%.
Despite relatively light shelter obligations allowing 87.4% of income to be retained, overall disposable income ranks only at the 22nd percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Tully had 843 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 84% detached houses and 14% apartments. 23% are owned with a mortgage, 41% rented and 36% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $250 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,100 a month. Rent absorbs 19.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records indicate Tully's residential fabric consists of 83.8% houses alongside 16.2% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached properties, and alternative formats), contrasting with 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings across Regional Qld. Outright homeownership stands higher than the regional benchmark, reaching 36.2%, while remaining residences are either occupied under a mortgage (22.8%) or rented (41.0%). Median financing outlays sit significantly below regional levels at $1,100 monthly compared to $1,655 in Regional Qld, and weekly rent averages $250 versus $345 regionally. Relative to countrywide standards, Tully's mortgage commitments remain markedly beneath the Australian average of $1,863, with leasing rates similarly discounting the national norm of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Tully counted 843 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 22% are couples with children, fewer than in 82% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 32% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family arrangements constitute the bulk of living structures at 61.7%, consisting of 26.3% couples without children, 21.5% couples with children, and 11.8% single parent families. Non-family living situations account for the remaining 38.3%, comprising lone person households at 32.1% and group households at 6.4%. An average household occupancy of 2.4 people remains slightly below the Regional Qld norm of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
12.7% of adults in Tully hold a university qualification, including 9.8% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 87% of areas nationally. A further 28.0% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,116 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 937 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment figures point to educational hurdles across the district, as university qualification rates (12.7%) sit well below the Australian average of 30.4%, highlighting a distinct opening for targeted learning programs. Bachelor degrees form the primary tertiary credential at 9.8%, with postgraduate qualifications at 1.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.3%. Vocational and technical pathways show considerable strength, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, divided between certificates (28.0%) and advanced diplomas (9.8%). Classroom engagement across the locality is substantial, with 29.0% of the local population actively participating in structured education.
Among this learning cohort, 11.2% attend primary education, 10.0% are engaged in secondary education, and 2.1% are undertaking tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Tully means driving: households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.5% of residents in Tully report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators compiled by AreaSearch reveal noticeable wellness hurdles across Tully, marked by elevated mortality rates and chronic illnesses that impact younger as well as older demographics, while private health fund participation remains relatively constrained at approximately 51% of the total population (~1,264 people). Locally diagnosed conditions are led by arthritis (affecting 9.0% of the population) and mental health issues (6.1%), though 70.5% of residents reported having no diagnosed medical conditions, comparing favourably to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Residents aged under 65 exhibit better than average health outcomes. Those aged 65 and over represent 23.5% of the community (583 people), exceeding the Regional Qld proportion of 20.3%, with senior health metrics facing challenges that align broadly with wider national patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Tully is largely Australian-born, at 78.2% of residents, with 17.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (23.3%) and English (21.0%). 7.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Tully demonstrates heightened multicultural representation, with 21.8% of residents born abroad and 17.7% communicating in a language other than English at home. Christianity forms the dominant religious affiliation, claimed by 58.3% of the community. The most pronounced demographic variation appears in the Other religious category, which accounts for 4.5% in Tully relative to 0.8% across Regional Qld. Based on parental birthplaces, the primary ancestral backgrounds in Tully are Australian at 23.3%, English at 21.0% (trailing the 29.6% regional benchmark), and Other at 13.1% (substantially exceeding the 6.9% regional rate). Distinct local variations also emerge among specific ancestries: Australian Aboriginal representation sits elevated at 7.6% (compared to 3.9% regionally), Italian heritage comprises 7.1% (vs 2.4%), and Filipino ancestry stands at 2.0% (vs 0.9%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Tully is 38. 30.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The suburb of Tully maintains a comparatively youthful profile relative to Regional Qld. August 2026 data shows that 29.2% of the local population falls into the young to middle-aged bracket (25 - 44), compared to 25.5% across Regional Qld, while mature adults and early retirees (45 - 64) constitute 20.6% against a regional benchmark of 24.6%. The median age remains steady at an estimated 38, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 3 years younger than the Regional Qld level of 41 recorded at that time. Since the Census, the proportion of seniors and retirees (65+) has risen from 20.1% to an estimated 23.5%.
Demographic projections indicate the 65+ age bracket will capture the vast majority of growth through to 2041, increasing by 175 residents (30%) to reach 758, whereas cohorts of children, young adults, and middle-aged residents are projected to experience contraction.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Tully
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,368 at the 2021 Census → 2,481 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32882). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.