Earlville - Bayview Heights
Statistical Area - sa2

Earlville - Bayview Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Earlville - Bayview Heights' population is approximately 8,868 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 492 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,376. The growth was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 8,787 in June 2024 and an additional 50 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,128 persons per square kilometer. Earlville - Bayview Heights' population growth rate of 5.9% since the census is within 1.9 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 7.8%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 38.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as overseas migration and natural growth also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts. Future demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of regional areas across Australia, with Earlville - Bayview Heights expected to grow by 767 persons to 2041, representing an increase of 7.7% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Earlville - Bayview Heights recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Earlville - Bayview Heights has recorded approximately 23 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 115 homes. In FY-26 so far, 5 approvals have been recorded. The average population growth for each dwelling built in the area between FY-21 and FY-25 was 3.7 people per year, indicating high demand outpacing supply which can put upward pressure on prices and increase competition among buyers. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $190,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $4.6 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Qld, Earlville - Bayview Heights records about three-quarters the building activity per person and places among the 38th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. New building activity shows 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This is a significant change from the current housing mix of 79.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 860 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Earlville - Bayview Heights will gain 686 residents by 2041.

Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that may affect the region. Notable initiatives include Far North Private Hospital, Bayview Heights Reservoir Refurbishment, Woree Social and Affordable Housing Precinct, and Quigley Street Social Housing Project. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Earlville - Bayview Heights presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.7%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Bayview Heights in Earlville has an unemployment rate of 3.7% as of June 2025. It employs 4,511 residents with a participation rate similar to the Rest of Qld's 59.1%.

Key industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Public administration & safety shows notable concentration at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 1.3% versus the regional average of 4.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, with a Census working population vs resident population count indicating this.

Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 1.5%, employment declined by 2.2%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld had employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May 2025, project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bayview Heights' employment mix suggests local growth could be approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Earlville - Bayview Heights had a median income among taxpayers of $51,373. The average income stood at $61,604. This was below the national average and compared to levels of $50,780 and $64,844 across Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $58,560 (median) and $70,222 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Earlville - Bayview Heights, between the 35th and 47th percentiles. Distribution data shows 30.0% of the population (2,660 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen regionally where 31.7% similarly occupy this range. After housing, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Earlville - Bayview Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Earlville - Bayview Heights, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 78.6% houses and 21.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership level in Earlville - Bayview Heights was 36.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.3% and rented dwellings at 27.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,522, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in the area was $340, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $315. Nationally, Earlville - Bayview Heights' mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 67.5% of all households, including 25.3% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 28.8% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of Qld.

Earlville - Bayview Heights performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Earlville-Bayview Heights show that 21.7% of residents aged 15 and above have university degrees, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 40.8% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (29.5%). Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.1% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Our Lady Help of Christians School serves Earlville-Bayview Heights, enrolling 493 students as of a typical Australian school condition index (ICSEA) of 1030. The area has one primary school with no secondary options locally; surrounding areas offer secondary schooling. Local school capacity is limited at 5.6 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 22.5, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Earlville - Bayview Heights has 16 operational public transport stops. These are served by buses running along 9 different routes. Each week, these routes facilitate 927 passenger trips in total.

The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 379 meters. On average, there are 132 daily trips across all routes, which amounts to around 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Earlville - Bayview Heights's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Earlville-Bayview Heights' health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level. Approximately 51% (~4,487 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis (impacting 8.3% of residents) and mental health issues (6.9%). About 69.8% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 71.7% across Rest of Qld. There are 22.4% (1,986 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is higher than the 15.7% in Rest of Qld. This aligns broadly with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Earlville - Bayview Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Earlville-Bayview Heights had a cultural diversity above average, with 20.5% of its population born overseas and 12.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Earlville-Bayview Heights, comprising 57.2%. This figure is higher compared to Rest of Qld's 50.0%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English (26.3%), Australian (22.9%), and Other (10.7%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 4.6%, Korean at 0.5% and Italian at 4.1%, compared to regional figures of 6.7%, 0.4%, and 3.8% respectively.

Earlville - Bayview Heights hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Earlville - Bayview Heights is 42 years, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 but above the Australian median of 38. The 75-84 cohort is over-represented at 8.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's average, while the 55-64 age group is under-represented at 11.1%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 11.4% to 12.6%, and those aged 15 to 24 have increased from 10.2% to 11.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 13.7% to 12.2%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has dropped from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Earlville - Bayview Heights, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to expand by 306 people (27%), from 1,120 to 1,427. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.