Caravonica

Population growth drivers in Caravonica are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Caravonica's population is estimated at around 2,696. This reflects an increase of 513 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,183. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,673 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 172 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 581 persons per square kilometer. Caravonica's 23.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (8.3%) and the non-metro area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings are applied in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Moving forward, an above median population growth of Australia's non-metropolitan areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 405 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 2.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Caravonica when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Caravonica shows around 18 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 91 homes were approved, with a further 22 approved in FY-26.

Over the past five financial years, an average of 2.3 people moved to the area per new home constructed. The average construction cost value for new homes was $369,000. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Caravonica had slightly more development, with 11.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

Ninety-six percent of new building activity involved standalone homes, reflecting the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 106 people per approval, Caravonica is a developing area. Future projections estimate an addition of 64 residents by 2041. Current development patterns suggest that new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Caravonica has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No infrastructure changes have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area. Key projects include Cairns Western Arterial Road Duplication, Vistas at Redlynch Estate, Redlynch Central Shopping Centre Commercial Hub, and Kamerunga to Woree Transmission Line Replacement Project.

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Caravonica ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Caravonica has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.0%.

The area's unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is similar at 59.1%. Dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training, with agriculture, forestry & fishing employing just 1.8%, below Rest of Qld's 4.5%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census working population vs resident population data.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.9% while employment decreased by 2.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%. As of 25-Nov-25, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, aligning with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Caravonica's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Caravonica had a median taxpayer income of $42,894 and an average income of $53,032 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is below the national average, with Rest of Qld's median income being $53,146 and average income being $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $47,145 (median) and $58,287 (average). Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Caravonica rank modestly, between the 45th and 50th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 36.8% of the population, which consists of 992 individuals, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the region where 31.7% similarly occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.7% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Caravonica is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Caravonica, as per the latest Census evaluation, 95.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 4.8% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This is in contrast to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 80.8% houses and 19.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caravonica stood at 34.8%, with mortgaged properties making up 45.9% and rented dwellings accounting for 19.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,601, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Caravonica was recorded at $360, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $390. Nationally, Caravonica's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Caravonica has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 71.3% of all households, including 28.9% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.7%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Caravonica performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

In Caravonica, 23.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 30.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caravonica has nine operational public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are served by two distinct routes, combined offering 179 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transports is rated good, with residents typically residing 282 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 25 daily trips across all routes, equating to about 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caravonica is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Caravonica faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population, which is around 1,300 people.

This compares to 53.6% across the rest of Queensland, with a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.0 and 8.6% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 65.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.1% across the rest of Queensland. The area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over, which totals around 625 people, higher than the 16.7% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caravonica records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caravonica's cultural diversity aligns with its wider region, with 76.2% of residents born in Australia, 88.7% being citizens, and 91.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 49.3% of Caravonica's population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to 0.2% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (29.9%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: German at 5.8% (vs regional 4.3%), New Zealand at 1.0% (vs 0.9%), and South African at 0.6% (vs 0.5%).

Caravonica hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Caravonica's median age is 46 years, which is significantly higher than Rest of Qld's 41 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Caravonica has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (13.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.2%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 9.5% to 11.3%, while the population aged 5-14 has decreased from 12.9% to 10.8%. By 2041, Caravonica's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 83%, reaching 128 from 70. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 68% of the anticipated population growth. Conversely, both the 35-44 and 55-64 age groups are expected to decrease in number.