Trinity Beach - Smithfield

Trinity Beach - Smithfield lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Trinity Beach - Smithfield's population was around 19,733 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects an increase of 2,942 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,791. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,437 in June 2024 and an additional 653 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 894 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Trinity Beach - Smithfield's growth rate of 17.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.8%) and the non-metro area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 59.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of non-metropolitan areas nationally is forecast, with Trinity Beach - Smithfield expected to increase by 6,439 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 31.1% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Trinity Beach - Smithfield was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Trinity Beach - Smithfield has averaged approximately 192 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 962 homes. As of FY-26, 20 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.5 new residents per year have been associated with each home built between FY-21 and FY-25. This results in demand outstripping supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average construction value of new properties is $257,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In the current financial year, $45.3 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Trinity Beach - Smithfield has 57.0% more development activity per person relative to the Rest of Qld. This level is significantly above the national average, suggesting robust developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises 97.0% standalone homes and 3.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes.

With around 217 people per dwelling approval, Trinity Beach - Smithfield exhibits a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 6,128 residents by 2041. Development appears to be keeping pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers may arise as the population expands.

Trinity Beach - Smithfield has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are James Cook University Cairns Tropical Enterprise Centre (CTEC), Woolworths Shopping Centre Trinity Beach, Half Moon Bay Estate, and Trinity Beach Shopping Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

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The labour market strength in Trinity Beach - Smithfield positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Trinity Beach - Smithfield has an unemployment rate of 2.0% as of September 2025. There are 10,946 residents in work, which is below the Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation in Trinity Beach - Smithfield is higher at 66.9%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and retail trade, with agriculture, forestry & fishing employing just 1.0% of local workers. The labour force decreased by 1.3% over a 12-month period ending September 2025, while employment declined by 1.8%, leading to an increase in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points.

In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment rise by 1.7%. As of 25-Nov-25, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Trinity Beach - Smithfield's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Trinity Beach - Smithfield SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $53,416 and an average level of $64,789. This is approximately average nationally compared to Rest of Qld's levels of $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates are approximately $60,889 (median) and $73,853 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Trinity Beach - Smithfield cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. The data shows 36.5% of the population (7,202 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring surrounding regions where 31.7% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 17.0% of income, placing disposable income at the 52nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Trinity Beach - Smithfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Trinity Beach - Smithfield's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 80.8% houses and 19.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Trinity Beach - Smithfield was at 25.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.0% and rented ones at 32.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average. The median weekly rent was $420, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $390. Nationally, Trinity Beach - Smithfield's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,733, while rents were substantially higher at $420 compared to the Australian averages of $1,863 and $375 respectively.

Trinity Beach - Smithfield features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.4% of all households, consisting of 30.7% couples with children, 30.4% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.9% and group households making up 4.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Trinity Beach - Smithfield exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 25.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 17.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 40.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.9% and certificates for 28.0%.

Educational participation is high at 32.7%, including 10.8% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 7.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis reveals 52 active public transport stops operating within Trinity Beach - Smithfield. These are a mix of bus stops serviced by 9 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 1,564 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 329 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 223 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Trinity Beach - Smithfield's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates robust performance across Trinity Beach - Smithfield.

Both younger and older age groups exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 52%, slightly higher than the average SA2 area (~10,241 people). Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.6% and 6.8% of residents respectively. 74.5% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 73.1% in Rest of Qld. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.8%, with 2,918 people falling into this category, compared to the 16.7% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, mirroring those of the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Trinity Beach - Smithfield was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Trinity Beach-Smithfield has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 14.2% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 28.0% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Trinity Beach-Smithfield, comprising 42.7% of the population. Notably, Judaism, which makes up 0.2% of the population, is proportionally equal to the Rest of Qld region (0.2%).

The top three ancestry groups are English at 28.1%, Australian at 23.1%, and Other at 10.8%. Some ethnic groups show notable differences: New Zealanders make up 1.0% compared to 0.9% regionally, French people comprise 0.7% (matching regional figures), and Welsh people account for 0.7% versus 0.6% regionally.

Trinity Beach - Smithfield's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Trinity Beach - Smithfield is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 35-44 has a strong representation at 15.2%, compared to Rest of Qld, while the 75-84 cohort is less prevalent at 4.3%. Post-census data from 2021 shows that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 14.4% to 15.2% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 14.1% to 12.6%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 13.8% to 12.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Trinity Beach - Smithfield. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 49%, adding 1,361 people and reaching a total of 4,158 from the current figure of 2,796. In contrast, the 15 to 24 cohort shows minimal growth of just 7%, with an increase of 169 people.