Kilmore

Kilmore lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for Kilmore and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb's population is estimated at around 10,104 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 897 people (9.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,207 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 9,626 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on June 2024 and an additional 275 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 174 persons per square kilometer. Kilmore's 9.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (5.4%) and the non-metro area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of locations outside of capital cities, is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to grow by 6,091 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 57.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kilmore among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Kilmore has experienced around 88 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past 5 financial years ending FY-25. This totals an estimated 440 homes. So far in FY-26, recorded approvals amount to 30. Over this period, an average of 1.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed has been observed.

The market shows good balance between supply and demand, supporting stable conditions. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $381,000, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers compared to regional norms. In FY-26, $22.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Compared to the Rest of Vic., Kilmore has slightly more development, with 11.0% above the regional average per person over the 5 year period. This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values, though construction activity has eased recently. New building activity shows 90.0% detached houses and 10.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Kilmore reflects a developing area, with around 156 people per approval. Looking ahead, Kilmore is expected to grow by 5,788 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Kilmore has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely impacting this region. Notable projects are Broadstead Kilmore, Montana Kilmore, Kilmore Village Shopping Centre, and Kilmore-Wallan Bypass. The following details these projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kilmore has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Kilmore has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs equally represented. Essential services sectors are well-represented in the area.

As of June 2025, Kilmore's unemployment rate is 4.7%, slightly higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Vic., at 57.4%. Leading industries include construction, healthcare & social assistance, and education & training. Construction employment is notably high, at 1.7 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.5% of Kilmore's workforce compared to 7.5% in Rest of Vic.

Labour force levels increased by 1.4% over the year ending June 2025, with employment decreasing by 0.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.6 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in Sep-22, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilmore's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Kilmore's median income among taxpayers is $52,794. The average income in Kilmore during this period was $65,277. Nationally, the median income was $51,838 with an average of $64,716. In Rest of Vic., the median income was $48,741 and the average was $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Kilmore's median income would be approximately $59,214 as of September 2025, with an average of around $73,215 during the same period. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Kilmore rank modestly, between the 36th and 38th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that 33.3% of locals (3,364 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which is consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.3% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kilmore, with only 84.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kilmore is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kilmore's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 93.6% houses and 6.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilmore stood at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.5% and rented ones at 20.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,647, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,500. Median weekly rent in Kilmore was $340, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $280. Nationally, Kilmore's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,647 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $340 against the national figure of $375.

Kilmore has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.1% of all households, including 31.3% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households making up 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Educational attainment in Kilmore aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges with university qualification rates at 16.6%, substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 29.4%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education. Kilmore's 4 schools have a combined enrollment reaching 2,537 students while the area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1025) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 2 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. The area functions as an education hub with 25.1 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 13.9 – attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilmore has 36 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 8 different routes that together offer 410 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents on average being located 410 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 58 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kilmore is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Kilmore faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Several conditions affect both younger and older age groups.

The rate of private health cover in Kilmore is approximately 53%, covering around 5,319 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than the Rest of Vic's 49.6%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 9.5% and 9.4% of residents respectively. About 63.5% of Kilmore residents report having no medical ailments, similar to the 63.0% in Rest of Vic. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 20.4% (2,061 people), compared to Rest of Vic's 25.2%. Health outcomes among seniors in Kilmore are generally consistent with the overall population's health profile.

Kilmore ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilmore had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 89.6% citizens, 86.0% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 52.0%. Notably, 'Other' religions were overrepresented at 1.3%, compared to Rest of Vic's 0.6%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (29.3%), English (28.7%), and Irish (11.1%) were the top groups. Some ethnicities showed notable divergences: Maltese was overrepresented at 1.9% (vs regional 0.7%), Macedonian at 0.4% (vs 0.1%), and Italian at 3.9% (vs 2.6%).

Kilmore's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kilmore is 40 years, which is slightly below the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Kilmore has a notably higher proportion of 25-34 year-olds (13.4% versus 10.7%) and a lower proportion of 65-74 year-olds (10.1% versus 13.9%). Between the 2021 Census and present, Kilmore's population has seen an increase in the 25 to 34 age group from 12.4% to 13.4%, while the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 13.0% to 11.2% and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 13.1% to 11.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant growth in Kilmore's 25-34 age cohort, with an increase of 1,152 people (85%) from 1,353 to 2,506.