Gordonvale - Trinity

Gordonvale - Trinity lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Gordonvale-Trinity's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 11,644 people. This figure represents an increase of 1,806 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,838. The growth can be attributed to an estimated resident population of 11,123 in June 2024 and the addition of 487 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 35 persons per square kilometer. Gordonvale-Trinity's 18.4% growth since the 2021 census surpassed both the SA4 region (7.8%) and the SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all factors including natural growth and overseas migration were positive contributors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. State projections do not provide age category splits; therefore, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort released in 2023 using a base year of 2022. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Gordonvale-Trinity among the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas. The area is expected to grow by 7,654 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 61.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Gordonvale - Trinity was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gordonvale - Trinity has averaged approximately 128 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 642 homes. In FY-26 to date, 80 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.5 people have moved to the area per new home constructed over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $279,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $17.8 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Gordonvale - Trinity has 261.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice, although development activity has moderated recently. This level of activity is significantly above the national average, indicating strong developer interest in the area. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers, with around 116 people moving to the area per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Gordonvale - Trinity is expected to grow by 7,129 residents through to 2041.

Development is keeping pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Gordonvale - Trinity has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

A total of 139 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable among these are Bruce Highway Cairns Southern Access Corridor Stage 3 from Edmonton to Gordonvale, Mount Peter Priority Development Area, Cairns South State Development Area, and North Queensland Youth Alcohol and Other Drugs Residential Rehabilitation Service. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Gordonvale - Trinity has been broadly consistent with national averages

Gordonvale - Trinity has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented here, with an unemployment rate of 3.4%.

As of September 2025, there are 5992 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 0.7% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation stands at 64.7%, higher than Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, accommodation & food services are under-represented, with only 6.8% of Gordonvale - Trinity's workforce compared to 8.3% in Rest of Qld. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over the year ending September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.2%, and employment fell by 2.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.3 percentage points. Meanwhile, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7% and labour force increase by 2.1%. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland employment contracted by 0.01%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligning with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Gordonvale - Trinity's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022, Gordonvale - Trinity SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $53,386 and an average of $61,009. This was lower than the national average. The Rest of Qld had a median income of $50,780 and an average of $64,844. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimates for September 2025 are approximately $60,855 (median) and $69,544 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Gordonvale - Trinity cluster around the 54th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 36.5% of locals (4,250 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the broader regional trend of 31.7%. After housing expenses, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Gordonvale - Trinity is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Gordonvale-Trinity's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gordonvale-Trinity was 30.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.2% and rented ones at 21.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, above Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in the area was $330, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $315. Nationally, Gordonvale-Trinity's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,625 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gordonvale - Trinity features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.6% of all households, including 33.4% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.4%, with lone person households at 19.6% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.4.

Gordonvale - Trinity faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 46.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 35.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.8% in primary education, 10.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gordonvale-Trinity has 18 operational public transport stops. These are served by buses on two routes, offering a total of 235 weekly passenger trips. Residents' access to transport is limited, with an average distance of 1834 meters to the nearest stop.

Services run approximately 33 times daily across all routes, equating to about 13 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Gordonvale - Trinity is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Gordonvale - Trinity shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly residents with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 50% (~5,822 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.2%) and mental health issues (7.2%). 71.7% report no medical ailments, matching Rest of Qld's figure. 15.0% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,748 people). Health outcomes among seniors exceed those of the general population in key metrics.

Gordonvale - Trinity ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gordonvale-Trinity, as per the census data from June 2016, showed lower cultural diversity with 87.8% of its population being Australian citizens, 87.0% born in Australia, and 92.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 52.2% of people in Gordonvale-Trinity. The 'Other' category appeared slightly overrepresented at 1.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 1.5%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (27.6%), English (26.5%), and Other (8.0%) were the top groups, with Australians being substantially higher than the regional average of 21.9%. Notably, Australian Aboriginal were overrepresented at 6.3% compared to the regional average of 6.7%, while Italian stood at 5.4% versus the regional average of 3.8%, and Maltese at 0.5% compared to 0.3%.

Gordonvale - Trinity's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Gordonvale-Trinity is 38 years, slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but equal to Australia's median age. The 0-4 age group comprises 7.0%, higher than Rest of Qld, while the 75-84 cohort makes up 4.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15-24 age group grew from 11.8% to 13.3%, and the 0-4 cohort increased from 5.8% to 7.0%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 15.7% to 13.6%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 12.8% to 11.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Gordonvale-Trinity. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 80%, adding 1,269 people and reaching a total of 2,853 from its current figure of 1,583.