Earlville - Bayview Heights

Earlville - Bayview Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Earlville - Bayview Heights' population is approximately 8,916 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 540 people from the 2021 Census total of 8,376, indicating a growth rate of 6.4%. The change was inferred using ABS estimated resident population data from June 2024 (8,787) and validated new addresses since the census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,134 persons per square kilometer. Earlville - Bayview Heights' growth rate is close to the SA3 area average of 8.2%. The primary driver for this growth was interstate migration, contributing around 38.7% of total population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Future population trends suggest a modest increase below the national non-metropolitan median, with an expected expansion of 767 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 7.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Earlville - Bayview Heights recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Earlville - Bayview Heights has averaged approximately 23 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with a total of 115 homes approved during this period. In the current financial year, FY-26, 7 dwellings have been approved so far. Each year, an average of 3.7 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed in the area over the past five financial years.

This high demand significantly exceeds the supply of new properties, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost for new properties is $190,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalling $4.6 million have been registered, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Earlville - Bayview Heights has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person. Nationally, it ranks among the 38th percentile of areas assessed, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. The level of new building activity is lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

The types of dwellings approved in Earlville - Bayview Heights show a shift towards compact living: 45% detached dwellings and 55% townhouses or apartments. This skew offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This is a significant change from the current housing mix of 79% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 860 people per dwelling approval, Earlville - Bayview Heights reflects a highly mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 638 residents through to 2041. The current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 18 projects impacting the area. Key projects are Far North Private Hospital, Bayview Heights Reservoir Refurbishment, Woree Social and Affordable Housing Precinct, and Cairns Reservoirs Remediation Package 2. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Earlville - Bayview Heights has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Earlville - Bayview Heights has an unemployment rate of 4.5%. As of September 2025, there are 4,456 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 4.9% compared to Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation is similar at 65.7%.

According to Census data, 14.3% work from home. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area shows strong specialization in public administration & safety (1.3x regional level) but underrepresentation in agriculture, forestry & fishing (1.3% vs Rest of Qld's 4.5%). Between September 2024 to September 2025, labour force decreased by 1.7%, employment declined by 3.0%, raising unemployment rate by 1.3 percentage points.

National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest growth rates differ significantly between industries. Applying these projections to Earlville - Bayview Heights's mix implies local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Earlville - Bayview Heights SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $54,214 and an average of $64,946. Nationally, these figures are lower than the average. Rest of Qld's median was $53,146 with an average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $59,587 (median) and $71,382 (average). Census data reveals household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly in Earlville - Bayview Heights, between the 34th and 47th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.0% of the community (2,674 individuals), similar to the broader area at 31.7%. After housing costs, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Earlville - Bayview Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Earlville - Bayview Heights had 78.6% houses and 21.3% other dwellings in its latest Census evaluation, compared to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership stood at 36.4%, with the rest either mortgaged (36.3%) or rented (27.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,522, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent was $340, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345 and the national figure of $375.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.5% of all households, including 25.3% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 28.8% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Earlville - Bayview Heights performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Earlville's Bayview Heights trail regional benchmarks with 21.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to Australia's 30.4%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (29.5%).

Educational participation is notably high at 29.0%, including primary education (10.1%), secondary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (3.9%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Earlville - Bayview Heights has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by nine different routes that together facilitate 927 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents located an average of 379 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards from this primarily residential area. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 93% of residents. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, 14.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 132 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Earlville - Bayview Heights is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population across older, at risk cohorts

Earlville-Bayview Heights shows superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The prevalence of common health conditions among the general population, particularly among older, at-risk cohorts, is low. Approximately 51% (~4,564 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.3%) and mental health issues (6.9%), while 69.8% report no medical ailments compared to 67.6% across the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes for those under 65 are better than average. The area has 22.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,980 people), higher than the 20.4% in the rest of Queensland but lower nationally compared to the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Earlville - Bayview Heights records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Earlville-Bayview Heights showed cultural diversity above average, with 20.5% of residents born overseas and 12.3% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Earlville-Bayview Heights, accounting for 57.2%, compared to 52.2% regionally. The top three ancestral groups were English (26.3%), Australian (22.9%), and Other (10.7%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 4.6% (vs regional 3.9%), Korean at 0.5% (vs regional 0.2%), and Italian at 4.1% (vs regional 2.4%).

Earlville - Bayview Heights's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Earlville - Bayview Heights is 42 years, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 but above the Australian median of 38. The 75-84 cohort is over-represented at 8.3%, while the 55-64 cohort is under-represented at 11.1%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.4% to 13.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 10.2% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.7% to 11.6%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 12.1% to 10.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Earlville - Bayview Heights. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to expand by 260 people (22%), from 1,166 to 1,427. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.