Jan Juc

Jan Juc lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Jan Juc is around 4,155 people. This figure reflects an increase of 4 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,151. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 4,107 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional 5 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population density equates to approximately 682 persons per square kilometer, which is comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Jan Juc has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.1%, outperforming its SA4 region. Interstate migration contributed about 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, a significant population increase in non-metropolitan areas is forecast nationally, with Jan Juc expected to grow by 1,243 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 37.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Jan Juc according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Jan Juc averaging around 12 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 60 homes. In FY-26 so far, there has been 1 approval recorded. This averages out to approximately 11.8 new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $891,000, targeting the premium market with high-end developments. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Jan Juc has 83.0% less development activity per person, typically strengthening demand and prices for existing properties. This is also below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists mainly of detached dwellings at 86.0%, with attached dwellings making up 14.0%, maintaining Jan Juc's traditional low density character focused on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 805 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Jan Juc is expected to grow by 1,549 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Jan Juc has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Stretton Estate, Spring Creek Precinct Structure Plan (PSP), Jan Juc Supermarket and Apartments, Surf View Estate. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Jan Juc places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Jan Juc has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.0%.

As of June 2025, 2,569 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, below Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation is high at 69.2% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services, with the latter showing strong specialization. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.0% while labour force rose by 2.2%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where employment fell by 0.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Jan Juc's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Jan Juc's median income among taxpayers was $60,532 with an average of $85,231. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to $48,741 and $60,693 respectively across Rest of Vic. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,893 (median) and $95,595 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Jan Juc, between the 81st and 86th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 31.4% of residents (1,304 people), similar to the surrounding region at 30.3%. A substantial proportion of high earners (38.1% above $3,000/week) suggests strong economic capacity throughout the district. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Jan Juc is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Jan Juc, as per the latest Census evaluation, 96.3% of dwellings were houses with 3.7% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 93.0% houses and 7.0% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Jan Juc was 38.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.4% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, exceeding Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,950. The median weekly rent figure in Jan Juc was $473, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s $402. Nationally, Jan Juc's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Jan Juc features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.2% of all households, including 40.5% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households comprising 5.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

Jan Juc demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Jan Juc is notably high with 45.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 21.7% in the Rest of Vic. and 28.6% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 30.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 17.7%. Educational participation is high, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.8% in primary, 10.2% in secondary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Christian College Geelong - Surf Coast Campus provides local educational services within Jan Juc, but has no students enrolled as of the reported date. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. No schools are located within Jan Juc, requiring residents to travel for educational services. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that as of January 2023, there are 16 active public transport stops in Jan Juc. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 5 individual routes operating. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 444.

Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 241 meters to the nearest stop. On average, there are 63 daily trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Jan Juc's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Jan Juc, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (2,510 people), compared to 56.2% in the Rest of Vic and 55.3% nationally. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.6 and 6.3% of residents respectively.

74.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.8% in the Rest of Vic. Jan Juc has 13.4% of residents aged 65 and over (556 people), lower than the 24.2% in the Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Jan Juc is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Jan Juc's population was found to be less culturally diverse, with 89.2% born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 95.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 33.0% of Jan Juc's population. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.3%), Australian (26.6%), and Irish (12.5%). Notably, Dutch (2.1%) and Scottish (9.5%) were also overrepresented, while French (0.7%) was slightly higher than the regional average of 0.5%.

Jan Juc's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Jan Juc as of January was 40 years, slightly below the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic., the 45-54 cohort was notably higher at 16.2% locally, while the 75-84 year-olds were under-represented at 3.7%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.1% to 3.7% of Jan Juc's population. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 9.9% to 9.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Jan Juc, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow by 340 people (51%) from 673 to 1,014.