Earlville - Bayview Heights
Statistical Area - sa2

Earlville - Bayview Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Earlville-Bayview Heights' population is approximately 8,806 as of August 2025. This figure represents a growth of 430 people, a 5.1% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 8,376. This change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 8,787 in June 2024 and 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 1,120 persons per square kilometer, roughly in line with averages across assessed locations by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 5.1% since the census places it within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.2%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Interstate migration contributed approximately 38.7% of overall population gains, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 and based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Based on projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australian non-metropolitan areas is expected by 2041, with an increase of 767 persons and an overall growth of 8.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Earlville - Bayview Heights recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Earlville - Bayview Heights has recorded approximately 23 residential properties granted approval per year. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, totalling 115 approvals across the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and one so far in FY-26. On average, 3.7 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, indicating that demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $490,000, in line with regional trends.

This financial year has seen $4.6 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of Qld, Earlville - Bayview Heights records about three-quarters the building activity per person and places among the 38th percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% townhouses or apartments, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix of 79.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 860 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

Population forecasts indicate Earlville - Bayview Heights will gain 748 residents through to 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified 20 projects that may impact the area. Key projects include the Woree Social and Affordable Housing Precinct, Bayview Heights Reservoir Refurbishment, and Quigley Street Social Housing Project. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Earlville - Bayview Heights presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.7%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Bayview Heights in Earlville has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 3.7%, as of June 2025. There are 4,511 residents employed, which is 0.3% below the Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%.

The workforce participation rate is similar to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key industries employing residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Public administration & safety shows notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 1.3% versus the regional average of 4.5%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.5%, while employment declined by 2.2%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%. State-level data to Sep-25 shows QLD employment contracted by 0.23% (losing 8,070 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.5% and national employment growth of 0.26%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bayview Heights' employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

In financial year 2022, Earlville - Bayview Heights had a median taxpayer income of $51,373 and an average income of $61,604. This was below the national average of $50,780 for Rest of Qld. By March 2025, estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $57,389 and the average $68,818, based on a 11.71% growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Earlville - Bayview Heights rank modestly, between the 35th and 47th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income distribution shows 30.0% of the population (2,641 individuals) earning within the $1,500 to $2,999 range, similar to regional levels at 31.7%. After housing expenses, 85.1% of income remains for other costs. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Earlville - Bayview Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Earlville - Bayview Heights, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.6% houses and 21.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Earlville - Bayview Heights was 36.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.3% and rented ones at 27.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,522, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $315. Nationally, Earlville - Bayview Heights's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,522 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also lower at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 67.5% of all households, including 25.3% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.5%, consisting of 28.8% lone person households and 3.7% group households. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of Queensland.

Earlville - Bayview Heights performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Earlville-Bayview Heights show that 21.7% of residents aged 15 and over have university degrees, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15 and over holding them - advanced diplomas account for 11.3%, while certificates make up 29.5%. Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.1% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education. Our Lady Help of Christians School serves Earlville-Bayview Heights, enrolling 493 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1030) with balanced educational opportunities. Primary education is focused on at the local school, while secondary options are available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited, with 5.6 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 22.5, leading many families to seek schooling elsewhere.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Earlville - Bayview Heights shows 16 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 9 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 927 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 379 metres from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 132 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Earlville - Bayview Heights's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Earlville - Bayview Heights' health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level. Approximately 51% (~4,455 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.3 and 6.9% of residents respectively. 69.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 71.7% across Rest of Qld. The area has 22.4% (1,972 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is higher than the 15.7% in Rest of Qld. This is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Earlville - Bayview Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Earlville-Bayview Heights has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 20.5% of its population born overseas and 12.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Earlville-Bayview Heights, making up 57.2% of people, compared to 50.0% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.3%), Australian (22.9%), and Other (10.7%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 4.6%, Korean at 0.5%, and Italian at 4.1%.

Earlville - Bayview Heights hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Earlville - Bayview Heights is 42 years, which is close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 years but well above the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Qld average, the 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented at 8.4% locally, while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 11.1%. Between the 2016 and 2021 Census, the population aged 25 to 34 grew from 11.4% to 12.6%, and the 15 to 24 age group increased from 10.2% to 11.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort declined from 13.7% to 12.2%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Earlville - Bayview Heights, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 313 people (28%) from 1,113 to 1,427. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.