Casino Surrounds

Casino Surrounds has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Casino Surrounds is estimated to be approximately 7,643 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 262 individuals (3.5%) from the 7,381 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This population shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 7,634 along with 178 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The region maintains a population density of 1.9 persons per square kilometer, which indicates a low-density environment with substantial space per resident. The 3.5% population expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the SA3 area growth rate of 0.0%, positioning the locality as a leading growth zone within the broader region. This demographic expansion was chiefly supported by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 53.5% of the total population growth in recent times.

For each SA2 locality, AreaSearch incorporates projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024, utilizing 2022 as the base year. In cases where SA2 regions lack this coverage, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 base year are applied. Age bracket growth trends derived from these sources are extended to span the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic patterns, regional locations across Australia are anticipated to grow at a rate above the national median, with this specific locality projected to add 1,393 residents by 2041 based on recent annual ERP figures, representing a total expansion of 18.1% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Casino Surrounds according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

An average of approximately 16 new residential approvals have been issued annually in Casino Surrounds, amounting to a total of 83 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 7 approvals have been logged. With an average influx of 3.9 new residents per built dwelling between FY-21 and FY-25, residential construction is falling short of demand, which typically intensifies buyer competition and drives upward pressure on prices. Newly built properties carry an average construction value of $230,000, which is below typical regional benchmarks and indicates relatively affordable options for home buyers. Additionally, commercial approvals have reached $2.6 million this financial year, underscoring that the area remains predominantly residential in character.

In comparison to the Rest of NSW, building activity per capita in Casino Surrounds is at approximately 75% of the level, placing it in the 25th percentile of all analyzed locations nationwide, which restricts options for buyers and increases demand for existing homes. This volume of building is also lower than the national rate, suggesting a mature property market and potential constraints on new development. Furthermore, all recent residential construction has consisted of detached houses, maintaining the low-density profile of the area and appealing to buyers seeking extra space. The presence of 609 people per dwelling approval highlights a quiet development landscape with low construction activity.

Demographic projections indicate that Casino Surrounds will add 1,384 residents by 2041, starting from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch. If construction volumes do not rise from their current levels, the supply of housing will likely fall behind this population growth, potentially heightening competition among buyers and supporting rising property values.

Casino Surrounds has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and development works remain key drivers of local market trends. AreaSearch has identified 32 projects expected to influence this locality. Prominent initiatives include the Northern Rivers Rail Trail - Casino to Bentley Section, Colley Park Upgrade, Casino CBD Masterplan, and Johnston Street Affordable Housing Development, with details of the most significant works listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Casino Surrounds recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

The workforce in Casino Surrounds displays a mix of white-collar and blue-collar roles across multiple sectors, accompanied by an unemployment rate of 5.3% and a 3.0% growth in estimated employment over the prior year. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 3,492, while the unemployment rate was 1.2% higher than the Regional NSW rate of 4.1%. The participation rate of 58.0% was slightly below the Regional NSW average of 60.6%. Census data showed that a moderate 19.4% of employed residents operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic lockdowns.

The primary sectors employing residents in the area are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. The local economy is highly focused on agriculture, forestry & fishing, showing an employment concentration that is 4.1 times the average regional level. Conversely, accommodation & food services is underrepresented, employing only 4.5% of the local workforce compared to 7.8% in Regional NSW. The relationship between the Census working population and the resident population suggests a lack of local job opportunities within the immediate area.

AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data indicates that in the year ending March 2026, the count of employed individuals rose by 3.0% and the active labour force grew by 4.0%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Regional NSW saw employment contract by 0.9% and the labour force shrink by 0.4%, with its unemployment rate rising by 0.5 percentage points. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia issued in May-25 offer additional context regarding future employment demand in Casino Surrounds. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth. While nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary widely by industry. Projecting these national industry trends onto the local employment profile suggests that local employment could grow by 5.4% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, representing a simple weighted extrapolation that does not account for local population changes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Based on the compilement of postcode-level ATO statistics released for the 2023 financial year by AreaSearch, taxpayers in the Casino Surrounds SA2 recorded a median income of $42,204 and an average income of $47,255. These figures are below national averages and compare to a median of $52,390 and an average of $65,215 across Regional NSW. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 10.32% since financial year 2023, the estimated values for March 2026 stand at roughly $46,559 for the median and $52,132 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes for this area placed between the 7th and 9th percentiles nationally. Income distribution figures indicate that 27.6% of residents (2,109 people) earn in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is similar to the regional average of 29.9% in this bracket. Although residents retain 87.6% of their income due to modest housing expenses, the total disposable income for the area sits at the 13th percentile nationally.

Casino Surrounds is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Residential architecture in Casino Surrounds at the time of the latest Census consisted of 98.0% standalone houses and 1.9% other housing types, such as townhouses and apartments, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% other options in Regional NSW. Home ownership levels were high at 50.0%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged at 34.6% or rented at 15.4%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,304 was below the Regional NSW average, and the median weekly rent was $250, compared to regional figures of $1,733 and $330. Nationally, mortgage costs in Casino Surrounds are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also below the national average of $375.

Casino Surrounds has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families represent the majority of local households at 72.2%, which is composed of couples with children at 26.0%, couples without children at 34.2%, and single-parent homes at 10.8%. Non-family living situations make up 27.8% of the total, with single-person households at 24.8% and group households at 3.0%. The median household size is 2.5 residents, which is slightly higher than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Casino Surrounds faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The locality presents low rates of university attainment, with 13.5% of residents holding a tertiary qualification, compared to the NSW state average of 32.2%. Among these, bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.1%, with postgraduate degrees and graduate diplomas each held by 1.7% of residents. Vocational and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 44.2% of the population aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.3% and certificates at 34.9%.

Enrolment in education is strong, with 30.2% of the local population actively participating in study. This group includes 12.8% attending primary school, 10.1% enrolled in secondary education, and 1.7% engaged in higher education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transit options in Casino Surrounds include 362 active bus stops. These stops are served by 43 separate transit routes, generating a combined total of 498 passenger trips each week. Transport access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 204 meters from their nearest stop. Given the residential nature of the area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars being the primary mode of travel at 92%, and walking accounting for 6%. Household car ownership averages 1.8 vehicles per home, which is higher than the regional average. In the 2021 Census, 19.4% of residents worked from home, which may have been influenced by pandemic measures.

Transit services average 71 daily trips across all routes, which corresponds to about 1 weekly trip per individual stop. The accompanying map illustrates the locations of the 100 nearest stops relative to the centrepoint.

Health performance in Casino Surrounds is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Analysis of mortality statistics and chronic illnesses by AreaSearch shows notable health issues in Casino Surrounds, with chronic conditions affecting both younger and older demographics. The rate of private health insurance is low, covering approximately 46% of the population (~3,508 residents), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical diagnoses in the region are arthritis at 9.9% and mental health conditions at 8.9%, while 62.2% of the population reported no chronic illnesses, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Chronic conditions are elevated among the working-age population. Residents aged 65 and older make up 24.3% of the population (1,861 individuals), and health ratings for these seniors exceed national averages for their age cohort.

The latest Census data sees Casino Surrounds placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Casino Surrounds shows lower levels of cultural diversity, with citizens representing 86.3% of the population, 92.0% of residents born in Australia, and 97.4% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion at 60.5%, compared to 55.9% in Regional NSW.

The three most common ancestral backgrounds identified in Casino Surrounds are Australian at 33.3%, English at 32.1%, and Irish at 10.0%. Specific ethnic groups showing higher representation compared to average trends include Australian Aboriginal at 4.5% of the population (compared to 4.6% across the region), Scottish at 8.2% (compared to 8.0% regionally), and German at 3.5% (compared to 3.1% regionally).

Casino Surrounds hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age of 48 years in Casino Surrounds is older than the Regional NSW median of 43 years and the national median of 38 years. The 55 - 64 age cohort is highly represented at 15.7%, while the 25 - 34 bracket is smaller at 9.6% compared to Regional NSW. Post-2021 Census data shows the 65 to 74 demographic has increased from 14.3% to 15.3%, while the 55 to 64 group decreased from 18.4% to 15.7%, and the 5 to 14 group fell from 13.2% to 11.7%. Projections for 2041 indicate the local age profile will continue to shift, with the 75 to 84 cohort expected to grow by 266 individuals (50%) from 537 to 804, while the 15 to 24 age bracket is projected to see a small increase of 4% (34 people).