Caravonica

Population growth drivers in Caravonica are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Caravonica is around 2,646, reflecting a 21.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,183. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 2,630 based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 172 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is approximately 570 persons per square kilometer. Caravonica's growth exceeded that of its SA4 region (7.8%) and the non-metro area, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed around 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts. By 2041, an increase of 402 persons is projected for the suburb, reflecting a total increase of 4.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Caravonica among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Caravonica has seen around 17 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 86 homes have been approved, with a further 13 approved in FY26 so far.

On average, 2.4 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these five years, indicating solid demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value of new homes was $369,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers in Caravonica compared to the Rest of Qld. All new constructions have been standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking family homes with space.

With around 57 people per dwelling approval, Caravonica shows characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to gain 111 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Caravonica has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

No changes have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area's performance. Key projects include Cairns Western Arterial Road Duplication, Vistas at Redlynch Estate, Redlynch Central Shopping Centre Commercial Hub, and Kamerunga to Woree Transmission Line Replacement Project.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Caravonica significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Caravonica has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, there are 1,246 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 2.3% below Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is broadly similar to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.8%, below Rest of Qld's 4.5%.

The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, labour force decreased by 1.7% and employment declined by 2.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. This compares to Rest of Qld where employment grew by 1.8%, labour force expanded by 2.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Caravonica. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, indicate national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Caravonica's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Caravonica has a median taxpayer income of $42,894 and an average of $53,032 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is lower than the national average, with Rest of Qld's median income being $50,780 and average income being $64,844. Using Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $48,895 (median) and $60,451 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Caravonica rank modestly, between the 45th and 50th percentiles. Income analysis shows that 36.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, reflecting a pattern seen across the broader area where 31.7% fall within this range. After housing expenses, 85.7% of income remains for other costs. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Caravonica is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Caravonica, as per the latest Census evaluation, 95.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 4.8% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments and other dwelling types. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 80.8% houses and 19.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Caravonica stood at 34.8%, with mortgaged properties making up 45.9% and rented dwellings accounting for 19.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,601, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Caravonica was recorded at $360, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $390. Nationally, Caravonica's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Caravonica has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.3% of all households, including 28.9% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.7%, with lone person households at 24.6% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Caravonica performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

In Caravonica, 23.6% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. The most common qualifications are bachelor degrees (15.5%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 42.0% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (30.2%). Educational participation is high, with 27.2% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.8% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary.

Caravonica State School serves the area, enrolling 526 students. It provides balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1012) and focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options nearby. The school has excess capacity (19.9 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 14.4), indicating it serves as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Caravonica has nine active public transport stops operating, with a mix of bus services. These stops are served by two routes, offering 179 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 282 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 25 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Caravonica is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Caravonica faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (around 1,275 people).

This compares to 52.7% across the rest of Queensland. Nationally, the average is 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 9.0 and 8.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 65.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.1% across the rest of Queensland. The area has 23.3% of residents aged 65 and over (around 616 people), which is higher than the 16.7% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Caravonica records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Caravonica's population was found to align with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 76.2% born in Australia, 88.7% being citizens, and 91.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Caravonica, comprising 49.3% of its population. However, Judaism is overrepresented compared to the rest of Queensland, making up 0.4% versus 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups based on country of birth of parents are English (29.9%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.5%). Notably, German ancestry is higher in Caravonica at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 4.3%, New Zealand ancestry is slightly higher at 1.0%, and South African ancestry is also slightly higher at 0.6%.

Caravonica hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Caravonica's median age is 46 years, which is significantly higher than Rest of Qld's 41 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Caravonica has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (13.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 9.5% to 11.3%, while the 5-14 age group has decreased from 12.9% to 10.8%. By 2041, Caravonica's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 85 and above will grow by 88 people, reaching 129 from the current 68. This growth is led by demographic aging, with residents aged 65 and older representing 64% of anticipated population growth. Conversely, both the 55-64 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.