Rochedale South

Rochedale South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Rochedale South's population is estimated at around 15,577 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 349 people (2.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,228 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 15,577 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 81 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,512 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, which were released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Considering the projected demographic shifts, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population by 39 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 499 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rochedale South according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Rochedale South had around 47 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 239 homes. As of FY-26, 13 approvals have been recorded. The average new resident per year per new home in Rochedale South between FY-21 and FY-25 was 0.3, indicating supply meets or exceeds demand, offering greater buyer choice and potential for population growth above projections. New properties are constructed at an average value of $631,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen $40.9 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Rochedale South maintains similar development levels per person, consistent with broader area market balance, though construction activity has recently eased. Nationally, the area's level is below average, reflecting maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 81.0% standalone homes and 19.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving Rochedale South's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With around 518 people per approval, the area indicates a mature market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Rochedale South may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Rochedale South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 26 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable among these are the 319 Gardner Road Townhouses Stage 3, the 566 Underwood Road Mixed Development, the Springwood Health Hub, and the Daisy Hill Koala Conservation Trails. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Rochedale South ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Rochedale South has a skilled workforce with its essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.2%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 8,741 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation in Rochedale South is similar to Greater Brisbane's at 69.6%. According to Census responses, a moderate 17.7% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical has lower representation at 7.3% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Rochedale South's labour force decreased by 2.3%, while employment declined by 1.7%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.5 percentage points. In Greater Brisbane, employment grew by 3.2% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Rochedale South. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Rochedale South's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023. Rochedale South's median income among taxpayers was $54,610 with an average of $68,791. This is above the national average and compares to $58,236 and $72,799 across Greater Brisbane respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Rochedale South are approximately $60,814 (median) and $76,606 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Rochedale South cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 37.3% of residents (5,810 people), similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represents 33.3%. After housing expenses, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Rochedale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rochedale South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rochedale South stood at 30.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, below Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Rochedale South was $395, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Rochedale South's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Rochedale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.8% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Rochedale South exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Rochedale South's residents aged 15+ have higher university qualification rates than broader benchmarks: 27.7%, compared to SA4 region's 16.2% and SA3 area's 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (24.9%). Educational participation is high, with 30.0% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (10.8%), secondary (8.7%), and tertiary (4.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rochedale South has 77 active public transport stops, all bus services. Six routes operate here, offering a total of 241 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport access, with an average distance of 197 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Cars are the primary mode of transport (88%), followed by buses at 8%. The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.6 per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 17.7% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 34 trips daily across all routes, equating to about three weekly trips per stop.

Rochedale South's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Rochedale South's health metrics align closely with national benchmarks.

AreaSearch assessed mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence as standard for both young and old age groups. Private health cover is high at approximately 54% of the total population (~8,483 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (8.4%) and asthma (8.3%). 69.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are typical. Seniors comprise 16.8% of the population (2,616 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. Senior health outcomes are above average and broadly inline with national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Rochedale South was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Rochedale South, as per the 2016 Census, had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas. Its population with overseas birth was 27.4%, and those speaking languages other than English at home were 19.0%. Christianity dominated Rochedale South's religious landscape, composing 52.1% of the population.

Notably, the 'Other' religion category comprised 1.9% of Rochedale South's population, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 1.3%. In terms of ancestry, English (25.5%) and Australian (23.6%) were the top groups, followed by Other at 10.1%. Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: New Zealanders were 1.4% vs regional 1.0%, Koreans 1.5% vs 0.5%, and Maori 1.3% vs 1.1%.

Rochedale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At age 37 years, Rochedale South's median age is nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years while also being close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Rochedale South has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (6.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.0%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 grew from 11.4% to 13.3%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 5.0% to 6.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 group declined from 12.5% to 11.0%, and the 65-74 group dropped from 9.4% to 8.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Rochedale South's age profile will change significantly. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 152%, adding 474 residents to reach 786. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 65% of population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups are predicted to experience population declines.