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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Thornlands has an estimated 22,025 residents, up from 19,263 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,762 people, or 14.3%. Growth has averaged 3.1% a year over five years, faster than 83% of areas nationally. 424 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 53.0% of that increase. That puts 1,017 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Recent estimates as of May 2026 place the population of the suburb of Thornlands at approximately 22,025, drawing on ABS regional datasets and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. Compared to the 2021 Census population count of 19,263, this represents an expansion of 2,762 individuals, or 14.3%. The figures stem from an AreaSearch calculation of 21,863 residents utilizing the ABS June 2025 ERP release, coupled with 424 validated new addresses added after the census. This population size yields a density of 1,017 persons per square kilometer, matching typical benchmarks observed by AreaSearch.
The suburb of Thornlands outpaced both the broader SA4 region's 8.3% expansion rate and national benchmarks, establishing itself as a local growth hotspot. This demographic rise was heavily supported by interstate relocations, which accounted for roughly 53.0% of the net population increase, with positive contributions also coming from international arrivals and natural increases. Projections utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia models released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline for each SA2 division. Where these are unavailable, or for periods past 2032, models from the Queensland Government published in 2023 using 2021 baselines are substituted. Because these state-level models omit age breakdowns, AreaSearch scales cohorts based on the 2023 ABS Greater Capital projections with a 2022 baseline. Future projections indicate the suburb of Thornlands will experience population growth above the median of areas monitored by AreaSearch, with combined SA2 models predicting an increase of 3,159 residents by 2041, representing a total rise of 13.6% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
644 new dwellings have been approved in Thornlands over the past five years, an average of 128 a year. That places the area in the 95th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 107 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 68% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 116, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An evaluation of building approvals indicates the area has seen an average of approximately 128 residential approvals annually, yielding 644 permitted dwellings over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, alongside 107 approvals during the current FY-26 period. Given that approximately 4.8 new residents arrived for every finished dwelling over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, the local demand continues to run ahead of supply, creating competitive conditions for buyers and pushing prices upward, while newly approved residences carry an average construction value of $397,000, which sits slightly above the regional baseline to indicate premium projects.
Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $9.6 million this financial year, pointing to a steady flow of business development. In comparison to the wider Greater Brisbane area, building activity per capita in Thornlands tracks at approximately 67%, placing the locality in the 71st percentile among all analyzed markets nationwide. Detached houses make up 68.0% of the new construction pipeline, while attached dwellings comprise the remaining 32.0%, offering a broader array of townhouses and units to suit different budgets from family residences to smaller options. This marks a notable shift from the established housing stock, which is 87.0% houses, due to a decrease in available land plots and changing needs for affordability and layout. With roughly 184 residents for each approved dwelling, the locality displays typical features of a growing suburb. Demographic outlooks suggest Thornlands will add 2,997 new residents by 2041 based on the most recent quarterly calculations. Ongoing building trends suggest that housing availability will adequately support this expansion, offering favorable conditions for purchasers and potentially enabling growth to exceed current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Thornlands
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Thornlands, worth an estimated $396 million. A further 47 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $12 billion. 18 are already under construction and 15 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major construction, and zoning changes play a major role in regional performance. AreaSearch has highlighted 14 key projects expected to influence the local area, including the Retirement Facility - Redland Bay Road, the Paradise Garden Shopping Village, the Cleveland-Redland Bay Road Duplication, and the Wellington Street / Panorama Drive Road Upgrade Program, with the main projects listed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Retirement Facility - Redland Bay Road
A retirement facility and relocatable home park development for up to 264 dwellings (not solely for retirees, but over 50's development). Located on four blocks including a former poultry farm and truck yard. PPV Pty Ltd application was approved through Planning & Environment Court. The site may be developed as Sanctuary Victoria Point by Ingenia Lifestyle or similar retirement living operators.
Redland Whitewater Centre
An Olympic-standard whitewater facility located within the 62-hectare Birkdale Community Precinct. The venue will host Canoe Slalom and Kayak Cross for the Brisbane 2032 Games and serve as a year-round hub for athlete training, swift-water rescue drills for emergency services, and community recreation. It features an international-standard competition channel, a warm-up zone, and temporary seating for up to 8,000 spectators.
Cleveland-Redland Bay Road Upgrade
Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads is delivering a $110 million package to upgrade Cleveland-Redland Bay Road. The current main works duplicate the road from two to four lanes between Anita Street in Redland Bay and Magnolia Parade in Victoria Point, with traffic signals, pedestrian crossings, active transport links, improved bus stops, noise barriers, fauna and fish passage upgrades, koala fencing and intersection safety works. Construction for the Anita Street to Magnolia Parade duplication started in May 2023 and remains listed by TMR as under construction.
Paradise Garden Shopping Village
A completed Coles-anchored neighbourhood shopping centre with 8,000sqm GFA featuring specialty stores, dining options, medical facilities, BP service station, and 1.4 hectares of green space parkland, serving as a thriving community retail and leisure hub that officially opened May 3, 2024.
Redlands Health and Wellness Precinct
Master-planned health precinct centred on Redland Hospital and Mater Private Hospital Redland in Cleveland. Metro South Health has invested more than $300 million in staged Redland Hospital upgrades, including new inpatient beds, a new ICU, expanded mental health services, a 7-level car park, a completed 37-bed Stage 1 expansion, and further Transit Care Hub works. Redland City Council, Metro South Health, and Mater Health are progressing a precinct master plan to support public and private hospital expansion and related health industry clustering.
Kinross Rd, Thornlands
Development of 122 townhouses in various configurations with parking by Ausbuild, alongside creating a koala habitat corridor by planting up to 500 native trees. Part of the Kinross Road Declared Master Planned Area.
Wellington Street / Panorama Drive Road Upgrade Program
Stage 1 of the multi-stage road upgrade program has been completed, duplicating 2.3km of road from two to four lanes, upgrading intersections at Ziegenfusz Road/Panorama Drive and Panorama Drive/Wellington Street, installing a shared cycling and pedestrian pathway, and constructing a fauna underpass. The project improves journey times, reduces congestion, enhances safety, and supports population growth in Redlands Coast.
Arc on the Point
Masterplanned residential estate by Urbex comprising 295 homesites across approximately 25 hectares at Victoria Point. The community includes landscaped parkland, playgrounds, walking and cycling trails, and conservation areas. Construction has progressed through multiple stages with operational works continuing while the final land releases have now sold out.
13,403 residents of Thornlands are employed, from a labour force of 13,675. Unemployment sits at 2.0%, with participation at 78.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 16,711, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
A highly trained workforce characterizes the locality, with strong representation in basic services, an unemployment rate sitting at 2.0%, and a job growth rate of 3.8% over the past year. By March 2026, working residents numbered 13,403, and the local unemployment rate was 2.3% lower than the 4.3% reported for Greater Brisbane, while the participation rate of 78.3% significantly exceeded the regional average of 70.4%. Census figures indicate that a modest 17.2% of the working population performed their duties from home, though this may reflect temporary pandemic restrictions. The primary employment sectors for local citizens are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
The representation of workers in construction is particularly high, tracking at 1.4 times the regional standard. In contrast, the professional & technical sector is underrepresented, employing 6.5% of workers compared to the Greater Brisbane average of 8.9%. Because it is a residential suburb, local employment opportunities appear limited based on the ratio of local jobs to working residents. According to data from the ABS and SALM, the local workforce grew by 4.0% and employment rose by 3.8% over the 12-month period, leading to a minor 0.2 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. This compares to Greater Brisbane, where employment increased by 3.2%, the labor force grew by 3.4%, and unemployment ticked up by 0.1 percentage points. National employment projections from May-25 compiled by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context for future demand. Mapped over five and ten-year horizons against the local workforce mix, these projections suggest a local growth rate of 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, mirroring expected national employment expansions of 6.6% and 13.7% respectively, though growth rates vary widely by industry.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Thornlands is $2,218 a week (about $115,000 a year), with median personal income at $920 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $57,898 a year against an average of $71,035. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer data from the financial year 2023 indicates the area enjoys higher income levels than the national average. The median income among taxpayers is $57,898 and the average income is $71,035, compared to Greater Brisbane averages of $58,236 and $72,799. Adjusting for a 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 stand at roughly $64,475 for the median and $79,105 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes placed the area in the 74th percentile nationwide. The dominant weekly earnings bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, containing 36.9% of residents (8,127 people), similar to the 33.3% regional average.
High earnings are evident with 31.3% of households bringing in over $3,000 weekly, which underpins premium retail demand. Mortgage and rent costs account for 16.5% of income, yet strong earnings keep disposable income in the 77th percentile, and the SEIFA index puts the area in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Thornlands had 6,408 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 1% apartments. 48% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 25% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $470 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month, a total housing cost higher than 86% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 21.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the last Census, the local housing stock consisted of 87.4% houses and 12.6% other options like townhouses and apartments, compared to metro Brisbane where houses made up 73.5% and alternative options comprised 26.5%. Home ownership stood at 25.3%, trailing the metropolitan average, while mortgaged properties accounted for 48.0% and rented properties made up 26.6%. The median monthly mortgage payment was $2,167, and the median weekly rent was $470, both tracking well ahead of the metropolitan averages of $1,863 and $380. Compared to national statistics, mortgage payments are notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are higher than the national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Thornlands counted 6,408 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 7,327 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 43% are couples with children, more than in 86% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 84.2% of all households, consisting of couples with children at 43.3%, couples without children at 28.0%, and single-parent homes at 12.0%. The remaining 15.8% are non-family households, including lone-person households at 13.9% and group living arrangements at 1.9%. The median occupancy is 2.9 individuals, higher than the regional average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
21.9% of adults in Thornlands hold a university qualification, including 15.5% with a bachelor degree and 4.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 28.2% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 2,993 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,029 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The proportion of residents with tertiary qualifications is lower than the regional average, with 21.9% of citizens aged 15+ holding a university degree compared to 30.5% in Greater Brisbane. Bachelor degrees are held by 15.5% of the population, followed by postgraduate degrees at 4.0% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational education is prominent, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, including 13.8% with advanced diplomas and 28.2% with certificates. School enrollment is high, with 30.4% of the population engaged in study. This group includes 10.5% attending primary school, 9.8% in high school, and 4.6% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Thornlands reaches 69 stops on 11 routes, timetabled for about 730 services a week. The typical home sits about 350 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services include 69 stops across the area serviced by bus routes. These stops accommodate 11 routes, which combine to offer 734 passenger trips each week. Transport access is rated as good, with homes situated an average of 347 meters from the nearest stop. Because the area is mostly residential, the majority of workers commute to other areas, and cars remain the main mode of travel for 93% of workers. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.9 cars, higher than the regional average, and 17.2% of residents work from home based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic restrictions.
Bus services run an average of 104 times per day across the network, which averages out to approximately 10 weekly trips at each stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.1% of residents in Thornlands report no long-term health condition. 5.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 55.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators for the local population are positive, with death rates and chronic illness statistics matching national averages. While common health issues are infrequent in the general population, they track higher than national averages among older cohorts. Private health insurance membership is very high, covering approximately 55% of residents, representing roughly 12,190 people. Asthma and mental health issues are the most frequent medical conditions, affecting 8.0% and 8.1% of the population, while 71.1% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Residents under the age of 65 enjoy better health outcomes than average.
Seniors aged 65 and over make up 16.0% of the population, representing 3,524 people, and their health outcomes present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the rest of the community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
26.3% of Thornlands residents were born overseas and 9.2% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.8%) and Australian (25.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity indicators are above average, with 26.3% of the population born abroad and 9.2% using a language other than English at home. The dominant religious affiliation is Christianity, representing 52.4% of citizens. The most notable religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of the population, matching the 0.1% recorded across Greater Brisbane. The top ancestries declared are English at 31.8%, which is higher than the regional average of 26.8%, Australian at 25.4%, and Scottish at 8.6%. Minor variations in ethnic representation include New Zealanders at 1.3% compared to 1.0% regionally, South Australians at 1.2% compared to 0.6%, and Maori residents at 1.1% compared to 1.1% in the wider region.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Thornlands is 36. 24.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 36 years matches the metropolitan Brisbane average, which is younger than the national median of 38 years. Children aged 5 - 14 make up 14.5% of the population, showing strong representation, while young adults aged 25 - 34 are less common at 10.4%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 cohort grew from 4.2% to 5.5%, while the 25 to 34 group dropped from 12.0% to 10.4%. By 2041, demographic models suggest the 45 to 54 cohort will grow by 854 people, or 28%, rising from 3,039 to 3,894, whereas declines are expected in the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 groups.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Thornlands
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 424 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (19,263 at the 2021 Census → 22,025 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32815). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.