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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Atherton has an estimated 8,332 residents, up from 7,724 at the 2021 Census — a change of 608 people, or 7.9%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. 265 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 66.0% of that increase. Density is about 89 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis of ABS demographic updates for the broader region and recent address validations by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Atherton has an estimated population of approximately 8,332 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 608 individuals (7.9%) relative to the 2021 Census, which registered 7,724 people. The change is calculated from a resident population of 8,201, which AreaSearch estimated using the latest ABS ERP release from June 2025, alongside an additional 265 validated new addresses since the Census. This population level translates to a density of 88 persons per square kilometer, indicating plenty of room per resident and capacity for future expansion.
The suburb of Atherton recorded a growth rate of 7.9% since the 2021 census, outpacing the SA3 area (7.3%) and the SA4 region, establishing it as a local growth leader. The primary driver of this demographic expansion was interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 66.0% of the overall population gains in recent times. AreaSearch incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with 2022 as the anchor year. For SA2 regions lacking this data, and for any years after 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 (utilising 2021 data) are applied. Since these state-level projections lack age breakdowns, AreaSearch scales the growth cohorts using proportional weightings from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections, which are based on 2022 data. Looking at upcoming demographic shifts, the suburb of Atherton is expected to experience population growth exceeding the national non-metropolitan median, with aggregated SA2 projections indicating an increase of 1,079 persons by 2041, representing a total expansion of 11.4% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
240 new dwellings have been approved in Atherton over the past five years, an average of 48 a year. That places the area in the 52nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 44 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 89% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 52, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical area data, the locality averages approximately 48 approved residential properties annually, amounting to an estimated 240 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, approvals stand at 48. With an average of only 0.9 new residents per built dwelling each year over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, the incoming housing stock is meeting or exceeding local demand, which provides buyers with plenty of options and enables population expansion beyond current projections, while new dwellings carry an average construction cost of $390,000.
Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $51.2 million this financial year, pointing to robust local business activity. Relative to the Rest of Qld, development activity in the locality is slightly elevated, running 14.0% above the regional per capita average over the 5 year period, which maintains choice for buyers while supporting current property demand. Recent construction activity consists of 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% multi-unit developments, preserving the low-density character of the area through a focus on standalone residences that appeal to buyers seeking space. The ratio of approximately 202 people per approved dwelling highlights the characteristics of a growing area. Future forecasts indicate the locality will add 948 residents by 2041, derived from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch. Supported by current construction volumes, the residential supply is positioned to satisfy demand, creating positive conditions for buyers and potentially allowing growth to outpace current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Atherton
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Atherton, worth an estimated $141 million. A further 45 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $4.91 billion. 19 are already under construction and 23 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and retail. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes to local planning, major infrastructure projects, and development initiatives are primary drivers of local performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 5 projects that are expected to influence the local area. Key developments include the Atherton Large Format Retail Precinct, the Priors Creek Development, the Atherton Hospital Redevelopment, and the Vernon Apartments, with details of the most significant projects listed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Atherton Large Format Retail Precinct
A major retail development spanning 16,400sqm designed to revitalize the Tablelands economy. The precinct features a new Bunnings Warehouse as the anchor tenant, alongside a Harvey Norman and other national large-format retailers. The project includes specialized showrooms, hardware supplies, and garden centers with over 400 parking spaces. It is situated adjacent to the John Cole Toyota dealership and is expected to create over 160 permanent jobs while significantly reducing retail leakage to Cairns.
Priors Creek Parklands
Priors Creek Parklands is a major Atherton CBD precinct revitalisation led by Tablelands Regional Council. The project is transforming a former rail corridor into a family-focused parklands and mixed-use destination with an open-air amphitheatre and main stage, nature walk trail, public amenities, fitness and leisure areas, shared paths, event spaces, and future opportunities for commercial development, hotel accommodation, retail, and food and beverage uses. Main parkland works are mostly complete, with surrounding road, parking, traffic flow, and staged opening works continuing ahead of the official opening events on 10-11 July 2026.
Atherton Hospital Redevelopment
The $86.4 million redevelopment of Atherton Hospital delivered modern healthcare infrastructure for the Tablelands region. Key components include a new four-storey Clinical Services Building housing a state-of-the-art emergency department, medical imaging, maternity services with birth suites, operating and endoscopy theatres, and a sterilising unit. The project also delivered a Community, Allied and Mental Health Building, a new helipad, and an engineering services building. A final $12.9 million stage involving the refurbishment of the existing South Ward was initiated in late 2025 to further boost oncology services and inpatient capacity.
Vernon Apartments
A three-storey mixed-use development providing 27 affordable rental units (12 one-bedroom and 15 two-bedroom) with ground-floor commercial premises for potential food outlets, offices, shops, or healthcare services, complementing the adjacent Priors Creek Development.
Tolga Main Street Shopping Centre
A small-scale neighbourhood shopping centre proposed by Tom Hedley's HEDZ Constructions Pty Ltd, comprising two single-storey buildings with four retail tenancies delivered across two stages. Stage 1 will see three tenancies built at the front of the site, with a fourth tenancy at the rear forming Stage 2. The development includes 12 on-site car parking spaces. As the site sits within 100 metres of the Kennedy Highway, the Department of Transport and Main Roads is providing assessment input on the impact at the highway intersection with Main Street.The application is being assessed by Tablelands Regional Council.
Mareeba Solar Farm
A 72MW ground-mounted solar photovoltaic facility spanning 110 hectares on the Atherton Tablelands. The project utilizes approximately 196,000 solar modules to generate 147GWh of clean energy annually, enough to power over 18,000 homes. Developed by ACE Power in partnership with Osaka Gas Energy Oceania, it connects to the grid via the nearby Turkinje Substation.
Haren Street Residential Aged Care Facility
A 120-bed residential aged care facility approved for a 2.89 hectare site at Lot 1 Haren Street. The facility is designed as a single-level complex featuring four wings (houses) of 30-36 residents, each with dedicated nurse stations, serveries, and dining areas. Key features include 24-hour nursing care, secure dementia units, a cafe, commercial laundry, and high-standard fittings. While the development permit (MCU/19/0019) remains active, the site has been periodically marketed for sale as a 'shovel-ready' opportunity for developers or owner-occupiers.
Mareeba Research Facility Upgrades
Upgrade of fruit handling laboratories at Mareeba research facility, enabling scientists to provide research services to expanding and new horticultural industries. Part of Queensland Department of Agriculture and Fisheries infrastructure program.
3,478 residents of Atherton are employed, from a labour force of 3,723. Unemployment sits at 6.6%, with participation at 53.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 7,616, about 91% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is evenly distributed between professional and manual roles, with a strong presence in essential services and an unemployment rate of 6.6% based on statistical area data compiled by AreaSearch. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 3,478, while the unemployment rate sat 2.7% higher than the Regional Qld level of 3.9%, and the labor participation rate was notably lower, registering 53.4% compared to 64.3% in Regional Qld. Census data indicates that a low 8.3% of workers worked from home, although this figure was likely influenced by Covid-19 restrictions.
The resident labor force is primarily employed in healthcare & social assistance, retail trade, and agriculture, forestry & fishing. The agricultural, forestry & fishing sector shows a particularly high concentration, employing workers at 2.4 times the regional average rate. In contrast, construction is underrepresented, accounting for 8.0% of local jobs compared to the regional benchmark of 10.1%. A comparison between the census working population and the resident population suggests the local area offers a limited number of jobs. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data for the broader statistical area shows that over the 12-month period, the labor force contracted by 2.4% and total employment fell by 5.3%, leading to a 2.8 percentage point increase in unemployment. In contrast, Regional Qld saw employment rise by 0.1%, the labor force grow by 0.3%, and unemployment edge up by 0.1 percentage points. Additional context on future demand is available from the national employment projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential employment trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change vary considerably by sector. Projecting these industry-specific trends onto the local workforce mix suggests employment in the area will grow by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, noting that this is a basic weighted extrapolation for comparison and does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Atherton is $1,099 a week (about $57,000 a year), with median personal income at $641 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $43,522 a year against an average of $51,523. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Compiled postcode-level ATO data released for the financial year 2023 shows that taxpayers in the locality recorded a median income of $43,522 and an average income of $51,523. These figures sit below the national average and compare to $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average) across Regional Qld. Adjusting for a 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since the financial year 2023, updated estimates for March 2026 stand at approximately $48,466 for the median and $57,376 for the average. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the locality all rank within the 7th to 17th national percentiles.
Income distribution data shows that 28.9% of the population, representing 2,407 taxpayers, earn between $400 - 799, whereas the dominant bracket in the broader region is $1,500 - 2,999 at 31.7%. Financial pressure from housing is high, leaving residents with only 83.9% of their income, which ranks in the 9th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Atherton had 3,094 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 82% detached houses and 7% apartments. 23% are owned with a mortgage, 38% rented and 39% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $280 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,300 a month. Rent absorbs 25.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the last Census, the housing mix in the locality consisted of 82.2% standalone houses and 17.8% alternative dwellings such as townhouses, apartments, and other housing types, compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% other options in Regional Qld. Home ownership rates were significantly higher than the regional average, standing at 38.6%, while mortgaged properties accounted for 23.2% and rental properties made up 38.2%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,300 was lower than the Regional Qld average of $1,655, and the median weekly rent of $280 was below the regional figure of $345.
Locally, mortgage costs are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent prices are also well below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Atherton counted 3,094 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,338 today, averaging 2.2 people each. 19% are couples with children, fewer than in 89% of areas nationally, against 29% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 62.0%, consisting of couples with children at 18.8%, couples without children at 28.6%, and single-parent households at 13.3%. The remaining 38.0% are non-family households, which include lone-person households at 34.4% and group shared homes at 3.5%. The median household occupancy of 2.2 individuals is lower than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
17.4% of adults in Atherton hold a university qualification, including 12.5% with a bachelor degree and 2.5% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 30.5% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 2,155 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 983 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels present room for improvement, with university graduation rates of 17.4% falling well short of the national average of 30.4%. This highlights a clear opportunity for targeted educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications are the most common at 12.5%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.5% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational and technical training is highly prevalent, with 41.0% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, including 10.5% with advanced diplomas and 30.5% with certificates. Participation in study is relatively high, with 28.9% of local residents enrolled in some form of education.
This group includes 10.9% attending primary school, 10.1% in secondary school, and 2.6% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Atherton means driving: households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
64.0% of residents in Atherton report no long-term health condition. 7.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Local health profiles indicate notable vulnerabilities based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality and chronic illness rates, which show common conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older cohorts, while the rate of private health insurance is low at roughly 48% of the population, representing approximately 3,967 people. This compares to a coverage rate of 52.5% in Regional Qld and a national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent medical concerns, affecting 9.4% and 8.7% of residents. Meanwhile, 64.0% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Chronic health issues are higher than average among working-age residents. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 28.2% of the local population, totaling 2,349 people, which is higher than the regional share of 20.4%. However, health outcomes for these older residents are favorable, with national rankings exceeding those of the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Atherton is largely Australian-born, at 84.9% of residents, with 6.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.6%) and Australian (26.9%). 6.0% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The locality displays lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with citizens representing 86.3% of the population, 84.9% born in Australia, and 93.3% using only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 54.8% of residents, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. In terms of family background, the three largest ancestry groups are English at 27.6%, Australian at 26.9%, and Irish at 9.2%. Notable differences in other backgrounds include Australian Aboriginal residents at 6.0% of the population (compared to 3.9% regionally), Italian at 5.3% (compared to 2.4% regionally), and German at 4.2% (compared to 4.7% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Atherton is 46, older than 82% of areas nationally. 23.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 46 years is higher than the regional median of 41 and the national average of 38. Compared to Regional Qld, there is a higher proportion of residents aged 75 - 84 (10.7%) but fewer aged 35 - 44 (10.4%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 9.0% to 10.7% of the total population, and the 15 to 24 cohort grew from 10.7% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group fell from 12.4% to 10.1%, and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 11.9% to 10.8%.
By 2041, demographic shifts will alter the age profile, led by a 31% expansion of the 75 to 84 cohort, which will grow from 891 to 1,170 people. Aging trends will continue with residents 65 and older accounting for 58% of the projected growth, while the 5 to 14 and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Atherton
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 265 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (7,724 at the 2021 Census → 8,332 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30096). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.