Bonville

Population growth drivers in Bonville are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, Bonville's population is estimated at around 3,297, reflecting a 12.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,939 people. This increase is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,294 based on latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2025) and additional 88 validated new addresses since the Census date. Bonville's population density is approximately 47 persons per square kilometer. Between 2016 and 2021, overseas migration contributed about 71.0% of overall population gains in the suburb. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for Bonville SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized.

Future population trends indicate an overall decline by 185 persons by 2041, but specific age cohorts like the 85 and over group are projected to grow by 38 people during this period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bonville recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bonville averaged approximately 16 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years (FY-20 to FY-24), totalling an estimated 82 homes. By FY-26, six approvals have been recorded so far. Over these five years, an average of 1.8 people moved to Bonville for each dwelling built. However, this figure decreased to 0.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years (FY-24 and FY-25). New properties are constructed at an average value of $505,000, indicating a focus on premium market segments.

In FY-26, commercial approvals valued at $761,000 have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity in Bonville compared to the rest of NSW. Over the five-year period, Bonville had 32.0% more development per person than the regional average, offering reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. The majority of new developments consist of detached houses (89.0%), preserving Bonville's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, Bonville exhibits a developing market. Population projections indicating stability or decline may reduce housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Bonville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area performance is significantly influenced by local infrastructure changes. Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Boambee East Residential Subdivision (North Boambee Valley East Release Area), Coffs Harbour Bypass, and Waterfall Way Corridor Strategy. These are the key projects likely to have the most relevance.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Bonville performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Bonville has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.0% as of December 2025, compared to Regional NSW's 3.9%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.8%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025, 1,606 residents were employed while workforce participation was similar to Regional NSW's 60.5%. Census responses indicated that 15.3% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries for Bonville residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction has a significant presence with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Manufacturing's presence is limited at 3.8% compared to Regional NSW's 5.8%. The worker-to-resident ratio was 1.0 as of the Census, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.8%, labour force increased by 5.3%, and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points in Bonville, according to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data. In contrast, Regional NSW saw a decrease in employment by 1.2% with a contraction in labour force by 0.8% and an increase in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bonville's employment mix indicates potential local employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Bonville had a median taxpayer income of $49,262 and an average income of $59,266. Nationally, these figures are lower at $52,390 (median) and $65,215 (average). In Regional NSW, the corresponding figures are $52,390 and $65,215. By March 2026, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%, Bonville's median income is estimated at $54,346 and average income at $65,382. The 2021 Census ranks Bonville's household income at the 54th percentile ($1,829 weekly) and personal income at the 35th percentile. Income data shows 36.1% of Bonville residents (1,190 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, aligning with the broader regional trend of 29.9%. After housing costs, 86.1% of income remains for other expenses. Bonville's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bonville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bonville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.0% houses and 7.0% other dwellings (including semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonville was at 45.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.7% and rented ones at 15.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Bonville was recorded at $465, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Bonville's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bonville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.2% of all households, including 37.1% couples with children, 34.7% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 16.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Bonville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 20.7%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (30.9%). Educational participation is high at 27.9%, comprising primary education (10.9%), secondary education (7.8%), and tertiary education (2.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bonville has 42 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 65 different routes that together facilitate 566 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 185 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling in Bonville, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 15.3% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 80 trips per day, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bonville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Bonville residents have relatively positive health outcomes. Mortality rates and health conditions are largely comparable to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are low across all age groups. Approximately 50% of Bonville's total population (~1,661 people) has private health cover, slightly lower than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 9.9% and 8.7% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.7% of Bonville residents report no medical ailments, higher than the Regional NSW average of 63.3%. Health outcomes among working-age individuals in Bonville are typical. The area has 22.1% of residents aged 65 and over (728 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Senior health outcomes in Bonville are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Bonville is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bonville has a cultural diversity below average, with 87.5% of its population born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Bonville, comprising 56.3%. Judaism, however, is overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to 0.1% across Regional NSW.

The top three ancestry groups are English (31.3%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (8.9%). Notably, Welsh (0.7%) and Maltese (0.9%) are overrepresented in Bonville compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. South Australian ancestry is also higher at 0.5%.

Bonville hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Bonville's median age is 44 years, similar to Regional NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional NSW, Bonville has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (13.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.3%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 6.7% to 8.2%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 11.2% to 12.4%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has declined from 14.5% to 12.6%. By 2041, Bonville's population is expected to shift notably in terms of age composition. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 69%, reaching 95 people from the current 56. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 96% of this growth. Conversely, both the 35-44 and 25-34 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.