Gordonvale - Trinity

Gordonvale - Trinity lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Gordonvale-Trinity's population was approximately 12,225 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 2,387 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,838. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 11,119 in June 2024 and an additional 514 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 37 persons per square kilometer. Gordonvale-Trinity's growth rate of 24.3% exceeded both its SA3 area (8.2%) and SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 71.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 and based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts using ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with an expected increase of 7,654 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 53.6% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Gordonvale - Trinity was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gordonvale - Trinity averaged approximately 128 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 642 homes. As of FY26, 87 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.5 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating robust demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value for new homes was $279,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options.

In FY26, there have been $17.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Gordonvale - Trinity has 261% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, development activity has moderated recently. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating strong developer interest in the area. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of 116 people per approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Gordonvale - Trinity is projected to grow by 6,548 residents by 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Gordonvale - Trinity has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 139 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones include Bruce Highway Cairns Southern Access Corridor Stage 3 - Edmonton to Gordonvale, Mount Peter Priority Development Area, Cairns South State Development Area, and North Queensland Youth Alcohol and Other Drugs Residential Rehabilitation Service. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Gordonvale - Trinity has been broadly consistent with national averages

Gordonvale - Trinity has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.4%. As of September 2025, there are 5,992 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% lower than Rest of Qld's 4.1%.

Workforce participation stands at 70.0%, slightly higher than Rest of Qld's 65.7%. According to Census data, only 12.6% work from home. Dominant industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction employment is notably high, at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food services employ fewer residents than the rest of Qld, with only 6.8%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.2%, while employment fell by 2.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.3 percentage points. Meanwhile, Rest of Qld saw employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gordonvale - Trinity's industry mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.2% in five years and 13.0% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 indicates that Gordonvale - Trinity SA2 has a median income among taxpayers of $56,866 and an average of $65,017. This is lower than the national average. Comparing with Rest of Qld's median of $53,146 and average of $66,593 shows this discrepancy. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $62,501 (median) and $71,460 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Gordonvale - Trinity cluster around the 54th percentile nationally. Income distribution data shows that 36.5% of locals (4,462 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 31.7% in the same category. After housing expenses, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Gordonvale - Trinity is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Gordonvale-Trinity's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gordonvale-Trinity stood at 30.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.2% and rented ones at 21.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. Median weekly rent in the area was $330, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Gordonvale-Trinity's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,625 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gordonvale - Trinity features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.6% of all households, including 33.4% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.4%, with lone person households at 19.6% and group households making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Gordonvale - Trinity faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 46.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.8% in primary education, 10.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gordonvale-Trinity has 18 active public transport stops, all bus services. Two routes operate here, offering 235 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents' access to transport is limited, with an average distance of 1834 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, primarily by car (91%). On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. Only 12.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census).

Daily service frequency averages 33 trips across all routes, equating to about 13 weekly trips per stop.

Gordonvale - Trinity's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Gordonvale - Trinity shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are similar across all ages. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51%. The most common conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.2% each. Around 71.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in the rest of Queensland. Working-age population's health outcomes are typical. There are 15.1% seniors (aged 65 and over), totaling 1,847 people, which is lower than the 20.4% in the rest of Queensland. Senior health outcomes rank higher than the general population nationally.

Gordonvale - Trinity ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gordonvale-Trinity, as per the data, showed lower cultural diversity with 87.8% citizens, 87.0% born in Australia, and 92.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 52.2%. The category 'Other' was notably higher at 1.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 0.8%.

Ancestry wise, Australian (27.6%), English (26.5%), and Other (8.0%) were the top groups. Notably, Australian Aboriginal (6.3%), Italian (5.4%), and Maltese (0.5%) had higher representations than regional averages of 3.9%, 2.4%, and 0.4% respectively.

Gordonvale - Trinity's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Gordonvale-Trinity is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38. The 0-4 age group makes up 7.2% of the population compared to Rest of Qld, while the 75-84 cohort represents 4.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows changes in age groups: the 15-24 group increased from 11.8% to 13.5%, and the 0-4 group rose from 5.8% to 7.2%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort decreased from 15.7% to 13.1%, and the 55-64 group fell from 12.8% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic shifts in Gordonvale-Trinity, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 70% (adding 1,174 people), reaching a total of 2,853 from its current figure of 1,678.