Earlville - Bayview Heights

Earlville - Bayview Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Earlville - Bayview Heights' population is approximately 8,868 as of November 2025. This figure represents a growth of 492 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 8,376. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 8,787 in June 2024 and an additional 50 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density ratio of 1,128 persons per square kilometer. Earlville - Bayview Heights' growth rate of 5.9% since the census is close to its SA4 region's average of 7.8%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 38.7% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. These state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 767 persons, reflecting an increase of approximately 7.7% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Earlville - Bayview Heights recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Earlville - Bayview Heights has recorded approximately 23 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 115 homes. As of FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.7 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $190,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options.

This financial year has seen $4.6 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Qld, Earlville - Bayview Heights records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 38th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and interest in existing dwellings. New building activity consists of 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living to suit downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area has approximately 860 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Earlville - Bayview Heights will gain 686 residents by 2041.

Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 18 projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones include Far North Private Hospital, Bayview Heights Reservoir Refurbishment, Woree Social and Affordable Housing Precinct, and Cairns Reservoirs Remediation Package 2. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Earlville - Bayview Heights recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Earlville - Bayview Heights has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 4.5%.

As of September 2025, there are 4,456 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, which is 0.4% higher than the Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Qld at 59.1%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area has a notable concentration in public administration & safety, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 1.3% versus the regional average of 4.5%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.7%, while employment declined by 3.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.3 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from Queensland shows employment contracted by 0.01% between November 2024 and November 2025 (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Earlville - Bayview Heights' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Earlville - Bayview Heights SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $51,373 and an average income of $61,604. Both figures were below the national averages of $50,780 (median) and $64,844 (average) for Rest of Qld. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $58,560 and average income is around $70,222. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Earlville - Bayview Heights rank modestly, between the 34th and 47th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 30.0% of individuals (2,660 people) fall within the $1,500 to $2,999 income range, similar to regional levels at 31.7%. After housing expenses, 85.1% of income remains for other costs. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Earlville - Bayview Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Earlville - Bayview Heights, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 78.6% houses and 21.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership level in Earlville - Bayview Heights was 36.4%, with the rest mortgaged at 36.3% or rented at 27.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,522, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $315. Nationally, Earlville - Bayview Heights's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Earlville - Bayview Heights has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 67.5% of all households, including 25.3% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.5%, with lone person households at 28.8% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of Qld.

Earlville - Bayview Heights performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Earlville's Bayview Heights has educational qualifications that trail regional benchmarks. 21.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (16.0%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (29.5%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.0% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.1%), secondary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (3.9%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Earlville - Bayview Heights has 16 active public transport stops. These are all bus stops serviced by 9 different routes. Together, these routes provide a total of 927 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated as good with residents typically located 379 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 132 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Earlville - Bayview Heights's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Earlville-Bayview Heights' health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with standard levels of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts.

Approximately 51% (~4,487 people) have private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 8.3%) and mental health issues (6.9%). About 69.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 71.7% in the rest of Queensland. The area has 22.4% (1,986 people) aged 65 and over, higher than the 15.7% in the rest of Queensland. This aligns with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Earlville - Bayview Heights records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Earlville-Bayview Heights has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 20.5% of its population born overseas and 12.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Earlville-Bayview Heights, accounting for 57.2% of people, compared to 50.0% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.3%), Australian (22.9%), and Other (10.7%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 4.6%, compared to 6.7% regionally. Korean and Italian representations also differ slightly, with Koreans at 0.5% (vs 0.4%) and Italians at 4.1% (vs 3.8%).

Earlville - Bayview Heights's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Earlville - Bayview Heights is 42 years, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 but above Australia's median of 38. The 75-84 age cohort is over-represented at 8.4% locally compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 11.1%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.4% to 12.6%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.2% to 11.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 13.7% to 12.2%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 12.1% to 10.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Earlville - Bayview Heights, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 306 people (27%), from 1,120 to 1,427. The 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.