Bonville

Population growth drivers in Bonville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Bonville's population is estimated at around 3045 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 106 people (3.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2939 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3039 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 87 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 44 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Bonville's 3.6% growth since census positions it within 0.6 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to reduce by 158 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to grow by 34 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bonville, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bonville averaged around 16 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, totalling an estimated 83 homes. As of FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. This averages out to approximately 0.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed during this period. Commercial approvals registered in Bonville amount to $7.3 million so far this financial year.

Compared to the rest of NSW, Bonville has seen slightly more development activity, with a 34.0% increase over the five-year period on a per person basis. New dwellings consist of approximately 90.0% detached houses and 10.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Bonville's low-density character. With around 328 people per dwelling approval, Bonville exhibits characteristics of a low-density area.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Bonville may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Bonville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact this region. Notable projects include Boambee East Residential Subdivision, North Boambee Valley (East) Release Area, Coffs Harbour Bypass, and Waterfall Way Corridor Strategy. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Bonville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Bonville has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate in the area is 2.5%, lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.9%. As of June 2025, 1,433 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below the regional average and a workforce participation rate of 62.4%, higher than Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a significant specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Manufacturing, however, has limited presence at 3.8% compared to the regional average of 5.8%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 1.0, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, while labour force increased by 3.8%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, the Rest of NSW saw a fall in employment by 0.1% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Bonville's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bonville's employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Bonville had a median income among taxpayers of $49,262 and an average level of $59,266. These figures are lower than the national average, which stood at $49,459 and $62,998 respectively for Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest approximately $55,474 (median) and $66,739 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 54th percentile ($1,829 weekly), while personal income sits at the 35th percentile. The data shows that 36.1% of Bonville's population (1,099 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 29.9% in the same category. After housing costs, 86.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bonville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bonville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 93.0% houses and 7.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 78.4% houses and 21.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonville stood at 45.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.7% and rented ones at 15.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Bonville was $465, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $370. Nationally, Bonville's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Bonville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.2% of all households, including 37.1% couples with children, 34.7% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 16.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Bonville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 20.7%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (30.9%). Educational participation is high at 27.9%, with 10.9% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 2.9% in tertiary education.

Bonville's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,124 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1016) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes two primary and one K-12 school. As an education hub, the area has 36.9 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 15.6, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis reveals 40 active transport stops operating within Bonville. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 66 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 573 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 185 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 81 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bonville is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Bonville faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~1,534 people), compared to 48.0% across Rest of NSW.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.9 and 8.7% of residents respectively, while 66.7% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.9% across Rest of NSW. As of June 2021, 22.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (675 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Bonville is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bonville has a low cultural diversity, with 87.5% of its population born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, making up 56.3% of Bonville's population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, comprising 0.4% compared to 0.1% in the Rest of NSW.

The top three ancestral groups are English (31.3%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (8.9%). Other ethnic groups with notable divergences include Welsh at 0.7% (vs regional 0.5%), Maltese at 0.9% (vs regional 0.3%), and South African at 0.5% (vs regional 0.3%).

Bonville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Bonville's median age is 44 years, comparable to Rest of NSW's 43 and higher than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Bonville has a greater proportion of residents aged 5-14 (13.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.0%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 increased from 6.7% to 8.0%, while the proportion of those aged 55 to 64 decreased from 14.5% to 13.4%. By 2041, Bonville's population structure is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to increase by 61%, reaching 88 from 54. This demographic aging trend means that residents aged 65 and older will represent 94% of the anticipated population growth. Conversely, both the age groups of 45 to 54 and 0 to 4 are expected to decrease in number.