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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Runcorn has an estimated 15,930 residents, up from 14,199 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,731 people, or 12.2%. Growth has averaged 1.4% a year over five years, faster than 77% of areas nationally. 187 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 76.0% of that increase. That puts 2,399 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader ABS demographic updates with new address validations recorded after the Census, the suburb of Runcorn has an estimated population of approximately 15,930 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 1,731 people (12.2%) compared to the 14,199 people enumerated in the 2021 Census. These figures build upon a resident base of 15,922 derived from the ABS ERP release in June 2025 alongside 187 validated new addresses logged post-Census. With a density of 2,399 persons per square kilometer, the locality sits within the top quartile of nationwide benchmarks analyzed by AreaSearch.
Outpacing both the 9.5% national benchmark and state-level figures, the 12.2% expansion since the 2021 census positions the suburb of Runcorn as a regional frontrunner in population growth, with overseas arrivals accounting for roughly 76.0% of total recent gains. Projections for the suburb of Runcorn incorporate 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia models pegged to a 2022 baseline year for each SA2 district. Where gaps exist or horizons extend beyond 2032, models integrate Queensland State Government SA2 estimates published in 2023 from 2021 figures. Because these state figures omit age breakdowns, AreaSearch scales cohorts using ABS Greater Capital Region proportions published in 2023 using 2022 data. Moving forward, long-term demographic expansion in the suburb of Runcorn is tracking in the lower quartile among national statistical areas, with cumulative SA2-level modeling anticipating an influx of 180 persons by 2041, corresponding to a total 16-year increase of 1.1%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
304 new dwellings have been approved in Runcorn over the past five years, an average of 60 a year. That places the area in the 63rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 56 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 43% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 45, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
ABS building approval statistics compiled by AreaSearch indicate that residential planning activity has averaged approximately 60 new dwelling approvals per year, totaling an estimated 304 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 45 so far in FY-25. An average addition of 3.7 new residents per completed home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) points to structural undersupply relative to underlying demographic demand, a dynamic that typically intensifies market competition and upward pricing pressure. Furthermore, with an average construction value of $538,000 per dwelling, residential investment is tracking moderately above regional benchmarks, underscoring a commitment to higher-end build standards.
Commercial development approvals have also reached $11.8 million this financial year, reflecting a steady pipeline of non-residential building activity. Residential building approvals consist of 43.0% detached dwellings alongside 57.0% attached dwellings. This emphasis on medium-to-higher density construction broadens entry-level accessibility and caters directly to investors, first-time purchasers, and downsizing households. Marking a clear transition from the existing structural profile of 69.0% houses, this shift highlights the scarcity of greenfield sites and responds to evolving urban lifestyle preferences and affordability considerations. Additionally, a ratio of around 410 people per dwelling approval characterizes the location as a highly developed, established urban environment. Demographic forecasts point to an increase of 172 residents through to 2041 relative to the latest quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. Current building approval volumes appear well-calibrated to accommodate this projected demand, which should support balanced market dynamics for purchasers and provide the physical capacity for population expansion beyond baseline expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Runcorn
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 11 current infrastructure and development projects inside Runcorn, worth an estimated $578 million. A further 114 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $35.8 billion. 21 are already under construction and 47 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Capital investments, planning schemes, and public works programs serve as vital catalysts for local economic and urban progress. AreaSearch has catalogued 34 projects positioned to influence the area's development trajectory. Prominent undertakings include the Holmview Estate Development, Kuraby Special School New Administration, Library and Learning Centre, Eight Mile Plains Development Site, and Runcorn State School Facilities Upgrade, with key initiatives outlined below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Kuraby Special School New Administration, Library and Learning Centre
The Queensland Department of Education is progressing planning for a new two storey administration and library building and a three storey learning centre containing 10 classrooms at Kuraby Special School. The project also includes a temporary learning centre during construction, demolition of existing buildings, relocation of modular buildings, new drop off and pick up facilities, bus and grounds care sheds, temporary parking, covered outdoor areas and landscaping. Community consultation has been completed and the project remains in the planning and approvals phase, with future expansion identified subject to funding.
Runcorn Central
Runcorn Central is a major transit-oriented urban renewal master plan transforming the 10.3-hectare former Bradken Foundry site adjacent to Runcorn Station. The proposed master-planned precinct includes 931 residential dwellings across multiple buildings, 9,500 sqm of retail and commercial space, and 20,400 sqm of public parklands. The heritage-listed Franklin Sawmill will be preserved and adaptively reused as a central community hub.
Eight Mile Plains Development Site
Last remaining major development site in Eight Mile Plains sold for $11 million. The 1.21ha property has development approval for 18-26 houses with potential for subdivision and house-and-land packages. Located 14km from Brisbane CBD in a fast-growing suburb.
Gowan Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Comprehensive redevelopment of the Gowan Village local centre. The project features a new two-storey retail building (1,322sqm GFA) housing multiple tenancies and a fast food restaurant, alongside a new single-storey childcare centre (593sqm GFA) accommodating 105 children. The upgrade includes a pedestrian plaza, 68 car parking spaces across open and basement levels, and extensive landscaping to enhance community facilities.
Gowan Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Redevelopment and expansion of the existing Gowan Village local shopping centre including a new three-storey retail building (1,322sqm) with multiple tenancies, a fast food restaurant, expanded car parking, and a new single-storey 105-place childcare centre.
Runcorn State School Facilities Upgrade
Runcorn State School in Sunnybank is undergoing continual facilities upgrades. Works include a new dedicated building for the prep year, air-conditioning of the library, upgraded computer lab facilities, and effective water usage strategies including rainwater tanks and fittings. The school, established in 1901, is a Queensland Department of Education band 8 primary school with 368 students.
Retirement Village & Medical Centre - 161 Underwood Road
Mixed-use development on the northern portion of the Brisbane Islamic Centre site. The project features a 121-bed retirement village (91 independent units, 20 aged care units, and 10 dementia care units), a 250sqm medical centre, and a 75-place childcare centre. Designed by N.G. Sanders Architects.
Runcorn Central
Transformation of 16.3 hectares of former industrial land, including the historic Franklin's Sawmill, into a mixed-use transit-oriented development. The masterplan features 931 dwellings, commercial and retail spaces, community facilities, and extensive open parklands oriented around the Runcorn train station.
8,955 residents of Runcorn are employed, from a labour force of 9,322. Unemployment sits at 3.9%, with participation at 69.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 12,369, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Statistical area figures aggregated by AreaSearch highlight a highly qualified local workforce across varied economic sectors, characterized by an unemployment rate of only 3.9% and a 6.1% annual expansion in employment. Total employed persons stood at 8,955 as of March 2026, while the local jobless rate sits 0.4% below the 4.3% benchmark for Greater Brisbane, accompanied by a workforce participation rate matching Greater Brisbane's 70.1%. Census records show that 15.2% of workers operated from home, a figure shaped in part by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions at the time of enumeration. Resident employment is primarily concentrated across health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food.
Transport, postal & warehousing exhibits particularly strong local clustering, engaging workers at 1.6 times the regional average. In contrast, construction accounts for a below-average 7.3% of the local workforce relative to the 9.0% regional level. Comparing Census resident worker numbers against local job counts indicates that the predominantly suburban fabric offers a constrained number of jobs situated within its immediate borders. Over the preceding 12-month period, combined ABS and SALM statistical data shows a 6.1% rise in employment alongside a 4.9% increase in the total labour force, driving a 1.1 percentage points decline in local unemployment. In comparison, Greater Brisbane logged a 3.2% rise in employment, a 3.4% expansion in the labour force, and a 0.1 percentage points increase in unemployment. Future workplace requirements can be evaluated using Mar-26 industry projections from Jobs and Skills Australia. While aggregate nationwide employment is modeled to rise 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years, trajectories vary across specific industries. Weighting these sectoral forecasts against the local occupation distribution suggests employment capacity could expand by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, representing a baseline mathematical weighting without factoring in bespoke population movements.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Runcorn is $1,742 a week (about $91,000 a year), with median personal income at $737 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,019 a year against an average of $57,291. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates a median taxpayer income of $46,019 and an average of $57,291. These earnings sit below both the national standard and Greater Brisbane, where median and average figures stand at $58,236 and $72,799, respectively. Factoring in an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 places modeled March 2026 earnings at approximately $51,247 for the median and $63,799 for the average. In the 2021 Census, aggregate household, family, and individual incomes fell within moderate middle brackets, spanning the 36th and 49th percentiles.
The primary earnings cohort includes 39.1% of residents (6,228 residents) generating $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, closely aligning with the 33.3% recorded across the broader metropolitan area. While residential payments absorb 16.0% of earnings, disposable income ranks at the 50th percentile, positioning the broader socio-economic SEIFA measure in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Runcorn had 4,787 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 69% detached houses and 0% apartments. 33% are owned with a mortgage, 39% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,600 a month. Rent absorbs 23.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data reveals that standalone houses constitute 69.4% of local residential stock with 30.5% classified as other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the wider Brisbane metro distribution of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Full property ownership sits at 27.9%, directly mirroring Brisbane metro, with remaining dwellings distributed between mortgaged properties (33.3%) and rental tenure (38.8%). Typical monthly mortgage commitments of $1,600 remain well below the Brisbane metro median of $1,863, whereas weekly rents of $400 exceed the regional $380 benchmark. When compared to Australia-wide metrics, local mortgage outlays are substantially lower than the $1,863 national median, though rental costs surpass the broader Australian standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Runcorn counted 4,787 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 5,371 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 38% are couples with children, against 25% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 76.5% of total households, comprising couples with children at 37.8%, couples without children at 24.6%, and single parent families at 12.2%. The remaining 23.5% consists of non-family living situations, with lone person households representing 17.3% and group households accounting for 6.2%. The area records a median household size of 2.9 people, exceeding the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
37.1% of adults in Runcorn hold a university qualification, including 24.1% with a bachelor degree and 10.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 16.4% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,450 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,005 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary qualification levels in the local community significantly outpace broader geographical averages, with 37.1% of persons aged 15+ holding higher education degrees compared to 25.7% across QLD and 30.4% across Australia. This educational profile underpins a solid foundation for knowledge-intensive industries. Bachelor degrees form the largest segment at 24.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.8% and graduate diplomas at 2.2%. Vocational expertise is also widely held, with 29.0% of individuals aged 15+ possessing technical qualifications across advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (16.4%). Formal study engagement is substantial throughout the community, with 32.1% of all residents currently undertaking an educational course.
Broken down by tier, this encompasses 9.4% enrolled in primary education, 7.2% participating in tertiary education, and 6.4% attending secondary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Runcorn means driving: households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
78.0% of residents in Runcorn report no long-term health condition. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of chronic condition incidence and mortality statistics point to strong overall health profiles across both younger and older demographic brackets. Private health insurance coverage covers approximately 50% of the total population (~7,950 people), which tracks below both the Greater Brisbane figure of 55.8% and the Australia-wide average of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and asthma represent the leading diagnosed ailments, each diagnosed in 6.0 and 6.0% of the local population, while 78.0% of residents reported having no medical ailments at all, outpacing the 69.2% rate for Greater Brisbane. Health metrics are especially positive across the working-age population.
Older residents aged 65 and over comprise 13.4% of the population (2,134 people), remaining below the 15.0% metropolitan proportion for Greater Brisbane, with senior health indicators ranking consistently in step with national figures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
55.7% of Runcorn residents were born overseas and 57.9% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 94% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Chinese (20.2%) and English (14.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The locality demonstrates exceptionally high cultural diversity by national standards, with 57.9% of residents speaking a language other than English at home and 55.7% born overseas. Christianity represents the leading religious affiliation at 36.5% of the population. A notable divergence from metropolitan norms appears in the Other religious category, which accounts for 8.3% of local residents compared to 1.3% across Greater Brisbane. Regarding parental lineage and ancestry, Chinese heritage leads locally at 20.2% of the population, markedly higher than the 3.4% regional proportion, while Other ancestry represents 18.9% versus 9.4% regionally, and English ancestry accounts for 14.6%, well below the 26.8% regional standard.
Distinct concentrations are also evident across other cultural backgrounds, including Korean ancestry at 4.6% (compared to 0.5% regionally), Samoan at 1.0% (versus 0.9%), and Serbian at 0.6% (versus 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Runcorn is 34, younger than 82% of areas nationally. 33.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The local population skews younger than the wider metropolitan benchmark. Projections to August 2026 indicate that young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) account for 36.8% of the community compared to 30.6% in Greater Brisbane, while the middle aged and young retiree cohorts (45 - 64) represent 20.3% against a regional benchmark of 22.6%. The estimated median age stands at 34 as at August 2026, holding steady from the 2021 Census and sitting 2 years below the Greater Brisbane median of 36 recorded at that Census. The most pronounced shift since the Census occurred in the retiree and elderly cohorts (65+), expanding from 11.4% to an estimated 13.4% of residents.
Projections to 2041 indicate that older age cohorts will drive the bulk of local growth, increasing by 989 residents (46%) to reach 3,124, while young to middle aged adults, children, and young adults are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Runcorn
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Sep 2026 last month all 11 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Sep 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 187 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (14,199 at the 2021 Census → 15,930 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32491). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.