Gordonvale - Trinity
Statistical Area - sa2

Gordonvale - Trinity lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Gordonvale-Trinity's population is 11,551 as of Aug 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 1,713 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,838. The increase was inferred from ABS estimates and validated new addresses. The population density is 35 persons per square kilometer. Gordonvale-Trinity's growth rate (17.4%) exceeded the SA3 area (7.2%) and SA4 region, marking it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration drove this growth, contributing approximately 71% of overall gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, using proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future trends predict exceptional growth for Gordonvale-Trinity, placing it in the top 10% of Australia's non-metropolitan areas by 2041. Based on current numbers, the area is expected to grow by 7,654 persons over the next 17 years, recording a gain of 62.5%.

The level of residential development activity in Gordonvale - Trinity was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Gordonvale - Trinity has averaged about 128 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, totalling 642 approvals between FY-21 and FY-25, with 40 approvals so far in FY-26. Each dwelling has supported an average of 2.5 new residents per year over the past five financial years. The average construction cost value for new homes is $428,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

This financial year has seen $17.8 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Gordonvale - Trinity has 261% more development activity per person. It has a population density of around 116 people per dwelling approval, suggesting characteristics of a growth area. By 2041, Gordonvale - Trinity is projected to grow by 7,222 residents. Building activity is keeping pace with these growth projections, though increased competition among buyers is expected as the population grows.

Looking ahead, Gordonvale - Trinity is expected to grow by 7,222 residents through to 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Gordonvale - Trinity has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch identified 146 projects potentially influencing the area. Notable projects include Cairns Water Security Stage 1, Bruce Highway Cairns Southern Access Corridor Stage 3 - Edmonton to Gordonvale, Mount Peter Priority Development Area (Southern Growth Corridor), and Mount Peter Priority Development Area. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Gordonvale - Trinity exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Gordonvale - Trinity's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent essential services sectors. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate was 2.9%.

In comparison to Rest of Qld, which had a rate of 3.9%, Gordonvale - Trinity's rate was 1.0% lower. Workforce participation in the area was higher at 64.7%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The construction industry showed strong specialization with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services had lower representation at 6.8% versus the regional average of 8.3%. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.5%, and employment declined by 2.5%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%, with a smaller unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 showed Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23% (losing 8,070 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. This compared favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, but lagged behind national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 indicated potential future demand within Gordonvale - Trinity. National employment was forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections suggesting local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years. These estimates were based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and did not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Gordonvale - Trinity had a median taxpayer income of $53,386 and an average of $61,090 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is below the national average of $64,844 for Rest of Qld, which had a median income of $50,780 and an average income of $64,844 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.71% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,638 (median) and $68,153 (average) as of March 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family and personal incomes in Gordonvale - Trinity cluster around the 55th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 36.5% of locals (4,216 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 31.7% in the same category. After housing costs, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Gordonvale - Trinity is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Gordonvale-Trinity's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gordonvale-Trinity stood at 30.4%, with mortgaged properties at 48.2% and rented ones at 21.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, above Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Gordonvale-Trinity was $330, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $315. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Gordonvale - Trinity features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.6% of all households, including 33.4% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.4%, with lone person households at 19.6% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.4.

Gordonvale - Trinity faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 15.5%, significantly below the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.4%).

Educational participation is notably high at 32.6%, including 12.8% in primary education, 10.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education. A network of six schools operates within Gordonvale, educating approximately 2,698 students. These include Trinity College, which serves varied educational conditions across Gordonvale-Trinity. The educational mix includes three primary, one secondary, and two K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gordonvale-Trinity area has 18 operational public transport stops. These are served by two distinct bus routes, offering a total of 235 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents on average located 1834 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 33 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Gordonvale - Trinity is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Gordonvale-Trinity shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older populations, with low prevalence rates for common conditions. Approximately half of its total population (~5,775) has private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical issues are asthma (7.2%) and mental health problems (7.2%), while 71.7% report no ailments, similar to Rest of Qld's 71.7%. About 15.0% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,734 people). Seniors in the area exhibit particularly strong health outcomes, outperforming general population metrics.

Gordonvale - Trinity ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gordonvale-Trinity has a low cultural diversity, with 87.8% citizens, 87.0% born in Australia, and 92.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 52.2%. The 'Other' religious category has a slightly higher representation compared to Rest of Qld (1.4% vs 1.5%).

Top ancestry groups are Australian (27.6%), English (26.5%), and Other (8.0%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 6.3%, Italian at 5.4%, and Maltese at 0.5%.

Gordonvale - Trinity's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Gordonvale-Trinity is 38 years, which is slightly lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 but matches Australia's median age of 38. The 0-4 age group comprises 7.0% of the population compared to Rest of Qld, while the 75-84 cohort makes up 4.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.8% to 13.3%, and the 0-4 cohort has risen from 5.8% to 7.0%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 15.7% to 13.6%, and the 55-64 group has fallen from 12.8% to 11.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Gordonvale-Trinity, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 82% (1,282 people), reaching a total of 2,853 from its current count of 1,570.