Caravonica

Population growth drivers in Caravonica are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the suburb of Caravonica had an estimated population of around 2,676 as of May 2026. This figure represents a rise of 493 individuals (22.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,183 people. AreaSearch's estimation of 2,651 residents in June 2025, based on ERP data from the ABS, along with an additional 184 validated new addresses since the Census date, contributes to this increase. This results in a density ratio of 576 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. Caravonica's growth rate of 22.6% since the 2021 census surpassed both the SA4 region (7.5%) and the Rest of Qld, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration drove this population growth, contributing approximately 59.0% of overall gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. However, these state projections lack age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Looking ahead, above median population growth is projected for Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with the suburb of Caravonica expected to increase by 339 persons to reach a total of 2,676 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 11.7% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Caravonica among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Caravonica shows around 17 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 86 homes were approved, with an additional 29 approved so far in FY-26.

This results in about 5.8 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed during this period. The supply of new homes is lagging behind demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $369,000.

Compared to the rest of Queensland, Caravonica has similar development levels per person, indicating market stability aligned with regional patterns. The area's new building activity comprises 95.0% standalone homes and 5.0% attached dwellings, maintaining its low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 121 people per approval, Caravonica reflects a developing area. Future projections estimate an addition of 314 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Caravonica has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to impact the area. Key projects include Cairns Western Arterial Road, Redlynch Connector Road to Captain Cook Highway duplication, Vistas at Redlynch Estate, Redlynch Central Shopping Centre Commercial Hub, and Kamerunga to Woree Transmission Line Replacement Project.

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Caravonica ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Caravonica has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.1% as of December 2025. This rate is 2.0% lower than Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation in Caravonica is broadly similar to Regional Qld's 64.5%. According to Census responses, 13.9% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.8% of local workers, below Regional Qld's 4.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.1% and labour force by 1.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.9 percentage points. Regional Qld recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 1.0%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caravonica's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Caravonica had a median taxpayer income of $42,894 and an average income of $53,032 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, contrasting with Regional Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593 in the same period. By March 2026, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 11.36%, estimated incomes would be approximately $47,767 (median) and $59,056 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Caravonica rank modestly, between the 45th and 50th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 36.8% of the population (984 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, reflecting regional patterns where 31.7% similarly occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.7% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Caravonica is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Caravonica, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.1% houses and 4.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional Qld had 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caravonica was 34.8%, similar to Regional Qld's level. Mortgaged dwellings constituted 45.9% while rented dwellings were 19.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,601, below the Regional Qld average of $1,655. Median weekly rent in Caravonica was $360, compared to Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, Caravonica's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,601 than the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Caravonica were also less than the national figure of $375.

Caravonica has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.3% of all households, including 28.9% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.7%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Caravonica performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Caravonica's educational qualifications trail regional benchmarks, with 23.6% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to Australia's 30.4%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (30.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caravonica has nine active public transport stops, all providing bus services. These stops are served by two routes, offering a combined total of 179 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents located an average of 282 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 92%, with an average vehicle ownership of 1.6 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 13.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 25 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Caravonica's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows Caravonica residents have relatively positive health outcomes. Mortality rates and health conditions are broadly in line with national benchmarks. Common health conditions' prevalence is low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover rate is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (around 1,290 people), compared to 52.5% in Regional Qld and 55.7% nationally. The most common conditions are arthritis (9.0%) and mental health issues (8.6%). About 65.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Regional Qld. Working-age population's health outcomes are typical. The area has 23.5% residents aged 65 and over (628 people), higher than Regional Qld's 20.4%. Senior health outcomes present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caravonica records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caravonica's cultural diversity aligns with its wider region, with 76.2% of residents born in Australia, 88.7% being citizens, and 91.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 49.3%. Judaism, however, is overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups are English (29.9%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%). Notable divergences include German (5.8% vs regional 4.7%), New Zealand (1.0% vs 0.9%), and South Australian (0.6% vs 0.5%) ancestry.

Caravonica hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Caravonica's median age is 46 years, which is significantly higher than Regional Queensland's 41 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Queensland, Caravonica has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.1%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 grew from 9.5% to 11.7%, while the 55-64 age group increased from 14.4% to 15.5%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 12.9% to 10.8% and the 25-34 age group dropped from 9.2% to 7.1%. By 2041, Caravonica's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 36%, reaching 270 people from 198. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 15-24 age groups are expected to decrease in population.