Brinsmead

An assessment of population growth drivers in Brinsmead reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Brinsmead statistical area (Lv2) is approximately 5,711 people. This figure reflects a growth of 174 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,537. AreaSearch validated this estimate using the latest ERP data release by the ABS from June 2024 and an additional 41 new addresses identified post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of 1,115 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for the Brinsmead (SA2).

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. Post-2032 and for areas not covered by this data, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. Age category splits are applied proportionally according to ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. By 2041, the Brinsmead (SA2) is projected to grow by 193 persons, reflecting a total increase of 3.4% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Brinsmead according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Brinsmead has experienced around 9 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years ending June 2025. This totals an estimated 46 homes. So far in the financial year 2025-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2 people moving to the area per new home constructed over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, indicating healthy demand that should support property values, new homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $412,000.

There have also been $2.0 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature. When measured against Rest of Qld, Brinsmead has significantly less development activity, 78.0% below regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Further, new construction has been completely comprised of standalone homes, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 356 people per dwelling approval, Brinsmead shows a developed market. Future projections show Brinsmead adding 193 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Brinsmead has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Eleven infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include the Kamerunga to Woree Transmission Line Replacement Project, Brinsmead Road Service Centre Overhaul, Cairns Western Arterial Road Duplication, and Larsen Place Estate. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Brinsmead positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Brinsmead has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of September 2025, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

In this period, 3,404 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.2% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Brinsmead was high at 72.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The dominant employment sectors among residents included health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Notably, health care & social assistance had an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing was under-represented with only 1.2% of Brinsmead's workforce compared to 4.5% in Rest of Qld. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.7%, and employment decreased by 2.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. This contrasted with Rest of Qld where employment grew by 1.7% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov showed QLD employment contracted by 0.01%, losing 1,210 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia projected national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 14.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Brinsmead's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by approximately 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch reports median taxpayer income in Brinsmead was $61,056 and average was $75,935 in financial year 2023. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Rest of Qld's $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $67,107 and average $83,460, based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. In Brinsmead, household, family and personal incomes ranked between the 77th to 77th percentiles nationally in 2021 Census figures. Income distribution showed 38.6% of locals (2,204 people) earned $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, reflecting broader area patterns at 31.7%. Higher earners made up a substantial 30.1%, indicating strong purchasing power. After housing costs, residents retained 86.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 7th decile.

Brinsmead is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Brinsmead, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.2% houses and 2.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 80.8% houses and 19.2% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Brinsmead was higher at 30.6%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (49.0%) or rented (20.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average. The median weekly rent was $450, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $390. Nationally, Brinsmead's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,733 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Brinsmead features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.9% of all households, including 40.1% couples with children, 29.0% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.1%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Brinsmead exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 27.7% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6% and the SA4 region's rate of 21.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 39.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.3% and certificates at 26.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.7% in primary, 11.3% in secondary, and 4.3% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Brinsmead has six operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a single route, facilitating 123 weekly passenger trips in total. The accessibility to these stops is rated moderate, with residents located an average of 425 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 17 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Brinsmead's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Brinsmead, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (around 3,271 people), compared to 53.6% across the rest of Queensland.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.7 and 6.3% of residents respectively. Approximately 74.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.1% across the rest of Queensland. The area has 14.2% of residents aged 65 and over (810 people), which is lower than the 16.7% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Brinsmead records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Brinsmead's cultural diversity was above average, with 21.8% of its population born overseas and 11.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Brinsmead, accounting for 50.0% of the population. Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to Queensland's rest, comprising 0.2% versus 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.8%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (10.5%). Notably, Korean (0.6%) and Dutch (1.6%) were slightly overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4% and 1.5%, respectively.

Brinsmead's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Brinsmead is 39 years, which is lower than the Rest of Qld's average of 41 but close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 35-44 are prominent at 15.8%, while the 25-34 group is smaller at 9.3%. From 2021 to present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 11.5% to 13.7%, and the 65-74 cohort has increased from 7.9% to 9.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 16.5% to 14.6%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 15.7% to 14.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show the 25-34 age cohort is expected to increase by 113 people (21%) from 531 to 645. Conversely, both the 55-64 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.