Bonville

Population growth drivers in Bonville are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Bonville's population is estimated at around 2,997 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 58 people (2.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,939 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,965, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 87 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 43 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the Bonville statistical area (Lv2) was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the Bonville (SA2) population expected to reduce by 166 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to grow by 33 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonville according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bonville averaged around 16 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 83 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 4 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were added between FY-21 and FY-25. This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of new homes was $505,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $761,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Bonville has slightly more development, 34.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand, although building activity has slowed recently. New development consists of 90.0% detached houses and 10.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Bonville's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 236 people per dwelling approval, Bonville displays characteristics of a low-density area. Given population projections indicating stability or decline, Bonville should experience reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Bonville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact this region. Notable projects include Boambee East Residential Subdivision, North Boambee Valley (East) Release Area, Coffs Harbour Bypass, and Waterfall Way Corridor Strategy. Relevant details about these projects follow.

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Bonville ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Bonville has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.9% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 1,432 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.6% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. The workforce participation rate in Bonville is 62.4%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Manufacturing has limited presence at 3.8% compared to the regional average of 5.8%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 1:1, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, labour force by 3.4%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.5% and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW's employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Bonville's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bonville's employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Bonville suburb had median taxpayer income of $49,262 and average income of $59,266. This is lower than national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively across Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $53,627 and average income $64,517 by then. From the 2021 Census, Bonville's household income ranks at the 54th percentile ($1,829 weekly), while personal income is at the 35th percentile. The data shows 36.1% of population (1,081 individuals) fall within $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with surrounding region's 29.9%. After housing expenses, 86.1% of income remains for other expenses. Bonville's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bonville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bonville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 93.0% houses and 7.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Non-Metro NSW had 78.4% houses and 21.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonville was 45.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.7% and rented ones at 15.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Bonville was $465, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $370. Nationally, Bonville's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Bonville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.2% of all households, including 37.1% couples with children, 34.7% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.8%, consisting of 16.6% lone person households and 2.0% group households. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Bonville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 20.7%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 30.9%. Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.9% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 2.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Bonville public transport analysis indicates 42 active stops operating within the area, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by a total of 65 routes that facilitate 566 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is considered excellent, with residents typically residing just 185 meters away from their nearest stop.

The service frequency averages out to 80 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bonville is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bonville faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~1,510 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.9 and 8.7% of residents respectively, while 66.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.9% across Rest of NSW. As of June 2021, 22.2% of Bonville's residents are aged 65 and over (665 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors in Bonville are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Bonville is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bonville had below average cultural diversity, with 87.5% born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 56.3%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

Top ancestry groups were English (31.3%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (8.9%). Welsh (0.7%) Maltese (0.9%) and South African (0.5%) were notably overrepresented in Bonville.

Bonville hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Bonville's median age is 44 years, comparable to Rest of NSW's 43 and higher than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Bonville has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (13.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.7% to 8.0%, while the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 14.5% to 13.4%. By 2041, Bonville's population is expected to shift significantly in terms of age composition. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 61%, reaching 87 people from the current 53. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 86% of this growth. Conversely, both the 45 to 54 and the 0 to 4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.