Jan Juc

Population growth drivers in Jan Juc are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Jan Juc's population is estimated at around 4822 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 671 people (16.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4151 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4253, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional five validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 791 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Jan Juc's 16.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the Rest of Vic. (8.1%) and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan areas is forecast, with the suburb expected to grow by 1146 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 12.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Jan Juc when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Jan Juc experienced approximately 15 dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY2021 and FY2025, around 76 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved in FY2026 to date. This results in an average of 9.4 new residents per year arriving for each dwelling constructed during this period.

The demand significantly exceeds the new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. Developers target the premium market segment, with new dwellings valued at an average of $891,000. In FY2026, commercial development approvals totalled $5.8 million, suggesting Jan Juc's residential character. Compared to Rest of Vic., Jan Juc has significantly less development activity, being 79.0% below the regional average per person.

This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New developments consist predominantly of detached houses (89.0%) with a smaller proportion of attached dwellings (11.0%), maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The estimated population density is 403 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet, low-activity development environment. Looking ahead, Jan Juc is projected to grow by 577 residents through to 2041 according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Development pace appears reasonable in relation to projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Jan Juc has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects expected to impact the area. Notable ones include Stretton Estate, Jan Juc Supermarket and Apartments, Surf View Estate, and Jan Juc Creek Daylighting Project Stage Two. Below is a list of those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Jan Juc performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Jan Juc has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data as of December 2025. In this month, 2,546 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate 2.3% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation in Jan Juc is high at 76.3%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Census responses indicate that 34.8% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Jan Juc shows strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 2.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.6% of Jan Juc's workforce compared to 7.5% in Regional Vic.. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Jan Juc's labour force decreased by 0.8%, with employment decreasing by 1.0%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. experienced an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decline of 0.7%, with a drop in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage point. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Jan Juc's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Jan Juc suburb had high incomes. The median was $60,532 and average was $85,231. This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $65,526 and average will be $92,263, based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census places Jan Juc's household, family, and personal incomes between the 81st and 86th percentiles nationally. In Jan Juc, 31.4% (1,514 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to the metropolitan region's 30.3%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are seen in 38.1% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, reflecting high purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Jan Juc is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Jan Juc, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings. In Regional Vic., this was 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Jan Juc stood at 38.9%, similar to Regional Vic.'s figure. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (41.4%) or rented (19.6%). Median monthly mortgage repayments in the area were $2,167, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,850 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Jan Juc was recorded at $473, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285 and the national figure of $375.

Jan Juc features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 76.2% of all households, including 40.5% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households comprising 5.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Jan Juc demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Jan Juc is notably high, with 45.5% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications. This compares to 21.7% in the rest of Victoria and 28.6% in the SA4 region. The area's educational advantage is evident in its Bachelor degree holders (30.9%), postgraduate qualifications (9.1%), and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (17.7%). Educational participation is high, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (11.8%), secondary education (10.2%), and tertiary education (5.2%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Sixteen active transport stops operate within Jan Juc. They are serviced by six individual routes, collectively providing 538 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 241 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional average.

A high 34.8% of residents work from home, according to the 2021 Census; this may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages seventy-six trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately thirty-three weekly trips per individual stop.

Jan Juc's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data for Jan Juc shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (2913 people), compared to 50.5% across Regional Vic.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.6% and 6.3% of residents respectively, while 74.8% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 13.4% of residents aged 65 and over (646 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Jan Juc is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Jan Juc's population showed low cultural diversity, with 89.2% born in Australia and 91.9% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 95.4%. Christianity was the prevalent religion, comprising 33.0% of residents.

Jan Juc had a higher proportion of Jews than Regional Vic, with 0.3% compared to 0.1%. The top three ancestral groups were English (31.3%), Australian (26.6%), and Irish (12.5%). Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 2.1%, Scottish at 9.5%, and French at 0.7%.

Jan Juc's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Jan Juc as of January was 40 years, which is slightly below Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 45-54 age group made up 16.1% of the population in Jan Juc, higher than the regional average, while those aged 75-84 were under-represented at 3.8%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 25 to 34 age group increased from 10.4% to 11.2%, while the 65 to 74 cohort decreased from 9.9% to 8.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Jan Juc. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 182 people (24%), from 776 to 959, while the 65-74 cohort is expected to decline by 19 people.