Waramanga

Waramanga is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations for the suburb of Waramanga, the estimated population as of May 2026 is around 2,751. This shows a decrease of 34 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,785. The current resident population estimate of 2,749 by AreaSearch is based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,608 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

Population projections for Waramanga are adopted from ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and ACT Government's SA2 area projections with the same base year for areas not covered by this data or years post-2032. According to these projections, Waramanga's population is expected to decline by 216 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 85 and over group are projected to grow, with an increase of 19 people anticipated in this cohort during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Waramanga, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Waramanga shows around 3 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 17 homes were approved, with another 4 approved so far in FY-26. This indicates a demand outpacing supply, which typically drives up prices and increases buyer competition.

The average construction value of new dwellings is $305,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $42,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Comparatively, Waramanga has roughly half the construction activity per person in the Australian Capital Territory and ranks among the 8th percentile nationally for assessed areas. This suggests limited choices for buyers and supports demand for existing dwellings.

The new building activity is predominantly detached houses at 67.0%, with medium and high-density housing making up 33.0%. There's a growing mix of townhouses and apartments, offering options across various price points. Waramanga has around 2742 people per approval, indicating a mature, established area. Population projections suggest stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Waramanga has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Woden Town Square Precinct Redevelopment, Athllon Drive Duplication, The Hunter, and Canberra Hospital Master Plan. Relevant details are listed below.

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Waramanga has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Waramanga has a highly educated workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% as of December 2025. The area showed relative employment stability over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

In December 2025, 1,390 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.8% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was lower at 66.8%, compared to the ACT's 70.5%. Census responses indicated that only 11.5% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents were public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Accommodation & food services had limited presence with 4.7% employment compared to the regional average of 6.5%. The predominantly residential area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.4% while labour force grew by 1.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points, according to AreaSearch's analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical areas. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory recorded employment growth of 0.9%, labour force growth of 1.2%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Waramanga. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Waramanga's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Waramanga's median income among taxpayers is $66,732 and average income is $79,388. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Waramanga would be approximately $73,699 (median) and $87,676 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Waramanga rank highly nationally, between the 80th and 90th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution data shows that 28.0% of locals (770 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 34.3% similarly occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 36.8% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.5% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 82nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Waramanga is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Waramanga's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.4% houses and 22.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Waramanga stood at 32.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.9% and rented ones at 28.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,175, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Waramanga was $379, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $450. Nationally, Waramanga's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Waramanga has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.0% of all households, including 32.8% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 10.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 27.5% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Australian Capital Territory average.

Educational achievement in Waramanga places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Waramanga's educational attainment exceeds national averages significantly. Among residents aged 15 and above, 44.9% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. This includes 26.0% with bachelor degrees, 13.4% with postgraduate qualifications, and 5.5% with graduate diplomas. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.7% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 15.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.3% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Waramanga has 20 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 99 unique routes, offering a total of 5,959 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is deemed good, with residents typically living 214 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode at 89%, followed by buses at 6% and cycling at 3%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.5% of residents work from home, which might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 851 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 297 weekly trips per individual stop.

Waramanga's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Waramanga shows positive outcomes overall. Mortality rates and health conditions align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions affect both young and old age groups similarly. Private health cover is high at 59% of the total population (1,610 people), compared to 62.4% in Australian Capital Territory. Mental health issues and arthritis are most common, affecting 9.4% and 8.9% respectively. 67.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Working-age population health outcomes are typical. The area has 20.6% of residents aged 65 and over (566 people), higher than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Senior health outcomes are above average, ranking nationally with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Waramanga was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Waramanga, surveyed in June 2016, had above-average cultural diversity with 22.6% of its population born overseas and 15.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 42.2%. Judaism, while small at 0.2%, was overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 0.2%.

For ancestry, the top groups were English (25.6%), Australian (25.4%), and Irish (10.4%). Notably, Hungarian (0.6%) and Scottish (9.7%) were overrepresented while Serbian (0.4%) was proportionally similar to the regional figure of 0.4%.

Waramanga's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Waramanga's median age is 38 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 but equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Waramanga has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (8.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.4%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 35-44 increased from 15.1% to 17.0%, while the 75-84 cohort grew from 7.2% to 8.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group decreased from 12.9% to 11.4%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 12.9% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Waramanga's age profile. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 18%, adding 14 residents, reaching a total of 94. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 73% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. However, the 75-84 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.