Rochedale South

Rochedale South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the population of Rochedale South statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 15,912 people. This reflects an increase of 684 individuals since the census in 2021, which reported a population of 15,228. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 15,887 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 80 validated new addresses since the census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,566 persons per square kilometer, placing Rochedale South SA2 in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 4.5% since the census positions it within 1.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (6.4%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Rochedale South SA2.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 and based on 2022 data. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Rochedale South SA2 is expected to increase by 82 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 0.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rochedale South according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Rochedale South experienced around 48 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 242 homes. So far in FY-26, six approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 0.2 people moved to the area for each dwelling built. New construction has matched or outpaced demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $631,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Commercial approvals in FY-26 totalled $40.9 million, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Rochedale South maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

This level is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 494 people per dwelling approval, Rochedale South shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate Rochedale South will gain 48 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current construction levels should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Rochedale South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 26 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable among these are the 319 Gardner Road Townhouses Stage 3 project, the 566 Underwood Road Mixed Development, the Springwood Health Hub initiative, and the Daisy Hill Koala Conservation Trails development. The following list details those projects that are most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Rochedale South performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Rochedale South has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 2.0% as of September 2025.

This is below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.7%. There were 9,152 residents employed while workforce participation was 67.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.

Rochedale South has a particular specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ just 7.3% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.7% while labour force increased by 1.9%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8%. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while overall employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Rochedale South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of Rochedale South had a median taxpayer income of $54,610 and an average income of $68,791 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is slightly above the national average for that year. In Greater Brisbane, the median income was $58,236 with an average of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,022 (median) and $75,608 (average). Census data shows that incomes in Rochedale South cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. The income distribution reveals that 37.3% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, which is similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 33.3%. After housing expenses, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile nationally.

Rochedale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rochedale South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Brisbane metro had 77.9% houses and 22.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rochedale South was 30.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, higher than Brisbane metro's $1,638 but lower than the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Rochedale South was $395, compared to Brisbane metro's $320 and the national figure of $375.

Rochedale South features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.2%, consisting of 18.7% lone person households and 2.6% group households. The median household size is 2.8 people, aligning with the Greater Brisbane average.

The educational profile of Rochedale South exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Rochedale South is notable with 27.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, higher than the SA4 region's 16.2% and the SA3 area's 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent with 36.8%, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (24.9%). Current educational participation is high at 30.0%, comprising primary education (10.8%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (4.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates that Rochedale South has 77 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes, together offering 241 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these services is rated excellent, with residents being an average of 197 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 34 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately three weekly trips per individual stop.

Rochedale South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Rochedale South residents, with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is found to be fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (~8,665 people), compared to 49.7% across Greater Brisbane.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 8.4 and 8.3% of residents respectively, while 69.6% of residents declare themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.5% across Greater Brisbane. As of 2016, the area has 16.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,593 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Rochedale South was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Rochedale South had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 27.4% of its residents born overseas and 19.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Rochedale South, making up 52.1% of the population. The category 'Other' showed an overrepresentation compared to Greater Brisbane, with 1.9% versus 1.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (25.5%), Australian (23.6%), and Other (10.1%), which was lower than the regional average of 17.1%. Notably, New Zealand (1.4%) and Korean (1.5%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.4% and 1.1%, respectively, while Maori showed a lower representation at 1.3% versus 2.2%.

Rochedale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Rochedale South's median age is 37 years, nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Rochedale South has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 75-84 grew from 5.0% to 6.5%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 11.4% to 12.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 12.5% to 11.1%, and those aged 65-74 dropped from 9.4% to 8.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Rochedale South's age profile will change significantly. The population aged 85+ is projected to grow by 179%, adding 513 residents to reach 800. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 64% of population growth. Meanwhile, the populations aged 0-4 and 5-14 are projected to decline.