Chapman

Chapman is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Chapman's population was around 2,867 people as of the 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, it had increased to approximately 2,883 people, reflecting a rise of 16 individuals (0.6%) since the Census date. This increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 2,873 in June 2024 and an additional 17 validated new addresses since then. The population density was around 1,550 persons per square kilometer at this time, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Chapman's growth rate of 0.6% since the 2021 Census exceeded that of the SA3 area (0.5%), though it remained modest overall. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, also based on 2022. By 2041, according to these projections, Chapman's population is expected to decline by approximately 349 persons overall. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by around 37 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Chapman according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Chapman has seen approximately six new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around thirty homes were approved, with none approved so far in FY26. On average, 2.7 people moved to the area per year for each new home constructed during these years, indicating healthy demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $285,000. This financial year has seen $747,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Chapman records 12.0% less building activity per person and ranks among the 25th percentile nationally, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. This lower-than-average activity reflects the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

New building activity consists of 60.0% detached houses and 40.0% medium to high-density housing, including an increasing blend of attached housing types that offer choices across price ranges. This shift indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. Population projections suggest stability or decline in Chapman, which should reduce housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers.

Chapman has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Fetherston Weston, Molonglo Group Centre to Town Centre Transition, Canberra Hospital Master Plan, and Deakin Private Hospital, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Chapman ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Chapman has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.5%. As of September 2025, 1,444 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9%, lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation was 62.1% compared to ACT's 72.5%. According to Census responses, 18.8% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries were public administration & safety, professional & technical, and health care & social assistance. The area had a high specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Retail trade showed lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 6.6%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.5%, labour force by 1.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, ACT experienced employment growth of 1.4% and a 0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Chapman's employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Chapman SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $80,664. The average income stood at $93,919. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median and average incomes of $72,206 and $85,981 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $88,133 and an average income of $102,616 as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, incomes in Chapman rank highly nationally, between the 96th and 97th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Income analysis shows that 37.7% of residents (1,086 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, unlike regional patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.3%. Economic strength is evident through 51.6% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 90.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Chapman is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Chapman's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.2% houses and 10.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Chapman stood at 48.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.8% and rented ones at 11.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Chapman was $450, matching the Australian Capital Territory figure. Nationally, Chapman's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Chapman features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.7% of all households, including 38.7% couples with children, 33.3% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Chapman shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Chapman's educational attainment significantly exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 52.5% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA3 area's 46.6%. This high level of educational attainment positions Chapman strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.5%) and graduate diplomas (7.1%).

Vocational pathways account for 21.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas making up 9.6% and certificates 11.9%. Educational participation is notably high, with 29.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Chapman has 19 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 49 different routes that together facilitate 4,667 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 188 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outwards. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents, while cycling accounts for 2%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.8% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 666 trips daily, translating to approximately 245 weekly trips per individual stop.

Chapman's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Chapman's health outcomes show excellent results according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low, especially among younger cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at 68%, compared to ACT's 62.4% and Australia's average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent conditions are arthritis (10.1%) and asthma (7.5%), with 65.9% of residents reporting no medical ailments, slightly lower than ACT's 70.2%. Under-65s have better health outcomes. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (25.7%, or 740 people), compared to ACT's 14.1%. While senior health outcomes are strong, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Chapman records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Chapman's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 22.7% born overseas and 12.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Chapman, comprising 51.4%, compared to 40.7% across Australian Capital Territory. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.9%), Australian (25.5%), and Irish (9.7%).

Notably, Welsh (1.1%) and Hungarian (0.7%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Chapman compared to regional averages of 0.6% and 0.3%, respectively. Scottish ethnicity is also notably represented at 8.9%.

Chapman hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Chapman is 47 years, which is significantly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Chapman has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (11.2%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (4.2%). This concentration of 75-84 year-olds is notably above the national average of 6%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 10.9% to 13.8%, while the 75-84 age group has risen from 9.5% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.3%, and the 35-44 age group has dropped from 12.2% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Chapman's age structure. Notably, the 85+ age group is expected to grow by 65% (adding 39 people), reaching a total of 100 from its current figure of 60. The combined 65+ age groups will account for all of the population growth in the area, reflecting Chapman's aging demographic trend. In contrast, both the 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are projected to see reduced numbers.