Jan Juc

Population growth drivers in Jan Juc are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the population of Jan Juc is estimated at around 4,822 people, reflecting an increase of 671 individuals since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 16.2% rise from the previous population count of 4,151 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 4,253 in June 2024, which was derived from examining the latest ERP data release by the ABS and validating five new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 791 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Jan Juc's growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the Rest of Vic. (8.1%) and the national average, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, significant population increases are forecasted in the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with Jan Juc expected to grow by 1,253 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Jan Juc when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Jan Juc has experienced around 14 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 73 homes were approved, with a further six approved in FY-26 to date. This results in an average of approximately 9.7 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed over these years.

This demand significantly exceeds new supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $891,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26 alone, $5.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Jan Juc has significantly less development activity, being 80.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Nationally, this is also below average, suggesting that the area is mature and may have possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Jan Juc's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 422 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Jan Juc is expected to grow by 896 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Jan Juc has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects expected to impact the region. Notable ones are Stretton Estate, Jan Juc Supermarket and Apartments, Surf View Estate, and Jan Juc Creek Daylighting Project Stage Two. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Jan Juc ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Jan Juc has a highly educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate as of September 2025 was 1.4%. According to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data, 2,550 residents were in work while the unemployment rate was 2.4% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation was at 76.5%, well beyond Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. Census responses indicated that 34.8% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical. Professional & technical showed notable concentration with employment levels at 2.6 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence with 0.6% employment compared to 7.5% regionally. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population comparison. In a 12-month period, labour force decreased by 0.4%, alongside an employment decline of 0.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. This compared to Rest of Vic., where employment fell by 0.7%, labour force contracted by 0.6%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offered further insight into potential future demand within Jan Juc. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggested national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Jan Juc's employment mix indicated local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Jan Juc's median income among taxpayers is $60,532. The average income in the suburb is $85,231. Both figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s median income is $50,954 and average income is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Jan Juc would be approximately $65,526 (median) and $92,263 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Jan Juc rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 86th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. The income bracket of $1,500 - $2,999 captures 31.4% of Jan Juc's community (1,514 individuals), which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.3% in the same category. Notably, 38.1% of Jan Juc residents earn over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Jan Juc is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Jan Juc, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Jan Juc was at 38.9%, similar to Non-Metro Vic.'s level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (41.4%) or rented (19.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,863 and significantly above the national figure of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Jan Juc was recorded at $473, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285 and the national figure of $375.

Jan Juc features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.2% of all households, including 40.5% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for 23.8%, comprising 18.0% lone person households and 5.2% group households. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Jan Juc demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Jan Juc has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above. Specifically, 45.5% hold university qualifications, which is significantly higher than the broader benchmarks of 21.7% in the rest of Victoria and 28.6% in the SA4 region. This educational advantage is largely driven by bachelor degrees (30.9%), postgraduate qualifications (9.1%), and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.4% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (17.7%). Educational participation in Jan Juc is notably high, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.8% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 16 active stops operating within Jan Juc. These stops are served by 6 routes offering a total of 538 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents located an average of 241 meters from the nearest stop. As mainly residential, most commute outward; cars dominate at 94%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.8, above regional average. Notably, 34.8% work from home (2021 Census).

Service frequency averages 76 trips daily across all routes, about 33 weekly trips per stop.

Jan Juc's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data for Jan Juc shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups.

Approximately 60% of Jan Juc's total population (2913 people) had private health cover, compared to 50.5% in the rest of Victoria. The most common medical conditions were asthma at 8.6%, and mental health issues at 6.3%. Notably, 74.8% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in the rest of Victoria. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. Jan Juc has 13.4% of residents aged 65 and over (646 people), lower than the 23.9% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Jan Juc is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Jan Juc had a lower than average cultural diversity, with 89.2% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 95.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 33.0% of Jan Juc's population. However, Judaism was notably overrepresented, comprising 0.3% compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.3%), Australian (26.6%), and Irish (12.5%). Some other ethnicities showed notable differences: Dutch were overrepresented at 2.1% (regional average 1.7%), Scottish at 9.5% (8.8%), and French at 0.7% (0.3%).

Jan Juc's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Jan Juc as of January is 40 years, which is slightly below the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic., the 45-54 age cohort is notably higher at 16.1% locally while those aged 75-84 are under-represented at 3.8%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.1% to 3.8% of Jan Juc's population. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 9.9% to 9.0%. By 2041, significant demographic changes are projected for Jan Juc. The 45-54 age group is expected to expand by 244 people (32%), growing from 776 to 1,021 residents. The 65-74 group is forecasted to grow modestly at 2%, adding only 7 residents.