Kilmore

Kilmore lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Kilmore is around 10,585, reflecting an increase of 1,378 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,207. This increase represents a growth rate of 15.0%, exceeding the SA4 region's 6.9% and Rest of Vic.'s growth rates. The resident population estimate of 9,609 by AreaSearch, following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024, combined with 270 validated new addresses since the Census date, contributes to this growth. This results in a density ratio of 182 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. Interstate migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises Vic State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Kilmore is predicted to experience exceptional growth, with an expected increase of 5,972 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 47.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kilmore among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Kilmore recorded approximately 90 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 450 homes. As of FY26, 59 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.9 new residents were associated with each dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating balanced supply and demand. The average construction cost value for new homes was $381,000, slightly above the regional average.

In FY26, $20.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Rest of Vic., Kilmore has seen 15.0% more development per person over the past five years, preserving buyer options while sustaining property demand. Recent periods show moderated development activity.

New developments consist of 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Kilmore's low density nature. There are approximately 137 people per dwelling approval in the area. By 2041, Kilmore is projected to grow by 4,996 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kilmore has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects potentially impacting this region. Notable projects are Broadstead Kilmore, Montana Kilmore, Kilmore Village Shopping Centre, and Kilmore-Wallan Bypass. The following details these projects in order of likely relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kilmore has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Kilmore has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate is 5.0%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of December 2025, there are 4648 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 1.3% higher than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation is similar to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. According to Census responses, 17.6% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Kilmore has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, at only 1.5% of Kilmore's workforce compared to Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. The area seems to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending in May-25, labour force decreased by 3.4% and employment declined by 5.0%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 1.6 percentage points. Meanwhile, Regional Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kilmore's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2023, Kilmore had a median income among taxpayers of $52,794 with an average level of $65,277. This is slightly lower than the national average and compares to levels of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $57,150 (median) and $70,662 (average). From the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 36th percentile, family income at the 38th percentile, and personal income also at the 38th percentile in Kilmore. Income brackets indicate that 33.3% of locals (3,524 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 category. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 84.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kilmore is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Kilmore, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilmore stood at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.5% and rented ones at 20.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,647, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Kilmore was $340, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Kilmore's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,647 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kilmore has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.1% of all households, including 31.3% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kilmore aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 29.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.5% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 3.4% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilmore has 36 active public transport stops. These are served by one route, offering a total of 329 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is moderate, with residents on average 410 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, primarily using cars (94%). On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 17.6% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 47 trips daily across all routes, equating to around nine weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Kilmore is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Kilmore faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantially higher than average, particularly among older age cohorts.

Approximately 53% of Kilmore's total population (~5,573 people) has private health cover, slightly higher than the Regional Vic. average of 50.5%. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, affecting 9.5% and 9.4% of residents respectively. However, 63.5% of residents report having no medical ailments, similar to the 63.4% average across Regional Vic. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Kilmore has 20.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,201 people), lower than the 23.9% regional average. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Kilmore ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilmore's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 89.6% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (86.0%), and speaking English only at home (92.0%). Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 52.0% of Kilmore's population. Notably, the 'Other' category was overrepresented at 1.3%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian was the top group at 29.3%, followed by English (28.7%) and Irish (11.1%). Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Maltese (1.9% vs regional 0.5%), Macedonian (0.4% vs 0.2%), and Italian (3.9% vs 2.9%).

Kilmore's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Kilmore is 40 years, which is slightly below Regional Victoria's average of 43 but somewhat above the national median of 38. In comparison with Regional Victoria, those aged 25-34 are notably more represented in Kilmore at 13.8%, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 10.2%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of people aged 25 to 34 has increased from 12.4% to 13.8%, and those aged 35 to 44 have risen from 11.7% to 13.0%. Conversely, the percentage of individuals aged 45 to 54 has decreased from 13.0% to 10.9%, and the proportion of those aged 5 to 14 has fallen from 13.1% to 11.6%. Population projections for the year 2041 suggest significant demographic shifts in Kilmore, with the 25 to 34 age group expected to grow substantially by 1,001 people (a 69% increase) from 1,460 to 2,462.