Earlville - Bayview Heights

Earlville - Bayview Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Earlville - Bayview Heights's population is around 8,916 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 540 people (6.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,376 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 8,787 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 67 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,134 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Earlville - Bayview Heights's 6.4% growth since the census positions it within 1.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (8.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 38.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and natural growth, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of non-metropolitan areas nationally is expected, with the area expected to expand by 767 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 7.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Earlville - Bayview Heights recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Earlville - Bayview Heights has averaged around 23 new dwelling approvals per year, with 115 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 7 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 3.7 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $190,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $4.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, supporting the area's residential character.

When measured against the Rest of Qld, Earlville - Bayview Heights has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person while it places among the 38th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. This activity is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New building activity shows 45.0% detached dwellings and 55.0% townhouses or apartments. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 79.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 860 people per dwelling approval, Earlville - Bayview Heights reflects a highly mature market.

Looking ahead, Earlville - Bayview Heights is expected to grow by 638 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 18 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Far North Private Hospital, Bayview Heights Reservoir Refurbishment, Woree Social and Affordable Housing Precinct, and Cairns Reservoirs Remediation Package 2, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Earlville - Bayview Heights has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Earlville - Bayview Heights possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, and an unemployment rate of 4.8%. As of December 2025, 4,423 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.8% above Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional Qld's 65.4%. Based on Census responses, a moderate 14.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area shows particularly strong specialization in in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. On the other hand, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.3% of Earlville - Bayview Heights's workforce compared to 4.5% in Regional Qld. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.2% alongside a 3.0% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.8 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld experienced employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 1.0%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Earlville - Bayview Heights. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Earlville - Bayview Heights's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Earlville - Bayview Heights SA2's median income among taxpayers is $54,214, with an average of $64,946. This is lower than average on a national basis, and compares to Regional Qld's median of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $59,587 (median) and $71,382 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Earlville - Bayview Heights, between the 34th and 47th percentiles. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.0% of the community (2,674 individuals), aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 31.7%. After housing, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Earlville - Bayview Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Earlville - Bayview Heights, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 78.6% houses and 21.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Earlville - Bayview Heights was higher than that of Regional Qld, at 36.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (36.3%) or rented (27.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Regional Qld average at $1,522, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Earlville - Bayview Heights's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 67.5% of all households, comprising 25.3% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 28.8% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people is smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

Earlville - Bayview Heights performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Earlville - Bayview Heights trail regional benchmarks, with 21.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.4% in Australia. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (29.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 16 active transport stops operating within Earlville - Bayview Heights, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 9 individual routes, collectively providing 927 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 379 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. Some 14.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 132 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Earlville - Bayview Heights is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population across older, at risk cohorts

Earlville - Bayview Heights demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and older, at-risk cohorts, while the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~4,564 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.3% and 6.9% of residents, respectively, while 69.8% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 22.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,980 people), which is higher than the 20.4% in Regional Qld, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Earlville - Bayview Heights records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Earlville - Bayview Heights was found to be above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 20.5% of its population born overseas and 12.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Earlville - Bayview Heights is Christianity, which makes up 57.2% of the population. This compares to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Earlville - Bayview Heights are English, comprising 26.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 22.9% of the population, and Other, comprising 10.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is notably overrepresented at 4.6% of Earlville - Bayview Heights (vs 3.9% regionally), Korean at 0.5% (vs 0.2%) and Italian at 4.1% (vs 2.4%).

Earlville - Bayview Heights's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 42-year median age in Earlville - Bayview Heights is close to Regional Qld's average of 41 and similarly well above the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional Qld average, the 75 - 84 cohort is notably over-represented (8.3% locally), while 55 - 64 year-olds are under-represented (11.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.4% to 13.1% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.2% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.7% to 11.6% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 12.1% to 10.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Earlville - Bayview Heights. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to see notable expansion, increasing by 260 people (22%) from 1,166 to 1,427. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.