Gordonvale - Trinity

Gordonvale - Trinity lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Gordonvale - Trinity's population is around 12,225 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,387 people (24.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,838 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,119 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 514 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 37 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Gordonvale - Trinity's 24.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (8.2%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; therefore, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to grow by 7,654 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 53.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gordonvale - Trinity was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gordonvale - Trinity has averaged around 128 new dwelling approvals each year, totalling 642 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 89 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2.5 people per year moving to the area per new home constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), reflecting robust demand that underpins property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $279,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. There have also been $17.8 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

When measured against Rest of Qld, Gordonvale - Trinity has 261.0% more construction activity (per person), offering buyers greater choice, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. Meanwhile, recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. At around 116 people per approval, Gordonvale - Trinity reflects a developing area.

Looking ahead, Gordonvale - Trinity is expected to grow by 6,548 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Gordonvale - Trinity has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 139 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Bruce Highway Cairns Southern Access Corridor Stage 3 - Edmonton to Gordonvale, Mount Peter Priority Development Area, Cairns South State Development Area, and the North Queensland Youth Alcohol and Other Drugs Residential Rehabilitation Service, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.6%, Gordonvale - Trinity has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Gordonvale - Trinity features a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, and an unemployment rate of only 3.6%. As of December 2025, 5,957 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.4% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (69.7% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 12.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. On the other hand, accommodation & food is under-represented, with only 6.8% of Gordonvale - Trinity's workforce compared to 8.3% in Regional Qld. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.1% combined with employment decreasing by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld experienced employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 1.0%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Gordonvale - Trinity. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Gordonvale - Trinity's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Gordonvale - Trinity SA2's median income among taxpayers is $56,866, with an average of $65,017. This is lower than average on a national basis, and compares to Regional Qld's median of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $62,501 (median) and $71,460 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Gordonvale - Trinity cluster around the 54th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows the predominant cohort spans 36.5% of locals (4,462 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 31.7% in the same category. After housing, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Gordonvale - Trinity is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Gordonvale - Trinity, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Gordonvale - Trinity was slightly lagging that of Regional Qld, at 30.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (48.2%) or rented (21.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Regional Qld average at $1,625, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $330, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Gordonvale - Trinity's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gordonvale - Trinity features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 77.6% of all households, comprising 33.4% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.4%, with lone person households at 19.6% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people is larger than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

Gordonvale - Trinity faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (15.5%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 46.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.8% in primary education, 10.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 18 active transport stops operating within Gordonvale - Trinity, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 2 individual routes, collectively providing 235 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1834 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 91%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 12.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 33 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gordonvale - Trinity's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Gordonvale - Trinity residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions showing results broadly in line with national benchmarks. A fairly standard level of common health conditions is seen across both young and old age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~6,259 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.2 and 7.2% of residents, respectively, while 71.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 15.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,847 people), which is lower than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Gordonvale - Trinity ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gordonvale - Trinity was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 87.8% of its population being citizens, 87.0% born in Australia, and 92.3% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Gordonvale - Trinity is Christianity, which makes up 52.2% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 1.4% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Gordonvale - Trinity are Australian, comprising 27.6% of the population, English, comprising 26.5% of the population, and Other, comprising 8.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is notably overrepresented at 6.3% of Gordonvale - Trinity (vs 3.9% regionally), Italian at 5.4% (vs 2.4%) and Maltese at 0.5% (vs 0.4%).

Gordonvale - Trinity's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Gordonvale - Trinity is marginally below Regional Qld's average of 41 while in line with Australia's 38 years. The 0 - 4 age group shows strong representation at 7.2% compared to Regional Qld, whereas the 75 - 84 cohort is less prevalent at 4.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.8% to 13.5% of the population, while the 0 to 4 cohort increased from 5.8% to 7.2%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 15.7% to 13.1% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 12.8% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Gordonvale - Trinity. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 70% (1,174 people), reaching 2,853 from 1,678.