Kilmore

Kilmore lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Kilmore's population is estimated at around 10,557 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,350 people (14.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,207 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 9,609 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 275 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 182 persons per square kilometer. Kilmore's growth exceeded that of the SA4 region (6.8%) and the non-metro area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these trends, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the Kilmore statistical area (Lv2) expected to increase by 6,107 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 50.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kilmore among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Kilmore shows an average of approximately 89 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 449 homes. As of FY26, 46 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.9 new residents are associated with each dwelling constructed annually between FY21 and FY25, suggesting a balanced supply and demand in Kilmore's residential market. The average construction cost value of new homes is $381,000, slightly above the regional average.

In terms of commercial development, $20.0 million in approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating balanced activity in this sector relative to the rest of Victoria. Compared to other regions in Victoria, Kilmore has seen a 14.0% increase in development per person over the past five years, providing reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

The majority of new developments consist of detached dwellings (90.0%), with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 10.0%, preserving Kilmore's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With approximately 136 people per dwelling approval, Kilmore's market is expanding. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kilmore is expected to grow by around 5,351 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Kilmore has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Broadstead Kilmore, Montana Kilmore, Kilmore Village Shopping Centre, and Kilmore-Wallan Bypass. These are considered key projects, with their details listed below for further relevance assessment.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Kilmore are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Kilmore has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs well represented. Key sectors include construction, healthcare & social assistance, and education & training.

The unemployment rate in Kilmore is 4.9%, based on AreaSearch data from September 2025. This rate is 1.2% higher than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Kilmore is similar to Rest of Vic., at 57.4%. Kilmore has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, comprising only 1.5% of Kilmore's workforce compared to 7.5% in Rest of Vic.. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population with resident population. In the 12 months prior, Kilmore's labour force decreased by 1.4%, while employment declined by 3.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.5 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.6%. State-level data from VIC up to 25-Nov shows employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project an increase in national employment by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilmore's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Kilmore had a median taxpayer income of $52,794 and an average income of $65,277. Nationally, the median was $50,954 and the average was $62,728. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,150 (median) and $70,662 (average), based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census ranks Kilmore's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 36th and 38th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 33.3% of locals (3,515 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the broader area's 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile. Kilmore's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kilmore is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kilmore's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 93.6% houses and 6.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilmore stood at 33.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (45.5%) or rented (20.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,647, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,500. Median weekly rent in Kilmore was $340, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $280. Nationally, Kilmore's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,647 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were less at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kilmore has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.1% of all households, including 31.3% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Educational attainment in Kilmore aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.8% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 29.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.5% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilmore has 36 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a single route, offering a total of 329 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Kilmore is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 410 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 47 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kilmore is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant challenges for Kilmore regarding various health conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover in Kilmore is approximately 53%, covering around 5,558 people, compared to the average SA2 area rate of 49.7% across Rest of Vic.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.5% and 9.4% of residents respectively. Approximately 63.5% of Kilmore residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.0% in Rest of Vic. The area has 20.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,153 people), which is lower than the 25.2% figure for Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors in Kilmore generally align with those of the broader population's health profile.

Kilmore ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilmore's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 89.6% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (86.0%), and speaking English only at home (92.0%). Christianity is the predominant religion in Kilmore, making up 52.0% of the population. Notably, the percentage of people identifying as Other was higher in Kilmore at 1.3%, compared to 0.6% across the rest of Victoria.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (29.3%), English (28.7%), and Irish (11.1%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Maltese was overrepresented at 1.9% in Kilmore compared to 0.7% regionally, Macedonian at 0.4% versus 0.1%, and Italian at 3.9% versus 2.6%.

Kilmore's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Kilmore is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 age cohort in Kilmore is notably higher at 13.4% compared to Rest of Vic.'s average, while the 65-74 age group is under-represented at 10.1%. As per the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.4%, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.0% to 11.2%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 13.1% to 11.9%. Population forecasts for Kilmore in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to grow by 1,093 people (77%), reaching a total of 2,508 from its current figure of 1,414.