Kilmore

Kilmore lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Kilmore is around 10,246 people. This reflects an increase of 1,039 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,207 people. The current resident population estimate of 10,166 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 327 validated new addresses since the Census date, indicates a population density ratio of 176 persons per square kilometer. Kilmore's growth rate of 11.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (2.9%) and Rest of Vic., making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors. AreaSearch's projections for Kilmore are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Kilmore is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of regional areas nationally over the period from 2026 to 2041. The area is projected to increase by 5,790 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 55.7% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kilmore among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Kilmore recorded around 90 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 450 homes. By FY26, 74 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.7 new residents per year per dwelling were constructed between FY21 and FY25, suggesting balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions.

The average construction cost of new homes was $381,000, slightly above the regional average. In FY26, $20.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Rest of Vic., Kilmore has 13.0% more development per person over the past five years, preserving buyer options while sustaining property demand.

However, recent development activity has moderated. New developments consist of 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's low density nature. There are approximately 135 people per dwelling approval in Kilmore, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kilmore is expected to grow by 5,710 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kilmore has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects expected to impact the area. Major projects include Broadstead Kilmore, Montana Kilmore, Kilmore Village Shopping Centre, and Kilmore-Wallan Bypass. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Kilmore has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Kilmore has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services. The unemployment rate is 4.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025, 4801 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.9%, which is 1.2% higher than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Kilmore is similar to Regional Vic., at 61.0%. A moderate 17.6% of residents work from home, as per Census responses, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Major employment industries are construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction stands out with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.5% compared to Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Kilmore's labour force decreased by 2.7%, while employment declined by 4.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.5 percentage points. Regional Vic., however, saw an employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling by 0.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilmore's employment mix indicates potential local employment growth of 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, the suburb of Kilmore had a median income among taxpayers of $52,794 with the average level standing at $65,277. This is slightly lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $57,873 (median) and $71,557 (average) as of March 2026. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Kilmore, between the 36th and 38th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the predominant cohort spans 33.3% of locals (3,411 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kilmore is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Kilmore, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 27 August 2016, comprised 86.7% houses and 13.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Regional Victoria's figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilmore was at 33.7%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (45.5%) or rented (20.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,647, higher than Regional Victoria's average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure for Kilmore was recorded at $340, compared to Regional Victoria's $285. Nationally, Kilmore's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Kilmore has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.1% of all households, including 31.3% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kilmore aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 29.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilmore has 36 active public transport stops serviced by one route. This route provides 329 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate with residents typically located 410 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward and car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.6. According to the 2021 Census, 17.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 47 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kilmore is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Kilmore faces substantial health challenges, as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are considerably higher than average, particularly among older age cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 53% of the total population (~5,394 people), slightly above Regional Vic.'s 50.5%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.5%) and arthritis (9.4%), with 63.5% of residents reporting no medical ailments, similar to Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age residents show a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Kilmore has 20.6% of residents aged 65 and over (2,110 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Kilmore ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilmore had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 89.6% citizens, 86.0% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 52.0%. The category 'Other' was overrepresented at 1.3%, compared to Regional Vic's 0.8%.

Ancestry-wise, Australian (29.3%), English (28.7%), and Irish (11.1%) were the top groups. Notably, Maltese (1.9% vs regional 0.5%), Macedonian (0.4% vs 0.2%), and Italian (3.9% vs 2.9%) were overrepresented in Kilmore.

Kilmore's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Kilmore is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional Victoria's average of 43 but above the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 age cohort makes up 12.8% of Kilmore's population, higher than Regional Vic.'s average, while those aged 65-74 comprise 10.1%, lower than the regional average. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35-44 age group has increased from 11.7% to 12.9% of Kilmore's population, while the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 13.0% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant growth in the 25-34 age group, with an increase of 1,029 people (78%), bringing the total to 2,341.