Casino

Casino is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Casino statistical area's population is estimated at around 11,046 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 116 people (1.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,930 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 10,909 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 145 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 129 persons per square kilometer. Casino's 1.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 0.5%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 85.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Casino (SA2) is expected to increase by 887 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 6.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Casino according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Casino recorded around 28 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 143 homes were approved, with an additional four approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which may benefit buyers.

The average construction value of new properties is $582,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This year, Casino recorded $23.8 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Casino has similar development levels per person, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns. However, recent construction activity has intensified. The current dwelling mix comprises 38.0% detached dwellings and 62.0% attached dwellings, a significant shift from the existing housing pattern of 85.0% houses. This shift suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Casino has approximately 269 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Population forecasts estimate an increase of 767 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Casino has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 12 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Colley Park Upgrade, Casino CBD Masterplan, Casino Water and Sewer Infrastructure Project, and Northern Rivers Rail Trail - Casino to Bentley Section. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Casino lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Casino's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar employees with significant representation from manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 6.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 4,151 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 2.5% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Casino lags behind Rest of NSW, with 46.7% compared to 56.4%. Key industries employing residents include manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly prominent, with an employment share three times the regional level.

Conversely, construction is under-represented at 6.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 9.7%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, Casino's labour force decreased by 2.6% and employment by 1.4%, leading to an unemployment rate drop of 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Casino's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2023, the suburb of Casino had a median income among taxpayers of $44,589 with the average level standing at $48,082. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $52,390 and $65,215 across Rest of NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $48,540 (median) and $52,342 (average). According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Casino all fall between the 4th and 10th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows that 30.7% of the population (3,391 individuals) fall within the $400 - $799 income range, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Casino, with only 82.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Casino is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Casino's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 84.8% houses and 15.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 86.8% houses and 13.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Casino stood at 38.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.6% and rented ones at 33.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,452. Median weekly rent in Casino was $280, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $300. Nationally, Casino's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Casino features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 63.7% of all households, including 20.0% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 15.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 36.3%, with lone person households at 33.5% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Casino faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates than NSW's average. Specifically, 9.7% of residents have a university qualification, compared to the state's 32.2%. This disparity presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.0%).

Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications. This includes advanced diplomas (7.4%) and certificates (32.8%). Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (12.6%), secondary education (7.6%), and tertiary education (2.0%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Casino's public transport analysis shows 248 active stops operating, consisting of both train and bus services. These are served by 63 individual routes, offering a total of 869 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 116 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 124 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately three weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Casino is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Casino faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 46% (~5,084 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent conditions are arthritis (11.0%) and mental health issues (10.0%). Conversely, 57.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 61.9% in Rest of NSW. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 24.9% (2,750 people), higher than the 22.9% in Rest of NSW. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The latest Census data sees Casino placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Casino's population showed low cultural diversity, with 89.2% being citizens, 93.9% born in Australia, and 97.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 62.7%, compared to 52.4% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.5%), English (32.3%), and Irish (9.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher in Casino at 7.6% compared to 4.6% regionally, while Samoan and Maori representations matched regional figures at 0.1% each.

Casino hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Casino's median age is 43, matching Rest of NSW's figure and exceeding Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 make up 9.5% of the population, while the 35-44 group comprises 9.5%, which is relatively smaller than in Rest of NSW. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of Casino's population aged 25 to 34 has increased from 11.1% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has decreased from 12.9% to 11.6%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 13.7% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Casino's age structure. Notably, the 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 21%, adding 299 people to reach a total of 1,713 from its current figure of 1,413. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 age cohorts.