Rochedale South

Rochedale South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates, as of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Rochedale South is around 15,897. This reflects an increase of 669 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,228. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 15,886 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 80 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,564 persons per square kilometer, placing Rochedale South in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 4.4% growth since census positions it within 1.7 percentage points of the SA3 area (6.1%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Rochedale South is expected to increase by 82 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 0.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rochedale South according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Rochedale South experienced around 48 dwelling approvals each year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 242 homes. As of FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. Over these 5 years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 0.2 people moved to the area per dwelling built. New construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $631,000. In this financial year, there have been $40.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Rochedale South maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

This level is lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 494 people per dwelling approval, Rochedale South shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate Rochedale South will gain 63 residents by 2041 (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current construction levels should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Rochedale South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include 319 Gardner Road Townhouses Stage 3566 Underwood Road Mixed Development, Springwood Health Hub, and Daisy Hill Koala Conservation Trails. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Rochedale South performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Rochedale South has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.1% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.2% over the previous year.

This rate is lower than Greater Brisbane's unemployment rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Rochedale South is 67.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training has a particularly high employment share, at 1.3 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services employ only 7.3% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.2%, while labour force increased by 4.8%, resulting in a unemployment fall of 0.4 percentage points. Greater Brisbane recorded similar trends with employment growth of 4.4% and unemployment falling by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Rochedale South. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Rochedale South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Rochedale South had a median taxpayer income of $54,610 and an average income of $68,791 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is higher than the national average for that year. Greater Brisbane's median income was $55,645 with an average income of $70,520 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth, estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $62,250 and the average income around $78,415 by September 2025. Census data indicates that incomes in Rochedale South cluster around the 58th percentile nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. The income distribution shows that the majority of residents (37.3%, or 5,929 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 33.3%. After housing costs, 85.1% of income is left for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Rochedale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Rochedale South, as per the latest Census evaluation, 88.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 11.6% being semi-detached properties, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Brisbane metropolitan area's 77.9% houses and 22.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rochedale South stood at 30.0%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 47.0% and rented ones accounting for 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, higher than Brisbane's average of $1,638. The median weekly rent in Rochedale South was $395, compared to Brisbane's $320. Nationally, Rochedale South's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Rochedale South features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 12.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which aligns with the Greater Brisbane average.

The educational profile of Rochedale South exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Rochedale South is notably high, with 27.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to 16.2% in the broader SA4 region and 20.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 24.9%. Educational participation is high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.8% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education. Rochedale South State School and Springwood Road State School serve a total of 973 students, with the area demonstrating typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1021) and balanced educational opportunities. Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited at 6.1 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 20.7, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rochedale South has 79 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 303 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in the area is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 192 meters from their nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 43 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately three weekly trips per individual stop.

Rochedale South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Rochedale South residents have relatively positive health outcomes. Common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts are fairly standard.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 54% of the total population (~8,657 people), compared to 49.5% across Greater Brisbane. Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 8.4 and 8.3% of residents respectively. A total of 69.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.5% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 16.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,591 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Rochedale South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rochedale South, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, exhibited higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas. Its population included 27.4% born overseas and 19.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 52.1%.

The 'Other' religious category showed slight overrepresentation at 1.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 1.8%. In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (25.5%), Australian (23.6%), and Other (10.1%). Notably, New Zealanders were equally represented (1.4%) while Koreans showed higher representation at 1.5% compared to the regional average of 1.1%. Maori representation was lower at 1.3%, differing from Greater Brisbane's 2.2%.

Rochedale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Rochedale South's median age is 37 years, nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Rochedale South has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 75-84 grew from 5.0% to 6.5%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 11.4% to 12.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group declined from 12.5% to 11.1%, and the 65-74 group decreased from 9.4% to 8.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Rochedale South's age profile will significantly change. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 180%, adding 513 residents to reach 800. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 64% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.