Kanimbla (Qld)

Population growth drivers in Kanimbla are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Kanimbla (Qld) statistical area (Lv2), based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validation, is estimated at around 3,014 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 187 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,827 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,986 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 972 persons per square kilometer. The Kanimbla (Qld) (SA2) has seen a growth rate of 6.6% since the census, positioning it within 1.4 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 8.0%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australia's regional areas is expected. The Kanimbla (Qld) (SA2) is projected to increase by 184 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 2.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kanimbla, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Kanimbla averaged around 11 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 57 homes. So far in FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. This averages out to approximately 0.4 new residents per year arriving per new home between FY-21 and FY-25. This indicates that supply is meeting or surpassing demand, providing greater buyer choice while supporting potential for population growth above projections.

The average value of new homes being built is $638,000, suggesting developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $370,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Rest of Qld, Kanimbla shows moderately higher building activity, being 11.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

This balances buyer choice with support for current property values, although development activity has moderated in recent periods. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location currently has approximately 388 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Future projections show Kanimbla adding 85 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Kanimbla has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to impact the region: Kamerunga to Woree Transmission Line Replacement Project, Far North Private Hospital, Stan Williams Park Upgrades, Cairns Western Arterial Road Duplication. These projects are likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Kanimbla ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Kanimbla has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.5%.

This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data and is below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, by 1.6 percentage points. Workforce participation in Kanimbla is high at 73.3%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented with only 1.2% of the workforce compared to 4.5% in Rest of Qld. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.5% and employment declined by 2.3%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows QLD employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest that Kanimbla's employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Kanimbla has an income level above the national average, according to the latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Kanimbla is $57,127, and the average income stands at $71,048. This compares to figures for the rest of Queensland, which are $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average). Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $62,788 (median) and $78,089 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family, and personal incomes in Kanimbla all rank highly nationally, between the 69th and 81st percentiles. Distribution data shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band captures 39.2% of the community (1,181 individuals), mirroring regional levels where 31.7% occupy this bracket. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 31.8% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kanimbla is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kanimbla's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld's structure of 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kanimbla stood at 30.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.2% and rented ones at 18.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,842, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent in Kanimbla was $450, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $315. Nationally, Kanimbla's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $375.

Kanimbla features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.3% of all households, including 44.0% couples with children, 29.4% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.4.

Kanimbla demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 26.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6% and the SA4 region average of 21.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.2% and certificates for 24.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates one active public transport stop operating within Kanimbla. This stop services a mix of bus routes, with one individual route providing trips. The total weekly passenger trips from this stop amount to 123.

Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 589 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 17 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 123 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kanimbla's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Kanimbla, with younger cohorts experiencing a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 55% (~1668 people) of the total population has private health cover, compared to 50.9% across the rest of Queensland.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 6.2% and 6.0% of residents respectively. A total of 76.4% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 71.7% across the rest of Queensland. The area has 13.2% (397 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 15.7% in the rest of Queensland. While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they require more attention than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kanimbla was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kanimbla's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 29.0% born overseas and 24.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kanimbla, comprising 50.5% of its population. Hinduism, however, was overrepresented compared to the rest of Queensland, making up 6.1% of Kanimbla's population versus 1.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (23.2%), Australian (22.2%), and Other (14.9%). Notably, Korean (1.3%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.4%, as were Italian (5.4% vs 3.8%) and Spanish (0.6% vs 0.4%).

Kanimbla's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kanimbla is 39 years, which is lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 but close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 45-54 are prominent at 15.8%, while the 75-84 group is smaller at 3.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has grown from 10.5% to 12.4%, and the 0-4 cohort has increased from 5.9% to 7.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 14.8% to 12.5%. By 2041, demographic projections show that the 25-34 age group is expected to increase by 92 people (25%), from 373 to 466. Meanwhile, both the 55-64 and 45-54 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.